Browsing by Author "Pencina, Michael J"
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Item Open Access Association of Preceding Antithrombotic Treatment With Acute Ischemic Stroke Severity and In-Hospital Outcomes Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.(JAMA, 2017-03) Xian, Ying; O'Brien, Emily C; Liang, Li; Xu, Haolin; Schwamm, Lee H; Fonarow, Gregg C; Bhatt, Deepak L; Smith, Eric E; Olson, DaiWai M; Maisch, Lesley; Hannah, Deidre; Lindholm, Brianna; Lytle, Barbara L; Pencina, Michael J; Hernandez, Adrian F; Peterson, Eric DImportance:Antithrombotic therapies are known to prevent stroke for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) but are often underused in community practice. Objectives:To examine the prevalence of patients with acute ischemic stroke with known history of AF who were not receiving guideline-recommended antithrombotic treatment before stroke and to determine the association of preceding antithrombotic therapy with stroke severity and in-hospital outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants:Retrospective observational study of 94 474 patients with acute ischemic stroke and known history of AF admitted from October 2012 through March 2015 to 1622 hospitals participating in the Get With the Guidelines-Stroke program. Exposures:Antithrombotic therapy before stroke. Main Outcomes and Measures:Stroke severity as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS; range of 0-42, with a higher score indicating greater stroke severity and a score ≥16 indicating moderate or severe stroke), and in-hospital mortality. Results:Of 94 474 patients (mean [SD] age, 79.9 [11.0] years; 57.0% women), 7176 (7.6%) were receiving therapeutic warfarin (international normalized ratio [INR] ≥2) and 8290 (8.8%) were receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) preceding the stroke. A total of 79 008 patients (83.6%) were not receiving therapeutic anticoagulation; 12 751 (13.5%) had subtherapeutic warfarin anticoagulation (INR <2) at the time of stroke, 37 674 (39.9%) were receiving antiplatelet therapy only, and 28 583 (30.3%) were not receiving any antithrombotic treatment. Among 91 155 high-risk patients (prestroke CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2), 76 071 (83.5%) were not receiving therapeutic warfarin or NOACs before stroke. The unadjusted rates of moderate or severe stroke were lower among patients receiving therapeutic warfarin (15.8% [95% CI, 14.8%-16.7%]) and NOACs (17.5% [95% CI, 16.6%-18.4%]) than among those receiving no antithrombotic therapy (27.1% [95% CI, 26.6%-27.7%]), antiplatelet therapy only (24.8% [95% CI, 24.3%-25.3%]), or subtherapeutic warfarin (25.8% [95% CI, 25.0%-26.6%]); unadjusted rates of in-hospital mortality also were lower for those receiving therapeutic warfarin (6.4% [95% CI, 5.8%-7.0%]) and NOACs (6.3% [95% CI, 5.7%-6.8%]) compared with those receiving no antithrombotic therapy (9.3% [95% CI, 8.9%-9.6%]), antiplatelet therapy only (8.1% [95% CI, 7.8%-8.3%]), or subtherapeutic warfarin (8.8% [95% CI, 8.3%-9.3%]). After adjusting for potential confounders, compared with no antithrombotic treatment, preceding use of therapeutic warfarin, NOACs, or antiplatelet therapy was associated with lower odds of moderate or severe stroke (adjusted odds ratio [95% CI], 0.56 [0.51-0.60], 0.65 [0.61-0.71], and 0.88 [0.84-0.92], respectively) and in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [95% CI], 0.75 [0.67-0.85], 0.79 [0.72-0.88], and 0.83 [0.78-0.88], respectively). Conclusions and Relevance:Among patients with atrial fibrillation who had experienced an acute ischemic stroke, inadequate therapeutic anticoagulation preceding the stroke was prevalent. Therapeutic anticoagulation was associated with lower odds of moderate or severe stroke and lower odds of in-hospital mortality.Item Open Access Clinical Effectiveness of Direct Oral Anticoagulants vs Warfarin in Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Stroke: Findings From the Patient-Centered Research Into Outcomes Stroke Patients Prefer and Effectiveness Research (PROSPER) Study.