Browsing by Author "Halpin, Patrick N"
Results Per Page
Sort Options
Item Open Access A Citizen Science Program for the Center for Alaskan Coastal Studies(2008-08-26T14:28:43Z) Jacob, DavidThe purpose of this Masters Project is to implement an intertidal monitoring program that emphasizes Citizen Science for the Center for Alaskan Coastal Studies (CACS). CACS is a small non-profit organization based out of Homer, Alaska. The organization conducts tidepool tours to the public in a section of Kachemak Bay known as China Poot Bay. With the ecological importance of the intertidal zone and the environmental changes that have occurred in Kachemak Bay, it is important to study the abundance of intertidal organisms and how this abundance changes over time. A list of species to be monitored in China Poot Bay was selected based on one or more of the following: 1) how easy they are to identify, 2) their importance to the intertidal community, 3) their sensitivity to disturbances, 4) if they represent a trophic level, and 5) if they are harvested species. A 30 meter transect was set up perpendicular to the beach at China Poot Bay and was divided into three equal sections all measuring 10 meters. The selected species were counted in each of the three sections using 0.5 x 0.5 meter quadrats. Sessile organisms (such as mussels and barnacles) were counted using percentages of the quadrat, while mobile organisms (such as sea stars and crabs) were counted by actual counts. The numbers were then recorded on a data sheet. The testing of the monitoring program occurred from June to August of 2008. While the data was preliminary there were several recommendations made on creating a successful implementation of the program. These included: 1) setting up a transect that encompasses the entire vertical length of the beach, 2) only conducting one quadrat measurements per section of transect, 3) setting up multiple transects to be used in data collection, 4) allowing the Citizen Scientists to explore the tidepools before conducting the formal research, 5) discussing with the Citizen Scientists why the data is being collected and why it is important, and 6) creating a webpage on the CACS website to display the data collected by the volunteers. This program is being established with the hope that it will both provide long-term data that can be used to track changes in the intertidal zone in China Poot Bay and introduce people of all ages to the diverse organisms that live there.Item Open Access A Comparative Case Study Analysis Evaluating the Potential Success of a Rigs-to-Reefs Policy in Offshore California Waters given the Success of Similar Programs in the Gulf of Mexico(2011-04-28) Fitz-Gerald, ClaireCalifornia recently passed a bill that will allow the partial decommissioning of oil and gas platforms in place, with the lower half retained to function as an artificial reef. This policy overrides previously existing legislation requiring complete platform decommissioning following the termination of oil and gas production. The decision to implement this policy was motivated by the financial gains promised to the state in guidelines developed by the National Artificial Reef Plan, as well as by the success experienced by rigs-to-reefs programs in the Gulf of Mexico. This case study analysis evaluated programs in Louisiana, Texas, and California to determine the applicability of successful Gulf of Mexico policies to the situation in California. The study uncovered significant differences between the two regions that reduced comparability between programs. Platform habitat in the Gulf of Mexico is an essential component of the ecosystem and significantly increases the amount of available hard substrate habitat, which thereby increases resident reef fish populations and supports the commercial fishing industry. Conversely, platform habitat in California comprises an insignificant portion of the available hard substrate habitat, and research indicates that platform communities result from a combination of settlement by organisms in a pelagic dispersal phase and attraction of organisms from surrounding natural habitats. The uncertainty regarding the ecological benefits of platform ecosystems obscures the potential repercussions of implementing a rigs-to-reefs program in California. Further research must be done to clarify the role of oil and gas platforms in California, as well as to fully understand their contribution to the regional ecosystem and the feasibility of utilizing them as a fishery enhancement device.Item Open Access A DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR PREDICTING WATER QUALITY BASED ON LAND COVER(2011-04-28) Baker, BrittneyManagers at Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune must evaluate the environmental impacts of their proposed development plans. The effect of land cover changes on water quality is an important consideration for these evaluations. An interactive geospatial tool was developed in 2009. The tool allows managers to interactively select their proposed development site and input what the proposed land cover will be for the site. The tool returns the changes in average ammonium concentration in the tributary creeks. The tool incorporates water quality data collected by the DCERP project from 2008-2009 to drive the prediction model. The purpose of this project was to (1) improve usability of the tool to make it a spatial decision support system, (2) update the water quality data used to drive the statistics of the water