Browsing by Author "Hench, James"
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Item Open Access ASSESSMENT OF THE EXISTING MPA NETWORK WITHIN THE CORAL TRIANGLE(2013-04-24) Erikson, KristanaThis study identifies the present level of coral and mangrove protection existing in the Coral Triangle, utilizing current data from the Coral Triangle Atlas database and a process called “gap analysis,” which allows for the identification of underrepresented ecosystems and habitats. In addition, two different techniques to evaluate connectivity between existing MPAs were employed. The unparalleled biodiversity of the Coral Triangle region, along with its importance to the people who live there, make it a rich and valuable resource that must be preserved. In response to mounting threats to these resources, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono of Indonesia proposed the Coral Triangle Initiative on Coral Reefs, Fisheries and Food Security (CTI-CFF) in August 2007, calling for a multilateral partnership between the six Coral Triangle (CT6) countries. These six countries subsequently agreed to the Regional Coral Triangle Initiative Plan of Action, which sets five key goals and calls for the development of a region-wide network of marine protected areas (MPAs), to be established and fully functional by 2020. Up to date analysis of the changing levels of protection throughout the Coral Triangle is needed in order to measure progress and enable the CT6 countries to develop strategies to reach their conservation objectives on schedule. The result of the current analysis demonstrates that while the connectivity between the majority of the MPAs in the Coral Triangle is sufficiently proximate to another reserve to facilitate larval exchange, only Timor-Leste has at least 20 percent of its coral reef area within no-take MPAs, and none of the six Coral Triangle countries have met the 20 percent target for mangrove forests. Clearly, the CT6 need to establish vast areas of new MPA networks, if they want to preserve coral and mangroves effectively. Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands, and the Philippines all need to increase the area of MPAs that coincide with the location of coral reef tracts, and each of the six countries need to do so with respect to mangrove forests.Item Open Access Biological and physical interactions on a tropical island coral reef: Transport and retention processes on moorea, French Polynesia(Oceanography, 2013-09-01) Leichter, James; Alldredge, Alice; Bernardi, Giacomo; Brooks, Andrew; Carlson, Craig; Carpenter, Robert; Edmunds, Peter; Fewings, Melanie; Hanson, Katharine; Hench, James; Holbrook, Sally; Nelson, Craig; Schmitt, Russell; Toonen, Robert; Washburn, Libe; Wyatt, AlexThe Moorea Coral Reef Long Term Ecological Research project funded by the US National Science Foundation includes multidisciplinary studies of physical processes driving ecological dynamics across the fringing reef, back reef, and fore reef habitats of Moorea, French Polynesia. A network of oceanographic moorings and a variety of other approaches have been used to investigate the biological and biogeochemical aspects of water transport and retention processes in this system. There is evidence to support the hypothesis that a low-frequency counterclockwise flow around the island is superimposed on the relatively strong alongshore currents on each side of the island. Despite the rapid flow and flushing of the back reef, waters over the reef display chemical and biological characteristics distinct from those offshore. The patterns include higher nutrient and lower dissolved organic carbon concentrations, distinct microbial community compositions among habitats, and reef assemblages of zooplankton that exhibit migration behavior, suggesting multigenerational residence on the reef. Zooplankton consumption by planktivorous fish on the reef reflects both retention of reef-associated taxa and capture by the reef community of resources originating offshore. Coral recruitment and population genetics of reef fishes point to retention of larvae within the system and high recruitment levels from local adult populations. The combined results suggest that a broad suite of physical and biological processes contribute to high retention of externally derived and locally produced organic materials within this island coral reef system. © 2013 by The Oceanography Society. All rights reserved.Item Open Access Coral Decline and Reef Habitat Loss in the Caribbean: Modeling Abiotic Limitations on Coral Populations and Communities(2017) Viehman, T. ShayCoral reef habitats are well-known for biodiversity, yet are declining worldwide due to multiple stressors from local to global scales. Scleractinian corals, as foundation species, contribute to building the three-dimensional reef structure, yet this structure can be degraded through natural or anthropogenic disturbances. Conservation actions such as restoration depend on an understanding of the spatial distributions of potential habitat. In this dissertation, I address how abiotic environmental limitations shape coral species habitat niches and relate to recovery from disturbances. To accomplish this, I first describe local limitations on reef recovery after physical disturbances and then scale up to regional models of environmental niche constraints on coral species and communities.
