Browsing by Author "Johnston, David W"
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Item Open Access A Framework for Integrating Unoccupied Aircraft Systems Technology into Environmental Readiness at Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific(2021-04-30) Shield, JennieThe Department of Defense is the third largest federal land managing agency in the United States; using approximately 30 million acres, and marine environments, to train and test. The Navy’s ability to adequately train and test is the cornerstone of mission readiness. Therefore, the Navy must sustainably manage its lands, waters, and other natural resources to ensure mission readiness. The Environmental Readiness branch at Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific performs a myriad of compliance and monitoring tasks in support of the Navy’s dual commitment to mission readiness and to environmental stewardship. This project provides a framework for the Environmental Readiness team to integrate Unoccupied Aircraft Systems (UAS) technology into compliance and monitoring efforts by examining four tasks: 1) rocky intertidal baseline mapping 2) plant cover classification 3) eel grass habitat mapping, and 4) wildlife detection. This basic framework serves as a foundation for future exploration and evaluation of UAS applications for Environmental Readiness tasking.Item Open Access A Predictive Thermal Habitat Model for Harbor Seals in the Northwest Atlantic(2016-08-23) Stockton-Tekeste, SarahWe analyzed projections of current and future ambient temperatures along the eastern United States in relationship to the thermal tolerance of harbor seals in air. Using the earth systems model (HadGEM2-ES) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5, which are indicative of two different atmospheric CO2 concentrations, we were able to examine possible shifts in distribution based on three metrics: current preferences, the thermal limit of juveniles, and the thermal limits of adults. Our analysis focused on average ambient temperatures because harbor seals are least effective at regulating their body temperature in air, making them most susceptible to rising air temperatures in the coming years. Our study focused on the months of May, June, and August from 2041-2060 (2050) and 2061-2080 (2070) as these are the historic months in which harbor seals are known to annually come ashore to pup, breed, and molt. May, June, and August are also some of the warmest months of the year. We found that breeding colonies along the eastern United States will be limited by the thermal tolerance of juvenile harbor seals in air, while their foraging range will extend as far south as the thermal tolerance of adult harbor seals in air. Our analysis revealed that in 2070, harbor seal pups should be absent from the United States coastline nearing the end of the summer due to exceptionally high air temperatures.Item Open Access A ridge-to-reef framework to protect Guam's water quality and coral reef ecosystem(2023-04-25) Castro, FrancesWatershed pollution and fisheries exploitation are the priority, chronic stressors that impact Guam’s coral reefs. Yet, quantifying the relative contribution of individual stressors to any particular reef is difficult due to natural variations in biological assemblages across island scales and uncertain site-specific disturbance histories. A study of 26 sites in southern Guam watersheds shows the effects of pollution on coral reef and fish assemblages. Community, government, and legislative action need to take place to improve Guam’s water quality standards.Item Open Access Achieving greater impact at the North Carolina Coastal Federation through Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)(2017-04-28) McLaurin, SidneyEnvironmental NGOs have a significant opportunity to enhance their work by leveraging drone technology. Identifying specific areas where programming and advocacy can be significantly improved by using enhanced imagery, monitoring and data collection is the first step toward integrating drone use. NGOs that choose to embark on drone-based projects can make the most effective use of time and resources by implementing the program in the most effective way possible. The paper establishes a three-step action plan that will help environmental NGOs move toward implementing drone use. The three steps are as follows: (1) execute a pilot project, (2) establish foundation for program decision-making, (3) create a program plan. To establish the most appropriate structure to be utilized in the planning phase for the NCCF, I utilized a strategic framework, based on the classic “Build, Borrow, Buy” framework, and a customized cost model.Item Open Access Advancing Drone Methods for Pinniped Ecology and Management(2022) Larsen, Gregory DavidPinniped species undergo a life history, unique among marine mammals, that includes discrete periods of occupancy on land or ice within a predominantly marine existence. This makes many pinniped species valuable sentinels of marine