quality prediction models, and (3) determine if using the National Land Cover Dataset (NLCD) from 2006 instead of the 2001 NLCD changes the relationship between land cover predictors and water quality response variables. Tool usability was enhanced by adding in-tool and external help menus, creating a user guide, and adding the ability to name and save outputs. The updated tool allows the user to run multiple land development scenarios for comparison without overwriting the previous results. Adding additional water quality data from 2007-2010 resulted in fewer significant water quality prediction models. The most predictive of these models was for organic nitrogen. The model, predicted by barren (rock/sand/clay), shrub/scrub, and grassland/herbaceous land covers, was incorporated into the decision support tool. Using land cover data from 2001 and 2006 allowed the same two water quality parameters to be predicted: NOx and ON. Managers at Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune can use this data driven Spatial Decision Support System to evaluate how different development scenarios will affect the concentration of organic nitrogen in the tributary creeks on base.Item Open Access A Gap Analysis of the Distributions of Cephalopod Species Worldwide with a Focus on Commercially Important Species(2010-04-28T21:17:25Z) Fries, Alexandra StikasCephalopods are valuable species as they provide ecological functions and are also important commercially and scientifically. This study attempts to adequately describe the distribution of Class Cephalopoda as well as focusing on a few commercial species ranges. Data from an extensive literature search and several databases such as OBIS and AquaMaps were analyzed to show areas where information is lacking due to no research conducted in the area versus where literature research is excluded from OBIS. For the species distributions modeled in AquaMaps, an accuracy assessment was performed to show if all of the locations where the species have been found would be included within the suspected range. Recommendations for more research or greater conservation actions will also be given for each of the commercial species examined. Fisheries data on the commercial species will be compared to the distributional extents to show where better management practices might be needed.Item Open Access A Geospatial Analysis of Species of Interest in US Atlantic Wind Energy Areas(2023-04-28) O'Brien, Bryce RAlthough the rapid development of offshore wind energy inspires hope for a low-carbon electric grid, this climate solution may simultaneously threaten marine wildlife and ecosystems in ways that are not fully understood. In this study, I conduct a geospatial analysis of species of interest to support the DoE and BOEM funded Wildlife and Offshore Wind (WOW) project: a consortium of experts led by Duke University seeking to better understand the potential impacts of offshore wind development on marine wildlife. This analysis utilizes models from the following cetacean and seabird species, all of which have been identified by Project WOW members as species representative of at-risk marine wildlife: The Fin whale, Common minke whale, Humpback whale, North Atlantic right whale, Red-throated loon, Northern gannet and Great black-backed gull. By mapping the seasonal distribution of these species, this study provides insight into when, where, and how much spatial overlap exists between these species of interest and offshore wind areas in the US Atlantic. Results from this study also shed light onto the representativeness of offshore wind areas with respect to marine wildlife abundance, helping inform future offshore wind energy research planning and development.Item Open Access A strategy for the conservation of biodiversity on mid-ocean ridges from deep-sea mining.(Science advances, 2018-07-04) Dunn, Daniel C; Van Dover, Cindy L; Etter, Ron J; Smith, Craig R; Levin, Lisa A; Morato, Telmo; Colaço, Ana; Dale, Andrew C; Gebruk, Andrey V; Gjerde, Kristina M; Halpin, Patrick N; Howell, Kerry L; Johnson, David; Perez, José Angel A; Ribeiro, Marta Chantal; Stuckas, Heiko; Weaver, Philip; SEMPIA Workshop ParticipantsMineral exploitation has spread from land to shallow coastal waters and is now planned for the offshore, deep seabed. Large seafloor areas are being approved for exploration for seafloor mineral deposits, creating an urgent need for regional environmental management plans. Networks of areas where mining and mining impacts are prohibited are key elements of these plans. We adapt marine reserve design principles to the distinctive biophysical environment of mid-ocean ridges, offer a framework for design and evaluation of these networks to support conservation of benthic ecosystems on mid-ocean ridges, and introduce projected climate-induced changes in the deep sea to the evaluation of reserve design. We enumerate a suite of metrics to measure network performance against conservation targets and network design criteria promulgated by the Convention on Biological Diversity. We apply these metrics to network scenarios on the northern and equatorial Mid-Atlantic Ridge, where contractors are exploring for seafloor massive sulfide (SMS) deposits. A latitudinally distributed network of areas performs well at (i) capturing ecologically important areas and 30 to 50% of the spreading ridge areas, (ii) replicating representative areas, (iii) maintaining along-ridge population connectivity, and (iv) protecting areas potentially less affected by