Browsing by Author "Vijay, Varsha"
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Item Open Access Incorporating explicit geospatial data shows more species at risk of extinction than the current Red List.(Science advances, 2016-11-09) Ocampo-Peñuela, Natalia; Jenkins, Clinton N; Vijay, Varsha; Li, Binbin V; Pimm, Stuart LThe IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature) Red List classifies species according to their risk of extinction, informing global to local conservation decisions. Unfortunately, important geospatial data do not explicitly or efficiently enter this process. Rapid growth in the availability of remotely sensed observations provides fine-scale data on elevation and increasingly sophisticated characterizations of land cover and its changes. These data readily show that species are likely not present within many areas within the overall envelopes of their distributions. Additionally, global databases on protected areas inform how extensively ranges are protected. We selected 586 endemic and threatened forest bird species from six of the world's most biodiverse and threatened places (Atlantic Forest of Brazil, Central America, Western Andes of Colombia, Madagascar, Sumatra, and Southeast Asia). The Red List deems 18% of these species to be threatened (15 critically endangered, 29 endangered, and 64 vulnerable). Inevitably, after refining ranges by elevation and forest cover, ranges shrink. Do they do so consistently? For example, refined ranges of critically endangered species might reduce by (say) 50% but so might the ranges of endangered, vulnerable, and nonthreatened species. Critically, this is not the case. We find that 43% of species fall below the range threshold where comparable species are deemed threatened. Some 210 bird species belong in a higher-threat category than the current Red List placement, including 189 species that are currently deemed nonthreatened. Incorporating readily available spatial data substantially increases the numbers of species that should be considered at risk and alters priority areas for conservation.Item Open Access Protected areas and biodiversity conservation in India(Biological Conservation, 2019-09-01) Ghosh-Harihar, Mousumi; An, Ruby; Athreya, Ramana; Borthakur, Udayan; Chanchani, Pranav; Chetry, Dilip; Datta, Aparajita; Harihar, Abishek; Karanth, Krithi K; Mariyam, Dincy; Mohan, Dhananjai; Onial, Malvika; Ramakrishnan, Uma; Robin, VV; Saxena, Ajai; Shahabuddin, Ghazala; Thatte, Prachi; Vijay, Varsha; Wacker, Kristen; Mathur, Vinod B; Pimm, Stuart L; Price, Trevor DThree well-supported generalizations in conservation biology are that developing tropical countries will experience the greatest biodiversity declines in the near future, they are some of the least studied areas in the world, and in these regions especially, protection requires local community support. We assess these generalizations in an evaluation of protected areas in India. The 5% of India officially protected covers most ecoregions and protected areas have been an important reason why India has suffered no documented species extinctions in the past 70 years. India has strong legislation favouring conservation, government investment focused on 50 Tiger Reserves, and government compensation schemes that facilitate local support, all of which brighten future prospects. However, many protected areas are too small to maintain a full complement of species, making connectivity and species use of buffer zones a crucial issue. Conservation success and challenges vary across regions according to their development status. In less developed areas, notably the biodiverse northeast Himalaya, protected areas maintaining the highest biodiversity result from locally-focused efforts by dedicated individuals. Across India, we demonstrate considerable opportunities to increase local income through ecotourism. Our evaluation confirms a lack of data, increasing threats, and the importance of local support. Research on biodiversity in buffer zones, development of long-term monitoring schemes, and assessment of cash and conservation benefits from tourism are in particular need. For policy makers, two main goals should be the development of monitoring plans for ‘eco-sensitive zones’ around protected areas, and a strong emphasis on preserving established protected areas.Item Open Access The distribution and numbers of cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) in southern Africa.(PeerJ, 2017-01) Weise, Florian J; Vijay, Varsha; Jacobson, Andrew P; Schoonover, Rebecca F; Groom, Rosemary J; Horgan, Jane; Keeping, Derek; Klein, Rebecca; Marnewick, Kelly; Maude, Glyn; Melzheimer, Jörg; Mills, Gus; van der Merwe, Vincent; van der Meer, Esther; van Vuuren, Rudie J; Wachter, Bettina; Pimm, Stuart LAssessing the numbers and distribution of threatened species is a central challenge in conservation, often made difficult because the species of concern are rare and elusive. For some predators, this may be compounded by their being sparsely distributed over large areas. Such is the case with the cheetah Acinonyx jubatus. The IUCN Red List process solicits comments, is democratic, transparent, widely-used, and has recently assessed the species. Here, we present additional methods to that process and provide quantitative approaches that may afford greater detail and a benchmark against which to compare future assessments. The cheetah poses challenges, but also affords unique opportunities. It is photogenic, allowing the compilation of thousands of crowd-sourced data. It is also persecuted for killing livestock, enabling estimation of local population densities from the numbers persecuted. Documented instances of persecution in areas with known human and livestock density mean that these data can provide an estimate of where the species may or may not occur in areas without observational data. Compilations of extensive telemetry data coupled with nearly 20,000 additional observations from 39 sources show that free-ranging cheetahs were present across approximately 789,700 km2 of Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, and Zimbabwe (56%, 22%, 12% and 10% respectively) from 2010 to 2016, with an estimated adult population of 3,577 animals. We identified a further 742,800 km2 of potential cheetah habitat within the study region with low human and livestock densities, where another ∼3,250 cheetahs may occur. Unlike many previous estimates, we make the data available and provide explicit information on exactly where cheetahs occur, or are unlikely to occur. We stress the value of gathering data from public sources though these data were mostly from well-visited protected areas. There is a contiguous, transboundary population of cheetah in southern Africa, known to be the largest in the world. We suggest that this population is more threatened than believed due to the concentration of about 55% of free-ranging individuals in two ecoregions. This area overlaps with commercial farmland with high persecution risk; adult cheetahs were removed at the rate of 0.3 individuals per 100 km2 per year. Our population estimate for confirmed cheetah presence areas is 11% lower than the IUCN's current assessment for the same region, lending additional support to the recent call for the up-listing of this species from vulnerable to endangered status.Item Open Access The Impacts of Oil Palm on Recent Deforestation and Biodiversity Loss.