Browsing by Author "Maguire, Lynn A"
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Item Open Access A MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS OF THE CONSERVATION PLANNING TOOL OF THE NORTH CAROLINA NATURAL HERITAGE PROGRAM(2012-04-26) Yeh, Sung-KangLand conservation and land use planning are the essential approaches in mitigating human disturbances and maintaining ecological functions. These approaches require identification and prioritization of different land characteristics to efficiently conserve the areas that represent significant biodiversity values. In North Carolina, the Conservation Planning Tool (CPT) was developed by the North Carolina National Heritage Program (NCNHP) to achieve this goal. However, the weighting method in CPT falls short in that it does not assign greater credit to areas with multiple values, and it ignores the biophysical characteristics that may contribute to the values of biodiversity. In order to critique the issues in CPT, I developed a rating tool based on Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) analysis and incorporated biophysical measurements into the new habitat prioritization. I consulted Allison Weakley, the Conservation Planner of the North Carolina Natural Heritage Program, to assess the levels of preference and weights for each measurement, and used these results to calculate the final score. Because the methods of utility and weight assessment in the two systems are considerably different, I used qualitative criteria to compare the advantages and disadvantages of the two rating systems. The results show that the new rating tool is able to address the weighting problem in CPT, is less redundant in the selection of measurements, and offers more comprehensive data completeness. On the other hand, CPT is friendlier for tool users who may not be familiar with the technical details, more flexible in accommodating new measurements, and more comprehensive in evaluating both aquatic and terrestrial habitats. Land conservation and land use planning are the essential approaches in mitigating human disturbances and maintaining ecological functions. These approaches require identification and prioritization of different land characteristics to efficiently conserve the areas that represent significant biodiversity values. In North Carolina, the Conservation Planning Tool (CPT) was developed by the North Carolina National Heritage Program (NCNHP) to achieve this goal. However, the weighting method in CPT falls short in that it does not assign greater credit to areas with multiple values, and it ignores the biophysical characteristics that may contribute to the values of biodiversity. In order to critique the issues in CPT, I developed a rating tool based on Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) analysis and incorporated biophysical measurements into the new habitat prioritization. I consulted Allison Weakley, the Conservation Planner of the North Carolina Natural Heritage Program, to assess the levels of preference and weights for each measurement, and used these results to calculate the final score. Because the methods of utility and weight assessment in the two systems are considerably different, I used qualitative criteria to compare the advantages and disadvantages of the two rating systems. The results show that the new rating tool is able to address the weighting problem in CPT, is less redundant in the selection of measurements, and offers more comprehensive data completeness. On the other hand, CPT is friendlier for tool users who may not be familiar with the technical details, more flexible in accommodating new measurements, and more comprehensive in evaluating both aquatic and terrestrial habitats.Item Open Access A MULTICRITERIA FRAMEWORK TO EXTEND THE NORTH CAROLINA NATURAL HERITAGE PROGRAM’S CONSERVATION PLANNING TOOL(2009-04-23T23:22:35Z) Mahoney, PatrickThe protection of natural communities is essential to preserving biodiversity and wildlife habitat across an increasingly developed and fragmented landscape. The North Carolina Natural Heritage Program has produced a scoring of sites across the state using a geospatial tool that ranks sites based upon their importance to biodiversity and wildlife habitat. This scoring uses mostly datasets related to the presence of rare and threatened species. The tool developed in this study extends the rankings produced by the Natural Heritage Program to include other attributes of biodiversity and wildlife habitat, including site context, geometry and variety of abiotic conditions. Dataset measures of these attributes were developed and built into a geospatial tool that produces a ranking of sites. This enables the identification of areas of conservation value that are not well represented in the Natural Heritage Program’s current model. The geospatial datasets used as inputs for the model are structured using multi-attribute utility theory, allowing users to assign utility values to datasets and manipulate the weights received by each dataset in the final scoring. This allows decision-makers to incorporate their own opinions about what contributes to biodiversity value in the ranking of sites, and is transparent in the choices that they have made. This produces a ranking of sites that is representative of a variety of attributes of biodiversity value and explicitly demonstrates the user-specific decisions that were made in its production. This type of ranking is not meant to replace the professional opinions of decision-makers, but can help to guide inquiries into the conservation value of a site where data does not exist on rare and threatened species and help to compare sites that possess similar levels of known biodiversity.Item Open Access A Regulatory Framework for Wind Energy in North Carolina(2006) Kimrey, ErinWind energy is the fastest growing energy sector in the U.S., and while it provides a clean, renewable source of energy, it is not without environmental and other impacts. The first utility-scale wind farm was proposed in the mountains of North Carolina in July, 2006, bringing to the forefront a question that has been brewing for some time: How is the siting of wind facilities currently