ecosystem health and models of marine mammal physiology and behavior. Pinniped research has often progressed hand-in-hand with advances at the technological frontiers of wildlife biology, and drones represent a leap forward in the long-established field of aerial photography, heralding opportunities for data collection and integration at new scales of biological importance. The following chapters employ and evaluate recent and emerging methods of wildlife surveillance that are uniquely enabled and facilitated by drone methods, in applied research and management campaigns with near-polar pinniped species. These methods represent advancements in abundance estimation and distribution modeling of pinniped populations that are dynamically shifting amid climate change, fishing pressure, and recovery from historical depletion.Conventional methods of counting animals from aerial imagery—typically visual interpretation by human analysts—can be time-consuming and limits the practical use of this data type. Deep learning methods of computer vision can ease this burden when applied to drone imagery, but are not yet characterized for practical and generalized use. To this end, I used a common implementation of deep learning for object detection in imagery to train and test models on a variety of datasets describing breeding populations of gray seals (Halichoerus grypus) in the northwest Atlantic Ocean (Chapter 2). I compare standardized performance metrics of models trained and tested on different combinations of datasets, demonstrating that model performance varies depending on both training and testing data choices. We find that models require careful validation to estimate error rates, and that they can be effectively deployed to aid, but not replace, conventional human visual interpretation of novel datasets for gray seal detection, location, age-classification and abundance estimation. Spatial analysis and species distribution modeling can use fine-scale drone-derived data to describe local species–habitat relationships at the scale of individual animals. I applied structure-from-motion methods to a survey of three pinniped species, pacific harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardii), northern fur seals (Callorhinus ursinus), and Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), in adjacent non-breeding haul-outs to compare occupancy and habitat selection (Chapter 3). I describe and compare fitted occupancy models of pacific harbor seals and northern fur seals, finding that conspecific attraction is a key driver of habitat selection for each species, and that each species exhibits distinct topographic preferences. These findings illustrate both opportunities and limitations of spatial analysis at the scale of individual pinnipeds. Ease of deployment and rapid data collection make drones a powerful tool for monitoring populations of interest over time, while animal locations, revealed in high-resolution imagery, and contextual habitat products can reveal spatial relationships that persist beyond local contexts. I designed and carried out a campaign of drone surveillance over coastal habitats near Palmer Station, Antarctica, in the austral summer of 2020 to assess the seasonal abundance and habitat use of Antarctic fur seals (Arctocephalus gazella) in the Palmer Archipelago and adjacent regions (Chapter 4). I modeled abundance as a function of date, with and without additional terms to capture variance by site, and used these models to estimate peak abundance near Palmer Station in the 2020 summer season. These findings leverage the spatial and temporal advantages of drone methods to estimate species phenology, distribution and abundance. Together, these chapters describe emerging applications of drone technology that can advance pinniped research and management into new scales of analytical efficiency and ecological interpretation. These studies describe methods that have been proven in concept, but not yet standardized for practical deployment, and their findings reveal new ecological insights, opportunities for methodological advancement, and current limitations of drone methods for the study of pinnipeds in high-latitude environments.
Item Open Access Author Correction: Quantifying Nearshore Sea Turtle Densities: Applications of Unmanned Aerial Systems for Population Assessments.