climate-related changes. Critically, the network design is adaptive, allowing for refinement based on new knowledge and the location of mining sites, provided that design principles and conservation targets are maintained. This framework can be applied along the global mid-ocean ridge system as a precautionary measure to protect biodiversity and ecosystem function from impacts of SMS mining.Item Open Access Adaptation to sea-level rise in North Carolina(2009-04-22T16:11:29Z) McPherson, MartinaSea-level rise (SLR) predicted for the Mid-Atlantic U.S. is expected to be greater than worldwide averages forecast by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007. In North Carolina, sea level is expected to rise between 0.3 and 1.1 meters within the next century. SLR is anticipated to exacerbate erosion, storm surges, storm intensity, and more directly, inundate land. North Carolina’s well-established coastal zone management program is fully capable of developing a response strategy to SLR within the existing framework of the local land use plan. This study examines the various coastal laws and policies affecting the North Carolina coastal zone and takes a closer look at some of the current management challenges, many of which will be aggravated by SLR. The study presents a potential starting point for local adaptation to SLR by looking at a case study of the Town of Morehead City. The land use plan for Morehead City was used as a framework for developing a flexible SLR response toolbox. Although development of a SLR toolbox for communities at the local level will increase SLR adaptation capacity, there are still obstacles to be overcome, including the weakened role of land use plans, and the fragmented approach to SLR planning in North Carolina.Item Open Access An Analysis Comparing Mangrove Conditions under Different Management Scenarios in Southeast Asia(2017-04-27) Shi, CongjieMangroves in Phang Nga Bay, Thailand and in Matang Mangrove Reserve, Malaysia serve a variety of crucial ecosystem services. However, they are threatened by various natural and human-influenced factors such as tsunami damage and development in recent decades. This project provides a look at how distribution and status of mangrove forests have changed over time and how mangrove health changes over time. Selected Landsat 5 TM images from 2000 to 2010 were analyzed to classify the land use changes by object-oriented method using feature extraction and by supervised classification. The expansion in urban development and agriculture is concerning for both Thailand and Malaysia according to the literature review (Gopal and Chauhan 2006; Giri et al. 2008). The Phang Nga Bay mangroves experienced significant 6.3% decline from 2003 to 2010 according to the supervised classification with tasseled-cap transformation. The Matang mangroves experienced a 3.95% decline from 2000 to 2010 according to the supervised classification. Although these mangroves are declining at a slower rate than the reported national and global average, the rate of decrease is still concerning compare to other Southeast Asian mangroves. We also examined the overall characteristics such as EVI, NDVI, GPP, and NDWI using Google Earth Engine to compare the overall patterns in the two study areas. There is no significant difference in EVI between the two study areas. The EVI value is 0.54 for the site in Thailand and 0.52 for the site in Malaysia. NDVI is higher for mangroves in the Thai site (0.61) than the Malaysian site (0.42). Mangroves at the Malaysian site has higher GPP and NDWI. The mean GPP for the site in Malaysia is 354 kg*C/m^2, while the mean GPP is only 217 kg*C/m^2 for the site in Thailand. The trend in GPP can be fit into an ARIMA(1, 0, 1)*(1, 0, 0)46 model for the Thai site and an ARIMA(2, 0, 1)*(1, 0, 0)46 model for the Malaysia site. The NDWI values are 0.149 and 0.137 for the Malaysian site and the Thai site correspondingly. The derived indices (tasseled cap, NDVI, and SAVI) were used to classify the mangrove areas into subclasses. An EO-1 Hyperion imagery from 2014 was examined to classify mangrove types in the Thai study area. We were able to classify mangroves into edge, island, riverine, estuary, and inland types based on the good spectral bands. A spectral library for the region or field data is necessary for more exact species classification. In terms of management, the local conservation departments and national park services in Thailand need to reach out more frequently to the local community and educate the fishermen and hoteliers about the ecosystem services of mangroves. It can be worthwhile for Matang forest managers to test the mixed block method with managed and natural mangrove patches to sustain biodiversity and ecological function of mangrove forests.Item Open Access An Evaluation of Black Sea Bass (Centropristis striata) Distribution and Habitat Availability in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean under Climate Change(2021-04-30) Franco, CrystalFishery scientists are increasingly concerned about the impacts of climate change on marine fisheries and ecosystem health. Many marine species along the Northeast United States continental shelf have shifted spatial distribution and abundance in response to local climate variability and large-scale warming. Such shifts over time can influence management decisions to adjust commercial and recreational allocation along the eastern seaboard, as demonstrated in recent state allocation changes for Black Sea Bass (Centropristis