Browsing by Author "Orbach, Michael K"
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Item Open Access A CASE STUDY OF GRASSROOTS ADVOCACY AND THE SOCIOPOLITICAL PROCESS: AUTHORIZATION OF PROCESSOR QUOTA SHARES IN THE MAGNUSON-STEVENS FISHERY CONSERVATION AND MANAGEMENT ACT(2003) Hunt, Stephanie LSpecial interest groups are trying to change language in the Magnuson-Steven Fisheries Conservation and Management Act (MSFCMA) to allow fishery management councils to create and allocate processor quota (PQ). This limited entry tool is a companion to Individual Fishing Quotas (IFQs) which allocate harvesting rights to individual fishermen or vessel owners. Authorizing PQ would allow councils to give seafood companies exclusive buying rights and would require fishermen to sell their catch to the limited number of buyers holding PQ shares. A grassroots advocacy campaign opposing PQ prevented the 107th Congress from including controversial PQ language in MSFCMA reauthorization. Employing the Cape Cod Commercial Hook Fishermen’s Association (CCCHFA) as a case study, I will analyze how strategies of coalition building, constituent mobilization, and media contact were effectively applied in this campaign. Likewise, strategies to activate members of Congress played a prominent role in the effort. The CCCHFA led 225 visits to Congressional offices, trained more than 17 commercial fishermen in advocacy techniques, generated press coverage on both coasts, and produced a hard-hitting advocacy video that was distributed to all 535 members of Congress. To accomplish future goals, the anti-PQ campaign requires a long-term commitment with flexible goals and strategies, which allow the CCCHFA to take advantage of the changing sociopolitical climate. Given its limited resources, the organization must use time efficiently and continue to build upon past victories.Item Open Access A Characterization of the Shark Fisheries in Campeche, Mexico(2013-04-09) Ritter, JessicaSince the early 1990s, shark landings in the Mexican state of Campeche have declined drastically, mirroring an overall decrease in shark populations across the Gulf of Mexico. Historically, most research on the Campeche shark fisheries has focused on assessing the health of shark populations, with little emphasis placed on understanding the human dimension of these artisanal fisheries. This study begins to fill that knowledge gap through participant observation and informal interviews with fishery participants. Results clarify the organizational structure and the rules-in-use of the fisheries, as well as the attitudes of fishery participants towards government regulations. The characterization will ultimately inform Environmental Defense Fund’s future work to rebuild shark populations in the region.Item Open Access A Comprehensive National Ocean Policy: America's Next Step?(2005) Gove, MattHistorically, ocean governance has been sectoral in nature: different levels and sectors of government divide responsibility for ocean issues among them. In 1998, Australia released Australia’s Oceans Policy, the first comprehensive national ocean policy statement in the world. This policy framework addresses every level and sector of Australian ocean governance. Since then, other nations have joined Australia in unifying and clarifying their ocean governance. The U.S. may be next. Two reports, the Pew Oceans Commission and the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy, recommend sweeping overhauls to U.S. oceans governance, including the creation of a comprehensive national ocean policy. Released within the last two years, these reports have caught the attention of legislators. I examined and compared the creation and implementation of other nation’s comprehensive national ocean policies, gaining insights into the composition of a successful policy. I recommend, among other things, that the U.S. pass an integrated, fully encompassing, authoritative, and binding National Ocean Policy Act.Item Open Access A Coordinated Prioritization of North Carolina Coastal Waters and Stormwater Outfalls as Part of NCDOT’s Stormwater Inventory and Prioritization Program(2008-04-24T20:53:00Z) Jackson, JenniferNorth Carolina’s coastal areas face new and increasing challenges characterized by swimming advisories, shellfish closures, and an overall degraded quality of life due to water quality degradation. These challenges arise in part as a consequence of development of water-adjacent land and associated infrastructure. Increasing impervious surface exacerbates stormwater runoff, the leading cause of water quality degradation in the state. Through the development of a coordinated prioritization, transportation infrastructure planning can target waters of greatest importance threatened by pollutant runoff. This project incorporates data from multiple state agencies to develop a coastal waters and stormwater outfalls prioritization for the North Carolina Department of Transportation’s Stormwater Inventory Program and other management plans. The prioritization system described herein will be submitted to the NC Division of Water Quality by the NCDOT as partial compliance with the field outfall