Browsing by Subject "Carbon sequestration"
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Item Open Access Carbon for Conservation(2018-04-27) DeLyser, Kendall; Petro, Alison; Rudee, Alexander; Wang, ZiyueThe Nature Conservancy’s North Carolina chapter (TNC NC) is exploring opportunities to secure additional financing for their conservation work through the sale of carbon offset credits in regulatory or voluntary markets. This project assesses the prospects for TNC NC to develop carbon offset projects on forest lands and pocosin peatlands in North Carolina for that purpose, including risks associated with project development. We developed a site prioritization model to identify a subset of parcels meeting TNC NC’s criteria for establishing a carbon offset project, which we then evaluated for carbon sequestration potential and projected financial performance. Our analysis showed that conservation-oriented management activities may in some cases preclude a viable offset project on the site by decreasing carbon stocks or increasing leakage of timber harvests. However, opportunities do exist to align and carbon sequestration and conservation goals where the property requires little active management or has low baseline rates of carbon sequestration. Based on our analysis, we present recommendations on project types and locations within the state that may be attractive to TNC NC for a carbon offset project.Item Open Access Carbon Sequestration in Canada's Boreal Forests(2012-04-25) Frelinghuysen, TheodoreItem Open Access Compositional Trends in the Primary Floodplain Forest of the Manu National Park, Peru(2009-04-24T19:14:21Z) Yavit, NoahOver the past ~20 years, various stand-level assessments of undisturbed Amazonian forests have revealed an increase in stem turnover (resulting from increases in recruitment and mortality), an increase in stem density and an increase in basal area growth rates. However, a more detailed analysis of the genus or species level changes within these forests is required to adequately assess the carbon-level dynamics of the region. The only assessment to examine undisturbed community composition at this level was undertaken in 2004 by Laurance et al. in Manaus, Brazil. This study revealed a directional shift towards fast growing, canopy emergents at the expense of slower growing genera, ultimately indicating a reduction in the carbon sequestration ability of these forests. Laurance goes on to cite rising atmospheric CO2 levels as the only capable factor of driving his observed trends. Importantly, if such a uniformly distributed gas as CO2 is responsible for the observed changes, we would expect to see similar shifts across the entire Amazon Basin, if not pan-tropically. The analysis here examines 15 years of data across 7-undisturbed treeplots in Manu National Park, Peru for alterations in community composition at the genus level. Analyses of population density and basal area across the entire lifetime of the plots have revealed that the numbers of genera found to be changing at the p <0.05 significance level are more than two times greater than would be expected from chance alone. However, an examination of corresponding wood density values reveals that these genera are not exhibiting a directional shift similar to that observed by Laurance in 2004. Numerous potential reasons behind the trends observed in Laurance’s forests, such as recent disturbance or local depletion of seed dispersers by past hunting, are explored.Item Open Access Economic Viability of Blue Carbon Offsets in Coastal North Carolina & Louisiana(2013-04-26) Wang, Yifei; Dong, Xiaoyun; Kraft, Natalie; Moss, LelandCarbon offsets are becoming a necessary tool in carbon emission reduction. The offsets obtained through sequestration in coastal wetland vegetation and sediment is referred to as blue carbon. Our client, the Duke Carbon Offset Initiative (DCOI), is currently researching blue carbon to help meet Duke University’s goal of carbon neutrality by 2024. Through cost-‐benefit analyses and stakeholder collaboration a matrix was constructed to a) characterize the current state of blue carbon opportunities in North Carolina and Louisiana and b) guide DCOI’s development of a blue carbon decision. The unit cost of a blue carbon project in North Carolina is 170 times greater than the cost in Louisiana, mainly due to the lack of wetland restoration infrastructure in North Carolina. Environmental factors, such as land conversion and sea level rise, have a significant effect on the feasibility of the blue carbon projects. Although net wetland loss rate is low in North Carolina, the total converted wetland area is large. These areas are undesirable for blue carbon projects as they lack permanence. A risk analysis shows that in the Albemarle-‐Pamlico Peninsula, there are low elevation counties with a lower wetland replacement rate; these areas are more prudent choices for blue carbon project sites. In addition, an analysis of sea level rise impacts indicates that due to smaller critical tidal range, Louisiana has a higher carbon sequestration rate than North Carolina when sea level rises from 0.1-‐1 cm/year, not taking into account natural disturbances. Recommendations from this broad assessment of blue carbon include identifying potential sites for economical pilot studies and monitoring policy developments.Item Open Access Ecosystem Service Analysis of Duke Forest(2022-04-22) Hayashi, Shouta; Horrigan, EamonOur team was tasked with evaluating the quantitative and monetary value of ecosystem services offered by the Duke Forest. Our client, the Duke Forest, manages and actively harvests 7,100 acres of timberlands used for research, education, and recreation by Duke University and the broader community. The overall purpose of assessing these services is to communicate the importance of the Duke Forest and offer implications for resource management. The term “ecosystem