Browsing by Subject "Air quality"
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Item Open Access Applications of Deep Learning, Machine Learning, and Remote Sensing to Improving Air Quality and Solar Energy Production(2021) Zheng, TongshuExposure to higher PM2.5 can lead to increased risks of mortality; however, the spatial concentrations of PM2.5 are not well characterized, even in megacities, due to the sparseness of regulatory air quality monitoring (AQM) stations. This motivates novel low-cost methods to estimate ground-level PM2.5 at a fine spatial resolution so that PM2.5 exposure in epidemiological research can be better quantified and local PM2.5 hotspots at a community-level can be automatically identified. Wireless low-cost particulate matter sensor network (WLPMSN) is among these novel low-cost methods that transform air quality monitoring by providing PM information at finer spatial and temporal resolutions; however, large-scale WLPMSN calibration and maintenance remain a challenge because the manual labor involved in initial calibration by collocation and routine recalibration is intensive, the transferability of the calibration models determined from initial collocation to new deployment sites is questionable, as calibration factors typically vary with urban heterogeneity of operating conditions and aerosol optical properties, and the stability of low-cost sensors can drift or degrade over time. This work presents a simultaneous Gaussian Process regression (GPR) and simple linear regression pipeline to calibrate and monitor dense WLPMSNs on the fly by leveraging all available reference monitors across an area without resorting to pre-deployment collocation calibration. We evaluated our method for Delhi, where the PM2.5 measurements of all 22 regulatory reference and 10 low-cost nodes were available for 59 days from January 1, 2018 to March 31, 2018 (PM2.5 averaged 138 ± 31 μg m-3 among 22 reference stations), using a leave-one-out cross-validation (CV) over the 22 reference nodes. We showed that our approach can achieve an overall 30 % prediction error (RMSE: 33 μg m-3) at a 24 h scale and is robust as underscored by the small variability in the GPR model parameters and in the model-produced calibration factors for the low-cost nodes among the 22-fold CV. Of the 22 reference stations, high-quality predictions were observed for those stations whose PM2.5 means were close to the Delhi-wide mean (i.e., 138 ± 31 μg m-3) and relatively poor predictions for those nodes whose means differed substantially from the Delhi-wide mean (particularly on the lower end). We also observed washed-out local variability in PM2.5 across the 10 low-cost sites after calibration using our approach, which stands in marked contrast to the true wide variability across the reference sites. These observations revealed that our proposed technique (and more generally the geostatistical technique) requires high spatial homogeneity in the pollutant concentrations to be fully effective. We further demonstrated that our algorithm performance is insensitive to training window size as the mean prediction error rate and the standard error of the mean (SEM) for the 22 reference stations remained consistent at ~30 % and ~3–4 % when an increment of 2 days’ data were included in the model training. The markedly low requirement of our algorithm for training data enables the models to always be nearly most updated in the field, thus realizing the algorithm’s full potential for dynamically surveilling large-scale WLPMSNs by detecting malfunctioning low-cost nodes and tracking the drift with little latency. Our algorithm presented similarly stable 26–34 % mean prediction errors and ~3–7 % SEMs over the sampling period when pre-trained on the current week’s data and predicting 1 week ahead, therefore suitable for online calibration. Simulations conducted using our algorithm suggest that in addition to dynamic calibration, the algorithm can also be adapted for automated monitoring of large-scale WLPMSNs. In these simulations, the algorithm was able to differentiate malfunctioning low-cost nodes (due to either hardware failure or under heavy influence of local sources) within a network by identifying aberrant model-generated calibration factors (i.e., slopes close to zero and intercepts close to the Delhi-wide mean of true PM2.5). The algorithm was also able to track the drift of low-cost nodes accurately within 4 % error for all the simulation scenarios. The simulation results showed that ~20 reference stations are optimum for our solution in Delhi and confirmed that low-cost nodes can extend the spatial precision of a network by decreasing the extent of pure interpolation among only reference stations. Our solution has substantial implications in reducing the amount of manual labor for the calibration and surveillance of extensive WLPMSNs, improving the spatial comprehensiveness of PM evaluation, and enhancing the accuracy of WLPMSNs. Satellite-based ground-level PM2.5 modeling is another such low-cost method. Satellite-retrieved aerosol products are in particular widely used to estimate the spatial distribution of ground-level PM2.5. However, these aerosol products can be subject to large uncertainties due to many approximations and assumptions made in multiple stages of their retrieval algorithms. Therefore, estimating ground-level PM2.5 directly from satellites (e.g., satellite images) by skipping the intermediate step of aerosol retrieval can potentially yield lower errors because it avoids retrieval error propagating into PM2.5 estimation and is desirable