First, I compare divergent recovery trajectories at two proximal reefs disturbed by ship groundings that created abrupt and clearly delineated areas of altered substrate. Despite similar initial physical disturbances, there were marked differences between the grounding sites with higher coral recruitment and survival on disturbed pavement than rubble bottom, reference reef, or restoration structures. I hypothesized that subsequent episodic disturbances from rubble mobilization could be a mechanism driving divergent recovery patterns. To estimate whether local hydrodynamic conditions were sufficient to mobilize rubble, I used a combination of long-term monitoring, hydrodynamic modeling, and rubble transport mechanics to hindcast the potential for substrate mobility. Long-term model simulations of hydrodynamic forcing at the study sites show multiple events where bottom-orbital velocities exceeded thresholds required to mobilize rubble via sliding or overturning. The data and analyses indicate that the wave energy mobilizes rubble substrate multiple times annually and suggests a physical limitation on survival of coral recruits relative to those on pavement substrate. The combination of multiple hydrodynamic disturbances and unstable substrate limits coral recovery and contributes to prolonged habitat loss.
I next scaled up to a seascape approach to model how environmental limitations on individual species impact the coral community response. I used a joint species distribution modeling approach with new and spatially extensive coral monitoring data from Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Using a multivariate spatial modeling approach, I explained relationships between species and environments and predicted species abundances (and associated uncertainties) into new, unsurveyed geographic areas in the U.S. Caribbean region. Joint model results showed how coral populations and communities are structured by geomorphological and climate factors. Species abundances and sizes showed correlations between species niches relative to depth, slope, wave energy near the seafloor, and thermal stress. Using inverse prediction, I showed how a scenario of increased wave energy or increased temperature ranges may shift habitats for individual species and impact overall species richness.
I then focused specifically on four of the major reef-building coral species that are currently listed as Threatened under the Endangered Species Act: Acropora cervicornis, Orbicella annularis, O. faveolata, and O. franksi. I modeled environmental limitations on species distributions in terms of occurrence, abundance, and size in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. I used Bayesian Generalized Linear Models to predict species occurrence and abundance. I then compared results to the generalized joint attribute models that included abundance and size. Specific model applications were dependent on data availability. All species responded in different ways to environmental predictors, yet all showed environmental limitations from depth, wave energy near the seafloor, and thermal regimes.
In summary, in this dissertation I modeled limitations on coral habitat by abiotic variables and, in particular, wave energy. I applied multiple spatial quantitative approaches from local scales to seascape scales. Information about disturbance frequency and wave energy constraints on habitat recovery are applicable to support habitat restoration efforts. Predicted spatial distributions from community and species modeling approaches will support species-based and site-based restoration, conservation, and management efforts.
Item Open Access Decision rules of blue crab (Callinectes sapidus) movement in wind-driven systems(2015-04-24) Chen, JuliaBlue crabs (Callinectes sapidus) are the most economically valuable fishery in North Carolina, and the commercial harvest is mainly from the Albemarle-Pamlico Estuarine System (APES). Because of small inlets which restrict ocean tidal forcing in addition to large expanses of shallow water, circulation in the APES is primarily wind-driven. While much is known about how crabs move in tidally-dominated systems where movements are based upon selective tidal-stream transport, crab movements in wind-driven systems, and their response to environmental factors, remain poorly understood. This study aims to increase understanding of environmental controls on blue crab movements in order to inform management of crab resources in wind-driven systems. We studied crab movements in Lake Mattamuskeet National Wildlife Refuge, a 40,000-acre shallow, wind-driven system within the APES. During October 2014, free ranging crabs were tracked using radio frequency identification (RFID) tags and an antenna array deployed along the Central Canal connecting the lake to Pamlico Sound. Colocated and simultaneous meteorological and physical oceanographic data were collected to understand environmental drivers that may affect crab movements. Analyses of these data indicate: 1) a significant net export of blue crabs from the lake to the sound; the drivers of that export remain unclear; 2) crab movements coincided with the direction of water flow in the canal, and 3) at small-scales, crabs were able to move against the water flow. These results suggest that there is a fall migration, during which crabs move from the lake to the sound, and at a relatively constant rate that is slower than the mean water flow. If crabs are to move out of the lake at this