striata). This master’s project evaluates black sea bass fishery-independent survey and fishery-dependent landings data (1986-2019) using a two-stage generalized additive model to identify the importance of environmental factors in shaping their spatial abundance and project future distribution shifts under a “business as usual” climate change scenario in which future carbon emissions are consistent with the current pace of global emissions. This approach may provide insight into future suitable habitat availability of black sea bass, and this master’s project serves to contextualize the need for adaptive management that increases the equitable and economically sound distribution of access to marine resources in a changing climate.Item Open Access An Information Systems Strategy for the Environmental Conservation Community(2008-04-25T20:55:48Z) Barker, KristinAs the cause of environmental conservation emerges as a global priority, the need for a practical information systems strategy shared among conservation organizations becomes imperative. Historically, researchers and practitioners in conservation have met their own information management and analysis needs with inevitable variation in methodology, semantics, data formats and quality. Consequently, conservation organizations have been unable to systematically assess conditions and set informed priorities at various scales, measure performance of their projects and improve practices through adaptive management. Moreover, the demands on conservation are changing such that the bottom-up approach to information systems will become an increasing constraint to effective environmental problem solving. Where we have historically focused on the protection of “important” places and species and more recently “biodiversity,” conservation is moving to a systems view, specifically ecosystem-based management, where relationships and process are as important as the individual elements. In parallel, awareness of the human dependency on functioning natural systems is on the rise and with it the need to explicitly value ecosystem services and inform tradeoffs. Climate change requires conservation to develop dynamic adaptation scenarios at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Finally, the business of conservation is under increased pressure to account for its spending and objectively measure outcomes of its strategies. All of these changes translate to growing, not shrinking, demands on information and information systems. In response to these challenges, this research presents an information systems strategy for the environmental conservation community. It proposes the development of a distributed systems infrastructure with end-user tools and shared services that support standardized datasets. Key strategies include removing the barriers to information sharing, providing valuable tools to data producers and directly supporting heterogeneity in conservation datasets. The strategy concludes with a call for high-level management involvement in information systems strategy and collaborative investment in implementation by the conservation community, partners in government and donors. Without these steps, conservation as an industry may find itself ill-equipped to meet the changing needs of people and nature.Item Open Access Analysis of Marine Mammal Biologically Important Areas and Species Density on the East Coast(2023-04-28) Ozog, JessicaIn accordance with various federal regulations, any agency or organization planning to conduct activities in the marine environment that may harm marine mammals must undergo an impact assessment process. Two available tools to assist resource managers in these analyses include biologically important areas (BIAs) and habitat-based density models. BIAs were delineated through expert elicitation and represent temporal feeding, reproductive, and migratory areas, while the models combine animal sighting and environmental data to estimate species density on a broad scale. Both were first published in 2015/2016 and have undergone updates in 2022/2023. This project uses North Atlantic right whales and humpback whales on the East Coast as focus species to assess (1) monthly species abundance within each BIA, (2) the relationship strength between BIA type and species abundance, (3) the changes in these relationships over time, and (4) the influence of a new scoring component on the relationship between abundance and active period.Item Open Access Analysis of Net Primary Production Models and Observations in the Tropical Pacific Ocean and Their Relationship with Fisheries Yield(2017) de Oca Echarte, MariaPrimary production regulates fisheries yield, but testing the degree to which it is so is complicated by our limited ability to measure and model net primary production in the ocean. Herein, I analyze primary production and fisheries yields in the tropical Pacific Ocean, and how uncertainties in physiology parameterizations and in field primary production measurements used in the models’ formulations limit model skill. I find that primary production model choice has an effect on designating sustainable fisheries levels, that model parameterizations are not tuned to the tropical Pacific systems, and that model skill assessment is highly dependent on our understanding of local biomass-productivity dynamics. Moving forward, improving the primary production estimates in the tropical Pacific can be done incorporating understanding of local ocean dynamics into model skill assessments.
