Browsing by Author "Jeuland, Marc Allan"
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Item Open Access A Hard Bargain? A cost-benefit analysis of an improved cookstove program in India(2016-08-01) Pinto, AlishaIn developing countries, access to modern energy for cooking and heating still remains a challenge to raising households out of poverty. About 2.5 billion people depend on solid fuels such as biomass, wood, charcoal and animal dung. The use of solid fuels has negative outcomes for health, the environment and economic development (Universal Energy Access, UNDP). In low income countries, 1.3 million deaths occur due to indoor smoke or air pollution from burning solid fuels in small, confined and unventilated kitchens or homes. In addition, pollutants such as black carbon, methane and ozone, emitted when burning inefficient fuels, are responsible for a fraction of the climate change and air pollution. There are international efforts to promote the use of clean cookstoves in developing countries but limited evidence on the economic benefits of such distribution programs. This study undertook a systematic economic evaluation of a program that distributed subsidized improved cookstoves to rural households in India. The evaluation examined the effect of different levels of subsidies on the net benefits to the household and to society. This paper answers the question, “Ex post, what are the economic benefits to various stakeholders of a program that distributed subsidized improved cookstoves?” In addressing this question, the evaluation used empirical data from India applied to a cost-benefit model to examine how subsidies affect the costs and the benefits of the biomass improved cookstove and the electric improved cookstove to different stakeholders.Item Open Access Analysis of Global Sea Level Rise Impact and Adaptation Risk Assessments(2011-04-28) Ward, MollyGlobal sea levels currently are rising and will continue to rise far into the future. This rise engenders significant risks to life and the environment, as it creates negative physical, economic, and societal impacts across the globe. The precise magnitude of the impacts depends on a diversity of variables, e.g., the amount the sea will rise, the magnitude of storm surges, and the types of adaptation and protection measures in place to mitigate the impacts. If the various geographic regions across the globe are to adequately prepare for the rising sea, it is necessary to conduct risk assessments to determine which specific impacts and the policy options that are necessary to mitigate those impacts. While many regions have conducted analyses and are planning adaptation measures, many have neither thoroughly assessed the impacts nor planned adequately for the risks. Additionally, some regions that have conducted analyses did not rigorously assess the impacts or a diversity of possible policy options. This may be due to lack of sufficient funding to conduct the assessment, lack of knowledge of the severity of the issue, or lack of expertise to conduct a thorough assessment. This paper examines a diversity of risk assessments conducted by regions worldwide. It includes a range of studies that assess regions with different economic capacities, types of terrain, location, and that implement a range of different methodologies. It examines and compares the impacts and policy options included in the analyses, as well as the variable inputs and evaluation criteria that were implemented to conduct the assessments. While some previous studies have analyzed a particular risk assessment methodology for sea level rise or compared adaptation measures, no previous study has been conducted to comparatively weigh the components and results of impact and adaptation risk assessments. Through a comparison of the components and results of a variety of risk analyses, this study provides valuable insights into the diverse impacts and possible policy options that may be selected for inclusion in future sea level rise studies. The goal of this study is to assist regions in tackling the problem of sea level rise by providing a foundation to streamline the process for future assessments. Based on the assessed reports, the results demonstrate that the most commonly analyzed impacts are those to a region’s economy and population. Additionally, the impacts to a region’s infrastructure, particularly transportation infrastructure, and total land surface appear to be of great importance. The variable inputs that appear to be most commonly applied to assess the impacts are storm surge and a range of sea level rise scenarios, as opposed to one specific future sea level rise quantity. The results of a comparison of reports that analyze policy options to sea level rise show that hard adaptation options (e.g., dikes, sea walls, breakwaters) are more commonly assessed than soft adaptation options (e.g., land use change, relocation). Of the hard and soft measure categories, natural barriers and resettle were included in the most reports. Additionally, it appears valuable to include the current protection activities and policies of a region in an assessment. The criteria most utilized for conducting the policy evaluations are the protection cost of a measure and its environmental impacts. While not all reports proposed an exact recommendation that the study area should pursue for mitigating sea level rise impacts, soft options were more frequently recommended at the conclusion of the reports. The majority of the studies were conducted with quantitative methods. However, it is recommended that future assessments also include a qualitative perspective. It may be valuable to discuss the impacts of sea level rise with residents of an area to determine which impacts are considered most important to mitigate and to determine the most appropriate adaptation options to pursue in preparation for mitigating those impacts. There is no correlation between a study region and the quantity of impacts analyzed or depth of the impacts assessed. Additionally, there is no correlation between a study region and the policy options pursued. Lastly, omissions of variables and criteria from the reports are explored. Future impact studies should