inventory requirements mandated in its Phase I NPDES stormwater permit (NCS000250). The system is designed to serve as a tool for guiding the allocation of NCDOT resources for restoring coastal water quality affected by roadway runoff. Through effective planning and resource allocation, North Carolina can maintain its identity as a desirable place to live with “Crystal Coast” beaches, wetlands, and oyster roasts using our local oysters.Item Open Access A NATURAL RESOURCE ASSESSMENT OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS NATIONAL PARK AND VIRGIN ISLANDS CORAL REEF NATIONAL MONUMENT(2007) Collini, Kimberly; O’Rourke, KellyThe National Parks Conservation Association’s (NPCA) State of the Parks Program was developed to identify natural and cultural resources in jeopardy across the United States National Parks System. This natural resources assessment has been prepared on behalf of NPCA and in accordance with the guidelines outlined in NPCA’s Natural Resources Assessment and Ratings Methodology (NPCA 2006). It is intended to provide an ecosystem-level evaluation of the health of natural resources at Virgin Islands National Park and Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. These protected areas are unique units within the National Parks System because of the diversity and complexity of habitats and organisms they contain, but outside pressures are threatening the integrity of some of the most critical systems within both the park and monument. Existing data from the National Park Service, other federal and territorial agencies, academic research studies, and peer-reviewed journals were used in conjunction with interviews of park staff and site visits to evaluate the health of the natural resources. The results of the assessment indicate that park and monument resources are vulnerable due to a combination of natural and anthropogenic stressors, including hurricanes, development, grazing of non-native animals, and visitor damage to sensitive systems such as coral reefs. Park staff have implemented numerous management initiatives to protect resources and mitigate threats to sensitive resources; however, the park and monument do not have sufficient funding or staff to enforce existing rules or to implement new programs that could help improve the state of vulnerable resources. This assessment concludes with management recommendations that would allow park managers to improve conditions and help ensure that the park’s resources are present and healthy for future generations.Item Open Access A POLICY-ORIENTED ETHNOGRAPHY OF THE WINTER BLUEFIN TUNA FISHERY IN BEAUFORT AND MOREHEAD CITY, NORTH CAROLINA(2005) Brazer, Eric O JrIn the mid-1990s, sport fishermen from the Outer Banks of North Carolina stumbled upon a winter population of bluefin tuna in the shallow waters near shore. Each winter since then, fishermen have braved icy waters and frigid temperatures to capitalize on this resource. In their quest for a commercial share of the U.S. quota, these local fishermen have shown a unique interest in making their voices heard. They now play a significant role in the data collection and management of bluefin tuna, working side-by-side with scientists and forming a non-profit organization. This MP aims to document the cultural system of these fishermen and incorporate recommendations for more effective bluefin tuna management. In an effort to accomplish this goal I produced a policy-oriented ethnography that characterizes the social, economic and regulatory structure of the sport and commercial bluefin tuna fishery in Beaufort and Morehead City, North Carolina.Item Restricted Adapting to Rising Sea Levels(2010) Peloso, Margaret ElizabethAccording to IPCC estimates, sea levels will rise between .18 and .6 meters by 2100. More recent estimates indicate that actual amounts of sea level rise may be much more, and that 1 meter of sea level rise by 2100 is likely a conservative estimate. These rising sea levels will result not only in more flooding during storm events, but also increased erosion and gradual inundation of coastal property. At the same time, coastal populations in the United States continue to increase rapidly: over half of all Americans live in coastal counties, and at least 25 million more people are expected to move to the coast by 2015. The end result is that human populations, coastal infrastructure, and coastal ecosystems will become increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. This study examines the political and legal constraints to and opportunities for adaptation to rising sea levels. Using legal and policy analysis and case studies from California, North Carolina and Texas, this study explores the ability of governments to use market tools, land use regulations, and property acquisition to promote adaptation to rising sea levels. Because of market dynamics and political factors including flaws in public risk perception, I conclude that governments who wish to avoid extensive coastal engineering, , can address coastal community vulnerability through a combination of regulations and incentives that spur state and local governments to engage in forward land use planning and other measures to reduce their exposure to sea level rise impacts.