time it is essential to open water control structures in order to facilitate migration. This is particularly important for the females, who because of their large size may contribute disproportionately large amounts of larvae to the Pamlico Sound broodstock. Crabs in the larger fishery may also move toward higher salinity water if they behave similarly to those studied here.Item Open Access Developing a Climate Action Plan for the Nicholas School of the Environment(2018-04-27) Price, Taylor; Liu, Yige; Lee, Dominic MinhoIt has been nearly 10 years since Duke University's formal commitment to climate action via the creation of the first campus-wide climate action plan, "Growing Green: Becoming a Climate Neutral Campus". As the Duke Office of Sustainability, looks to continue its journey towards carbon neutrality, they are exploring additional avenues to create change. At the same time, the Duke University Marine Lab, based in Beaufort, North Carolina, also has sights set on reducing their campus carbon emission. This study investigates the feasibility of each school creating their own specific Climate Action Plans to supplement the university-wide plan. Furthermore, this study will provide insights into the feasibility of school-specific climate action plans at the university at large as well as provide recommendations for the Nicholas School and the Duke Marine Lab. The results provide an assessment of the greenhouse gas footprint of the Nicholas School and the Duke Marine Lab both long and short recommendations to drive the campus towards carbon neutrality.Item Open Access EVALUATING THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL EXTENT OF INUNDATION DUE TO SEA LEVEL RISE ON LAND, BUILDINGS, AND PEOPLE IN MO’OREA, FRENCH POLYNESIA(2019-04-24) Bensadoun, Raquel; Bubb, IlanDriven by a combination of ice sheet loss, ocean thermal expansion, and changes in land water storage, sea levels are expected to rise, though local rates of change vary considerably. Historically, small island nations have been understudied despite disproportionate impacts relative to their emissions contributions. This paper presents a case study of Mo’orea, a small South Pacific island in French Polynesia. Using LIDAR data collected in 2015 and IPCC regional sea level rise models, we evaluate how local sea level rise will inundate land, buildings, and displace people. LIDAR data was used to create a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) with a 5 m resolution, giving us the ability to resolve the scale of the built environment. The IPCC 4.5 and 8.5 sea level rise models were applied to the DEM at decadal intervals using an 8 point model. If decadal sea level rise was greater than the elevation of that pixel and the pixel boundary touched the ocean or an adjacent inundated pixel, the pixel was classified as inundated. In order to classify buildings as inundated, each building was sampled through the inundation datasets and buildings were classified as inundated if the center of the structure intersected with the inundation layer. Human displacement was modeled using publicly available census data from 2017. The census data was divided into each of the five watersheds of the island: Afareaitu, Haapiti, Papetoai, Paopao, and Teavaro. The average number of people in each watershed was averaged by the number of pixels in the watershed that were classified as residential buildings. Human displacement was calculated by summing of the pixels classified as both residential and inundated in a given decade. By 2100, our models show that 462 ha of land will be inundated by 2100 under RCP 8.5 and 248 ha under RCP 4.5. While this inundation represents less than 4% of the island, the island is mountainous, with the majority of the island having more than 20 m of elevation. In contrast, 95% of all infrastructure is located in areas below 20 m elevation, bordering the coastline. The inundation will mostly be constrained to the northern and eastern portions of the island, and is modeled to inundate homes, public infrastructure, professional buildings, and farmland. Professional buildings include the ferry, airport, and hotels, infrastructure intrinsic to the island’s economy. Of the different building classifications, housing will be the most impacted at over 7% under RCP 4.5 and 20% under RCP 8.5. Energy and water treatment plants will be the least impacted, with no infrastructure in this category projected to be inundated by the end of the century. Under RCP 4.5, nearly 8% of the island’s inhabitants are projected to be displaced while under RCP 8.5 over 20% are projected to be displaced. There are two distinct dominant patterns of inundation that will occur throughout the island: beginning through low lying points and seeping inland to low lying areas not directly on the coast or moving inland from the coast. Understanding where each of these patterns occurs is important when planning for the future. Our results can be used by stakeholders to better plan for future sea level rise and mitigate some of the predicted impacts.Item Open Access Living Shorelines for Coastal Resilience: Developing a Decision Support Framework to Analyze Coral Reef Restoration Sites(2020-04-22) Anderson, KrisCommunities around the world seek coastal resilience solutions, as storms increase in intensity and high tide flooding occurs more frequently. With these changes, demand grows to understand and measure the impacts of ecosystem protection and restoration efforts. While previous