regulated in North Carolina and what, if any, changes are needed to ensure that wind energy is sited in an appropriate and environmentally sound manner? This master’s project provides: (1) an overview of siting issues associated with wind farms; (2) an analysis of the current regulatory structure governing the siting of wind farms in North Carolina; (3) an analysis of regulatory frameworks for wind energy in nine states (Texas, California, Iowa, Minnesota, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont and Virginia); and (4) an evaluation of five policy options for North Carolina. The policy options range in regulatory intensity, from removing regulatory barriers to wind projects but adding no additional regulatory oversight, to requiring environmental review for all projects, to developing a statewide regulatory framework specific to wind energy. The policy options are evaluated against three main criteria – minimizing negative impacts, providing opportunities for meaningful public input, and facilitating the development of wind energy. These criteria are further defined with five subcriteria, several of which are drawn from the National Wind Coordinating Committee’s principles of a good wind permitting process. The results indicate that under the current regulatory structure, wind projects would either proceed without much oversight or would likely be prohibited. There are regulatory barriers to wind energy development in the state’s windiest areas through the Ridge Law, which may prevent construction of turbines on ridge tops, and coastal development rules, which may prevent turbines in state waters. Based on a qualitative analysis of the policy options, the development of a statewide regulatory framework for wind energy would best meet the evaluation criteria and facilitate wind energy development in the state while ensuring that projects are sited in a responsible manner that minimizes negative impacts. Such a framework could be implemented through legislation that would remove the regulatory barriers and institute a consolidated permitting process, siting standards projects must meet, and a wind-specific environmental review process.Item Open Access A typology of time-scale mismatches and behavioral interventions to diagnose and solve conservation problems.(Conserv Biol, 2016-02) Wilson, Robyn S; Hardisty, David J; Epanchin-Niell, Rebecca S; Runge, Michael C; Cottingham, Kathryn L; Urban, Dean L; Maguire, Lynn A; Hastings, Alan; Mumby, Peter J; Peters, Debra PCEcological systems often operate on time scales significantly longer or shorter than the time scales typical of human decision making, which causes substantial difficulty for conservation and management in socioecological systems. For example, invasive species may move faster than humans can diagnose problems and initiate solutions, and climate systems may exhibit long-term inertia and short-term fluctuations that obscure learning about the efficacy of management efforts in many ecological systems. We adopted a management-decision framework that distinguishes decision makers within public institutions from individual actors within the social system, calls attention to the ways socioecological systems respond to decision makers' actions, and notes institutional learning that accrues from observing these responses. We used this framework, along with insights from bedeviling conservation problems, to create a typology that identifies problematic time-scale mismatches occurring between individual decision makers in public institutions and between individual actors in the social or ecological system. We also considered solutions that involve modifying human perception and behavior at the individual level as a means of resolving these problematic mismatches. The potential solutions are derived from the behavioral economics and psychology literature on temporal challenges in decision making, such as the human tendency to discount future outcomes at irrationally high rates. These solutions range from framing environmental decisions to enhance the salience of long-term consequences, to using structured decision processes that make time scales of actions and consequences more explicit, to structural solutions aimed at altering the consequences of short-sighted behavior to make it less appealing. Additional application of these tools and long-term evaluation measures that assess not just behavioral changes but also associated changes in ecological systems are needed.Item Open Access An Analysis of a Biomass-Fueled Combined Heat and Power Plant for a Colorado Homeowners Association(2011-04-28) Thomas, Mikel T.I evaluated available technologies and conflicting social, environmental and economic objectives important to a Colorado homeowners association (“the Ranch”) to determine if a combined heat and power (CHP) plant, fueled by woody biomass available on the Ranch, is worth pursuing at this time. The conflicting objectives were to maximize the economics of the CHP plant, minimize the aesthetic impacts of a power plant, minimize the impacts of traffic associated with hauling the biomass from the field to the power plant facility, and maximize the environmental objectives of wildfire risk reduction and carbon dioxide emissions reductions. I reviewed the literature for biomass-fueled CHP technologies that are reported to be commercially available at a scale of less than 35 kilowatts of electricity (limited by available biomass fuel). I performed an economic analysis on three of these technologies, comparing them to the status quo of continuing to purchase energy at retail prices over a 25 year time horizon. Using multiattribute utility analysis, I quantified the conflicting objectives important to the Ranch owners when comparing the single technology that had a positive payback against the status quo, assuming the technology would perform as predicted by the manufacturer. Because the technology is unproven, I then analyzed the effects of uncertainty about the longevity and annual operating capacity on the viability of using such a power facility using multiattribute utility analysis under uncertainty. My results indicated there is currently no basis to suggest pursuing a small