Item Open Access Adapting to Sea-level Rise: Where North Carolina Stands(2014-04-21) Shipley, KristaIn 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released their 4th assessment report which provided indisputable evidence that the world climate is warming, leading to changes in sea-level caused by two factors: melting land ice and thermal expansion of the oceans. This report conservatively estimated between 0.18 and 0.59 meters of global mean sea-level rise by 2100. Although sea level rise is a global issue, the specific effects and magnitude felt by different coastal communities are unique. Sea-level at a specific location, relative sea-level, is not influenced solely by GMSL but also by factors such as variations in global land ice which effects the gravitational field of the Earth, local vertical land movements such as sediment compaction and tectonics, as well as changes in coastal currents and local water temperature. The National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration has identified North Carolina as highly vulnerable to effects of SLR because of its “high wave exposure, low-relief coastal slope, and abundance of barrier islands.” In addition, the Atlantic coast of the United States is experiencing subsidence, a sinking of the Earth’s surface caused by either natural or human-induced causes. In 2010, the North Carolina Coastal Resources Commission’s Science Panel on Coastal Hazards completed the North Carolina Sea-Level Rise Assessment Report, requested by the Coastal Resources Commission to inform sea-level rise policy in the state. The report included a recommendation that North Carolina use of a one meter of rise benchmark for planning purposes. Almost two-and-a-half years later, North Carolina received national and international ridicule for its legislative decision that prohibits factoring a rate of sea-level rise into coastal planning until, at the earliest, July 1, 2016. This masters project will examine how the current law passed despite the recommendation of the Coastal Resources Commission’s Science Panel and will elucidate the future courses of action that the state may execute after the release of a five-year follow-up to the North Carolina Sea-Level Rise Assessment Report in March 2015.Item Open Access Addressing Consolidation in the New England Groundfish Fishery: An Examination of Multiple Management Approaches(2011-04-28) Bradley, Marianna EvaConsolidation of the New England groundfish fleet has been commonly cited as a potential consequence of the newly implemented catch share management system. However, the New England Fisheries Management Council has yet to implement policies to protect the interests of small-scale fishermen or to maintain geographic and fleet diversity. Smaller fishing operations are less competitive than larger fishing corporations and are typically the first to go when fisheries switch to catch share management. Inaction by the Council stems from disagreements amongst members as to the extent of consolidation resulting in the disenfranchisement of small-scale fishing interests, largely due to a lack of data of the subject. This masters project investigates the nature and avenues for consolidation over the major management shifts in this fishery, characterizing how the fleet has changed over time. A combination of resources were used to conduct this assessment including primary and secondary sources of literature, informal interviews with key informants in the field, and data requested from the National Marine Fisheries Service. Additionally, policy mechanisms used elsewhere to protect fleet diversity are explored, including accumulation limits and community quota entity programs. These mechanisms are then incorporated into several management approaches such as the existing sector program and Individual Transferable Quotas (ITQs) which are compared to determine which would most effectively protect the continued participation of small-scale fishing interests, resulting in fleet diversity and a more disperse geographical distribution of participants. The results from this analysis show that the groundfish fleet in New England has consolidated considerably over the major management shifts both as a result of direct government attempts to reduce fleet size through vessel and permit buyouts and because of unintended consequences of regulations, marginalizing small-scale fishermen. This study finds that the Council should continue with the current catch share management approach via fishing sectors, but incorporate community quota entity programs in order to assist existing community efforts.Item Open Access An Assessment of Adaptive Program Management Development by the United States Navy in Guam(2013-04-24) Sablan, RandelAdaptive management has been widely used to manage ecological and natural resources from large aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems to individual special status species. Adaptive Program Management (APM) is a unique application of adaptive management to a large, complex, and long-duration construction program in support of the relocation