studies investigated the role of coral reefs in shoreline protection, few offer a comprehensive approach to inform effective restoration and resilience decisions. This research focuses on developing a decision support framework to analyze coral restoration sites and inform coastal resilience decisions through a matrix comparison approach. The research design assembles a literature review, analytic framework development, and analysis built upon case study sites, coastal resilience data, and an information matrix to communicate results. Application of the framework revealed a lack of consistent data across case study sites and points to focus areas for future research. The methodology of the decision support framework offers a general approach, applicable to a broad range of living shorelines and restoration scenarios.Item Open Access The Dynamics of Wave-Driven Reef Pass Jets and Coral Population Recovery on an Island(2021) Torres, Walter IOcean circulation is integral to reef ecosystem health and resilience; waves and currents replenish nutrients, transport coral and fish larvae between populations, and moderate temperatures. On many reefs, wave-driven or tidal flow through reef passes is the dominant mechanism of exchange with the open ocean. The fate of the jet as it flows onto the forereef slope, however, is understudied. In this study, numerical simulations of wave-driven flow on an idealized coral island with periodically spaced reef passes were conducted and examined across a range of planetary rotation and bottom friction conditions. For higher latitude, lower friction cases, adjacent jets interacted due to the deflection of the jet by planetary rotation and weak attenuation by friction - a previously undescribed phenomenon. The physics of reef pass jet deflection were then examined using a novel reformulation of the barotropic vorticity balance in terms of flow curvature. The resultant curvature gradient equation was used to interpret a series of idealized numerical modeling experiments of a barotropic outflow jet onto a slope in shallow water using a depth-averaged circulation model (ROMS). The trajectory of the jet was explained by the curvature dynamics along its center streamline, with topography, planetary rotation, and bottom friction strongly influencing the course. Articulating the key processes of nearfield jet deflection in terms of curvature distilled the complex 2D phenomenon into a tractable 1D initial value problem, exhibiting predictive skill and clarifying the poorly understood dynamics of a nonlinear feature. A third element of this work examined population dynamics on reefs. Larval flux, as determined by demography and hydrodynamics, is integral to the recovery of a subpopulation after a disturbance, but few studies have connected annual time-scale coral population dynamics to larval recruitment.Here, a model for coral population growth was developed that synthesized metapopulation theory with classical population dynamics. It was validated against a case study of remarkable coral recovery after near extirpation. Model simulations suggest that a combination of steady background larvae source and favorable local growth conditions explain the recovery of coral on this reef, implying that the succeeding coral colonies are likely endogenic.
Item Open Access The interaction between multi-scale topography and flow in shallow-water coral reefs(2020) Duvall, Melissa SueIn shallow water systems like coral reefs, bottom friction is often a significant part of the overall momentum balance. The frictional effects of the bottom on the flow are in part determined by the structure of the topography, which varies over orders of magnitude in spatial scale. Predicting spatial and temporal patterns of water motion depends on adequately capturing the relevant properties of the topography. However, representing and quantifying the complex, heterogeneous structure of coral reefs using measures of roughness or geometry remains a challenge.
Many roughness metrics have been proposed to relate seafloor structure to biological and physical processes. In Chapter 1, we assess the properties captured by one-dimensional roughness metrics previously proposed for the seafloor, as well as metrics developed to characterize other types of rough surfaces. We consider three classes of metrics: properties of the bottom elevation distribution (e.g., standard deviation), length scale ratios (e.g., rugosity), and metrics that describe how topography varies with spatial scale (e.g., Hölder exponents). We evaluate these metrics using idealized topography and natural seafloor topography of a reef lagoon system from airborne lidar measurements. The analyses illustrate that common metrics of bathymetric roughness (e.g., rugosity) can have the same value for topographies that are geometrically very different, thus limiting their utility. Application of the wavelet leaders technique to the reef dataset demonstrates that the topography has a power law scaling behavior, but it is multifractal so a distribution of Hölder exponents is needed to describe its scaling behavior. Using principal component analysis, we identify three dominant modes of topographic variability, or ways metrics covary, among and within reef zones. While individual roughness metrics that capture specific topography properties relevant to a given process may be suitable for some studies, for many applications, adequately parameterizing bathymetric roughness will require a set of metrics.