scale biomass-fueled CHP plant on the Ranch. The placement of a CHP plant at the Ranch headquarters was too much of an aesthetic concern and the plant technology proved too unreliable to permit environmental benefits to outweigh these negative factors. Development of small scale biomass-fueled combined heat and power technology, so that it is reliable and affordable, will be crucial in the future for these technologies to play a role as an alternative energy strategy for the Ranch.Item Open Access An analysis of public participation under 2005 national forest planning regulations(2007-12-06T14:22:08Z) Slayton Beres, AudreyPublic participation has long played an important role in national forest planning. Under 1982 regulations, this participation has largely taken place through traditional notice and comment procedures mandated by the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). In 2005, the Forest Service issued a new planning rule that excluded forest planning from NEPA procedures, but required a collaborative process in addition to traditional notice and comment periods. Some interest groups argued this approach degraded public participation, while the Forest Service argued it would provide for better public participation. The objective of this analysis is to determine how public participation in national forest planning might be impacted under the 2005 rule. I interviewed participants in plan revision processes for three national forests - one taking place under the 1982 rule (Mark Twain), one taking place under the 2005 rule (Uwharrie), and one that switched from the 1982 to the 2005 rule (Western Montana Planning Zone). I analyzed the interview results using an evaluative framework that defined good public participation. The framework included the following elements: (1) a fair outcome, (2) equal access/representation, (3) equal voice/participation, (4) adequate influence, (5) logic/use of technical information, (6) resolving conflict, (7) building trust in institutions, and (8) educating and informing the public. The Uwharrie, using a collaborative process, provided for good public participation, while the Mark Twain, using notice and comment processes, did not provide for good public participation. The results from the Western Montana Planning Zone were mixed, with the poor public participation due to a perceived lack of influence after switching to the 2005 planning rule. The results suggest that the 1982 rule can engender poor public participation, even when NEPA procedures are followed. The 2005 rule can provide for good public participation, but this is likely to occur only with collaborative-type activities. The biggest impediments to the public’s perceptions of good participation under the 2005 rule appear to be: (1) the new structure of the plans and the fact that they do not make specific management decisions, and (2) balancing both local and national interests, and both lay and professional input.Item Open Access Assessing the current and future status of aquatic and hydrologic ecosystem services in the French Broad River Basin(2017-04-28) Thompson, Brenna; Shapiro, Hannah; Warnell, KatieEcosystem services are the benefits that people receive from nature, and are an increasingly important component in conservation planning. Many of these ecosystem services are threatened, however, by land use change and development, climate change, and pollution. This project assesses the current state of several water-related ecosystem services in western North Carolina’s French Broad River Basin, which includes the city of Asheville, and compares this to a potential future state given predicted changes in development patterns and climate. We identify where sources of water-related ecosystem services are located within the watershed, how many people they serve, where threats to ecosystem services are located, and how ecosystem services and aquatic biodiversity may be affected by future climate and land use changes. Our findings show that climate change and development will have significant implications for the future provisioning and regulation of ecosystem services and the habitat of aquatic biodiversity in western North Carolina.Item Open Access ASSET MAPPING AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA(2015-04-22) Stief, Colin; Li, Yufei; Zheng, WeinanEconomic stagnation in northeastern North Carolina places communities in this region at great risk to the effects of climate change. However, community members and organizations like The Conservation Fund are recognizing the abundant assets in the region that they can use for sustainable development initiatives that reduce poverty and vulnerability to climate change simultaneously. This project provides three tools to stakeholders interested in continuing to identify those existing assets, finding inspirational case studies of sustainable development, and evaluating opportunities in terms of economic, social, and environmental outcomes. The first tool is a broad-based inventory and web-map of community assets based on community workshops led by the Conservation Fund in 2010. The second tool is a database of successful sustainable development case studies from around the United States that were suitable for the study area because of shared characteristics between regions. The third tool is a multi-criteria analysis assessment tool that incorporates local stakeholders values obtained from electronic surveys, online media, and scientific articles. The processes of this project, as well as the database and evaluation tool can be used to pursue sustainable development in northeastern North Carolina as well other similar region.Item Open Access Auditing and Accreditation in Carbon Accounting - A Current Assessment and Recommendations for Harmonization(2012-04-27) Bowles, AnnThis master’s project adds to the body of knowledge on the status of auditing and accreditation in carbon accounting. It addresses three questions regarding greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting (carbon accounting) and auditing: (1) What is the current status of GHG auditing globally?, (2) What are some of the key challenges in auditing?, and (3) Is there an expressed need for