service” refers to benefits humans obtain from nature, and it is categorized into four different services; provisioning service; regulating service; supporting service; cultural service. Based on the client’s requests, we analyzed a subset of ecosystem services provided by the Duke Forest – carbon storage and sequestration, which have an important implication for climate change mitigation, and nutrient and sediment retention, which contribute to downstream water quality improvement. For spatial analysis of the focal ecosystem services, we used the InVEST suite of models, developed by the Natural Capital Project at Stanford University. We used the InVEST Carbon Storage & Sequestration model to spatially assess carbon storage and sequestration in the Duke Forest. For the land cover/ land use data input, we used spatial forest class and age data provided by the client. We referred to a USDA study to estimate carbon storage for the different forest types and age classes in the spatial data input and to populate the carbon pool table, another input of the InVEST carbon model. The monetary values of carbon storage and sequestration were estimated with the average carbon credit value for forestry projects from the World Bank, as well as with two domestic markets: the California Cap and Trade (CaT) and Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a regional northeastern US market. For assessment of water quality improvement, we ran the InVEST Nutrient Delivery Ratio (NDR) and Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR) models to estimate phosphorus, nitrogen, and sediment export across four 10-digit HUC watersheds which Duke Forest occupies. Model calculations are determined by hydrological modelling, as well as biophysical statistics on a variety of land use/land cover classes. SDR results were used to produce a monetary estimation of Duke Forest’s contribution to sediment retention using estimates of Neuse River water treatment facility cost savings from reductions in turbidity. InVEST Carbon modelling estimated a total of 543,000 tons of carbon being stored across all Duke Forest divisions at an average of 80 tons per acre. The highest storage rates were observed in the Oosting Natural Area at 94 tons per acre and the lowest storage rates were seen in the Hillsboro division at 71 tons per acre. Using the value of carbon offset projects from terrestrial forests globally, this total storage is estimated to be worth over $15 million in value. In terms of domestic carbon offset markets across all projects, this value is estimated to be even greater: ranging from $17.3 to 35.8 million. Our future projections of carbon for the next 50 years revealed an estimate of 2,000 tons being stored yearly, equaling about $56,000 in monetary value using the global estimate for forestry offset projects. Results from NDR and SDR indicated Duke Forest’s contribution to downstream water quality protection and improvement. NDR estimated nutrient export rate in the Duke Forest is significantly lower than the watershed average. Average nitrogen export values in the Duke Forest in each of the four watersheds were lower than the average value in the watersheds by 25.7% - 44.7%. Mean phosphorus export values in the Duke Forest were lower than the watersheds by 67.3% - 83.1%. Similarly, SDR estimated sediment export rate in the Duke Forest significantly lower than the watersheds, by 78.8% ~ 98.4%. The monetary value of sediment retention based on turbidity reduction was estimated to be worth $43,000 and $113,000 annually in two different alternative land use scenarios. The greatest annual value was found in the B Everett Jordan Lake – New Hope River basin, where Duke Forest’s sediment buffering was valued at $26,000 and $50,000 in the two scenarios. For communication of significance and key results of this project to a broader audience, we developed a StoryMap on ArcGIS Oline. This StoryMap includes a brief description of the Duke Forest, an introductory explanation of ecosystem services, and key results from our analysis. It uses plain language and visual materials so audiences without a strong background can become interested in and grasp the benefits the Duke Forest provides the larger region. Future work on ecosystem service analysis in Duke Forest should focus on collecting accurate field data to refine the biophysical statistics which drive all the models we ran, rather than using values found in the literature. In addition, assessment of other ecosystem services offered by the Duke Forest would complement the results of this analysis. Final recommendations for the client include conservatively managing older stands with high carbon stocks, tracking opportunities to become involved in carbon offsets, and mitigating erosion during timber harvests.Item Open Access Expected carbon emissions from a rubber plantation in Central Africa(Forest Ecology and Management, 2021-01-15) Jong, Ying Wei; Beirne, Christopher; Meunier, Quentin; Mekui Biyogo, Andréana Paola; Ebang Mbélé, Alex; Stewart, Christopher G; Poulsen, John RThe development of agriculture on degraded lands is increasingly seen as a strategy to boost food availability and economic productivity while minimizing environmental degradation and loss of forests. To understand the effects of agricultural production on forest carbon, we quantify the aboveground carbon (AGC) of a degraded forest in northeast Gabon (the Olam Rubber Gabon concession) designated for development to a rubber plantation. Combining field measurements from 19 1-ha tree plots and aerial LiDAR, we estimate forest AGC stocks and emissions under four development scenarios: no development, 30-year rubber rotation, extended rubber rotation (replanting of plantation in stages at 30 and 40 years), and 30-year oil palm rotation. On average, the degraded forest in the study area stored 123.8 Mg C ha−1, a mean AGC lower than the Gabon average (141.6 Mg C