include location-specific trends in sea level rise, as opposed to assessing the impacts based on the global average future sea level rise prediction. It is also important to incorporate the speed of the rise in a dynamic analysis, as well as any uncertainties in a report’s input variables. Future policy assessments should include a criterion that accounts for the human behavior and response to the sea level rise and the implemented policy measures.Item Open Access Analysis of the Potential for Treated Wastewater Reuse from the MCC Jordan Compact Investment and Implications for the Compact’s Economic Benefits(2016-04-19) Kelpsaite, LinaThe Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is one of the most water scarce countries in the world. To address water shortage the Government of Jordan seeks to increase the use on non-conventional water sources such as reuse of treated wastewater for agricultural irrigation. Millennium Challenge Corporation Compact investment of US$ 275 million, made in water and wastewater sectors in Zarqa Governorate, is projected to improve water supply and collect additional wastewater from domestic uses. This study applied two-step approach to evaluate the economic benefits associated with the reuse of the additionally collected wastewater: 1) the development of water balance model for Jordan Valley, and 2) the economic analysis of impacts to the agricultural sector in Jordan Valley and municipal water users in Amman and Zarqa. The analysis results show that net benefits associated with the investment are significant and potentially contributing to water conservation in Jordan.Item Open Access Analyzing Electricity Use and Its Relationship with Electricity Quality in Rural India(2020-04-20) Dong, ShiyuanRural electrification in India is progressing rapidly, and most households nationwide are now connected to the electricity grid. However, the country's electricity consumption remains low, and poor electricity quality continues to constrain households' electricity use, especially in rural areas of the northern Gangetic plain. Measuring the electricity access by connection rates alone is insufficient, because poor and intermittent electricity quality impacts electricity use. First, this study investigates the quantity and ways in which families use electricity by adopting ESMAP's 2015 Multitier Framework. Then, it considers the relationship between electricity use and multiple dimensions of electricity quality using regressions that relate electrical appliance ownership indicators (as dependent variables) to these quality attributes, controlling for household and community characteristics. Using data from a survey conducted in the summer of 2018 from 500 households in the border region of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, the study finds that nearly all rural households have low levels of electricity use. The evidence of this study also supports the idea that electricity supply quality is a severely limiting factor inhibiting electricity use. These results point to the need for policies that would increase electricity use through enhancements of the power system, such as the transmission and distribution lines.Item Open Access Clean Cookstoves and Health in Samlout, Cambodia(2016) Li, BolunThis paper discusses results from a study of the use of cleaner cooking solutions and general health status of people in rural areas from the Battambang province of Cambodia. Data collection included 372 demographic, health and socio-economic surveys with households living in 6 villages in the Samlout district, general health examinations, and measurements of stove use and household concentrations of PM 2.5. The data reveal that health in this population is a major concern, with a very high prevalence of reported abdominal pain, nausea, chronic cough, chest pains, and fever during examinations. At the household level, we find that clean stove ownership is significantly correlated with the educational status of household head and socio-economic status of a household. Respondents from households with clean stoves appear less likely (though not statistically significantly so) to report household individuals having health problems such as occasional cough, high blood pressure and tuberculosis. Concentrations of PM2.5 are positively correlated with prevalence of occasional cough, high blood pressure and tuberculosis. Based on these results, we advise field testing and evaluation of targeted health interventions in these villages to address the numerous concerns of the local population, including exploring the potential role of clean stoves.
Item Open Access Cooking Fuel “Stacking” Implications for Willingness to Switch to Clean Fuels in Peri-urban Kathmandu Valley, Nepal(2020) Rogers, BridgetCooking fuel “stacking,” or the use of multiple types of fuels, can be problematic in interventions when households are using both clean and dirty fuels at the same time. Dirty fuels such as firewood contribute to indoor air pollution, cause detrimental health effects, and are inefficient forms of energy. In this study, cooking fuel preference data was collected from 360 households in peripheral-urban Kathmandu, Nepal during August 2019. Respondents provided fuel information and gave economic preferences for a contingent valuation experiment on their reported primary fuel type. We explored two aims through multiple regression analyses: the relationship between fuel stacking behavior and willingness to pay (WTP), and the household characteristics associated with fuel stacking behavior. The analyses showed that stacking does not affect WTP, and household expenses are a significant factor associated with WTP only among households using LPG as their primary fuel. The secondary aim found that the main household characteristics associated with fuel stacking are household size, firewood gathering behavior, and if the household was affected by the 2015 LPG blockade. The relationships of these characteristics are complex and depend on whether the household is using more LPG or more firewood when stacking. More research is needed to better understand fuel stacking, and why most people in peri-urban Kathmandu prefer LPG as their primary fuel.