greater harmonization, and if so, what are the main obstacles to harmonization and how can they be overcome? To answer these questions two separate surveys were deployed, one to auditors who conduct the review of GHG assertions and a second to accreditation bodies who oversee the quality of work performed by the auditors. Survey results support existing research which suggests that certification standards for sustainability reporting are increasingly being promulgated and adopted by organizations across the world. Certification standards frequently require that an organization undergo an audit. The results of these surveys show an increase in demand for the services of audit bodies and a growth in the development of accreditation programs to oversee the competence and impartiality of the audit bodies. Results also show that there are challenges associated with this growth. The key challenge cited by audit bodies is complying with the multitude of GHG reporting requirements as well as multiple accreditation requirements. One audit body may be required to understand and apply many GHG auditing standards and may also be required to maintain a different accreditation for each standard. Accreditation bodies expressed (1) the need for greater harmonization and (2) the importance of training on GHG reporting and auditing. Recommendations on how to facilitate this harmonization include increased dialog on this subject within existing international forums; training, guidance and case studies to facilitate common understanding on the subject; and the development of Multilateral Recognition Arrangements (MRAs) of accreditation providers. Harmonization is essential in successfully linking regional and national climate change programs such that one ton of carbon measured in one country is the same as one ton of carbon measured in another.Item Open Access BIO-BASED PLASTIC PACKAGING: A TOOL TO HELP ORGANIZATIONS ANALYZE THE TRADE-OFFS BETWEEN BIO-BASED AND CONVENTIONAL PLASTICS(2007-09-18T19:55:21Z) Bellucci, NinaAn increasing number of companies are exploring ways to improve their environmental footprint. Some environmental benefits are offered by bio-based plastic packaging; however, this approach requires trade-offs. For example, plastic bottles made with polylactic acid (PLA), a bio-based plastic resin, lack the impact strength offered by plastic bottles made with polyethylene terephthalate (PET). Other trade-offs include diminished shelf life capabilities, increased cost, and recycling infrastructure. In particular, displacement of recyclable plastic packaging with plastics made from renewable resources has created controversy among environmental advocates. Despite its performance, cost, and recycling shortcomings, PLA offers an attractive choice to some because it represents the transition towards use of renewable resources. In an attempt to address trade-offs, I developed an analytical framework with assistance from key stakeholders. After identifying the fundamental objective of the best choice of resin for the manufacture of plastic bottles, I surveyed stakeholders to create a list of essential packaging criteria, with the three major criteria being performance as a bottle material, cost, and environmental impact. I relied on private interviews with industry experts and conference presentations to gather bottle data for four resins: PLA, PET, high density polyethylene (HDPE) and polypropylene (PP). The framework for comparison was Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT), a methodology designed to address trade-offs among multiple objectives to achieve an overall objective. Based on the survey results and best available data as input for MAUT, PET was the best choice of resin for the beverage bottle. This non-bio-based plastic emerged as the top choice largely due to its superior performance on criteria such as strength and shelf life. Further analysis of the characteristics of the four plastics showed that even if all environmental and cost characteristics of the bio-based plastic, PLA, were as favorable as any of the other plastics I analyzed, PLA still would not come to the top. Only if PLA’s performance as a bottle material (strength, etc.) increased several fold would PLA become the top choice among the four I analyzed. Similarly, analysis of the weighting of the criteria showed that increasing the weights on environmental criteria, compared to performance and cost criteria, cannot elevate PLA to the top choice, mainly because HDPE has desirable environmental characteristics such as recyclability. Only increasing the weight on environmental criteria such as greenhouse gas emissions while decreasing the weight on all other environmental criteria would allow PLA to become the top choice among the four bottle materials I analyzed.Item Open Access Construction of a Decision Analysis Tool for Choosing Corporate Environmental Management Systems(2010-04-30T04:31:57Z) Bomher, Mary PatEnvironmental managers are continually faced with new challenges to improve stakeholder relationships, save money and reduce the organization’s environmental footprint. Many of these challenges can be efficiently addressed by implementation of an environmental management system (EMS). However, there are a number of different environmental management systems which are available. Selecting the system that is the best fit for an organization can be difficult.
Fortunately, multicriteria decision analysis is well-suited to this type of decision problem. The objective of this project was to construct a decision analysis tool to differentiate among environmental management systems based on organizations’ preferences. The project focused on three environmental management systems: ISO14001, Eco-Management and Audit Scheme (EMAS) and The Natural Step (TNS). The tool was built using the expertise of environmental management system practitioners to evaluate the systems on criteria representing financial, logistical and environmental goals. I tested the tool using the preferences of environmental managers at two chemical and two manufacturing facilities to show that the tool is useful. I improved the tool’s user-friendliness based on comments from a typical user.