ha−1) but substantially higher than the 75 Mg C ha−1 threshold recommended by the High Carbon Stock protocol. Converting secondary forest to plantation might incur high environmental opportunity costs from lost carbon sequestration through forest succession and growth. In this study, we estimate that a rubber plantation can sequester similar amounts of AGC as secondary forest by the end of a 30-year rotation; however, the time-averaged AGC of regenerating secondary forests under no development would be 184% higher than a mature rubber plantation with a 30-year rotation, 169% higher than an extended rubber rotation, and 512% higher than a 30-year oil palm rotation. When degraded forest is developed for agriculture, measures should be taken to avoid emissions and prolong carbon retention. We specifically estimate carbon retention from extended harvest rotations and conserving high carbon value areas as set-asides and highlight recommendations from the literature such as minimizing soil disturbance and creating rubber timber products (e.g. furniture). To minimize carbon emissions from agriculture, crop plantation area should be minimized at national and regional scales in highly forested countries, and new plantations should be coupled explicitly with effective forest restoration actions, through suitable regulation and planning, to mitigate or compensate for their climate and biodiversity impacts.Item Open Access Potential Biodiversity and Climate Benefits of Voluntary Carbon Market Tree-Planting Projects(2022-08-05) Horn, CourtneyThis research explored the potential for voluntary carbon markets to benefit forest biodiversity and climate change by directing funding to tree-planting projects. This research topic is important because voluntary carbon markets are rapidly expanding and have the potential to drive great financial resources to nature-based climate change solutions such as tree-planting projects. In addition, tree-planting projects are gaining attention internationally and may gain prominence among nature-based climate solutions. Tree-planting projects can simultaneously provide climate change mitigation and biodiversity benefits. There also may be opportunities to maximize both benefits within a single tree-planting project. However, there has been a lack of research on this subject. There is particularly a lack of research on potential optimization by influencing the carbon sequestration rate. Tree-planting project type and design affect the potential biodiversity and carbon sequestration benefits of tree-planting projects. Organizations may be able to optimize biodiversity and carbon sequestration benefits through their project type and design choices. However, the biodiversity benefits of tree-planting projects are context-dependent, and there are risks inherent in large-scale tree-planting efforts. Tree-planting projects not conducted according to best practices can significantly harm biodiversity and contribute to climate change through carbon emissions. There is currently a knowledge gap on the types and designs of tree-planting projects gaining funding through voluntary carbon markets. For this project, I created an extensive dataset on all the tree-planting projects that applied to the VCS and CCB Standards (and were included in Verra's registry as of September 2021). I conducted a two-part study on the dataset. First, I extensively researched the activities and carbon sequestration benefits of tree-planting projects certified to the rules of the Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) and the Climate, Community, and Biodiversity Standards (CCB). To do this, I summed the reported carbon sequestration values of the projects. I calculated the extent and prevalence of project types and designs among projects that have been certified to the rules of the Standards. Second, I explored the potential for tree-planting projects to optimize both carbon and biodiversity benefits. To do this, I researched the following questions: (1) How does planting higher numbers of tree species affect the carbon sequestration rate of tree-planting projects? (2) How does planting native species affect the carbon sequestration rate of tree-planting projects? (3) How do the carbon sequestration rates of various tree-planting project types compare? I used simple linear regression, one-way ANOVA, the Kruskal-Wallis Rank Sum Test, and the post hoc Dunn’s test to answer these questions for the set of projects that have been certified to the rules of the VCS. I did not find a significant relationship between the number of tree species planted and the carbon sequestration rate. I also did not find a significant relationship between the use of native species and the rate of carbon sequestration. However, I found that project type significantly affects the carbon sequestration rate of a tree-planting project. The carbon sequestration rate of monoculture commercial forestry (planting one species) was significantly higher than that of commercial forestry projects planting two or three tree species. In addition, the carbon sequestration rate of a type of tree-planting project in China was significantly higher than that of commercial forestry projects planting two or three species. The project types and designs favorable for biodiversity were not prominent among the projects certified to the rules of the VCS. My results indicated that projects certified to the rules of the VCS, on average, better resemble commercial plantations of few species than species-rich native forest restorations. In addition, I found that native forest restorations were not a large component of projects registered to the CCB Standards, although the CCB Standards are intended to identify projects benefitting local biodiversity. My results indicated that the VCS could be conserving or harming biodiversity by directing funding to tree-planting projects. Since the VCS is the market leader among