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dc.contributor.author Miranda, ML
dc.contributor.author Hastings, DA
dc.contributor.author Aldy, JE
dc.contributor.author Schlesinger, WH
dc.date.accessioned 2012-11-01T19:16:23Z
dc.date.issued 2011-03-01
dc.identifier.citation Environmental Justice, 2011, 4 (1), pp. 17 - 25
dc.identifier.issn 1939-4071
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10161/5970
dc.description.abstract Nations around the world are considering strategies to mitigate the severe impacts of climate change predicted to occur in the twenty-first century. Many countries, however, lack the wealth, technology, and government institutions to effectively cope with climate change. This study investigates the varying degrees to which developing and developed nations will be exposed to changes in three key variables: temperature, precipitation, and runoff. We use Geographic Information Systems (GIS) analysis to compare current and future climate model predictions on a country level. We then compare our calculations of climate change exposure for each nation to several metrics of political and economic well-being. Our results indicate that the impacts of changes in precipitation and runoff are distributed relatively equally between developed and developing nations. In contrast, we confirm research suggesting that developing nations will be affected far more severely by changes in temperature than developed nations. Our results also suggest that this unequal impact will persist throughout the twenty-first century. Our analysis further indicates that the most significant temperature changes will occur in politically unstable countries, creating an additional motivation for developed countries to actively engage with developing nations on climate mitigation strategies. © 2011, Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
dc.format.extent 17 - 25
dc.relation.ispartof Environmental Justice
dc.relation.isversionof 10.1089/env.2009.0046
dc.title The environmental justice dimensions of climate change
dc.type Journal Article
duke.description.endpage 25 en_US
duke.description.issue 1 en_US
duke.description.startpage 17 en_US
duke.description.volume 4 en_US
dc.relation.journal Environmental Justice en_US
pubs.issue 1
pubs.organisational-group /Duke
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Nicholas School of the Environment
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/Nicholas School of the Environment/Environmental Sciences and Policy
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments
pubs.organisational-group /Duke/School of Medicine/Clinical Science Departments/Pediatrics
pubs.publication-status Published
pubs.volume 4

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