The results showed that the Eco-Management and Audit Scheme system scored best on the majority of attributes, and was the preferred alternative for three out of four sample cases. Additionally, the most important attributes amongst all respondents were verification reliability and environmental stewardship. Slight similarities in the importance rating of attributes were seen between the facilities of equivalent size.
Overall, the process demonstrated that how an EMS is implemented at an organization will be based on the preferences of the organization and what they are hoping to accomplish with their system. While some organizations want to focus on saving money, others choose to focus on a reduction in emissions. The decision analysis tool I developed is flexible enough to accommodate such differences in priorities.
Finally, this research showed that none of these three systems scored perfectly on all company objectives. It is possible to identify the single system that best matches a facility’s preferences, but the best environmental management system may be a hybrid among the three.
Item Open Access Convenience Analysis of the Oregon Paint Management Pilot Program(2011-04-29) Strickland, Cecilia HedrickThe US Environmental Protection Agency estimates that approximately 10%, or 64 million gallons, of the architectural paint that is purchased annually in the United States is left over. This represents a disposal cost to municipalities of about $8 per gallon, or half a billion dollars per year. Oregon’s Paint Product Stewardship Law, passed in the summer of 2009 and implemented in July 2010, is the nation’s first manufacturer-financed program for managing leftover architectural paint. This program is currently undergoing evaluation, the results of which will be used to more effectively implement similar programs nationwide. The objective of my project is to determine how convenient the drop-off locations are for Oregon residents, including those in urban and rural areas, based on the travel time and distance to the nearest drop-off facility. I generated service areas and estimated the percentage of each census block’s population that resides within the service areas as equal to the percentage of total road length in each block that is included in the service area. Based on this analysis, more than 90% of Oregon residents live within 20 minutes, or 15 miles, of the nearest collection facility. This degree of convenience, however, is not evenly distributed throughout the state. The most underserved residents include those living in Gilliam, Douglas, Polk, and Lincoln counties. Fewer than 3% of Gilliam county residents live within 15 miles of a drop-off location, compared to 40% in the county with the next lowest percentage. Likewise, Douglas, Polk, and Lincoln counties have a low percentage of residents within 15 miles of a drop-off location and they have among the largest number of people, relative to other counties, outside of this service area. Additionally, I developed a Site Selection and Convenience Analysis tool to aid in the selection of drop-off facilities based on the same convenience criteria. This tool is flexible and adaptive. It can be used during the development of recycling programs in other areas to determine which set of potential drop-off sites provide the best access to residents or which potential drop-off sites best complement the existing network of drop-off sites.Item Open Access Evaluating Participatory Watershed Management: A Case Study of the Albemarle Pamlico National Estuary Program(2007-05) Lurie, Lisa M.Participatory approaches to watershed management have been touted as more effective than traditional command-and-control approaches, yet evaluations of their success have been limited. This master’s project develops a framework for participatory watershed management program evaluation in terms of process and outcomes, with particular attention to social capital outcomes. I then apply the framework in a case study evaluating the Albemarle Pamlico National Estuary Program (APNEP) to discern program strengths, challenges, and lessons learned. APNEP is a participatory watershed management program that spans coastal NC and VA. Since the mid 1980’s members of the public have been involved in a process to develop and implement a Comprehensive Conservation and Management Plan for the region via a Citizen Advisory Committee (CAC). I evaluate APNEP using qualitative and quantitative data collected through interviews and surveys of CAC members. Members of the Citizen Advisory Committee perceive broad stakeholder involvement, common goals, and dedicated staff as the primary strengths of the APNEP process. Perceived ecological outcomes are related primarily to water quality improvements. Social capital outcomes (such as improved social networks and education) are the impacts of APNEP that CAC members most frequently recognize. Program challenges include insufficient funding and lack of immediate and visible impacts. The study concludes with lessons learned from the APNEP case study evaluation which could inform the design of participatory watershed management programs in other watersheds. Many of the positive results that APNEP participants reported would not have been captured by traditional evaluations focused only on measuring biophysical outcomes. The evaluative framework developed in this study is therefore a valuable tool to provide a more holistic evaluation of the full impacts of any participatory watershed management program.Item Open Access Evaluating Transportation Alternatives for Hatteras Island, North Carolina Outer Banks(2013-04-26) Colwell, Courtney; Farshchi, Roxanna; Jenkins, Thomas; Kim, JunghwaThe North Carolina coast includes a dynamic chain of barrier islands known as the Outer Banks. Transportation management on these islands has been the subject of debate over the past two decades because of the high cost of maintaining highway NC 12. The road is subject to frequent sand overwash and storm damage that causes interruptions