(Scientific reports, 2018-04-19) Sykora-Bodie, Seth T; Bezy, Vanessa; Johnston, David W; Newton, Everette; Lohmann, Kenneth JA correction to this article has been published and is linked from the HTML and PDF versions of this paper. The error has been fixed in the paper.Item Open Access Being Whale Wise: The Effectiveness of Whale Watching Guidelines in Johnstone Strait, British Columbia(2010-04-24T01:29:50Z) Walker, RobynJohnstone Strait, British Columbia, Canada is home to several groups of northern resident killer whales (Orcinus orca), which also makes it a prime tourist destination for whale watching. Boat traffic through the strait averages at least 13 vessels an hour, consisting of both private and commercial vessels. Currently, a set of voluntary marine mammal viewing guidelines is in place to help regulate the behavior of these vessels near the whales, however it is unclear how effective these guidelines actually are in promoting responsible wildlife viewing in Johnstone Strait. This study was undertaken to determine the effectiveness of this voluntary code, and was conducted using both land-based and boat-based observations. For twelve days during July and August 2009, observations were conducted from a cliff-top vantage point tracking vessel traffic, whale presence and activity, vessel interactions with whales, and incidents in which the guidelines were not adhered to. Additionally, data from Straitwatch, a marine monitoring and stewardship program in Johnstone Strait, were used to supplement the land-based observations. Straitwatch collected similar data from their outreach vessels, during July, August and September from 2007 to 2009. From this data, it was found that the number of incidents between vessels and whales did not show any sign of decrease, and adherence to the voluntary guidelines is still relatively low. This study serves to examine the effectiveness of the voluntary program, and recommendations are made on how to increase education and awareness of these guidelines.Item Open Access D.R.O.N.E.S.: Designing Real-World Outcomes for North Carolina Education in STEM(2019-04-22) Rienks, Keni D.There is a recent impetus for curriculum that enhances skills in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) in the K-12 school system. Analysis of STEM curriculum in the US has noted gaps in national test scores compared to other developed countries and has stressed the importance of STEM education on the economic future of the US. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (commonly known as drones) can be an effective tool in the integration of STEM-related class activities. Lessons designed with drones can provide an exciting and hands-on environment for students to gain practical experience in solving real-world problems. This paper examines current use of drones in K-12 classrooms as aligned with current state and national standards, and it provides insight on successes and disparities on the execution of an introductory course on drones. The lesson provided can serve as a framework for the development of drone curriculum in STEM classrooms that align with North Carolina and Next Generation Science Standards.Item Open Access Determining a historic baseline of anthropogenic noise in spinner dolphin resting bays along the Kona Coast of Hawaii(2014-04-20) Stanton, SeanOn March 11th, 2011, the 9.03 magnitude Tohoku earthquake struck off the coast of Japan and caused a tsunami event that crossed the Pacific. Using this event opportunistically to assess how it altered anthropogenic ambient noise in the waters of four bays of Hawaii (Kauhako, Honaunau, Kealakekua and Makako Bays), valuation of what the currently unmeasured baseline noise levels were prior to human existence or influences was attempted. Though a baseline has not yet been found, the results presented will assist in furthering our understanding of oceanic soundscapes and can aide in future soundscape models and research. Once found, the historic baseline will provide information that will help in referencing acceptable levels of anthropogenic noises in future policy-making decisions in Hawaii and elsewhere. Data was recorded on bottom-mounted archival hydrophones for years 2011-2013 in all four bays at 4-minute intervals with 30-second durations. A two-week window (March 4-18th) was completely analyzed for the years 2011 and 2012 (2012 being the control) in efforts to find an associated drop in noise level around the tsunami event. Values for typical bay sounds were found by averaging a one year span of data (January 8, 2011-January7, 2012) for 4 different categories: whales present, dolphins present, both present, and neither present (presence determined through acoustic data interpretation) in all 4 bays. Had a significant drop in noise level been found within the 2011 two-week time period, a comparison between it and the typical noise level under that biological category and bay could have illustrated how humans are currently influencing the oceanic soundscape in the area of study.Item Open Access Drones and Machine Learning for Marine Animal Behavior Analysis(2023-04-28) Poling, DavidUnderstanding the behavior of marine animals is critical to effective management especially as they fall under increasing anthropogenic pressures. Recent advances in two technologies, drones and machine learning offer versatile, data driven, automatable solutions capable of effective collection and analysis of large datasets. In this paper I illustrate how pose estimation as an effective machine learning based solution for analyzing marine animal behavior. This study investigates pose estimations use on drone imagery due to its rising prevalence in marine science and