Item Open Access Item Open Access Do Clean Cookstoves Reduce Biomass Fuel Consumption?(2014-04-16) Brooks, NinaDespite widespread global efforts to promote clean cookstoves, surprisingly little is known about whether they actually deliver reduced biomass fuel consumption when used in real-world settings. Using cross-sectional household survey data from Uttar Pradesh (UP) and Uttarakhand (UK) in India, we examine the impact of clean cookstoves on three key outcomes related to solid fuel consumption and stove use with OLS regression, propensity score matching, and the Heckman two-step estimator. Results from the Heckman two-step estimator suggest that using a clean cookstove is associated with daily reductions of 3.9 kg of biomass fuel, 83 fewer minutes cooking on traditional stoves, and 0.5 fewer hours collecting biomass fuels. Our results support the idea that efforts to promote clean stoves among poor rural households in India can lead to reductions in solid fuel use and time spent cooking on traditional stoves, and that any rebound effect towards greater amounts of cooking on multiple stoves, is not sufficient to eliminate these gains.Item Open Access Energy, Economics, and Politics: An Analysis of Decisions to Pursue Large Hydropower Projects in Bhutan and Nepal(2017-11-15) Ridel, RobertLarge hydropower projects are on the rise. Once subject to universal condemnation by environmentalists and largely abandoned by international donors, these projects have been reborn as a critical component of “sustainable development” in the age of climate change. This resurgence of interest in large hydropower projects raises questions for policymakers about whether these projects provide a net benefit to their constituents. While rigorous economic analyses could provide guidance to the policymakers grappling with these questions, the complexity of this endeavor and the politics that almost always enmesh large infrastructure projects mean that decisions to pursue these projects are likely influenced by a different calculus—one that may vary across countries based on their unique history and political dynamics. Nepal and Bhutan, two developing countries that hold tremendous hydropower potential, provide an illustration of how these decisions are being carried out and what is driving them. This paper examines the political discourse surrounding hydropower projects in each country and how the projects fit within their development narrative. It also includes a cost-benefit analysis of two large projects that were recently pushed forward, Punatsangchhu I (or “Puna I”) in Bhutan and Arun III in Nepal. This paper concludes that the overwhelming economic benefit of the hydropower generated by these projects has driven and will continue to drive development in both Bhutan and Nepal, with the potential to bring substantial net benefits to the region. As a result, people who are concerned about the social and environmental costs of projects may be more successful in arguing for stronger safeguards for projects rather than a complete halt in their development. The economic value of clean energy for an area that has not been fully electrified is simply too large for policymakers to ignore. This paper also considers the role of political and international dynamics in development choices and the shadow price of capital, and how these factors could explain why Bhutan has made more progress in hydropower development than Nepal.Item Open Access Evaluating Demand for Water and Sanitation Technologies in Udaipur, India: A Mixed Methods Approach(2015) Shannon, Alexandra KThis paper utilizes a mixed methods approach to evaluate household demand for reduced diarrhea risk through an assessment of willingness to pay (WTP) for water and sanitation technologies in Udaipur, India. Using data from a survey of 900 households, responses to a contingent valuation scenario were analyzed using multivariate logit regression to determine WTP for a water purification device. Furthermore, transcripts from 10 focus groups were analyzed for specific determinants of WTP for a ceramic filter, an open well chlorination tank, and a composting latrine by identifying preferences based on the frequency and type of responses given by group participants. The mean WTP estimated from the logit model was $1.03; this is the monthly WTP amount per person in this sample. The specific determinants for WTP include the randomized price levels, and factors like education level and household socio-economic characteristics. In addition, the qualitative work did not reveal a clear preference by all groups for any one of the three offered technologies, but demonstrated the influence of factors such as perceived health improvement and increased convenience on demand. Understanding what drives demand for these technologies could help implementers in designing more effective behavior change interventions, educational campaigns or social marketing schemes.
