Browsing by Author "Nagoshi, Narihito"

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    ItemOpen Access
    Improvement and International Validation of the Predictive Probability of the Patient Demographics, Radiographic Index, and Surgical Invasiveness for Mechanical Failure (PRISM) Model for Preventive Procedures in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery.
    (Spine, 2022-05) Yagi, Mitsuru; Hosogane, Naobumi; Ames, Christopher P; Smith, Justin S; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Schwab, Frank J; Lafage, Virginie; Bess, Shay; Suzuki, Satoshi; Satoshi, Nori; Takahashi, Yohei; Tsuji, Osahiko; Nagoshi, Narihito; Nakamura, Masaya; Matsumoto, Morio; Watanabe, Kota; International Spine Study Group (ISSG)

    Study design

    This is an international multicenter retrospective review of 219 surgically treated consecutive adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients who had a minimum of five fused segments, completed a 2-year follow-up.

    Objective

    The purpose of this study was to add the indices of preventive procedures to improve and to validate the predictive probability of the PRISM (patient demographics, radiographic index, and surgical invasiveness for mechanical failure) for mechanical failure (MF) following ASD surgery.

    Summary of background data

    The PRISM was developed from the data of 321 ASD patients, which stratified the risk of MF from six types of risk.

    Methods

    Data from 136 Japanese ASD patients (age 49 ± 21 yr, 88% female) were used to develop PRISM2, and data from 83 US ASD patients (age 58 ± 12 yr, 86% female) were used for the external validation. We analyzed the associations between three preventive procedures (UIV+1 tethering [TH], teriparatide [TP], and multirod [MR]) and MF by multivariate logistic regression analysis (MRA). The values for the nearest integer of the β of the procedures were added to the six indices of the original PRISM to establish the PRISM2. The discriminative ability of the PRISM/ PRISM2 for MF was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the precision-recall (PR) curve. The Cochran-Armitage test was used to analyze the trend between PRISM/PRISM2 scores and MF.

    Results

    MF developed in 25% (34 cases). The β values for the preventive procedures calculated by MRA were TH: -2.5, TP: -3.0, and MR: -2.1. The Cochran-Armitage test showed an excellent trend between MF and PRISM/2. The diagnostic ability was superior for the PRISM2 compared with the PRISM (PRISM2; AUC = 0.94 [0.90-0.98], PRISM; AUC = 0.87 [0.81-0.93], difference = -0.07 [-0.11 to -0.03], P  < 0.01). The AUC of the PRISM2 was 0.70 [0.59-0.81, P < 0.01] in the US patient cohort.

    Conclusion

    We refined the PRISM by adding preventive procedures to the risk indices. Further validation and adjustment in a large different patient cohorts may improve the predictive probability of PRISM2.Level of Evidence: 3.
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    ItemOpen Access
    Incidence and risk factors of postoperative neurologic decline after complex adult spinal deformity surgery: results of the Scoli-RISK-1 study.
    (The spine journal : official journal of the North American Spine Society, 2018-10) Fehlings, Michael G; Kato, So; Lenke, Lawrence G; Nakashima, Hiroaki; Nagoshi, Narihito; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Cheung, Kenneth MC; Carreon, Leah; Dekutoski, Mark B; Schwab, Frank J; Boachie-Adjei, Oheneba; Kebaish, Khaled M; Ames, Christopher P; Qiu, Yong; Matsuyama, Yukihiro; Dahl, Benny T; Mehdian, Hossein; Pellisé-Urquiza, Ferran; Lewis, Stephen J; Berven, Sigurd H

    Background context

    Significant variability in neurologic outcomes after surgical correction for adult spinal deformity (ASD) has been reported. Risk factors for decline in neurologic motor outcomes are poorly understood.

    Purpose

    The objective of the present investigation was to identify the risk factors for postoperative neurologic motor decline in patients undergoing complex ASD surgery.

    Study design/setting

    This is a prospective international multicenter cohort study.

    Patient sample

    From September 2011 to October 2012, 272 patients undergoing complex ASD surgery were prospectively enrolled in a multicenter, international cohort study in 15 sites.

    Outcome measures

    Neurologic decline was defined as any postoperative deterioration in American Spinal Injury Association lower extremity motor score (LEMS) compared with preoperative status.

    Methods

    To identify risk factors, 10 candidate variables were selected for univariable analysis from the dataset based on clinical relevance, and a multivariable logistic regression analysis was used with backward stepwise selection.

    Results

    Complete datasets on 265 patients were available for analysis and 61 (23%) patients showed a decline in LEMS at discharge. Univariable analysis showed that the key factors associated with postoperative neurologic deterioration included older age, lumbar-level osteotomy, three-column osteotomy, and larger blood loss. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age (odds ratio [OR]=1.5 per 10 years, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-2.1, p=.005), larger coronal deformity angular ratio [DAR] (OR=1.1 per 1 unit, 95% CI 1.0-1.2, p=.037), and lumbar osteotomy (OR=3.3, 95% CI 1.2-9.2, p=.022) were the three major predictors of neurologic decline.

    Conclusions

    Twenty-three percent of patients undergoing complex ASD surgery experienced a postoperative neurologic decline. Age, coronal DAR, and lumbar osteotomy were identified as the key contributing factors.