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dc.contributor.author Cook, PJ
dc.contributor.author Ostermann, J
dc.contributor.author Sloan, FA
dc.date.accessioned 2010-03-09T15:42:30Z
dc.identifier http://www.pubpol.duke.edu/
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10161/2048
dc.description.abstract Regression results from a 30-year panel of the state-level data indicate that changes in alcohol-excise taxes cause a reduction in drinking and lower all-cause mortality in the short run. But those results do not fully capture the long-term mortality effects of a permanent change in drinking levels. In particular, since moderate drinking has a protective effect against heart disease in middle age, it is possible that a reduction in per capita drinking will result in some people drinking "too little" and dying sooner than they otherwise would. To explore that possibility, we simulate the effect of a one percent reduction in drinking on all-cause mortality for the age group 35-69, using several alternative assumptions about how the reduction is distributed across this population. We find that the long-term mortality effect of a one percent reduction in drinking is essentially nil.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en_US
dc.subject I12
dc.title Are Alcohol Excise Taxes Good For Us? Short and Long-Term Effects on Mortality Rates
dc.type Scholarly Edition
dc.department Economics
pubs.author-url http://www.pubpol.duke.edu/
pubs.organisational-group /Duke
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Duke Population Research Center
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Duke Population Research Institute
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences/Economics
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences/Sociology

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