Item Open Access Flows of Water and Wildlife in KAZA(2020-04-24) Morris, Jannette; Garcia, Gabriella; Lee, Ga-onThe Okavango Delta is the largest inland delta in the world and is an important region for southern African wildlife and biodiversity, and also a major source of regional tourism. The headwaters of the basin and the majority of its water resources are located upstream in the Angolan highlands, which have historically remained undeveloped. Angola has recently expressed an interest in developing the rivers of the upstream basin to support the economic and health needs of Angola’s growing population. This master’s project focused on trying to predict how new infrastructure development might change surface water distribution throughout the region, and by extension, wildlife movement in this region. We developed a water balance model to show how changes in upstream storage and water diversions would alter flows and flood extent at a key downstream location where the Okavango flattens out and spills into its characteristic and seasonal floodplain. For the wildlife movement, we focused on elephant movement in Bwabwata National Park in Namibia. Our analysis is a first step in helping inform the development and conservation planning in the region.Item Open Access Forest Preferences & Urbanization: Perspective from four Sacred Groves in India’s National Capital Region(2017-04-27) Grace, DavidThe sacred grove, a forest abode of a deity or deities, exists in contemporary myths and landscapes. This study analyzes sacred groves as complex socio-ecological systems and approaches the plight of four extant sacred groves amidst the urbanization in India’s National Capital Region as a collective action problem. Utilizing demographic and ecological variation in Willingness to Pay (WTP) – by revealed and stated preference measures – for visits to sacred forest, non-sacred forest, and worship sites outside of sacred forests, I analyze shifts in demand in this socio-ecological system. This data provides nuance to the hypothesis that Sanskritization – transition from local, folk to global, Hindu deity worship – results in degradation of the sacred grove institution. While increased urban and Sanskritization characteristics correspond with a trade-off of sacred forest for temple preference, these characteristics also correspond with increased perception of non-sacred forests as useful for ecosystem services. These results suggest attention to nonlinear dynamics in collective action settings sensitive to cultural evolution.Item Open Access Impact of Policy Options on Accelerating Clean Cooking Transition in the South-East Asian Region(2022-04-15) Zong, JiahuiAround 2.6 billion people globally still cook using solid fuels and kerosene in open fires and inefficient stoves. These inefficient cooking practices produce high levels of household air pollution, causing health damages. Since women and girls often take primary responsibility for cooking and collecting fuels, they are disproportionately affected by traditional cooking, worsening gender inequality. In addition, cooking without clean stoves and fuels also causes severe environmental harms, in the form of harmful, climate-warming emissions and unsustainable harvesting of wood fuels. This study focuses on South-East Asia Region, where 1.54 billion people lack access to clean cooking fuels and technologies. The analysis utilizes the Benefits of Action to Reduce Household Air Pollution (BAR-HAP) Tool developed by Dr. Marc Jeuland and Dr. Ipsita Das at Duke University for the World Health Organization, to assess the impact of different policy interventions on cooking-related household air pollution and related health issues. This tool quantifies and monetizes the costs of interventions to the health system and households, and the benefits to health, time saved, and reduced climate impact. This Master’s Project focuses on three fiscal policies: stove subsidy, fuel subsidy, and stove financing. Although the calculated amount of benefits differs in each country’s case, and the actual implementation might lead to progress that differs from the model’s projection, a faster transition is more cost-beneficial from overall health, gender equality, and environmental perspectives. Based on the results, stove financing is the most cost-beneficial in Bangladesh, rural Bhutan, India, Indonesia, Myanmar, Nepal, and Sri Lanka, while stove subsidy is the most cost-beneficial in Thailand. Governments in SEAR should also prioritize the rural populations to maximize the return from policy intervention.Item Open Access King Democracy: Do Democratic Nations Mitigate Conflict Over Transboundary Freshwater Resources Better Than Other Nations?(2016-06-27) Abendroth, KathrynThe prospect of water wars and conflict over water are ideas that are frequently dramatized in media and also studied by scholars. It is well-established that bona fide wars are not started over water resources, but conflict over water does exist and is not well understood. One would suppose, as scholars often do, that dyads composed of two democratic nations would be the best at mitigating conflict and promoting cooperation over freshwater resources. General conflict research supports that supposition, as does the argument that democracies must be best at avoiding conflicts over resources because they excel at distributing public goods. This study provides empirical evidence showing how interstate dyads composed of various governance types conflict and cooperate over general water and water quantity issues relative to each other. After evaluating the water conflict mitigating ability of democratic-democratic, democratic-autocratic, and autocratic-autocratic dyads, this study found that democracy-autocracy dyads are less likely to cooperate over general water issues and water quantity issues than the other two dyad types. Nothing certain can be said about how the three dyad types compare to each other in terms of likelihood to conflict over water quantity issues. However, two-autocracy dyads seem to be most likely to cooperate over water quantity issues. These findings support the established belief that democratic-autocratic pairs struggle to cooperate while also encouraging greater scrutiny of the belief that democracies must be best at cooperating over water resources.Item Open Access Mobilizing Domestic Private Capital for Nature-Based Solutions in Emerging Economies(2023-04-18) Olutoke, JideAchieving the Net Zero commitments set by nations requires adequate financing from