Browsing by Author "Papazian, John"
Now showing 1 - 3 of 3
Results Per Page
Sort Options
Item Open Access An Inquiry into the Balance between Federal and State Energy Policy in the Southeast(2012-04-20) Papazian, John; Jentgen, MattMany policies have been proposed to address America’s growing energy needs, but a broad-based compromise is often constrained by regional differences. It is important to highlight the regional benefits of potential energy policies that drive renewable generation. North Carolina enacted a renewable portfolio standard in 2007 known as the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Standard (REPS). This was significant because a mandatory renewable energy requirement was passed through a state legislature in the Southeast for the first time and in a region where power markets are heavily regulated. Our energy modeling endeavor forecasts the results of other Southeastern states adopting a similar renewable portfolio standard, along with various levels of federal action. Our results indicate that a coordinated renewable portfolio standard throughout the Southeast could reduce wholesale electricity prices by $6 per megawatt hour and mitigate carbon dioxide emissions by 18 million tons in North Carolina relative to other policy alternatives by 2025. Our analysis utilizes two distinct energy models to evaluate the impact of federal and state energy policies. By incorporating the Department of Energy’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and the AURORAxmp models, we are able to perform a robust scenario analysis that tests political ideologies, congressional action, and federal agency regulation. The results allow us to identify potential outcomes of renewable portfolio standards within the reality of an uncertain energy future.Item Open Access An Inquiry into the Balance Between Federal and State Energy Policy in the Southeast(2012-04-21) Jentgen, Matthew; Papazian, JohnMany policies have been proposed to address America’s growing energy needs, but a broad-based compromise is often constrained by regional differences. It is important to highlight the regional benefits of potential energy policies that drive renewable generation. North Carolina enacted a renewable portfolio standard in 2007 known as the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Standard (REPS). This was significant because a mandatory renewable energy requirement was passed through a state legislature in the Southeast for the first time and in a region where power markets are heavily regulated. Our energy modeling endeavor forecasts the results of other Southeastern states adopting a similar renewable portfolio standard, along with various levels of federal action. Our results indicate that a coordinated renewable portfolio standard throughout the Southeast could reduce wholesale electricity prices by $6 per megawatt hour and mitigate carbon dioxide emissions by 18 million tons in North Carolina relative to other policy alternatives by 2025. Our analysis utilizes two distinct energy models to evaluate the impact of federal and state energy policies. By incorporating the Department of Energy’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and the AURORAxmp models, we are able to perform a robust scenario analysis that tests political ideologies, congressional action, and federal agency regulation. The results allow us to identify potential outcomes of renewable portfolio standards within the reality of an uncertain energy future.Item Open Access Program Evaluation of the Denver Police HALO Camera Surveillance System: A Geospatial Statistical Analysis of Crime(2012-04-17) Papazian, JohnThe Denver Police Department has recently implemented a new high-tech surveillance program to prevent crime throughout the city. The High Activity Location Observation (HALO) cameras are an improvement over traditional closed-circuit television cameras because they have full pivot and zoom capabilities that can transmit video to police headquarters in real time. The department has installed more than 100 HALO cameras at various high crime areas in Denver as of 2012. This investigation attempts a program evaluation of the surveillance system through a geospatial statistical analysis of crime. Although cameras have been installed across the city, this investigation focuses on cameras installed in Police District #6, which encompasses the central business district. This investigation establishes a statistically significant relationship between the installation of the HALO cameras and a reduction of thefts from motor vehicles in the viewshed of the cameras in Denver Police District #6. The difference-in-difference econometric approach is rigorous enough to infer causality in the relationship. Other categories of crime also may have been reduced due to the HALO cameras, but the statistical evidence is not strong enough to make a causal claim. Based upon the empirical results, I recommend three strategies: (1) collaborating with local BIDs to expand new HALO video cameras into other areas experiencing high levels of theft from motor vehicles, (2) upgrading the information system to cross-reference NIBRS crime incident data to actual arrests and convictions, and (3) implementing a randomized controlled experiment in the next phase of the HALO program.