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dc.contributor.author Smith, VK
dc.contributor.author Taylor, DH
dc.contributor.author Sloan, FA
dc.contributor.author Johnson, FR
dc.contributor.author Desvousges, WH
dc.date.accessioned 2010-03-09T15:47:49Z
dc.date.issued 2001-11-01
dc.identifier.citation Review of Economics and Statistics, 2001, 83 (4), pp. 675 - 687
dc.identifier.issn 0034-6535
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10161/2127
dc.description.abstract This paper reports the first effort to use data to evaluate how new information, acquired through exogenous health shocks, affects people's longevity expectations. We find that smokers react differently to health shocks than do those who quit smoking or never smoked. These differences, together with insights from qualitative research conducted along with the statistical analysis, suggest specific changes in the health warnings used to reduce smoking. Our specific focus is on how current smokers responded to health information in comparison to former smokers and nonsmokers. The three groups use significantly different updating rules to revise their assessments about longevity. The most significant finding of our study documents that smokers differ from persons who do not smoke in how information influences their personal longevity expectations. When smokers experience smoking-related health shocks, they interpret this information as reducing their chances of living to age 75 or more. Our estimated models imply smokers update their longevity expec-tations more dramatically than either former smokers or those who never smoked. Smokers are thus assigning a larger risk equivalent to these shocks. They do not react comparably to general health shocks, implying that specific information about smoking-related health events is most likely to cause them to update beliefs. It remains to be evaluated whether messages can be designed that focus on the link between smoking and health outcomes in ways that will have comparable effects on smokers' risk perceptions.
dc.format.extent 675 - 687
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en_US
dc.relation.ispartof Review of Economics and Statistics
dc.relation.isversionof 10.1162/003465301753237759
dc.title Do smokers respond to health shocks?
dc.type Journal Article
dc.department Economics
pubs.issue 4
pubs.organisational-group /Duke
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Fuqua School of Business
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Fuqua School of Business/Fuqua School of Business - Secondary Group
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Institutes and Provost's Academic Units
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Institutes and Provost's Academic Units/Initiatives
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Institutes and Provost's Academic Units/Initiatives/Duke Science & Society
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Institutes and Provost's Academic Units/University Institutes and Centers
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Institutes and Provost's Academic Units/University Institutes and Centers/Global Health Institute
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Center for Child and Family Policy
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Duke Population Research Institute
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Duke Population Research Institute/Center for Population Health & Aging
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Sanford School of Public Policy/Duke Population Research Institute/Duke Population Research Center
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments/Community and Family Medicine
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments/Medicine
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments/Medicine/Medicine, General Internal Medicine
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Institutes and Centers
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Institutes and Centers/Duke Cancer Institute
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Institutes and Centers/Duke Clinical Research Institute
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Nursing
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Nursing/School of Nursing - Secondary Group
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences/Economics
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences/Institute of Public Policy
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Trinity College of Arts & Sciences/Institute of Public Policy/Public Policy Studies
pubs.publication-status Published
pubs.volume 83

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