multiple sources. In developing countries, finance for climate and nature, thus far, has primarily been mobilized from the domestic public sector and international financial institutions. In contrast, contributions from the domestic private sector have been minimal. While equity has been at the core of the argument for mobilizing climate finance primarily from developed countries, the failure to muster a paltry USD 100 billion proves that alternative options must be explored. The domestic private market in many developing countries has the potential to support climate and nature investment, but it remains largely untapped. With the bulk of low-cost Nature Based Solutions (NbS)potential in the global south, investment in NbS provides the rare opportunity to directly impact the lives of low-income communities disproportionately affected by climate change. Mobilizing investment for NbS within the domestic economy has the potential to provide a predictable source of capital for NbS projects, deepen the domestic capital and carbon market, and, more importantly, reduce the country’s reliance on international support anchored on conditionalities.Item Open Access Perceptions of safety and household behaviors to improve drinking water quality in peri-urban Cambodia(2013-04-16) Turrini, GinaHow do perceptions of water quality affect household water-related hygiene and behavior, and can these perceptions be changed by the provision of household-specific water quality information? Despite some recent progress, diarrheal disease continues to be a significant cause of illness and death, particularly among children under five years of age (UNICEF 2012; Liu et al. 2012; Jeuland et al. 2013). It has been argued that close to 90% of the deaths due to diarrhea are preventable and caused by a combination of poor water, hygiene, and sanitation (Prüss-Üstün and Corvalán 2006). The location of this particular study, Cambodia, is one example of a country where trends in coverage and diarrhea disease are favorable, but where challenges persist (WHO 2004; DHS 2010). A wide variety of factors are thought to have contributed to the recent global progress in reducing diarrheal disease, including the expansion of access to improved and piped water and sanitation services (Fink et al. 2011; Jeuland et al. 2013) and low-cost household- and community-level water and sanitation interventions, including hand-washing and hygiene education campaigns, programs to encourage use of latrines rather than open defecation, and the spread of low-cost point-of-use (POU) water treatment products (Waddington et al. 2009). Yet despite increased promotion of low-cost methods for decreasing the risks of diarrhea, demand for and utilization of many such technologies and behavioral changes remains surprisingly modest (Figueroa and Kincaid 2007; Zwane and Kremer 2007; Luby et al. 2008; Pattanayak and Pfaff 2009; Whittington et al. 2012). Several recent studies have considered whether the provision of specific information about a household’s own water quality (rather than general information about health and disease prevention) can influence the demand for higher quality water and health-related behaviors more generally (Hamoudi et al. 2012; Jalan et al. 2008; Madajewicz et al. 2007, Luoto 2009). Collectively, these studies provide some evidence that household behaviors are responsive to such information (Lucas et al. 2011). Still, additional research is needed to better understand the precise mechanisms underlying the impacts of such information. This study aims to contribute to knowledge about the demand for POU treatment in two ways. First, we implement a randomized information intervention combined with elicitation of subjective perceptions of water quality to investigate whether and how the supply of household-specific information affects household perceptions about the safety of their own drinking water. Second, we consider the effect of household perceptions of drinking water safety on a set of behaviors – either through increased purchase and use of a chlorine-based product called Aquatabs that was sold directly to households, or through changes in other preventive water-related behaviors. A random (exogenous) information treatment is required to isolate the effect of perceptions on behavior because perceptions and drinking-water behaviors are likely related to many of the same unobservable factors. A major challenge facing studies of the link between perceptions of drinking water safety and the demand for improved water quality is that many of the same factors influence both perceptions of water quality and households’ water and sanitation preferences, and not all of those factors are observable. Our identification strategy for isolating the effects of perceptions on demand therefore hinges on the provision of an exogenous “shock” to household perceptions of water safety. This shock is implemented via the exogenous (randomized) delivery of household-specific water quality information to a sub-sample of survey households. To better assess the degree to which perceptions of water safety drive demand for such preventive behaviors, we use a two-stage least-squares model. The first stage equation allows a test of the hypothesis that the supply of household-specific water quality information shifts perceptions of water safety, while the second looks at how changes in perceptions relate to the household behaviors of interest. Though the study was originally conceived to test the demand for Aquatabs, a chlorine-based disinfectant, we do consider outcome variables that correspond to a much wider set of preventive water-related behaviors. Specifically, we assess the degree to which households shift their water sourcing, handling and storage of drinking water, as well as overall water treatment, as a result of the information and/or their perceptions of water safety. Data for this project comes from three waves of panel data from 915 households in peri-urban Cambodia. The first wave was conducted in 2011 while the second and third took place in 2012. During the second visit, all households had their drinking water tested for e.coli contamination. A randomly selected half of the households were given the results of this water test before being asked about their perceptions of the safety of their water. All households were given the opportunity to purchase a chlorine-based water treatment product called Aquatabs. Six weeks later, in the third visit, all households were revisited. In this final survey, many of