in services and access and the bridge over a major inlet needs replacement. Interest groups disagree about the best solution, with some most concerned about environmental damage, some about economic impacts of service disruption, and some about emergency evacuation. We interviewed nine stakeholders from federal, state, and local government, citizen action groups, and environmental non-governmental organizations, asking them questions about their preferences pertaining to transportation in general and specific alternative transportation methods for the Outer Banks. The alternatives we researched were: (1) replacing the imperiled bridge with a new bridge across the same inlet (Short Bridge Plus), which would not alleviate the road maintenance difficulties on the islands; (2) building a long bridge through the sound behind the chain of barrier islands bypassing the troublesome road sections (Long Bridge) at very high initial cost; and (3) using ferries to provide transportation to the barrier islands (Ferry System), requiring extensive dredging of coastal habitat and high operational costs. Using data from archived reports and from our interviews, we compared these alternatives in terms of (1) access disruption from storm impacts (in days), (2) short-term cost (dollars), (3) long-term cost (dollars), and (4) environmental impacts (acres of habitat disturbed). We then interviewed three key stakeholders from state government, an environmental organization, and local government to determine how important each of the four factors was to each respondent in choosing a transportation alternative. By combining our evaluations of each alternative with the stakeholders’ judgments of importance, we found that the state representative chose the Short Bridge Plus, the environmental organization representative chose the Long Bridge, and the local government representative chose the Ferry System. Because some of these calculated results contradicted what these three respondents told us they preferred, we examined the sensitivity of our calculated results to changes in short and long-term cost estimates, acres disturbed and relative importance of the four factors. A consistent result of our sensitivity analyses was that stakeholders would often switch their preferred alternative to the Long Bridge. Therefore, we believe the Long Bridge might be a point of compromise; however, the massive funding required to build this alternative diminishes the likelihood it will be implemented.Item Open Access EVALUATING TRANSPORTATION ALTERNATIVES FOR HATTERAS ISLAND, NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS(2013-04-25) Colwell, Courtney; Farshchi, Roxanna; Kim, Junghwa; Jenkins, ThomasThe North Carolina coast includes a dynamic chain of barrier islands known as the Outer Banks. Transportation management on these islands has been the subject of debate over the past two decades because of the high cost of maintaining highway NC 12. The road is subject to frequent sand overwash and storm damage that causes interruptions in services and access and the bridge over a major inlet needs replacement. Interest groups disagree about the best solution, with some most concerned about environmental damage, some about economic impacts of service disruption, and some about emergency evacuation. We interviewed nine stakeholders from federal, state, and local government, citizen action groups, and environmental non-governmental organizations, asking them questions about their preferences pertaining to transportation in general and specific alternative transportation methods for the Outer Banks. The alternatives we researched were: (1) replacing the imperiled bridge with a new bridge across the same inlet (Short Bridge Plus), which would not alleviate the road maintenance difficulties on the islands; (2) building a long bridge through the sound behind the chain of barrier islands bypassing the troublesome road sections (Long Bridge) at very high initial cost; and (3) using ferries to provide transportation to the barrier islands (Ferry System), requiring extensive dredging of coastal habitat and high operational costs. Using data from archived reports and from our interviews, we compared these alternatives in terms of (1) access disruption from storm impacts (in days), (2) short-term cost (dollars), (3) long-term cost (dollars), and (4) environmental impacts (acres of habitat disturbed). We then interviewed three key stakeholders from state government, an environmental organization, and local government to determine how important each of the four factors was to each respondent in choosing a transportation alternative. By combining our evaluations of each alternative with the stakeholders’ judgments of importance, we found that the state representative chose the Short Bridge Plus, the environmental organization representative chose the Long Bridge, and the local government representative chose the Ferry System. Because some of these calculated results contradicted what these three respondents told us they preferred, we examined the sensitivity of our calculated results to changes in short and long-term cost estimates, acres disturbed and relative importance of the four factors. A consistent result of our sensitivity analyses was that stakeholders would often switch their preferred alternative to the Long Bridge. Therefore, we believe the Long Bridge might be a point of compromise; however, the massive funding required to build this alternative diminishes the likelihood it will be implemented.Item Open Access Evaluating transportation alternatives for Hatteras Island, North Carolina Outer Banks(2013-04-25) Colwell, Courtney; Farshchi, Roxanna; Jenkins, Thomas; Kim, JunghwaThe North Carolina coast includes a dynamic chain of barrier islands known as the Outer Banks. Transportation management on these islands has been the subject of debate over the past two decades because of the high cost of maintaining highway NC 12. The road is subject to frequent sand overwash and storm damage that causes