of U.S. Marine Corps personnel and dependents from Okinawa, Japan to Guam. APM is aimed at avoiding significant construction related environmental impacts including potentially significant impacts to already degraded utility infrastructure and fragile public service systems on Guam. The uncertainty and potential severity of impacts stem from a projected rapid and large population increase over a five to ten year construction period. Federal and local representatives have assisted the U.S. Navy to develop APM guidance and an operating charter for the Civil Military Coordinating Council (CMCC) the organization responsible for implementing APM. In this paper I evaluate the development of APM from five perspectives – the project record of decision and environmental impact statement, Council on Environmental Quality guidance, the Department of Interior’s Adaptive Management Technical Guide, an article by Gregory R (Gregory et al. 2006) and from insights by the key stakeholders involved in developing APM. I conclude that APM has substantially met the intent and guidance from the literature cited above, and offer five management recommendations to further develop APM for implementation; 1) better defining the concept of induced population growth; 2) providing additional workshop-level efforts to develop impact triggers followed by investigations into low-cost yet adequately scoped monitoring approaches that inform triggers; 3) formulating a new standard operating procedure to enhance collaboration among practitioners; and 4) granting full authority to the CMCC to determine an optimal mix of membership. APM application to other large, complex and long-duration construction projects may benefit from organizing and managing environmental and social impacts by replacing traditional management frameworks without adding a new level of management.Item Open Access An Assessment of the Effectiveness and Usage of the Surfrider Foundation Annual State of the Beach Report(2008-04-24T14:33:27Z) Bain, JohnEvery year since 2000, the Surfrider Foundation has released the State of the Beach Report. This annual report uses a suite of coastal health indicators to rate coastal state management information availability and status. After eight years, the Surfrider Foundation wanted to know how well the State of the Beach Report was measuring coastal health and to what extent it was utilized in creating coastal policy. I used three separate metrics to assess the State of the Beach Report. First, using the Handbook for measuring the progress and outcomes of Integrated Coastal and Ocean Management (UNESCO, 2006), I created a hierarchy of those many aspects of beach health of interest to the Surfrider Foundation. By coding the various indicators used in the State of the Beach Report I was able to determine that the report directly addressed 32 of the 34 subcategories and thus is an appropriate measure of coastal health. Secondly, I analyzed data from each of the previous eight State of the Beach Reports to determine where changes in indicator grades signified a trend. Once these trends were identified I identified the cause of each change. The majority of these changes were the result of states increasing the amount and availability of information related to coastal zone issues. The BEACH Act, and its associated positive changes in the Water Quality indicator, was the only specific piece of legislation or set of regulations I was able to identify. Finally, I surveyed nearly 200 coastal zone managers across the country to determine the visibility and influence of the State of the Beach Report in coastal zone management. I was able to determine that the Report has high visibility within the coastal management community and has a similar level of influence on policy formation as other Surfrider Foundation methods. Surprisingly, there is relatively little usage and awareness of the online version of the report. This analysis displays the value of the State of the Beach Report. With certain additions and changes, the report should continue to be one of the most comprehensive metrics for assessing coastal health in the United States.Item Open Access An Evaluation of Marine Education Facilities in Carteret County, North Carolina(2011-04-28) Hamer, CaitlinPublic outreach and education is crucial to environmental policy because management decisions directly affect the public, and public support of public sector initiatives depends on properly understanding challenges and issues to successfully provide potential solutions. It is important to relate scientific discoveries and research to people’s everyday lives so that they understand the importance of, as well as alternatives for, proper environmental management and how it relates directly to them. The first major focus of this client-based project involved a comprehensive review of the major marine education facilities in Carteret County, North Carolina, which included the development of a written questionnaire and a focus group meeting with local educators. The second major focus of this project was to assist in the development of a strategic plan for the education branch of the North Carolina