compared to current ground-level PM2.5 retrieval methods. Additionally, the spatial resolutions of estimated PM2.5 are usually constrained by those of the aerosol products and are currently largely at a comparatively coarse 1 km or greater resolution. Such coarse spatial resolutions are unable to support scientific studies that thrive on highly spatially-resolved PM2.5. These limitations have motivated us to devise a computer vision algorithm for estimating ground-level PM2.5 at a high spatiotemporal resolution by directly processing the global-coverage, daily, near real-time updated, 3 m/pixel resolution, three-band micro-satellite imagery of spatial coverages significantly smaller than 1 × 1 km (e.g., 200 × 200 m) available from Planet Labs. In this study, we employ a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to process the imagery by extracting image features that characterize the day-to-day dynamic changes in the built environment and more importantly the image colors related to aerosol loading, and a random forest (RF) regressor to estimate PM2.5 based on the extracted image features along with meteorological conditions. We conducted the experiment on 35 AQM stations in Beijing over a period of ~3 years from 2017 to 2019. We trained our CNN-RF model on 10,400 available daily images of the AQM stations labeled with the corresponding ground-truth PM2.5 and evaluated the model performance on 2622 holdout images. Our model estimates ground-level PM2.5 accurately at a 200 m spatial resolution with a mean absolute error (MAE) as low as 10.1 μg m-3 (equivalent to 23.7% error) and Pearson and Spearman r scores up to 0.91 and 0.90, respectively. Our trained CNN from Beijing is then applied to Shanghai, a similar urban area. By quickly retraining only RF but not CNN on the new Shanghai imagery dataset, our model estimates Shanghai 10 AQM stations’ PM2.5 accurately with a MAE and both Pearson and Spearman r scores of 7.7 μg m-3 (18.6% error) and 0.85, respectively. The finest 200 m spatial resolution of ground-level PM2.5 estimates from our model in this study is higher than the vast majority of existing state-of-the-art satellite-based PM2.5 retrieval methods. And our 200 m model’s estimation performance is also at the high end of these state-of-the-art methods. Our results highlight the potential of augmenting existing spatial predictors of PM2.5 with high-resolution satellite imagery to enhance the spatial resolution of PM2.5 estimates for a wide range of applications, including pollutant emission hotspot determination, PM2.5 exposure assessment, and fusion of satellite remote sensing and low-cost air quality sensor network information. We later, however, found out that this CNN-RF sequential model, despite effectively capturing spatial variations, yields higher average PM2.5 prediction errors than its RF part alone using only meteorological conditions, most likely the result of CNN-RF sequential model being unable to fully use the information in satellite images in the presence of meteorological conditions. To break this bottleneck in PM2.5 prediction performance, we reformulated the previous CNN-RF sequential model into a RF-CNN joint model that adopts a residual learning ideology that forces the CNN part to most effectively exploit the information in satellite images that is only “orthogonal” to meteorology. The RF-CNN joint model achieved low normalized root mean square error for PM2.5 of within ~31% and normalized mean absolute error of within ~19% on the holdout samples in both Delhi and Beijing, better than the performances of both the CNN-RF sequential model and the RF part alone using only meteorological conditions. To date, few studies have used their simulated ambient PM2.5 to detect hotspots. Furthermore, even the hotspots studied in these very limited works are all “global” hotspots that have the absolute highest PM2.5 levels in the whole study region. Little is known about “local” hotspots that have the highest PM2.5 only relative to their neighbors at fine-scale community levels, even though the disparities in outdoor PM2.5 exposures and their associated risks of mortality between populations in local hotspots and coolspots within the same communities can be rather large. These limitations motivated us to concatenate a local contrast normalization (LCN) algorithm at the end of the RF-CNN joint model to automatically reveal local PM2.5 hotspots from the estimated PM2.5 maps. The RF-CNN-LCN pipeline reasonably predicts urban PM2.5 local hotspots and coolspots by capturing both the main intra-urban spatial trends in PM2.5 and the local variations in PM2.5 with urban landscape, with local hotspots relating to compact urban spatial structures while coolspots being open areas and green spaces. Based on 20 sampled representative neighborhoods in Delhi, our pipeline revealed that on average a significant 9.2 ± 4.0 μg m-3 long-term PM2.5 exposure difference existed between the local hotspots and coolspots within the same community, with Indian Gandhi International Airport area having the steepest increase of 20.3 μg m-3 from the coolest spot (the residential area immediately outside the airport) to the hottest spot (airport runway). This work provides a possible means of automatically identifying local PM2.5 hotspots at 300 m in heavily polluted megacities. It highlights the potential existence of substantial health inequalities in long-term outdoor PM2.5 exposures within even the same local neighborhoods between local hotspots and coolspots. Apart from posing serious health risks, deposition of dust and anthropogenic particulate