interruptions in services and access and the bridge over a major inlet needs replacement. Interest groups disagree about the best solution, with some most concerned about environmental damage, some about economic impacts of service disruption, and some about emergency evacuation. We interviewed nine stakeholders from federal, state, and local government, citizen action groups, and environmental non-governmental organizations, asking them questions about their preferences pertaining to transportation in general and specific alternative transportation methods for the Outer Banks. The alternatives we researched were: (1) replacing the imperiled bridge with a new bridge across the same inlet (Short Bridge Plus), which would not alleviate the road maintenance difficulties on the islands; (2) building a long bridge through the sound behind the chain of barrier islands bypassing the troublesome road sections (Long Bridge) at very high initial cost; and (3) using ferries to provide transportation to the barrier islands (Ferry System), requiring extensive dredging of coastal habitat and high operational costs. Using data from archived reports and from our interviews, we compared these alternatives in terms of (1) access disruption from storm impacts (in days), (2) short-term cost (dollars), (3) long-term cost (dollars), and (4) environmental impacts (acres of habitat disturbed). We then interviewed three key stakeholders from state government, an environmental organization, and local government to determine how important each of the four factors was to each respondent in choosing a transportation alternative. By combining our evaluations of each alternative with the stakeholders’ judgments of importance, we found that the state representative chose the Short Bridge Plus, the environmental organization representative chose the Long Bridge, and the local government representative chose the Ferry System. Because some of these calculated results contradicted what these three respondents told us they preferred, we examined the sensitivity of our calculated results to changes in short and long-term cost estimates, acres disturbed and relative importance of the four factors. A consistent result of our sensitivity analyses was that stakeholders would often switch their preferred alternative to the Long Bridge. Therefore, we believe the Long Bridge might be a point of compromise; however, the massive funding required to build this alternative diminishes the likelihood it will be implemented.Item Open Access Evaluating Transportation Alternatives for Hattras Island, North Carolina Outer Banks(2013-04-26) Kim, Junghwa; Colwell, Courtney; Jenkins, Thomas; Farshchi, RoxannaThe North Carolina coast includes a dynamic chain of barrier islands known as the Outer Banks. Transportation management on these islands has been the subject of debate over the past two decades because of the high cost of maintaining highway NC 12. The road is subject to frequent sand overwash and storm damage that causes interruptions in services and access and the bridge over a major inlet needs replacement. Interest groups disagree about the best solution, with some most concerned about environmental damage, some about economic impacts of service disruption, and some about emergency evacuation. We interviewed nine stakeholders from federal, state, and local government, citizen action groups, and environmental non-governmental organizations, asking them questions about their preferences pertaining to transportation in general and specific alternative transportation methods for the Outer Banks. The alternatives we researched were: (1) replacing the imperiled bridge with a new bridge across the same inlet (Short Bridge Plus), which would not alleviate the road maintenance difficulties on the islands; (2) building a long bridge through the sound behind the chain of barrier islands bypassing the troublesome road sections (Long Bridge) at very high initial cost; and (3) using ferries to provide transportation to the barrier islands (Ferry System), requiring extensive dredging of coastal habitat and high operational costs. Using data from archived reports and from our interviews, we compared these alternatives in terms of (1) access disruption from storm impacts (in days), (2) short-term cost (dollars), (3) long-term cost (dollars), and (4) environmental impacts (acres of habitat disturbed). We then interviewed three key stakeholders from state government, an environmental organization, and local government to determine how important each of the four factors was to each respondent in choosing a transportation alternative. By combining our evaluations of each alternative with the stakeholders’ judgments of importance, we found that the state representative chose the Short Bridge Plus, the environmental organization representative chose the Long Bridge, and the local government representative chose the Ferry System. Because some of these calculated results contradicted what these three respondents told us they preferred, we examined the sensitivity of our calculated results to changes in short and long-term cost estimates, acres disturbed and relative importance of the four factors. A consistent result of our sensitivity analyses was that stakeholders would often switch their preferred alternative to the Long Bridge. Therefore, we believe the Long Bridge might be a point of compromise; however, the massive funding required to build this alternative diminishes the likelihood it will be implemented.Item Open Access Framework for Integrating the Value of Nature in Business Decisions: Utilizing Green Infrastructure for Stormwater Management(2016-04-28) Cough-Schulze, Maya; Hart, Jordan; Halperin, Matthew; Tsai, Jocelyn; Young, BenBusinesses contribute to the degradation of ecosystem services, but also depend on those services for their operations. Most businesses do not incorporate ecosystem services into their decision-making. Existing methods to do so are often costly and time consuming, yet fail to link the public