Maritime Museum, the major client of this project. The overall purpose of this project is to help local educators collaborate and network to build relationships and open lines of communication with one another. To help do so, a set of recommendations was developed to help promote future collaboration.Item Open Access An Implementation Plan for Bio-Indicator Monitoring in support of Integrated Coastal Management in the U.S. Virgin Islands(2004) Hutchins, AaronRegulation and management of coastal systems is often compartmentalized into three broad categories: resource extraction (e.g. fisheries), coastal development, and pollution control. In the US Virgin Islands, the existing monitoring and research regimes dealing with coastal water quality, coral reef assessment, and fisheries management all have convergent goals of assessing and protecting coastal habitats. The methodologies and data analysis provided by these existing monitoring and research regimes are often incompatible as they are inherently designed to answer individual resource management or research questions associated with the regulatory program of interest. Environmental indicators are selected key statistics that represent or summarize a significant aspect of the state of the environment, natural resource suitability and related human activities (Vendermeulen, 1998). The application of biological indicators or bioindicators, as a tool for monitoring and assessing ecological integrity within key coastal systems is an emerging trend in natural resources management in the Caribbean. Bioindicators offer a signal of the biological condition within an ecosystem. Their application as an early indication of pollution or degradation in an ecosystem can help sustain critical resources (Dulcie and Warner, 2003). The most common bio-indicator programs found throughout the Caribbean are most often associated with coral reef monitoring programs. Coral reef monitoring programs are inherently bio-indicator monitoring programs as they principally measure a range of biological conditions and their changes over time. The US Virgin Islands has no overall coastal habitat and protection strategy that integrates the individual coastal monitoring and assessment programs historically or currently existing in the territory. The territorys environmental assessment and regulatory authority, the Department of Planning and Natural Resources, has recently undergone significant growth and expansion with its monitoring and assessment capabilities with support from various federal agencies and directives from new federal mandates. The opportunity now exists and warrants the creation of a comprehensive coastal and marine habitat monitoring and assessment program with a common goal of the preservation of ecological integrity. This would increase departmental efficiency and provide a solid mechanism for achieving a key component in the Departments overall mission and Five Year Strategic Plan (DPNR, 2000) along with addressing goals of the Departments Multi-Year Monitoring Strategy (DPNR, 2001). This approach would ultimately provide quantitative assessment tools allowing policy makers and program managers to more accurately track the preservation efforts and, over time, tailor their actions for the greatest effect. The integration of coastal management will be further enhanced by identifying common programmatic goals and streamlining field methodologies and monitoring station distribution where practicable.Item Open Access An Integrated Analysis of Oyster Fisheries Managemenet in Pamlico Sound, North Carolina(2010-04-29T10:40:07Z) Baldera, Alexis AnneConservative estimates for population levels of the Eastern Oyster, Crassostrea virginica, in North Carolina are around 10% of the levels estimated at the turn of the 20th century. Oyster reefs perform many functions including providing habitat for fish and other species, stabilizing sediment, and helping to improve water quality. The important, intertwined, and valuable functions that oysters perform are lost when their populations decline; therefore there is a growing movement in eastern North Carolina to restore native oyster populations. My master’s project evaluates different stakeholders’ beliefs about oyster stock status, factors affecting oyster population decline, restoration strategies, and current management strategies. My goal was to gain a broad understanding of the present and future needs for managing oyster stocks in the Pamlico Sound of North Carolina, and make recommendations regarding management and recovery efforts. I am interested in a multi-sector perspective, because understanding different stakeholders’ beliefs is important for designing and implementing successful management strategies. In order to do this, I conducted 16 interviews with key informants involved in the oyster fishery in Pamlico Sound. The participants were involved in state management, academic research, commercial fishing, aquaculture, and the non-profit sector. My results indicate that there is a range of opinions and beliefs regarding stock status, factors affecting oyster decline, restoration, and management strategies. Opinions on stock status and