Item Open Access Analyzing offshore wind collaboration opportunities for North and South Carolina(2013-04-17) Ramirez de Arellano, VanessaDue to the strong presence of wind resources in the South Atlantic, the Carolinas have emerged as the new frontier in the development of offshore wind energy. The two states have moved in parallel, completing research and establishing committees to explore their offshore wind potential. This paper presents the opportunities and challenges for the Carolinas to collaborate in offshore wind energy planning. This is done using a three-‐part approach. First, the paper reviews existing scientific literature to describe the case for interconnecting wind farms. Secondly, it analyzes the existing policy frameworks of the federal government and the two states. Lastly, it demonstrates the utility of marine spatial planning and ArcGIS in siting offshore wind farms, transmission lines and aiding in collaboration. This paper concludes that in order to move forward with stronger collaboration the Carolinas must streamline the policy realm, shift towards a regional perspective, increase marine spatial planning initiatives, develop economic incentives and further involve stakeholders. With respect to marine spatial planning, this study includes a sample GIS analysis that provides three transmission configurations for the Carolinas. These include i.) a backbone parallel to shore ii.) a backbone with onshore injection at Georgetown and North Myrtle Beach, SC and iii.) a radial configuration that considers Department of Defense exclusions.Item Open Access ANALYZING THE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF FISH SPECIES ALONG THE MID AND SOUTH ATLANTIC BIGHTS AND PROJECTING FUTURE DISTRIBUTIONS UNDER A CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO(2017-04-27) Roberts, Sarah MAs anthropogenic climate change increases the temperatures of the world’s oceans, the survival rates, spatial distribution, and phenology of marine species are adversely impacted. This study evaluates the potential effects of anthropogenic climate change on seven commercially regulated fish species along the South Atlantic and Mid-Atlantic Bight. Coupling random forest models with the outputs from 27 climate models, this study projects the future distribution of species using bottom temperature, salinity, substrate type and AMO and NAO indices. Results indicate that species distribution shifts vary depending on the season, the species preferred temperature range, and the relative importance of habitat and salinity for the species.Item Open Access Animal Movement in Pelagic Ecosystems: from Communities to Individuals(2009) Schick, Robert SchillingInfusing models for animal movement with more behavioral realism has been a goal of movement ecologists for several years. As ecologists have begun to collect more and more data on animal distribution and abundance, a clear need has arisen for more sophisticated analysis. Such analysis could include more realistic movement behavior, more information on the organism-environment interaction, and more ways to separate observation error from process error. Because landscape ecologists and behavioral ecologists typically study these same themes at very different scales, it has been proposed that their union could be productive for all (Lima and Zollner, 1996).
By understanding how animals interact with their land- and seascapes, we can better understand how species partition up resources are large spatial scales. Accordingly I begin this dissertation with a large spatial scale analysis of distribution data for marine mammals from Nova Scotia through the Gulf of Mexico. I analyzed these data in three separate regions, and in the two data-rich regions, find compelling separation between the different communities. In the northernmost region, this separation is broadly along diet based partitions. This research provides a baseline for future study of marine mammal systems, and more importantly highlights several gaps in current data collections.
In the last 6 years several movement ecologists have begun to imbue sophisticated statistical analyses with increasing amounts of movement behavior. This has changed the way movement ecologists think about movement data and movement processes. In this dissertation I focus my research on continuing this trend. I reviewed the state of movement modeling and then proposed a new Bayesian movement model that builds on three questions of: behavior; organism-environment interaction; and process-based inference with noisy data.
Application of this model to two different datasets, migrating right whales in the NW Atlantic, and foraging monk seals in the Northwest Hawaiian Islands, provides for the first time estimates of how moving animals make choices about the suitability of patches within their perceptual range. By estimating parameters governing this suitability I provide right whale managers a clear depiction of the gaps in their protection in this vulnerable and understudied migratory corridor. For monk seals I provide a behaviorally based view into how animals in different colonies and age and sex groups move throughout their range. This information is crucial for managers who translocate individuals to new habitat as it provides them a quantitative glimpse of how members of certain groups perceive their landscape.
This model provides critical information about the behaviorally based movement choices animals make. Results can be used to understand the ecology of these patterns, and can be used to help inform conservation actions. Finally this modeling framework provides a way to unite fields of movement ecology and graph theory.