(PloS one, 2016-01) Vijay, Varsha; Pimm, Stuart L; Jenkins, Clinton N; Smith, Sharon JPalm oil is the most widely traded vegetable oil globally, with demand projected to increase substantially in the future. Almost all oil palm grows in areas that were once tropical moist forests, some of them quite recently. The conversion to date, and future expansion, threatens biodiversity and increases greenhouse gas emissions. Today, consumer pressure is pushing companies toward deforestation-free sources of palm oil. To guide interventions aimed at reducing tropical deforestation due to oil palm, we analysed recent expansions and modelled likely future ones. We assessed sample areas to find where oil palm plantations have recently replaced forests in 20 countries, using a combination of high-resolution imagery from Google Earth and Landsat. We then compared these trends to countrywide trends in FAO data for oil palm planted area. Finally, we assessed which forests have high agricultural suitability for future oil palm development, which we refer to as vulnerable forests, and identified critical areas for biodiversity that oil palm expansion threatens. Our analysis reveals regional trends in deforestation associated with oil palm agriculture. In Southeast Asia, 45% of sampled oil palm plantations came from areas that were forests in 1989. For South America, the percentage was 31%. By contrast, in Mesoamerica and Africa, we observed only 2% and 7% of oil palm plantations coming from areas that were forest in 1989. The largest areas of vulnerable forest are in Africa and South America. Vulnerable forests in all four regions of production contain globally high concentrations of mammal and bird species at risk of extinction. However, priority areas for biodiversity conservation differ based on taxa and criteria used. Government regulation and voluntary market interventions can help incentivize the expansion of oil palm plantations in ways that protect biodiversity-rich ecosystems.Item Open Access Understanding the Impacts of Agricultural Expansion on Biodiversity and Habitat Loss(2018) Vijay, VarshaIn recent years, the expansion of agricultural lands into areas rich in biodiversity has led to a conservation dilemma between the need for food security for an expanding human population and the goal of conserving species and habitat to curb biodiversity loss. In this dissertation, I evaluate several different concerns about agricultural expansion from a conservation perspective. One of the central goals of conservation is the preservation of species and habitats within the context of anthropogenic threats. Agriculture has come to exemplify these threats to conservation both directly through habitat loss and indirectly through increased human/wildlife conflict, reduced in connectivity between intact areas and loss of ecosystem services in farming areas. Many of these effects can be observed through monitoring of land use change and populations of critical species. Still other effects will only be observed in the future, as agricultural areas continue to expand. In recognition of the importance of addressing these questions, there has been an increasing push by both agroecologists and conservation scientists to adopt increasingly interdisciplinary approaches in their research, focusing both on ways to minimize, mitigate and predict possible negative effects of agricultural production on biodiversity and the environment.
In Chapter 1, I examine the global impacts of a rapidly expanding commodity crop, oil palm, on deforestation and biodiversity. Here I address the deforestation associated with development of oil palm over the past 25 years in 20 different countries, discussing the implications for future deforestation and risk of biodiversity loss in the context of a changing climate. I conclude that the potential expansion of oil palm agriculture threatens many of the world’s most biodiverse places, but that the exact areas of highest conservation priority are dependent on the biodiversity criteria by which such areas are selected.
In Chapter 2, I build upon this analysis with a study of oil palm in the context of other agricultural development in Peru--a country found to have sharply increasing deforestation related to oil palm in Chapter 1. Here I show that oil palm is contributing to deforestation more than other crops. I also show how the spatial pattern of this impact differs from other crops, with larger and more clustered patches of deforestation. I expand on the analysis of areas at long-term of deforestation from oil palm from Chapter 1 by examining specific biophysical variables that show how oil palm is suitable in habitats not typically exploited for agriculture in this region. I also assess short-term risk of deforestation based on variables associated with human population and accessibility. Finally, I evaluate the effectiveness of protected areas and officially recognized indigenous areas in meeting the threat from oil palm across the different ecoregions of Peru’s Moist Tropical Forest biome.
In Chapter 3, I examine the impacts of agricultural activity on an iconic predator species, the cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus). This species is designated as threatened by the IUCN and plays an important role in the ecosystems in which it occurs. Currently, cheetah are facing loss of habitat and restrictions of connectivity from agriculture, especially livestock production. Farmers in areas where many cheetah occur are also a risk to the species through persecution and killing individuals. We found that cheetah are decreasing in number, supporting an argument to uplist the cheetah to endangered.
I did not only want to focus on the problems associated with agricultural production, but also consider a proposed solutions. Thus, in Chapter 4, I consider an option that could balance the needs for food security of human populations and habitat for species conservation: increased intensity of production on existing agricultural land, such as growing multiple crops per year. This suggestion is not without possible drawbacks or pitfalls, motivating the need to study multiple cropping systems and the consequences of their expansion. However, the study of cropping intensity over large geographical areas is complicated by the lack of high-quality maps of cropping intensity at such scales. I evaluate cropping intensity throughout South America using MODIS Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data in Google’s Earth Engine over the period 2003-2015. I conclude that there is great potential for this approach to reduce habitat loss in South America, but there are also potential complications that could arise from its widespread adoption.