prior combination with pose estimation in our lab. As initial work at our lab has investigated the use of pose estimation on marine mammal datasets and my goal is to expand on these efforts and build an overview of both technologies integration for researchers interested working with them. In the present study I use a collection of shark video taken by myself and other Duke researchers locally off the Rachel Carson Reserve on the North Carolina coast as demonstration and to help build a catalog of models and best practices for use of pose estimation on different taxa. This paper will provide an overview of drones and pose estimation including Social LEAP Estimates Animal Poses (SLEAP), a pose estimation framework which has proven to have good potential in marine science. SLEAP was chosen due to its accessibility, versatility and tracking algorithm which allows multiple subjects to be tracked and analyzed at the same time. The latter is a major steppingstone for pose estimation software as past projects may have been able to identify multiple individuals in one frame but not be able to keep track of who is who across thousands of frames of video. Covered topics will include: 1. Technical overview of drones and pose estimation. 2. Data collection 3. Using pose estimation a. Model types and programming 4. Data export and processing 5. Analysis 6. Conclusions on using pose estimation in marine science and future work. After data export, a novel solution will also be assessed for compensating for camera movement, in this case a moving drone, which has proven to be one of the biggest roadblocks of using SLEAP, which was developed for processing stationary video. This solution processes data in a way that is plug and play with existing analytical methods and will be open source.Item Open Access Enhancement of Louisiana Marine Mammal Stranding Response Through UAS(2024-04-25) Fallon, JohnThe Louisiana Marine Mammal Stranding Network responds to live and dead marine mammal reports across the state. Response in Louisiana is unique when compared to other stranding networks in the Gulf, as the coastline is a mix of marsh, barrier islands, and beaches spread out over 7,721 miles, making monitoring difficult and resource intense. Stranding network participants are looking for new methods to enhance network performance, including incorporation of unoccupied aircraft systems (UAS). This project assesses the potential of UAS in the Louisiana Marine Mammal Stranding Network through the review of common stranding activities and how they may benefit from the technology. Assessment was informed by research on UAS regulations and policy, UAS equipment, and stranding network operations. Final analysis demonstrates that UAS can provide a benefit to certain aspects of stranding response, but regulations limit UAS from reaching its full potential in supporting network activities.Item Open Access Fine-Scale Foraging Behavior of Humpback Whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) in Southeast Alaska(2017) Burrows, Julia A.Humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) are one of the biggest animals on the planet and thus require large quantities of dense prey to meet their energetic requirements. They feed using discrete lunges and filtration to capture their euphausiid (krill) and schooling fish prey. They forage independently, in small groups, or in larger coordinated groups of up to 15 or more individuals. This dissertation aims to improve our understanding of the fine-scale foraging behavior of humpback whales in Southeast Alaska. High-resolution biologging tags (DTAGs) were deployed and focal follows were conducted on foraging humpback whales in Sitka Sound, Alaska in September 2012 and Tenakee Inlet, Alaska in April 2013. Concurrently, prey around tagged foraging whales was sampled using a Simrad EK 60 scientific echosounder, and acoustic data were ground-truthed with net tows for krill and hook and line samples for fish. Whale and prey data were then spatially and temporally integrated to determine characteristics of prey patches upon which whales fed. Results indicate that humpbacks targeted the densest layer of krill in Sitka Sound, maximizing their energetic gain by capturing the most prey with each lunge. When foraging together in groups, bubble-net feeding humpback whales repeated specific behaviors within a foraging bout, suggesting that whales were feeding cooperatively using role specialization and a division of labor to improve foraging efficiency. Finally, the group size of humpbacks increased throughout a week-long study as whales exploited a pre-spawning Pacific herring (Clupea pallasii) aggregation in Tenakee Inlet, which responded to the increased predation pressure with changes in school behavior. As the population of North Pacific humpback whales increases and global warming continues to affect marine ecosystems, a better understanding of predator-prey interactions is crucial to best conserve and manage humpback whales and their ecosystem as a whole.