Item Open Access Assessing Fisheries Effort in Two Dynamic Pelagic Ecosystems(2022-04-19) Bering, JanetAs human impacts on the global oceans increase, the effective protection of biodiversity and sustainable management of ocean resources has become increasingly important. Complicating these efforts is the fact that sixty-four percent of the surface area of the ocean is beyond national jurisdiction, but many pelagic ecosystems cross between national and international waters. In recent years, there have been efforts to create integrated, area-based management for these transboundary ecosystems, with the Costa Rica Thermal Dome in the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean and the Sargasso Sea in the North Atlantic emerging as potential candidates. This MP is a part of a larger project which will create an integrated model of ecology and human impacts, an analysis of existing policies and a set of conclusions aimed at informing and improving governance for each ecosystem. As a preliminary part of this larger analysis, this project characterized the spatial extent of commercial fisheries in each region. Fisheries are one of the largest direct impacts on pelagic ecosystems. The project relied on fishing effort data from Global Fishing Watch, which uses a machine learning algorithm to estimate fishing effort based on vessel track activity. Global Fishing Watch provides the data in an aggregated format, providing total fishing hours from each vessel in 0.1-degree cells. Global Fishing Watch also estimates fishing gear type and provides the flag for each vessel. These data were utilized to characterize fishing effort over six years, 2015–2020. Additionally, this analysis examined drivers of the spatial distribution of this effort. Two drivers were examined: jurisdiction and an environmental variable for each region. The fishing effort was categorized as either on the high seas or within national waters. In the Costa Rica Thermal Dome, water temperature at 35 meters depth was utilized as a proxy for the location of the Dome to see if fishing effort was tracking the upwelling area. In the Sargasso Sea, sea surface temperature was utilized as previous studies have found that sea surface temperature was a primary determinant of the spatial distribution of longlining. In both regions, fishing effort varies both seasonally and across years. In the Costa Rica Thermal Dome, three types of fishing were detected, with tuna purse seine fishing and drifting longline making up 99% of detected fishing effort by hour. Purse seine fishing was detected each year and varied seasonally. Drifting longline fishing increased substantially over the six years, with most of the effort conducted by 13 vessels flagged to Taiwan in 2019 and 2020. In the Sargasso Sea, four types of fishing were detected, with drifting longline making up 98% of detected fishing effort by hour. The analysis revealed that it is likely that multiple environmental and political factors drive the distribution of fishing effort in these two regions. In the Dome, the drifting longlining activity overlapped with the upwelling area while the purse seine fishing did not. In the Sargasso Sea, the drifting longlining fleet distribution appeared to be driven both by flag state and sea surface temperature. In both regions, vessels flagged to the coastal state conducted most of the fishing effort detected in its national waters. A notable exception to this is Costa Rica, where no Costa Rican flagged vessels were detected fishing, but vessels from many other states were. Limitations in the dataset, most notably catch data, make broad conclusions challenging. But these data indicate that it is likely that both political and environmental drivers are driving the spatial distribution of fisheries effort. Future research should consider the synergistic impacts of environmental and political factors in the spatial distribution of high seas commercial fishing effort. Additionally, the increase in drifting longline fishing and absence of squid jigging detected in the regions point to a need for proactive, rather than reactive, management.Item Open Access Assessing fishing vessel compliance with area closures on the high seas(2021-04-30) Mullaney, ClaireHigh seas marine ecosystems are facing a variety of threats, including fish stock overexploitation; the destruction of deep-sea habitats by harmful fishing gears; and illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing. To help combat these threats, regional fisheries management organizations (RFMOs) can implement area-based management tools (ABMTs)—methods of spatial regulation, such as closed areas, that address human impacts on marine spaces by restricting certain activities. While ABMTs offer benefits that can help reduce stress on high seas ecosystems, research suggests that they should be coupled with strong monitoring to best provide these benefits. In the past, insufficient technology posed an obstacle to monitoring high seas fishing effort. However, increasingly common automatic identification system (AIS) data, which are broadcast from fishing vessels and communicate vessel identity and location information, provide an ideal mechanism to assess fishing activity in international waters. To understand vessel compliance with ABMTs implemented by RFMOs, I used AIS data from Global Fishing Watch to evaluate fishing effort inside closures on the high seas from 2017 to 2019. Results revealed that 11 of the 14 ABMTs examined likely experienced some level of illegal fishing across all three years, with a total of 13,259.7 hours of fishing effort classified as illegal based on my analysis occurring in 2017, 12,664.3 hours in 2018, and 14,541.1 hours in 2019. These analyses give insight into the success of current RFMO