the same questions were asked once more, in addition to questions about whether they used their chlorine tablets and if they changed any of their water-related behaviors. We first assessed the effect of water quality information on perceptions of water safety, finding that evidence of contamination significantly decreased perceptions of water safety, whereas the opposite result tended to increase these perceptions, at least among literate households. Still, the explanatory power of the model estimating perceptions was relatively modest. We then used the exogenous information shock as an instrument for estimating the influence of such perceptions on demand for a chlorine-based water treatment product and a variety of other water-related preventive behaviors. We found that households with better perceptions of the safety of their water bought fewer Aquatabs and were less likely to engage in behaviors to make their water safe, such as overall water treatment or collection of water from higher quality sources. On the other hand, households with worse perceptions of their water safety were more likely to engage in a variety of these behaviors. Taken together, these results suggest that perceptions play an important role in the demand for water treatment products and in the willingness of households to engage in time-consuming and costly behaviors to ensure that their water is safe. These results lend additional credibility to previous findings in the literature that giving households tailored and salient information on water quality does affect short-term preventive behaviors that have been shown to deliver health benefits (Jalan and Somanathan 2008; Hamoudi et al. 2012).Item Open Access The effect of water quality on demand for safe drinking water in rural and peri-urban Cambodia(2012-04-20)Executive Summary Policy Question How does perceived drinking water quality affect household willingness to pay (WTP) for clean water in rural Cambodia? Background Inadequate access to improved water and sanitation in the developing world continues to be a major public health and development challenge. UNICEF estimates that nearly 2 million child deaths are attributable to diarrhea (UNICEF, 2008). The excessive burden of diarrhea-related morbidity and mortality is partly attributable to inadequate access to safe drinking water. Poor access to high-quality and convenient water sources may partly be a problem of low demand (Whittington et al., 2009). In fact, there is relatively limited evidence in the literature on demand for water and sanitation services. In this paper, we consider the demand for improved water quality only (rather than changes in both quality and convenience) in two communities in Kandal province, Cambodia. Importantly, many households in these communities already have access to convenient sources of water, either in the form of private connections to piped water networks, or via rainwater harvesting and storage where they live. These sources, however, are of variable quality, and water treatment, both at the system or household-level, is inconsistent. We hypothesize that household WTP for improved water quality depends in part on individual perceptions of the safety of existing drinking water sources. Investigating the relationship between perceptions of and demand for water quality is important for two reasons. First, households may not accurately perceive the risks associated with their existing water, which would suggest the need for education on such risks, or the provision of information related to their water quality. Second, promoters of improved access to water supply need to understand what features of such services are most important to households to achieve better targeting to consumer preferences. Understanding what role perceptions play as a determinant of WTP for improved water quality will allow for targeted interventions to affect demand for safe water. Methodology The contingent valuation methodology (CVM) is a commonly used way to measure demand for goods or services where markets are incomplete, imperfect, or inexistent (Dutta et al. 2005). Since markets for private water services tend to be imperfect, the CVM can be useful for capturing more accurate household demand values for improved water supply. A number of CVM studies have been conducted in the developing world to measure the WTP for water services and treatment options. In addition, most CVM studies focusing on the water sector in developing countries have attempted to measure consumer WTP for improved water supply rather than improved water quality. Studies that have measured WTP for improved water quality in developing countries have not attempted to measure household perceptions of existing sources as a determinant of WTP for clean water. Research in the United States that has included perceptions in WTP estimates concludes that as the perception of water quality increases, WTP for improvements in drinking water decreases. It seems probable that many of the same unobserved characteristics that influence WTP may also affect subjective quality perceptions (Whitehead 2006). Therefore, past studies that have attempted to include perceptions as an indicator of WTP for quality improvements may have had a biased coefficient on the quality perception variable in the WTP regression, because of the correlation in the error terms in the WTP and quality perception models. In this paper, I estimate WTP for improved water quality using a basic logit model, investigating the effects of perceptions of water quality and actual water quality as covariates. I also employ a two-stage least squares model (2SLS) to address the potential endogeneity of perceptions in predicting WTP for improved water quality. I utilize the coefficients from these models to estimate the mean WTP for improved water quality. Data The data for this study come from a household survey of 915 households in two communities in Kandal province, Cambodia. The survey included questions on household demographics, diarrhea incidence, water storage, handling, and treatment practices, water quality perceptions, and WTP for improved water quality. Water samples were collected for all households with piped connections and tested in laboratory settings. Perceptions of water quality were measured on a scale of 1-10 using subjective probability games. Respondents were asked both about perceptions of source water quality and water quality after in-house handling, storage, and treatment. Respondents also participated in a WTP scenario