(JAMA neurology, 2019-07-22) Xian, Ying; Xu, Haolin; O'Brien, Emily C; Shah, Shreyansh; Thomas, Laine; Pencina, Michael J; Fonarow, Gregg C; Olson, DaiWai M; Schwamm, Lee H; Bhatt, Deepak L; Smith, Eric E; Hannah, Deidre; Maisch, Lesley; Lytle, Barbara L; Peterson, Eric D; Hernandez, Adrian FImportance:Current guidelines recommend direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) over warfarin for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who are at high risk. Despite demonstrated efficacy in clinical trials, real-world data of DOACs vs warfarin for secondary prevention in patients with ischemic stroke are largely based on administrative claims or have not focused on patient-centered outcomes. Objective:To examine the clinical effectiveness of DOACs (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or apixaban) vs warfarin after ischemic stroke in patients with AF. Design, Setting, and Participants:This cohort study included patients who were 65 years or older, had AF, were anticoagulation naive, and were discharged from 1041 Get With The Guidelines-Stroke-associated hospitals for acute ischemic stroke between October 2011 and December 2014. Data were linked to Medicare claims for long-term outcomes (up to December 2015). Analyses were completed in July 2018. Exposures:DOACs vs warfarin prescription at discharge. Main Outcomes and Measures:The primary outcomes were home time, a patient-centered measure defined as the total number of days free from death and institutional care after discharge, and major adverse cardiovascular events. A propensity score-overlap weighting method was used to account for differences in observed characteristics between groups. Results:Of 11 662 survivors of acute ischemic stroke (median [interquartile range] age, 80 [74-86] years), 4041 (34.7%) were discharged with DOACs and 7621 with warfarin. Except for National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores (median [interquartile range], 4 [1-9] vs 5 [2-11]), baseline characteristics were similar between groups. Patients discharged with DOACs (vs warfarin) had more days at home (mean [SD], 287.2 [114.7] vs 263.0 [127.3] days; adjusted difference, 15.6 [99% CI, 9.0-22.1] days) during the first year postdischarge and were less likely to experience major adverse cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.89 [99% CI, 0.83-0.96]). Also, in patients receiving DOACs, there were fewer deaths (aHR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.82-0.95]; P < .001), all-cause readmissions (aHR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.88-0.97]; P = .003), cardiovascular readmissions (aHR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.86-0.99]; P = .02), hemorrhagic strokes (aHR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.50-0.95]; P = .02), and hospitalizations with bleeding (aHR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.81-0.97]; P = .009) but a higher risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (aHR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.01-1.30]; P = .03). Conclusions and Relevance:In patients with acute ischemic stroke and AF, DOAC use at discharge was associated with better long-term outcomes relative to warfarin.Item Open Access Deriving Real-World Insights From Real-World Data: Biostatistics to the Rescue.(Annals of internal medicine, 2018-09) Pencina, Michael J; Rockhold, Frank W; D'Agostino, Ralph BItem Open Access Egg Consumption and Risk of Total and Cause-Specific Mortality: An Individual-Based Cohort Study and Pooling Prospective Studies on Behalf of the Lipid and Blood Pressure Meta-analysis Collaboration (LBPMC) Group.(Journal of the American College of Nutrition, 2019-06-07) Mazidi, Mohsen; Katsiki, Niki; Mikhailidis, Dimitri P; Pencina, Michael J; Banach, MaciejThe associations of egg consumption with total, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke mortality are poorly understood. We prospectively evaluated the link between total, CHD, and stroke mortality with egg consumption using a randomly selected sample of U.S. adults. Next we validated these results within a meta-analysis and systematic review of all available prospective results. We assessed the mean of cardiometabolic risk factors across the intake of eggs. We made the analysis based on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES; 1999-2010). In NHANES, vital status through December 31, 2011, was ascertained. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to relate baseline egg consumption with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases were also searched (up to December 2017). The DerSimonian-Laird method and generic inverse variance methods were used for quantitative data synthesis. Overall, 23,524 participants from NHANES were included (mean age of 47.7 years; 48.7% were men). Across increasing the intake of eggs, adjusted mean levels of cardiometabolic risk factors worsened. Adjusted logistic regression showed that participants in the highest category of egg intake had a greater risk of diabetes (T2DM; 30%) and hypertension (HTN; 48%). With regard to total and CHD mortality, multivariable Cox regression in a