matter (PM) on solar photovoltaics (PVs), known as soiling, can diminish solar energy production appreciably. As of 2018, the global cumulative PV capacity crossed 500 GW, of which at least 3–4% was estimated to be lost due to soiling, equivalent to ~4–6 billion USD revenue losses. In the context of a projected ~16-fold increase of global solar capacity to 8.5 TW by 2050, soiling will play an increasingly more important part in estimating and forecasting the performance and economics of solar PV installations. However, reliable soiling information is currently lacking because the existing soiling monitoring systems are expensive. This work presents a low-cost remote sensing algorithm that estimates utility-scale solar farms’ daily solar energy loss due to PV soiling by directly processing the daily (near real-time updated), 3 m/pixel resolution, and global coverage micro-satellite surface reflectance (SR) analytic product from the commercial satellite company Planet. We demonstrate that our approach can estimate daily soiling loss for a solar farm in Pune, India over three years that on average caused ~5.4% reduction in solar energy production. We further estimated that around 437 MWh solar energy was lost in total over the 3 years, equivalent to ~11799 USD, at this solar farm. Our approach’s average soiling estimation matches perfectly with the ~5.3% soiling loss reported by a previous published model for this solar farm site. Compared to other state-of-the-art PV soiling modeling approaches, the proposed unsupervised approach has the benefit of estimating PV soiling at a precisely solar farm level (as in contrast to coarse regional modeling for only large spatial grids in which a solar farm resides) and at an unprecedently high temporal resolution (i.e., 1 day) without resorting to solar farms’ proprietary solar energy generation data or knowledge about the specific components of deposited PM or these species’ dry deposition flux and other physical properties. Our approach allows solar farm owners to keep close track of the intensity of soiling at their sites and perform panel cleaning operations more strategically rather than based on a fixed schedule.
Item Open Access Evaluating Air Pollutant Exposure and the Impacts of Indoor Air Filtration Using Low-Cost Monitors(2020) Johnson, Karoline KIn highly polluted cities, many residents seek to reduce their personal exposure to air pollutants. However, over the course of a day, people spend time in a variety of micro-environments (e.g., different rooms in their home, at school or work, in vehicles, outdoors), making it challenging to prioritize actions to reduce exposure. In China, air purifiers are a common mitigation strategy. The impacts of air purifiers on indoor air quality and personal exposure can differ greatly in real-world settings depending on the participants’ behavior, the home environment, and the selected purifier. This work uses low-cost monitors to compare the impacts of air filtration on indoor air and personal exposure. Before deploying low-cost monitors, steps needed to be taken to ensure data quality: low-cost air monitors were evaluated against reference measurements in multiple field locations (i.e. Atlanta, Hyderabad, Beijing, and Shanghai), and various calibration methods were developed to reduce monitor error and bias. Results highlight the need to calibrate low-cost monitors under the same conditions in which they will be deployed, and illustrate methods to reduce error that will allow low-cost monitors to make powerful insights into addressing additional air quality issues in the future. After evaluation and calibration, low-cost air monitors were installed indoors (in study participants’ bedrooms) and outdoors. Additionally, monitors were worn by study participants to measure personal exposure. To evaluate the impacts of bedroom air filtration, participants in Beijing (N=7 adult participants) and Shanghai (N=43 child participants) had filtration devices set up in their bedrooms. During the study, all participants experienced both true and sham (i.e., placebo, with the filters removed) filtration. Personal exposure to O3 was significantly lower than ambient levels due to low indoor concentrations. However, few conclusions can be drawn about the impacts of filtration on O3 and the micro-environmental exposure to O3 since indoor concentrations were so often below the detection limit of our monitors (6 ppb). Measurements suggested that indoor PM2.5 was primarily of outdoor origin (≥75%). Purifiers significantly reduced bedroom PM2.5 concentrations by 70% and 78% during true filtration in Shanghai and Beijing, respectively. The reduction to personal exposure was less prominent, but still significant (Shanghai=24% and Beijing=36%). The largest time-weighted exposure to PM2.5 occurred in the bedroom during sham filtration since children spent the most time there. This suggests that the bedroom is the most important environment to tackle to reduce personal exposure. True filtration reduced the contribution of the bedroom micro-environment below that of the classroom and other rooms at home, highlighting that the classroom and other home environments should be the next-microenvironments to be address to reduce these children’s exposure. These results highlight the importance of reducing outdoor PM2.5 levels, but show that Chinese residents can reduce their PM2.5 exposure by installing an effective air purifier in the indoor environment where they spend the most time. Reductions in multiple micro-environments are likely required to further reduce exposure to PM2.5.