in which they tasted three samples of treated water and were offered a binary price choice for 200 liters of their favorite sample. Results Simple correlation tests showed that there is little correlation between actual water quality and perceptions of water quality. Households were generally very confident that their in-house water was 100% safe to drink. Results from the WTP scenario illustrate a downward shaping demand curve for improvements to improved water quality. Estimates from the basic logit model do not show that perceptions of water quality are statistically significant in affecting WTP for improved water quality. Under certain specifications of the basic model, actual water quality is statistically significant in affecting WTP for improved water quality. However, the marginal probabilities associated with actual water quality in these models are very small. Estimates from the 2SLS model show that perceptions of both source and in-house water quality are negative and statistically significant in affecting WTP for clean water. Both of these perception measures have very large marginal probabilities. This result implies that as households believe that their water quality is better, the likelihood of rejecting the price offer for improved water quality decreases significantly. From the regression output, I estimate mean household WTP for improved water quality of approximately $2.50 per month for households in this sample. I also find that beliefs that existing levels of water quality are high have a significantly negative impact on WTP for improved water quality. Households that believe their in-house water quality is perfectly unsafe are willing to pay approximately $1.50 more per month than households that believe their in-house water quality is perfectly safe. Discussion The data gathered concerning perceptions about water quality and WTP in this study may be used to inform the design of future interventions in similar sites that have already made partial investments to improve access to water supplies. While there was not a very large sample size of actual water quality, the data suggests low correlation between perceived and actual water quality. The 2SLS models provide evidence that perceptions of water quality are greatly influencing demand, while the basic models imply that actual water quality does not have a large effect on demand. Since perceptions of in-house water quality in particular seemed to be overstated, one way to increase demand for improved water quality may be through educational campaigns to help align perceptions with actual water quality.Item Open Access Three Essays in Environmental and Land Economics(2022) Morgan, SethWhat farmers do matters. Even as the world’s population is increasingly urbanized, almost a billion people make their living in agriculture (World Bank, 2018) and 5 billion acres (38%) of the world’s land area is farmland (FAO, 2020). Moreover, agriculture accounts for a significant portion of global deforestation, forest fragmentation, and habitat loss (Defries, Rudel, Uriarte, & Hansen, 2010; Rudel, Defries, Asner, & Laurance, 2009), while consuming 70% of global freshwater and contributing substantially to water pollution (FAO, 2011). The sheer size of the land mass managed by smallholders means that interventions intended to improve environmental quality, sequester carbon, or foster economic development must reckon with the preferences and responses of rural landholders if they hope to meet their goals. Development economics is home to a rich literature modeling the actions and reactions of farmers, motivated by a desire to boost agricultural productivity and reduce rural poverty rates. Environmental economists have also contributed to an understanding of rural preferences and incentives as conservationists have increasingly seen the value of enlisting private land to increase wildlife habitat, sequester carbon, and provide ecosystem services. This dissertation examines farmer’s incentives, preferences, and interactions in relation to three policies in three different settings, with an eye to improving program design for agro-environmental policy in rural developing countries. Chapter 1 examines a change in water quality due to the expansion of a water treatment facility upstream of the Jordan Valley—the country of Jordan’s major agricultural region. I examine the substitutability of recycled water for freshwater, examining farmers’ water use and production using a model of agricultural production and exploiting the quasi-experiment to see how water use changes in the affected area. While I find no evidence that farm production was significantly impacted by the change—good news for urban water consumers whose water supply was increased by this substitution of recycled water in the agricultural sector—I do find that elements of water governance could improve the acceptability of the policy change from the farmers’ perspective. Chapter 2 examines farmer interactions when faced with a Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) program in Central India. Specifically, it asks if program targeting should change if farmers’ acceptance of the program depends’ on their neighbors’ actions. Using the results of a choice experiment, I simulate private interactions of farmers’ across the landscape surrounding Pench national park, and place zones in priority order by total welfare both with and without private interactions. Consideration of private interactions changes both the priority order of the zones and the number of zones which pass a cost/benefit analysis. Chapter 3 asks the question, does land tenure registration cause, or prevent deforestation? Utilizing the implementation of a land registry called a DUAT in norther Mozambique, I observe land parcels before and after registration and estimate the effect on tree cover loss as measured by the Hansen et al. forest cover loss dataset (Hansen et al., 2013). I also show the results of a tree crown detection algorithm intended to estimate the presence of individual trees in agricultural mosaic landscapes. Findings indicate a modest increase in tree cover loss on parcels that are registered communally, whereas there is a modest decrease for parcels registered to individuals. The impact of DUAT registration also varies by pre-existing tree cover and population. These findings recommend caution regarding the possible environmental benefits of land registration and tenure reform, highlighting heterogeneity by both tenure type and pre-existing land cover.