fully adjusted model showed no link in males and females. In males, egg intake had a reverse (66%) association with stroke mortality, while this link was not significant among females. The results of pooling data from published prospective studies also showed no link between CHD and total mortality with egg consumption, whereas we observed a reverse (28%) association between egg intake and stroke mortality. These findings were robust after sensitivity analysis. According to our findings, egg intake had no association with CHD and total mortality, whereas was associated with lower risk of mortality from stroke. Egg consumption was associated with T2DM, HTN, C-reactive protein, and markers of glucose/insulin homeostasis. If confirmed in clinical trials (causation), this information may have applications for population-wide health measures. Key teaching points No link between total and CHD mortality with eggs intake in males and females. In males, egg intake had a reverse association with stroke mortality, while this link was not significant among females. The results of pooling data from published prospective studies also showed no link between CHD and total mortality with egg consumption, whereas we observed a reverse association between egg intake and stroke mortality.Item Open Access Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension.(Scientific reports, 2017-02-15) Kopeć, Grzegorz; Waligóra, Marcin; Tyrka, Anna; Jonas, Kamil; Pencina, Michael J; Zdrojewski, Tomasz; Moertl, Deddo; Stokwiszewski, Jakub; Zagożdżon, Paweł; Podolec, PiotrLow-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C) is a well established metabolic marker of cardiovascular risk, however, its role in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) has not been determined. Therefore we assessed whether LDL-C levels are altered in PAH patients, if they are associated with survival in this group and whether pulmonary hypertension (PH) reversal can influence LDL-C levels. Consecutive 46 PAH males and 94 females were age matched with a representative sample of 1168 males and 1245 females, respectively. Cox regression models were used to assess the association between LDL-C and mortality. The effect of PH reversal on LDL-C levels was assessed in 34 patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) undergoing invasive treatment. LDL-C was lower in both PAH (2.6 ± 0.8 mmol/l) and CTEPH (2.7 ± 0.7 mmol/l) patients when compared to controls (3.2 ± 1.1 mmol/l, p < 0.001). In PAH patients lower LDL-C significantly predicted death (HR:0.44/1 mmol/l, 95%CI:0.26-0.74, p = 0.002) after a median follow-up time of 33(21-36) months. In the CTEPH group, LDL-C increased (from 2.6[2.1-3.2] to 4.0[2.8-4.9]mmol/l, p = 0.01) in patients with PH reversal but remained unchanged in other patients (2.4[2.2-2.7] vs 2.3[2.1-2.5]mmol/l, p = 0.51). We concluded that LDL-C level is low in patients with PAH and is associated with an increased risk of death. Reversal of PH increases LDL-C levels.Item Open Access Rationale, design, and baseline characteristics of the CArdiovascular safety and Renal Microvascular outcomE study with LINAgliptin (CARMELINA®): a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial in patients with type 2 diabetes and high cardio-renal risk.(Cardiovascular diabetology, 2018-03-14) Rosenstock, Julio; Perkovic, Vlado; Alexander, John H; Cooper, Mark E; Marx, Nikolaus; Pencina, Michael J; Toto, Robert D; Wanner, Christoph; Zinman, Bernard; Baanstra, David; Pfarr, Egon; Mattheus, Michaela; Broedl, Uli C; Woerle, Hans-Juergen; George, Jyothis T; von Eynatten, Maximilian; McGuire, Darren K; CARMELINA® investigatorsBACKGROUND:Cardiovascular (CV) outcome trials in type 2 diabetes (T2D) have underrepresented patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), leading to uncertainty regarding their kidney efficacy and safety. The CARMELINA® trial aims to evaluate the effects of linagliptin, a DPP-4 inhibitor, on both CV and kidney outcomes in a study population enriched for cardio-renal risk. METHODS:CARMELINA® is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted in 27 countries in T2D patients at high risk of CV and/or kidney events. Participants with evidence of CKD with or without CV disease and HbA1c 6.5-10.0% (48-86 mmol/mol) were randomized 1:1 to receive linagliptin once daily or matching placebo, added to standard of care adjusted according to local guidelines. The primary outcome is time to first occurrence of CV death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke. The key secondary outcome is a composite of time to first sustained occurrence of end-stage kidney disease, ≥ 40% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline, or renal death. CV and kidney events are prospectively adjudicated by independent, blinded clinical event committees. CARMELINA® was designed to continue until at least 611 participants had confirmed primary outcome events. Assuming a hazard ratio of 1.0, this provides 90% power to demonstrate non-inferiority of linagliptin versus placebo within the pre-specified non-inferiority margin of 1.3 at a one-sided α-level of 2.5%. If non-inferiority of linagliptin for the primary outcome is demonstrated, then its superiority for both the primary outcome and the key secondary outcome will be investigated with a sequentially rejective multiple test procedure. RESULTS:Between July 2013 and August 2016, 6980 patients were randomized and took ≥ 1 dose of study drug (40.6, 33.1, 16.9, and 9.4% from Europe, South America, North America, and Asia, respectively). At baseline, mean ± SD age was 65.8 ± 9.1 years, HbA1c 7.9 ± 1.0%, BMI 31.3 ± 5.3 kg/m2, and eGFR 55 ± 25 mL/min/1.73 m2. A total of 5148 patients (73.8%) had prevalent kidney disease (defined as eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or macroalbuminuria [albumin-to-creatinine ratio > 300 mg/g]) and 3990 patients (57.2%) had established CV disease with increased albuminuria; these characteristics were not mutually exclusive. Microalbuminuria (n = 2896 [41.5%]) and macroalbuminuria (n = 2691 [38.6%]) were common. CONCLUSIONS:CARMELINA® will add important information regarding the CV and kidney disease clinical profile of linagliptin by including an understudied, vulnerable cohort of patients with T2D at highest cardio-renal risk. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier-NCT01897532; registered July 9, 2013.Item Open Access Real world effectiveness of warfarin among ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation: observational analysis from Patient-Centered Research into Outcomes Stroke Patients Prefer and Effectiveness Research (PROSPER) study.(BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2015-07-31) Xian, Ying; Wu, Jingjing; O'Brien, Emily C; Fonarow, Gregg C; Olson, DaiWai M; Schwamm, Lee H; Bhatt, Deepak L; Smith, Eric E; Suter, Robert E; Hannah, Deidre; Lindholm, Brianna; Maisch, Lesley; Greiner, Melissa A; Lytle, Barbara L; Pencina, Michael J; Peterson, Eric D; Hernandez, Adrian FTo examine the association between warfarin treatment and longitudinal outcomes after ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation in community practice.Observational study.Hospitals (n = 1487) participating in the Get With The Guidelines (GWTG)-Stroke program in the United States, from 2009 to 2011.12,552 warfarin naive atrial fibrillation patients admitted to hospital for ischemic stroke and treated with warfarin compared with no oral anticoagulant at discharge, linked to Medicare claims for longitudinal outcomes.Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and home time, a patient centered outcomes measure defined as the total number of days free from institutional care after discharge. A propensity score inverse probability weighting method was used to account for all differences in observed characteristics between treatment groups.Among 12,552 survivors of stroke, 11,039 (88%) were treated with warfarin at discharge. Warfarin treated patients were slightly younger and less likely to have a history of previous stroke or coronary artery disease but had similar severity of stroke as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. Relative to those not treated, patients treated with warfarin had more days at home (as opposed to institutional care) during the two years after discharge (adjusted home time difference 47.6 days, 99% confidence interval 26.9 to 68.2). Patients discharged on warfarin treatment also had a reduced risk of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio 0.87, 99% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.98), all cause mortality (0.72, 0.63 to 0.84), and recurrent ischemic stroke (0.63, 0.48 to 0.83). These differences were consistent among clinically relevant subgroups by age, sex, stroke severity, and history of previous coronary artery disease and stroke.Among ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation, warfarin treatment was associated with improved long term clinical outcomes and more days at home. Clinical trial registration Clinical trials NCT02146274.Item Open Access Substance use and mental diagnoses among adults with and without type 2 diabetes: Results from electronic health records data.