Item Open Access From Norris to Now: A comparison of historic and present-day management and research on spinner dolphins (Stenella longirostris) around the Island of Hawai‘i(2011-04-27) Heenehan, HeatherThe spinner dolphins (Stenella longirostris longirostris) of the Island of Hawai‘i use shallow, protected, warm and easily accessible bays during the day to rest and thus are targeted for swim-with dolphin programs. Since these interactions occur when the dolphins should be resting there is growing concern about the potential effects of these interactions and whether management interventions are required. Dr. Kenneth Norris was a pioneer marine mammal researcher and studied these spinner dolphins until the mid 1990’s. Using Kenneth Norris’ work as a historical baseline, I examined several key aspects of the spinner dolphin biology, research and management and how each has developed or changed since Norris and his colleagues originally studied the population. This project is presented as a set of web articles on the Spinner Dolphin Acoustics, Population Parameters and Human Impacts Research (SAPPHIRE) Project website.Item Open Access Genetic Analysis of Stranded and By-Caught Harp Seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus) in the Northwest Atlantic(2011-04-28) Kiester, BrianneWe are currently witnessing significant climate changes in high latitude ecosystems including many areas of the Arctic. Many high latitude species, like harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus), will be affected and their populations forced to adapt to changing habitats. The overall fitness and genetic diversity of the population will affect how quickly a population can adapt. This study used microsatellite markers to determine and compare heterozygosity and fitness between stranded and by-caught harp seals along the east coast of the United States. Our study found there is no significant difference in fitness (d²) between these two groups and that the overall fitness of the population is high. We found that for most markers, stranded seals had a higher mean d² and that only one marker showed significant differences between the two groups. Both groups had equal heterozygosities, supporting the idea that the seals come from the same population. These results demonstrate that the increasing strandings and entanglements are due to other factors than fitness or genetic diversity. Climate change is playing a large in role in the survival and adaptation of these species. When compared to ice cover data, there is a correlation between years with light ice cover and high strandings. Future studies should investigate this correlation to see if climate is the driving force behind increases in sightings of harp seals within the United States. Harp seals are a useful indicator species for the changing Arctic climate system and it will be important for managers to understand what they can do to conserve the species and resources of the Arctic ecosystem.Item Open Access GEOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ON THE SKIN MICROBIOME OF HUMPBACK WHALES(2016-04-21) Bierlich, Kevin Charles (KC)Assessing the health state of wild marine mammals and their populations is challenging, and there is a growing need to develop reliable proxies for health determination. Climate change and other anthropogenic factors are influencing disease prevalence and virulence in the marine environment and there is a need to improve tools and techniques for monitoring the health status of wild marine mammals that are listed as threatened or endangered. The skin is the largest mammalian organ and serves as the first line of defense between the host and their external environment. Most research has focused on human health and has found that the skin microbiome can serve as a protective mechanism by adding to the skin’s defense against colonization of potential pathogenic bacteria. The skin is relatively well-sampled in marine mammals and may serve as a useful proxy for health status, as demonstrated in humans. However, before skin microbiomes become useful health diagnostic tools for marine mammals, more information is needed about the factors influencing variability within the skin microbial community. I analyzed the skin microbiome of 72 apparently healthy humpback whales primarily from Antarctica, as well as Alaska, Hawaii, American Samoa, and the Gulf of Maine. Phylogenetic and statistical analyses revealed two dominant families of bacteria (Moraxellaceae and Flavobacteriaceae) found on each individual whale. However, there were significant differences in the skin microbiomes amongst whales from different geographic areas, both globally as well as amongst regions within Antarctica. These findings provide support that there is a species-specific microbiome on humpback skin that varies according to geographic factors. This initial characterization of the healthy humpback skin microbiome in Antarctica is helpful for future health diagnostic efforts aimed especially at heath-compromised animals. This research ultimately aims to be the building blocks for exploring how the skin microbiome can be used as a diagnostic tool for monitoring marine mammal health.Item Open Access Harnessing Multi-Domain and Multi-Disciplinary Robotics Methods to Strengthen Scientific Research and Inform Policy and Management(2023) Newton, EveretteDuring my PhD journey, I have lived at the intersection of a previous military career, leadership as an elected official, and a student passionate about robotics and protecting our beautiful coastal ecosystem. As a non-traditional student, Duke University has presented me with experiences I could not have imagined. With the Duke Marine Robotics and Remote Sensing (MaRRS) Lab drones, I have had the opportunity to survey the mass nesting of thousands of olive ridley sea turtles in Costa Rica, hundreds of gray seals in Massachusetts, endangered right whales off the coast of Florida, dozens of World War I shipwrecks in Maryland, Etruscan and Roman archeological sites in Italy, and hundreds of seals in the Bering Sea. And there have been many more multi-domain surveys of our glorious coastal ecosystem in Carteret County. There have been more than our fair share of challenges during this time frame to include preparing and responding to Hurricanes Florence, Dorian, and Isaias, plus the COVID-19 pandemic. These events took a toll on many fronts, but also presented leadership opportunities. With our drones, we have been able to survey before and after storms, and we’re watching barrier islands move at centimeter scale. The increasing effects of climate change are very personal for those of us living in eastern North Carolina, but in the MaRRS Lab we are well postured with our robotics to air-, sea-, and ground-truth these effects. Perhaps most importantly, the knowledge I gained during my PhD program informed my policy positions during my tenure as the Mayor of the Town of Beaufort, NC. I am very proud of the progress that we made to include a massive clean-up of our waterways following Hurricane Florence, a Harbor Management Ordinance to better manage our waterways, expanded municipal jurisdiction to further manage our ecosystem, unprecedented repairs of infrastructure that were neglected for decades and have negatively affected our water quality, investment in the community, and a five-year budgeting plan to provide greater stability for Beaufort.