voluntary carbon standards, this suggests that voluntary carbon markets could be conserving or harming biodiversity by directing funding to tree-planting projects.Item Open Access Temporal Trends in Secondary Forest Carbon Sequestration(2012-04-27) Derwin, Jill M.With heightened concerns about climate change and greenhouse gas emissions, understanding the mechanics of carbon sequestration is becoming more important than ever. The world’s tropical forests are being sought for their increased ability to capture carbon in hopes that they might provide a solution to offset the emissions of industrialized nations. Techniques for the promotion of carbon sequestration are being explored in all disciplines with plans spanning international markets. The Brazilian Amazon is of particular interest in these discussions, however comprehensive data on carbon sequestration in the region has yet to be seen, reducing the accuracy of estimates of potential carbon sequestered. This study compared the carbon content of different-aged secondary forest stands to reach a deeper understanding of temporal trends in forest carbon sequestration using geospatial analysis and remote sensing techniques. I used Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper satellite images to create a multi-temporal classification of forested and non-forested areas for 1984 to 2006. I then merged the classifications to estimate age the secondary forests present to the east of the Brazilian Amazon over this 22-year period. The resulting tree ages were compared to standing aboveground carbon based upon existing estimates from the Woods Hole Research Center’s Pan-Tropical Forest Carbon dataset. An increase in accumulated carbon for increasingly older secondary forests was observed over an area of 58,038 km2. Deforestation rates in the study area have been generally decreasing since 1984, however in more recent years rising deforestation rates have been noted. Additionally, correlations were noted between carbon and latitude, precipitation, and temperature across the study area.Item Open Access Trading Carbon and Water Through Vegetation Shifts(2011) Kim, John H.In this dissertation, I explored the effects of vegetation type on ecosystem services, focusing on services with significant potential to mitigate global environmental challenges: carbon sequestration and groundwater recharge. I analyzed >600 estimates of groundwater recharge to obtain the first global combined analysis of groundwater recharge and vegetation type. Using a regression model, I found that vegetation was the second best predictor of recharge after precipitation. Recharge rates were lowest under forests, intermediate in grasslands, and highest under croplands. The differences between vegetation types were higher in more humid climates and sandy soils but proportionately, the differences between vegetation types were higher in more arid climates and clayey soils. My extensive field estimates of recharge under paired vegetation types in central Argentina and southwestern United States provided a more direct test of the relationships between vegetation and recharge. The field data confirmed the strong influences of vegetation and its interactions with abiotic factors on recharge observed in the synthesis. The results indicate that vegetation shifts have a proportionately larger potential to affect recharge in more arid climates and clayey soils.
At the same study systems, I compared my field estimates of recharge to organic carbon stocks (in biomass, litter and soil) under the different vegetation types to evaluate tradeoffs between carbon sequestration and groundwater recharge as affected by vegetation shifts. To determine net values of vegetation shifts, I combined the changes in carbon and water with reported economic values of the ecosystem services. Based on physiological tradeoffs between photosynthesis and transpiration in plants, I hypothesized that vegetation promoting carbon storage would reduce recharge and vice versa. Changes in water and carbon services were inversely proportional, with rain-fed cultivation increasing groundwater recharge but decreasing carbon storage compared to the grasslands they replaced whereas woody encroachment did the opposite. In contrast, cultivated plots irrigated with ground water decreased both ecosystem services. Higher precipitation and clay content both exacerbated changes in carbon storage with grassland conversions, whereas higher precipitation accentuated, but higher clay content diminished, those in recharge. Regardless of the nature of vegetation shift, most of the net values of grassland conversions were negative, with the shifts representing increasing costs in the following order: woody encroachment, rain-fed cultivation and irrigated cultivation. Values of changes in carbon were greater in magnitude than those of recharge, indicating that establishment of carbon markets may drive land-use changes in grasslands over water markets.
Lastly, I examined the effects of changes in subsurface hydrology resulting from grassland conversion to croplands on soil inorganic carbon stocks in the same U.S. study system. I observed significantly lower inorganic carbon stocks under both rain-fed and irrigated croplands compared to the grasslands they replaced. The losses were visible to past 6 m depth in the soil profile and were uncharacteristically rapid for the carbon pool that is considered to be relatively inert. Based on the negative relationship between the inorganic carbon stocks and recharge rates and higher estimated exports of bicarbonates in recharge under croplands, I concluded that increased recharge with cultivation resulted in dissolution and leaching of grassland soil carbonates. Ecosystem services and their relationships to biotic and abiotic factors quantified here will further our understanding of the tradeoffs and interactions between the two services through vegetation shifts.