(Drug and alcohol dependence, 2015-11) Wu, Li-Tzy; Ghitza, Udi E; Batch, Bryan C; Pencina, Michael J; Rojas, Leoncio Flavio; Goldstein, Benjamin A; Schibler, Tony; Dunham, Ashley A; Rusincovitch, Shelley; Brady, Kathleen TBACKGROUND:Comorbid diabetes and substance use diagnoses (SUD) represent a hazardous combination, both in terms of healthcare cost and morbidity. To date, there is limited information about the association of SUD and related mental disorders with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS:We examined the associations between T2DM and multiple psychiatric diagnosis categories, with a focus on SUD and related psychiatric comorbidities among adults with T2DM. We analyzed electronic health record (EHR) data on 170,853 unique adults aged ≥18 years from the EHR warehouse of a large academic healthcare system. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to estimate the strength of an association for comorbidities. RESULTS:Overall, 9% of adults (n=16,243) had T2DM. Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and Native Americans had greater odds of having T2DM than whites. All 10 psychiatric diagnosis categories were more prevalent among adults with T2DM than among those without T2DM. Prevalent diagnoses among adults with T2MD were mood (21.22%), SUD (17.02%: tobacco 13.25%, alcohol 4.00%, drugs 4.22%), and anxiety diagnoses (13.98%). Among adults with T2DM, SUD was positively associated with mood, anxiety, personality, somatic, and schizophrenia diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS:We examined a large diverse sample of individuals and found clinical evidence of SUD and psychiatric comorbidities among adults with T2DM. These results highlight the need to identify feasible collaborative care models for adults with T2DM and SUD related psychiatric comorbidities, particularly in primary care settings, that will improve behavioral health and reduce health risk.Item Open Access The ORBIT bleeding score: a simple bedside score to assess bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation.(Eur Heart J, 2015-12-07) O'Brien, Emily C; Simon, DaJuanicia N; Thomas, Laine E; Hylek, Elaine M; Gersh, Bernard J; Ansell, Jack E; Kowey, Peter R; Mahaffey, Kenneth W; Chang, Paul; Fonarow, Gregg C; Pencina, Michael J; Piccini, Jonathan P; Peterson, Eric DBACKGROUND: Therapeutic decisions in atrial fibrillation (AF) are often influenced by assessment of bleeding risk. However, existing bleeding risk scores have limitations. OBJECTIVES: We sought to develop and validate a novel bleeding risk score using routinely available clinical information to predict major bleeding in a large, community-based AF population. METHODS: We analysed data from Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation (ORBIT-AF), a prospective registry that enrolled incident and prevalent AF patients at 176 US sites. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we identified factors independently associated with major bleeding among patients taking oral anticoagulation (OAC) over a median follow-up of 2 years (interquartile range = 1.6-2.5). We also created a numerical bedside risk score that included the five most predictive risk factors weighted according to their strength of association with major bleeding. The predictive performance of the full model, the simple five-item score, and two existing risk scores (hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile INR, elderly, drugs/alcohol concomitantly, HAS-BLED, and anticoagulation and risk factors in atrial fibrillation, ATRIA) were then assessed in both the ORBIT-AF cohort and a separate clinical trial population, Rivaroxaban Once-daily oral direct factor Xa inhibition compared with vitamin K antagonism for prevention of stroke and embolism trial in atrial fibrillation (ROCKET-AF). RESULTS: Among 7411 ORBIT-AF patients taking OAC, the rate of major bleeding was 4.0/100 person-years. The full continuous model (12 variables) and five-factor ORBIT risk score (older age [75+ years], reduced haemoglobin/haematocrit/history of anaemia, bleeding history, insufficient kidney function, and treatment with antiplatelet) both had good ability to identify those who bled vs. not (C-index 0.69 and 0.67, respectively). These scores both had similar discrimination, but markedly better calibration when compared with the HAS-BLED and ATRIA scores in an external validation population from the ROCKET-AF trial. CONCLUSIONS: The five-element ORBIT bleeding risk score had better ability to predict major bleeding in AF patients when compared with HAS-BLED and ATRIA risk scores. The ORBIT risk score can provide a simple, easily remembered tool to support clinical decision making.