This dissertation is a summation of some of the work performed during my Duke PhD experience. In Chapter 1, I describe the evolution of autonomous drones, define distinct generations of this technology, and articulate the negative impacts of a regulatory system that is stifling critical research. For Chapter 2, I discuss the lexicon, taxonomy, and ontology of small autonomous drones, the critical importance of situational awareness, and a framework of considerations and best practices for those interested in pursuing autonomous mobile robots to enhance their research. With Chapters 1 and 2 as a foundation, I next highlight my expansion to the marine domain for water quality research with autonomous surface vessels (Chapter 3) and multi-disciplinary archeological drone surveys in Vulci, Italy (Chapter 4). Finally in Chapter 5, I address scientific research that informed policy successes during my time as a mayor and PhD student. What a great journey!
Item Open Access Incorporating Photogrammetric Uncertainty in UAS-based Morphometric Measurements of Baleen Whales(2021) Bierlich, Kevin CharlesIncreasingly, drone-based photogrammetry has been used to measure size and body condition changes in marine megafauna. A broad range of platforms, sensors, and altimeters are being applied for these purposes, but there is no unified way to predict photogrammetric uncertainty across this methodological spectrum. As such, it is difficult to make robust comparisons across studies, disrupting collaborations amongst researchers using platforms with varying levels of measurement accuracy.
In this dissertation, I evaluate the major drivers of photogrammetric error and develop a framework to easily quantify and incorporate uncertainty associated with different UAS platforms. To do this, I take an experimental approach to train a Bayesian statistical model using a known-sized object floating at the water’s surface to quantify how measurement error scales with altitude for several different drones equipped with different cameras, focal length lenses, and altimeters. I then use the fitted model to predict the length distributions of unknown-sized humpback whales and assess how predicted uncertainty can affect quantities derived from photogrammetric measurements such as the age class of an animal (Chapter 1). I also use the fitted model to predict body condition of blue whales, humpback whales, and Antarctic minke whales, providing the first comparison of how uncertainty scales across commonly used 1-, 2-, and 3-dimensional (1D, 2D, and 3D, respectively) body condition measurements (Chapter 2). This statistical framework jointly estimates errors from altitude and length measurements and accounts for altitudes measured with both barometers and laser altimeters while incorporating errors specific to each. This Bayesian statistical model outputs a posterior predictive distribution of measurement uncertainty around length and body condition measurements and allows for the construction of highest posterior density intervals to define measurement uncertainty, which allows one to make probabilistic statements and stronger inferences pertaining to morphometric features critical for understanding life history patterns and potential impacts from anthropogenically altered habitats. From these studies, I find that altimeters can greatly influence measurement predictions, with measurements using a barometer producing larger and greater uncertainty compared to using a laser altimeter, which can influence age classifications. I also find that while the different body condition measurements are highly correlated with one another, uncertainty does not scale linearly across 1D, 2D, and 3D body condition measurements, with 2D and 3D uncertainty increasing by a factor of 1.44 and 2.14 compared to 1D measurements, respectively. I find that body area index (BAI) accounts for potential variation along the body for each species and was the most precise body condition measurement.