closures and suggest future considerations in the use of ABMTs by regional fishery bodies.Item Open Access Assessing the Accuracy of Logbook Data Using VMS Data in the California Groundfish Fishery(2013-04-10) Thomas-Smyth, AliceI will work with the logbook and VMS data from the 2009 California groundfish fishery to analyze if fishers are correctly reporting their trawl locations. Once the two datasets are matched by vessel ID and trip numbers, simple distance analysis will average the distance between logbook trawl data and their corresponding VMS points. While error is expected, it is likely that the distances measured will be too small to make significant difference in analysis when using the fishing blocks described above. The two most likely sources of error are the transcription of geographic coordinates by fishers in the logbook (due to significant rounding of decimal degrees) and the nature of how the logbook data is recorded. Because the data is two coordinates connected by a straight line segment there will be disparity between the true trawling path (which likely follows bathymetry contours) and the straight depiction of the activity.Item Open Access Assessing the potential of Important Marine Mammal Areas to address connectivity and promote marine mammal conservation(2018-05) Alberini, AmaliaThis study examines and identifies the potential of marine mammal scientific data tools, namely the Important Marine Mammal Areas (IMMAs) and the Migratory Connectivity in the Ocean (MiCO) system, can have in contributing towards advancing current knowledge on marine mammals. This report examines how these tools can significantly improve the synthesis and availability of existing marine mammal data in different ocean regions, using two case studies, the Mediterranean Sea and the Southwest Pacific Ocean. Chapter 1 integrates the migration data stemming from the MiCO system and other available data on the two main migratory species, the sperm and fin whales to develop hypotheses for their migratory patterns in the Mediterranean Sea. The existing data is combined with the IMMAs designed for the two species in the region to identify the migration status and connectivity between these areas. Based on the findings, we propose scientific methodologies to be conducted to better account for the entire life-history of key migratory species. Chapter 2 assesses the potential of IMMAs in strengthening existing scientific knowledge and promoting marine mammal conservation at the national scale using two case studies in Palau, in the Southwest Pacific Ocean. This study represents an initial attempt to examine the potential of establishing an IMMA to foster and advance marine mammal research and to provide the baseline for management decisions for marine mammal conservation in a poor-data region. This is the first study done to explore how the presence of IMMAs in an ocean region where limited data exists can contribute to increasing and complementing science, policy, and management efforts to address existing knowledge gaps on marine mammals. Based on the main gaps identified, general and specific recommendations at all levels are provided to address main threats on marine mammal species. Overall, this study provides evidence for the first time that the MiCO system and IMMA process, if combined and fully integrated, can contribute to a more comprehensive and holist understanding of the dynamic nature of marine mammals and ultimately to the design of area-based management planning for the effective conservation of marine mammal habitats in the oceans.Item Open Access Assessment of Development Threat in Washington County, Virginia(2007-05) Cannon, JohnThe use of development threat as a tool in conservation prioritization is becoming increasingly common. When used as a component of a larger planning methodology that may include factors such as biological integrity, area, and connectivity, degree of threat may help an organization to protect a larger amount of land that it would otherwise have been able to. I develop two models of development: one to predict the threat of development for Washington County, Virginia (based on structures built between ~1960 and 2006) and a second to examine how settlement patterns have changed over time (based on structures built before 1938). Variables that are incorporated into the pre-1938 model include: elevation, slope, Euclidean distance to roads, Euclidean distance to towns, and relative elevation. Logistic regression results in negative coefficients for all of the predictor variables, all of which are significant except for elevation. The strongest predictor variables were slope and relative elevation. The model had high accuracy, with a value of 81.4% obtained for a calibration dataset. Variables included in the ~1960-2006 model include: Euclidean distance to roads, slope, relative elevation, Euclidean distance to fire and rescue stations, and Euclidean distance to schools. Logistic regression results for the 1960-2006 model differ from those reported for pre-1938 settlement. Distance to towns is no longer a significant predictor, elevation is less significant, and relative elevation is positively correlated with development potential (for locations near roads). Negative coefficient values still exist for slope and Euclidean distance to roads, as well as for the new variables Euclidean distance to fire and rescue stations, and Euclidean distance to schools. The accuracy of the model was slightly less than the pre-1938 model of development, but still a decent 76.6%. Overall, these results show a change in development patterns over time, with people becoming less limited by distance to towns and high elevations, and the evidence of a preference for house sites at a high relative elevation near roads.