management strategies varied widely across and within sectors, as did opinions on the need for more accurate stock assessment. Restoration efforts were widely supported, and opinions on the need for more restoration varied depending on factors such as the type of restoration and the time frame for recovery. Based on my findings I recommend that the state of North Carolina map all oyster beds in the Pamlico Sound by use type. This will allow for more efficient allocation of resources, and will aid in the design of future sanctuary locations as larval sources for wild oyster populations and restoration projects.Item Open Access An Integrated Approach to Coastal Zone Management of Abu Dhabi Western Region(2008-12-05T19:43:58Z) Al-Harthi, SuaadThe emirate of Abu Dhabi is currently undergoing unprecedented economic development. This development is allowing new opportunities for growth in the private and industrial sectors while attracting tourists and leading to population growth. Continued development has increased demand for use of coastal and ocean space for various socio-economic and cultural activities. The Western Region in particular is being targeted for developmental projects due to the availability of unused land and an objective to boost the economic status of under-developed areas within the Abu Dhabi emirate. Information was gathered on the government setting and relevant environmental legislation, the current and future uses of the coastal and ocean area as well as the natural and anthropogenic stresses that the natural environment faces. This paper then analyzed the adequacy of the current structure in facing the challenges of meeting multiple objectives for use of the coastal zone and minimizing the occurrence of conflicts. The Western Region provides an opportunity to incorporate environmental planning in the early stages of development. The challenges to attaining sustainable development are outlined and recommendations are provided to implement better management through the use of Integrated Coastal Zone Management and Marine Spatial Planning approaches.Item Open Access Are CAMA Land-Use Plans Protecting Coastal Resources? An Evaluation of North Carolina’s Coastal Planning Requirement(2010-12-09) Bruce, JenniferNorth Carolina’s Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA) was created in 1974 to “establish a comprehensive plan for the protection, preservation, orderly development, and management of the coastal area.” One of CAMA’s key tools for managing coastal lands is a state-mandated land-use planning process, which tries to incentivize environmental protection through required analyses, planning exercises, and policy creation. The goal of this study was to determine the degree to which the CAMA planning requirement encourages counties to think critically about their environmental resources and plan strategically for future development. This report evaluates the effectiveness of the CAMA planning requirement through two main analyses: a critical review of plan content and quality using case studies from Carteret, Dare, and Gates Counties; and a social survey to assess current opinions and usage of CAMA land-use plans by county officials and planning employees. Plan evaluation results showed that while counties excelled at data assessments of current infrastructure and environmental resources, the application of environmental analyses into responsible development planning fell short. Plan policies were typically weak and unenforceable, and rarely exceeded state and federal standards. Survey results communicated overall satisfaction with the planning requirement, and noted that the process does encourage counties to consider environmental resources but additional protection is still needed. This report concludes that the required environmental inventories and suitability analyses are the most beneficial aspects of the planning process, and encourages the State to dedicate future efforts towards expanding these elements and providing more localized data assistance and guidance.Item Open Access Building Leadership and Entrepreneurial Capacity for a Sustainable Hawaii(2012-04-27) Lewandowski, Linda M.Just a few years into the 21st century, Hawaii began to examine itself in the context of a changing world. Some of the challenges that this isolated chain of islands in the middle of the Pacific Ocean faced were a growing population, deteriorating public infrastructure, climate change impacts, dependency on imported fossil fuel and food, and decreasing biodiversity. After a two year effort involving over 10,000 island residents, the Sustainability Task Force released Hawaii 2050 (State of Hawaii, 2008) which was the most comprehensive planning effort in the state in over thirty years. In addition, the Governor’s office launched the 2008 Hawaii Clean Energy Initiative (HCEI) in partnership with the US Department of Energy to transform Hawaii’s fossil fuel energy backbone to 70% from clean indigenous sources by 2030 (DBEDT, 2008). This energy transformation will spawn an economic shift away from tourism towards the high tech demanding a more skilled and technical work force. Currently, the K through 12 curricula are not structured to develop leaders and entrepreneurs who will successfully guide Hawaii’s efforts towards a more sustainable way of life. Planet Pioneers is an organization designed to fill this gap. Their main goal is to make a unique contribution to Hawaii’s security, stability, and economic growth by expanding the capacity of local communities and K-12 students to innovate and lead towards a sustainable future. This study is undertaken to: 1. Identify stakeholder knowledge, skills and motivations for supporting PP mission that will inform PP partnership and program designs. 