I then use the model to incorporate uncertainty associated with different drone platforms to measure how body condition (as BAI) changes over the course of the foraging season for humpback whales along the Western Antarctic Peninsula (Chapter 3). I find that BAI increases curvilinearly for each reproductive class, with rapid increases in body condition early in the season compared to later in the season. Lactating females had the lowest BAI, reflecting the high energetic costs of reproduction, whereas mature whales had the largest BAI, reflecting their high energy stores for financing the costs of reproduction on the breeding grounds. Calves also increased BAI opposed to strictly increasing length, while immature whales may increase their BAI and commence an early migration by mid-season. These results set a baseline for monitoring this healthy population in the future as they face potential impacts from climate change and anthropogenic stresses. This dissertation concludes with a best practices guide for minimizing, quantifying, and incorporating uncertainty associated with photogrammetry data. This work provides novel insights into how to obtain more accurate morphological measurements to help increase our understanding of how animals perform and function in their environment, as well as better track the health of populations over time and space.
Item Open Access Integrating the use of Unoccupied Aircraft Systems (UAS) into Coastal Land Management Strategies on the Outer Banks of North Carolina(2020-04-24) Adams, CameronUnoccupied aerial systems (UAS) stand to dramatically improve the way coastal managers understand and plan for climate change, yet the tool has been underutilized for this purpose. The Duke Marine Robotics and Remote Sensing Lab and the North Carolina chapter of The Nature Conservancy (TNC) collaborated to develop a series of research questions and methods using UAS to assess the effects of climate change at the Nags Head Woods Preserve (NHW), a coastal property TNC manages on the Outer Banks. We aimed to better understand 1) the history of shoreline erosion and 2) the likely climate-driven ecological changes at the site. High-resolution imagery was captured using an eBee Plus fixed wing drone and images were stitched into a single mosaic using Pix4D. Long-term shoreline erosion rates were calculated and interpreted by evaluating shoreline characteristics apparent from UAS imagery. The NHW shoreline has exhibited significant erosion, which varies spatially due mainly to differences in shoreline type and orientation. Ecological vulnerability to climate change could not be assessed without setting high-accuracy baselines for the present-day areal extent of plant communities within NHW. Training data were generated from UAS imagery and used to run a supervised classification, resulting in the first accurate delineation of each plant community in NHW. These methods may be repeated in the future to assess climate-driven ecological change through time. UAS proved to be an effective tool for organizations and managers to improve research and monitoring in the coastal environment.Item Open Access Loups Marin: Exploring Human Dimensions of Conflicts with Wildlife through Filmed Interviews about Gray Seals Returning to Cape Cod(2024-04-26) Hillard, AshleyWhen it comes to human-wildlife conflict, wildlife is often found at fault but in reality is it us or is it them? Through the story of the return of gray seals to Cape Cod, the complexities of modern species management is shared via a short documentary titled Loups Marin (sea wolves). Once abundant, gray seals were extirpated from the Gulf of Maine after years of bounty hunting. Protected under the Marine Mammal Protection Act in 1972, their numbers have steadily increased along with white sharks off the coast of Cape Cod. As the gray seal population rebounds, fish stocks have declined leading some to believe that the seals are eating too many fish along with drawing white sharks to popular beaches. Similar to misconceptions about wolves and their role in ecosystems, gray seals can be misunderstood and blamed for problems that are actually caused by people. As fisherman Doug Feeney shares, “it’s not the seal, but it's a great scapegoat.”Item Open Access Mechanistic Habitat Modeling with Multi-Model Climate Ensembles(2013-04-25) Jones, HunterProjections of future Sea Ice Concentration (SIC) were prepared using a 13-member ensemble of climate model output from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Three climate change scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 6.0, RCP 8.5), corresponding to low, moderate, and high climate change possibilities, were used to generate these projections for known Harp Seal whelping locations. The projections were splined and statistically downscaled via the CCAFS Delta method using satellite-derived observations from the National Sea Ice Data Center (NSIDC) to prepare a spatial representation of sea ice decline through the year 2100. Multi-Model Ensemble projections of the mean sea ice concentration anomaly for Harp Seal whelping locations under the moderate and high climate change scenarios (RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5) show a decline of 10% to 40% by 2100 from a modern baseline climatology (average of SIC, 1988 - 2005) while sea ice concentrations under the low climate change scenario remain fairly stable. Projected year-over-year sea ice concentration variability decreases with time through 2100, but uncertainty in the prediction (model spread) increases. The general decline in sea ice projected by climate models is detrimental to Harp Seal survival, but the effect of the decreased year-over-year variability is less certain.