benefits of these services directly to business value. We developed a framework to guide businesses towards accounting for the value of ecosystem services in decision-making, through the context of utilizing green infrastructure practices for stormwater management. We applied this framework to the Stream and Wetland Assessment Management Park, a constructed wetland on the Duke University campus. In our application, we illustrated how the choice between two separate models to predict green infrastructure performance may impact the decision to invest in the project. We also demonstrated that businesses are more likely to adopt green infrastructure, thus invest in ecosystem services, when additional ecosystem service benefits are defined in metrics that directly relate to specific business drivers.Item Open Access Full of Hot Air? Three Examinations of Climate Change in the American Political Information Environment(2016) Zhou, MenglinClimate change is thought to be one of the most pressing environmental problems facing humanity. However, due in part to failures in political communication and how the issue has been historically defined in American politics, discussions of climate change remain gridlocked and polarized. In this dissertation, I explore how climate change has been historically constructed as a political issue, how conflicts between climate advocates and skeptics have been communicated, and what effects polarization has had on political communication, particularly on the communication of climate change to skeptical audiences. I use a variety of methodological tools to consider these questions, including evolutionary frame analysis, which uses textual data to show how issues are framed and constructed over time; Kullback-Leibler divergence content analysis, which allows for comparison of advocate and skeptical framing over time; and experimental framing methods to test how audiences react to and process different presentations of climate change. I identify six major portrayals of climate change from 1988 to 2012, but find that no single construction of the issue has dominated the public discourse defining the problem. In addition, the construction of climate change may be associated with changes in public political sentiment, such as greater pessimism about climate action when the electorate becomes more conservative. As the issue of climate change has become more polarized in American politics, one proposed causal pathway for the observed polarization is that advocate and skeptic framing of climate change focuses on different facets of the issue and ignores rival arguments, a practice known as “talking past.” However, I find no evidence of increased talking past in 25 years of popular newsmedia reporting on the issue, suggesting both that talking past has not driven public polarization or that polarization is occurring in venues outside of the mainstream public discourse, such as blogs. To examine how polarization affects political communication on climate change, I test the cognitive processing of a variety of messages and sources that promote action against climate change among Republican individuals. Rather than identifying frames that are powerful enough to overcome polarization, I find that Republicans exhibit telltale signs of motivated skepticism on the issue, that is, they reject framing that runs counter to their party line and political identity. This result suggests that polarization constrains political communication on polarized issues, overshadowing traditional message and source effects of framing and increasing the difficulty communicators experience in reaching skeptical audiences.
Item Open Access Human Diversity in The Nature Conservancy and Its Implications for Conservation: A First Look(2008-04-24T15:40:07Z) Chattulani, YumikoPopulation demographics in the United States are rapidly changing, and increasing workplace diversity will become crucial for the survival of many environmental organizations. Although The Nature Conservancy (TNC) is a global organization and employs many people in different countries, it is also interested in increasing ethnic diversity in its offices in the United States. The purpose of this study is to look at ethnic diversity in TNC offices in the U.S., examine diversity challenges and successes at other environmental organizations, and provide suggestions for increasing the ethnic diversity in TNC. My specific research objectives are to determine (1) why people of color are underrepresented in the environmental field, (2) what makes TNC attractive or unattractive to people of color, (3) what the current relationship is between employees at TNC who represent communities of color and those who do not, (4) how TNC can engage more people of color, and (5) what TNC can do to improve retention of employees representing communities of color. I reviewed the literature on the demographics of the conservation movement, the history of people of color and the environment, and the challenges and successes other fields have had in trying to increase workplace diversity. I interviewed TNC employees, TNC high school and college interns, and employees at other environmental organizations to gather their opinions on how to enhance employee diversity in the environmental field. Suggestions for increasing and retaining diversity at TNC included short-term and long-term techniques to increase diversity. Short-term recommendations included active, rather than informal, recruiting, and better advertising of the wide variety of careers available at TNC. Long-term suggestions included increased outreach through a sequence of volunteer programs and internships involving students from elementary through post-secondary education, and fostering an inclusive atmosphere at TNC to attract more employees of color and improve employee retention. I conclude that a combination of both long term and short term techniques is best to increase diversity. The data will be used to inform TNC’s fledgling diversity initiative in the United States.