2. Document and analyze the knowledge, attitudes and perceptions of local community residents and other stakeholders as they pertain to the vision of a sustainable Hawaii. Data analysis consisted of a stakeholder and partner analysis using a survey tool and key informant interviews as the primary research tools. Results indicated that Planet Pioneers will be supported by partners and local community members. Where the results can best inform the Planet Pioneer partnership and program model is to raise the community’s general awareness and knowledge of sustainability and how to scale the Planet Pioneer model after the pilot so it expands to a full K12 program with the addition of internships.Item Open Access COASTAL CLIMATE ADAPTATION: Ecological and Socioeconomic effects of Climate Change in Dare, Hyde, and Tyrrell Counties(2012-04-26) Boudreau, DanielleClimate change threatens the ecological and socioeconomic sustainability of Dare, Hyde, and Tyrrell counties as they are the three lowest-lying counties in all of North Carolina, making them particularly vulnerable to sea level rise (SLR) and changes in storm intensity and frequency. The objectives of this study are to : (1) summarize the socioeconomic importance of these three counties, including an evaluation of ecosystem services provided by coastal and marine environments; (2) project the potential biophysical impacts climate change may have in the future; and (3) conclude with an evaluation of the current climate adaptation policies and strategies, including land-use plans and shoreline stabilization, that the North Carolina state government, local county governments, and nonprofits are implementing. The research demonstrates that the local economies in these counties are driven by agriculture, commercial fisheries, and tourism, with ecosystem services providing valuable resources to both local and state populations. The consequences of climate change in the region are vast and unpredictable meaning effective climate adaptation strategies must be developed now before the implications of climate change become a reality. Current climate adaptation policies provide only short-term solutions to a long-term problem. It is recommended that communities weigh the economic, social, and cultural costs of armoring the shoreline versus retreating further inland. Conservation organizations should focus their efforts inland in order to acquire conservation easements anticipating where the coastline will be in 100 years.Item Open Access Coastal Community Resilience to Natural Hazards: A Socio-Economic Policy Analysis of Communities along the Florida Gulf Coast(2012-04-27) Herrera, Daniel; Lavey, Stephanie; Spiegler, SarahThis research paper is the beginning of a 5-year investigative effort by Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Mote Marine Lab studying the harmful effects of red tides. This paper investigates the resilience of coastal communities in western Florida in the face of natural hazards. On Florida’s Gulf Coast, despite chronic exposure to natural hazards, coastal communities are growing in population and economic scale. Coastal development is often haphazard and unplanned, resulting in degradation of fragile and hazard-prone coastal ecosystems. This places communities at greater risk to the effects of coastal hazards. This paper hypothesizes that, although it is unlikely that natural disasters independently drive economic trends in this region, their presence exacerbates preexisting vulnerable economic conditions on an annual time-scale. This study investigates community resilience of Florida’s 23 Gulf Coast counties, exploring the adaptive capacity of the counties to absorb shocks while maintaining essential functions. Community resilience of western Florida is affected by the spatial and temporal distribution of hazard exposure. This paper assumes the effects of hazards are reflected in annual economic and population data for the year following the hazard. It categorizes historical storms and red tides and responses to these events via trends in four economic indicators for each county from 1969 to 2011; population, employment, per capita income, and number of proprietors. The results of this study show there were very few changes in the trends of the economic indicators after one year for most of the hazard events. The majority of economic and demographic data show persistent increases between 1969 and 2011, indicating that the Florida Gulf Coast system is resilient to red tides and hurricanes. Decreases in economic data trends were more closely correlated