For reefs where the roughness layer takes up a large fraction of the water column, parameterizations of bottom friction require a representation of three-dimensional canopy geometry. In Chapter 2, we assess the implications of using obstacle- and surface-based representations to estimate geometric properties of coral colonies needed to parameterize drag. We collected high-resolution topography data using a scanning multi-beam sonar that resolved individual coral colonies within a set of 100 m2 reef patches primarily composed of mounding Porites corals. The topography measurements yielded 1-cm resolution gridded surfaces consisting of a single elevation value for each position in a regular horizontal grid. These surfaces were analyzed by (1) defining discrete obstacles and quantifying their properties (dimensions, shapes), and (2) computing properties of the elevation field (rms elevations, rms slopes, spectra). We then computed the roughness density (i.e., frontal area per unit plan area) using both analysis approaches. The obstacle and surface-based estimates of roughness density did not agree, largely because small-scale topographic variations contributed significantly to total frontal area. These results challenge the common conceptualization of shallow-water canopies as obstacle arrays, which may not capture significant contributions of high-wavenumber roughness to total frontal area. In contrast, the full range of roughness length scales present in natural reefs is captured by the continuous surface representation. Parameterizations of drag could potentially be improved by considering the distribution of frontal area across length scales.
Collectively, the results presented in Chapters 1 and 2 show that coral reef topography is both multiscale and multifractal. However, there is a limited understanding of the effects of the structural complexity on water motion around individual and groups of corals. In Chapter 3, we present detailed hydrodynamic measurements from the same shallow reef sites for which we quantified reef geometry (Chapter 2). Using these measurements, we compare spatial and temporal variations in flow patterns across three sites: (1) a high relief site with waves; (2) a low relief site with waves; and (3) a high relief site without waves. Our observations suggest that the flow is likely unidirectional and current dominated over much of the backreef. These measurements also show that flow variations at different frequencies have different spatial patterns. At low frequencies, flow variations follow the spatial pattern of wakes. The lack of coherent structure in wave band variations can be explained by the distribution of orbital excursion length to colony diameter (Keulegan-Carpenter number), which is typically less than 2π, thus wakes do not form behind elements. Variations at high frequencies were up to two times larger in the canopy than upstream. In the future, these observations could be compared to computational models of flow at the sites, which would allow us to better understand mechanisms controlling frequency-dependent spatial patterns, as well as the importance of colony and patch-scale processes for reef and regional scale circulation.
Item Open Access The Marshes Are Moving! Conservation Strategies for Adaptation to Coastal Inundation in the Chesapeake Bay(2012-04-26) Baron, Gregory J.Many coastal areas in the Chesapeake Bay are threatened by accelerated sea level rise, which poses a policy problem for coastal landowners and wetland habitats. A region of the Chesapeake that is predicted to be especially vulnerable to inundation is Dorchester County, Maryland; a low-lying marsh landscape home to the Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge. In spite of these threats, steps can be taken towards active management to mitigate the effects of sea level rise. One strategy exists in conservation of coastal areas via acquisition or easement. By protecting lands behind coastal areas, natural marsh migration can occur to allow coastal integrity to persist. The purpose of this project is to create a database tool that optimizes conservation techniques in the Chesapeake Bay to permit marsh retreat. Using ArcGIS data, Sea Level Rise Affecting Marshes Modeling (SLAMM) data were processed to show predicted marsh migration in 25-year increments. These data, along with data on properties in Dorchester County and a principle component analysis of inundation risk, were inserted into a Microsoft Access database. This database can be utilized by conservation organizations, such as the Conservation Fund, Chesapeake Conservancy and Audubon Society, to optimize easement and acquisition deals to allow natural shoreline retreat to occur. This report provides a description of the tool, and recommends how it should be utilized to efficiently allow for persistence of the Blackwater Refuge and its marshes.