Item Open Access Pilot study of the effectiveness of low-cost gas-phase sensors for monitoring indoor and outdoor air quality in Beijing, China(2017) Liu, MeichenGround-level ozone values have been reported to be at unhealthy levels in many populated regions of China. An efficient and effective way for people to combat its harmful effects is seriously needed. However, there are only sparse measurements of ozone being made across China and more measurement sites are needed to understand health relevant concentrations both temporally and spatially. This is due in part to the fact that current monitoring approaches are costly and bulky. Ambient sensors with low cost, small size, and fast response time could potentially fill the current need. Our purpose in this study is to evaluate low cost, portable, and real-time sensors we hope to use in future studies. This study tested the effectiveness of the sensors in monitoring indoor and outdoor air quality, in particular ozone, in Beijing, China.
Seventeen sensors, which were to monitor indoor, outdoor, and personal ozone exposure in 7 homes, were collocated at Peking University (PKU) before and after running in selected residential homes. Pairwise comparisons were conducted using collocated sensor data with data from a standing reference sensor which was maintained by PKU to have best-fit regressions. Based on the best-fit regression when compiling both pre- and post- collocation periods, cleaned sensor data was calibrated and compared with reference data with R2 ranging from 0.63 to 0.97. Overall, the sensors are able to measure O3 within ±17 ppb. Average error of sensors after calibration is about -1 ppb. The geographical conditions and surroundings caused significant differences to the ambient ozone concentrations from sensors located across Beijing. Second, the sensors successfully showed that indoor ozone concentrations were likely to be lower when air filtration was on compared to the concentrations when filters were off. Moreover, the results confirmed higher levels of ozone outdoor concentrations compared to indoor. After calibration, average indoor O3 concentration ranged -2 ppb to 23 ppb, while outdoor O3 concentration was from 19 ppb to 47 ppb. The only personal sensor that worked well measured the average personal exposure as about 33 ppb. The peak of ozone outdoor concentration was usually 100 ppb higher than indoor concentration.
Several factors were considered that could affect the accuracy of the sensors including temperature (degree C), relative humidity (RH%), and concentrations of other chemicals in the ambient environment such as Nitrogen Oxides (NO2, NO). However, the impacts of those factors on the performance of sensors were not significant after calibration with little or no correlation between errors and those factors. Therefore, the calibrations based on the simple linear regressions between the sensors and the reference when collocated were valid on the data during the whole sampling period.