to years of economic recessions, not red tide blooms or major hurricanes years. This analysis suggests that storms and red tides may exacerbate decreases in economic and demographic data in the year following the storm, but that counties rebound to previous levels after one year. It concludes that perturbations from normal economic and population trends are most likely due to a combination of factors, such as economic recessions or anomalous air temperatures, along with natural hazards. It is also possible that effective government policies enhancing and protecting social and economic resilience can be addressed through public polices over time in response to hazard events, contributing to the increased resilience of coastal communities. Policies that plan, mitigate, and adapt to these hazards create a more resilient socio-economic system. Because the effects of these policies are not always immediately clear, resilience planning is difficult. Red tides and hurricanes place the growing population of Florida at greater risk for structural damage and economic downturns following hazard events. Increasing population in the Gulf Coast of Florida and the impending effects of climate change may decrease community resilience in the future. It is necessary for policymakers to consider these challenges and others inherent in resiliency planning. This paper concludes with a compilation of policy recommendations based on resilience research that state and local officials may consider for mitigating harmful effects of natural hazards.Item Open Access Coastal Community Resilience to Natural Hazards: A Socio-Economic Policy Analysis of Communities along the Florida Gulf Coast(2012-04-26) Spiegler, Sarah; Lavey, Stephanie; Herrera, DanielThis master’s project is the beginning of a 5-year investigative effort by Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Mote Marine Lab studying the harmful effects of red tides. This paper investigates the resilience of coastal communities in western Florida in the face of natural hazards. On Florida’s Gulf Coast, despite chronic exposure to natural hazards, coastal communities are growing in population and economic scale. Coastal development is often haphazard and unplanned, resulting in degradation of fragile and hazard-prone coastal ecosystems. This places communities at greater risk to the effects of coastal hazards. This paper hypothesizes that, although it is unlikely that natural disasters independently drive economic trends in this region, their presence exacerbates preexisting vulnerable economic conditions on an annual time-scale. This study investigates community resilience of Florida’s 23 Gulf Coast counties, exploring the adaptive capacity of the counties to absorb shocks while maintaining essential functions. Community resilience of western Florida is affected by the spatial and temporal distribution of hazard exposure. This paper assumes the effects of hazards are reflected in annual economic and population data for the year following the hazard. It categorizes historical storms and red tides and responses to these events via trends in four economic indicators for each county from 1969 to 2011; population, employment, per capita income, and number of proprietors. The results of this study show there were very few changes in the trends of the economic indicators after one year for most of the hazard events. The majority of economic and demographic data show persistent increases between 1969 and 2011, indicating that the Florida Gulf Coast system is resilient to red tides and hurricanes. Decreases in economic data trends were more closely correlated to years of economic recessions, not red tide blooms or major hurricanes years. This analysis suggests that storms and red tides may exacerbate decreases in economic and demographic data in the year following the storm, but that counties rebound to previous levels after one year. It concludes that perturbations from normal economic and population trends are most likely due to a combination of factors, such as economic recessions or anomalous air temperatures, along with natural hazards. It is also possible that effective government policies enhancing and protecting social and economic resilience can be addressed through public polices over time in response to hazard events, contributing to the increased resilience of coastal communities. Policies that plan, mitigate, and adapt to these hazards create a more resilient socio-economic system. Because the effects of these policies are not always immediately clear, resilience planning is difficult. Red tides and hurricanes place the growing population of Florida at greater risk for structural damage and economic downturns following hazard events. Increasing population in the Gulf Coast of Florida and the impending effects of climate change may decrease community resilience in the future. It is necessary for policymakers to consider these challenges and others inherent in resiliency planning. This paper concludes with a compilation of policy recommendations based on resilience research that state and local officials may consider for mitigating harmful effects of natural hazards.