Item Open Access Three Essays on Energy and Development Economics(2019) Usmani, FarazGlobal energy-use patterns are characterized by deep inequality. Electricity is indispensable for households, clinics, schools and firms, yet over a billion people live without it. At the same time, nearly three billion rely on traditional stoves and polluting biomass fuels (such as firewood) for their basic energy needs. The resulting household air pollution causes four million deaths annually, a health burden borne disproportionately by women. The international community has hastened to respond to this global energy challenge. This dissertation highlights how—and under what conditions—policies that seek to ensure universal access to modern energy deliver expected environmental and development benefits.
In the first chapter, I ask what drives heterogeneity in the impacts of large-scale rural electrification. Prior evidence on the labor-market impacts of grid electrification is mixed. I hypothesize that variation in local economic conditions—which can complement investments in infrastructure—may help explain why, and combine two natural experiments in India within a regression discontinuity design to test this hypothesis. Most of the world's guar, a crop that yields a potent thickening agent used during hydraulic fracturing ("fracking"), is grown in northwestern India. The rapid rise of fracking in the United States induced a parallel commodity boom in Indian guar production, resulting in a large positive shock to rural economic activity. Leveraging population-based discontinuities in the contemporaneous roll-out of India's massive rural electrification scheme, I show that access to electricity significantly increased non-agricultural employment in villages located in India's booming guar belt. Where these complementary economic conditions were lacking, electrification had almost no discernible impact. Using a firm-level panel dataset, I then provide suggestive evidence that this growth in non-farm work is partly driven by the rise of electricity-intensive firms that complement agricultural production. In line with the prior literature, I show that electrification alone may not be sufficient to deliver economic benefits, but I also demonstrate that, when combined with complementary economic conditions on the ground, access to electricity can enable individuals, households and firms to take advantage of new opportunities in potentially welfare-enhancing ways.
In the second chapter, I turn to household-level energy use and empirically evaluate the role played by non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in delivering environmental, energy and development interventions in remote, rural settings. I develop a model of household decision-making to evaluate how NGOs address implementation-related challenges and influence intervention effectiveness. To test the model's predictions, I apply quasi-experimental methods to household-survey data from a randomized controlled trial designed to promote clean-cooking solutions in rural India. I uncover a large, positive and statistically significant "NGO effect": prior engagement with the implementing NGO increases the effectiveness of the intervention by at least thirty percent. These findings provide some of the first causal evidence on how NGOs directly influence outcomes, which has implications for the generalizability of experimental research conducted jointly with such local partners. In particular, attempts to scale up findings from such work may prove less successful than anticipated if the role of NGOs is insufficiently understood. Alternatively, policymakers looking to scale up could achieve greater success by fostering partnerships with trusted local institutions.
In the final chapter, I consider how heterogeneity in households' preferences influences demand for energy technologies. I conduct technology-promotion campaigns followed by second-price, sealed-bid ("Vickrey") auctions for two cleaner cooking technologies with over 1,000 households across seventy communities in rural Senegal. I induce exogenous variation in the extent to which these promotion activities cater to heterogeneous preferences by randomly assigning a subset of communities to an auction arm in which both devices are promoted jointly. Consistent with a model in which preferences are constructed—and not simply revealed—as agents make repeated choices, joint promotion lowers willingness to pay for the relatively less familiar alternative compared to settings in which the two devices are promoted exclusively. Rather than simply providing additional choices, implementers looking to enhance uptake of improved technologies must instead devise approaches to help potential end-users think carefully through trade-offs, crystallize and understand their own preferences, and identify solutions that fit their needs.
Item Open Access Understanding Patterns and Impacts of Electricity Quality and Access in Northern India(2019-04-26) Keppler, Michael; Lutken, Thomas; Wang, SuminIndians have suffered from rolling outages and blackouts even as millions of citizens have gained access to electricity in recent years, which has led to concerns about electricity quality and its impacts. We conducted an in-person survey of 500 rural households in 40 communities in northern India. We used the World Bank Multi-Tier Framework and Principal Components Analysis to generate indexes of electricity quality, and ran multiple linear regressions to examine the correlations of these measures with socioeconomic indicators. We find that electricity quality varies strongly across zones served by different distribution companies, but is less closely related to the national electrification program Saubhagya. Electricity quality is also positively correlated with legal and older connections that tend to have more safety features, but unexpectedly, not positively correlated with household wealth. We find that access to electricity is strongly correlated with better standard of living, as measured by household consumption, and that better electricity quality is strongly correlated with decreased household fuel consumption.