Item Open Access Potential Impacts of Climate Change and Management Strategies on U.S. Air Quality(2008-04-24T16:00:21Z) Marin, KristenClimate change will bring about many changes to the composition of the atmosphere. In addition to the increasing threats of extreme weather events and rising sea levels, climate change may also have a negative effect on air quality. Secondary formations of ozone and particulate matter are especially sensitive to changes in meteorological parameters such as temperatures and precipitation. In addition to changes due to climate change, air pollution concentrations in the future are influenced by management strategies that control emissions. The Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) and the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) are both examples of management strategies that will change pollution concentrations in the future. The purpose of this Master’s Project is to take model results of current and future air pollution concentrations, under the CAIR and the NAAQS management scenarios, and summarize them in a way that can be utilized by policy makers to determine the best course of action for the future. Results are given for the Northeast United States summer season as an illustration of the causal inference method. Ozone concentrations will be lower in the future yet CAIR will not be any more effective at reducing ozone concentrations beyond the NAAQS’s. In contrast, the CAIR management strategy is more effective at reducing PM2.5 concentrations than the NAAQS. The probability of exceeding the health standards decreases for PM2.5¬ and ozone in the future. The results of this analysis indicate that CAIR is an effective tool to reduce PM2.5 concentrations yet no more effective than the NAAQS management strategy for ozone. This analysis paves the way for future work on how climate change will not only change temperatures but could also change how pollution is formed in the atmosphere.Item Open Access Race and Pollution Correlation as Predictor of Environmental Injustice(2013-04-15) Meir, MarissaEnvironmental injustice is a theory that claims distributions of toxic, hazardous and dangerous waste facilities are disproportionately located in low-income communities of color. This paper empirically demonstrates an alternative cause of environmental injustice - that low-income minorities are less likely to receive sizeable enough loans to buy a house in a cleaner area. It highlights a significant time in history, from 1999 to 2007, when wealth constraints were eased and loan amounts increased for people with the same income. The results show that minorities increase their demand of environmental goods given an increase in loan amounts, suggesting that people of color care about environmental quality, but, due to wealth constraints, do not have the same opportunities in the housing market.Item Open Access Reducing Personal Vehicle Kilometers Travelled to Decrease Air Pollution in Durham, NC(2010-04-27T03:48:30Z) Jakuta, JosephDurham, North Carolina is at the center of the metropolitan region known as the Research Triangle. This area is experiencing rapid and sprawling growth. In addition, there is a lack of substantial public transportation, which results in a high level of reliance on personal automobiles. This research aims to examine how reliance on personal automobiles in one aspect of the lives of residents, the daily work commute, can be reduced in order to reduce aggregate vehicle kilometers travelled (VKTs). The transportation mode choices of walking, bicycling, busing, carpooling and vanpooling were examined as potential mode choices that commuters could switch to if given an economic incentive to do so. A set of equations were developed based on EPA mobile source emissions models and regional data to determine how reductions in VKTs could affect air pollution emissions. A contingent choice survey was developed and sent, via email, to a sample of employees of Duke University and Hospital, in order to determine the marginal willingness to accept payment for an alternative commute. A mode choice model was developed using logit regression techniques based on the survey results to extrapolate the behaviors to employees of Duke at large and commuters to the City of Durham. A log-transformed bid variable was determined to be the most appropriate functional form to predict the likelihood of switching modes. Finally, marginal economic damages of air pollutants were obtained from peer-reviewed research and the economically efficient level of potential benefits were estimated. The air quality models showed that the criteria air pollutants examined were dealt with well under existing policy. Concerning Carbon Dioxide, the resulting calculations showed that only when the marginal damages of pollution are quite high do the equated marginal benefits provided to a person to reduce their commuting footprint begin to have substantial impacts on VKTs.Item Open Access Where You Live and Where You Move: A Cross-City Comparison of the Effects of Gentrification and How these Effects Are Tied to Racial History(2020-04-20) Juneja, DivyaThis thesis compares the effects of gentrification on school and air quality in ten cities to see whether cities with larger amounts of white flight post-World War II exhibited worse gentrification effects on renters. I find that renters in high white flight cities more consistently experience school quality downgrades—likely attributed to moving from gentrifying neighborhoods to worse neighborhoods. High white flight meant widespread de-investment across neighborhoods which could have lowered the school quality experienced by displaced renters. Gentrification did not consistently affect air quality in any way related to white flight, meaning confounding variables could have influence.Item Open Access Where You Live and Where You Move: A Cross-City Comparison of the Effects of Gentrification and How these Effects Are Tied to Racial History(2019-12-06) Juneja, DivyaIn this thesis, I compare the effects of gentrification on two amenities, school quality and air quality, in ten cities across the United States. I look into how gentrification and being a renter can have a role in how the effects of gentrification are felt among a city’s residents and whether these effects are stronger in some cities than others. Ultimately, my goal is to see if cities that experienced a larger amount of white flight post-World War II, also exhibited greater adverse effects from gentrification on renters. I find that, in terms of school quality, renters in high white flight cities more consistently experience a downgrade in quality of schools—most likely attributed to having to move out of their gentrifying neighborhoods and into worse parts of the city—than renters in low white flight cities. This finding could be accredited to the fact that high white flight cities saw widespread de-investment across the city’s various neighborhoods that would have lowered the quality of amenities, like schools, experienced by displaced renters. Air quality, on the other hand, does not seem to consistently be affected by gentrification in a way that is related to the amount of white flight in a city—revealing that there may be other confounding variables affecting the quality of air in a city.