Browsing by Subject "Habitat modeling"
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Item Open Access Characterizing Spatial Pattern and Heterogeneity of Pine Forests in North Carolina’s Coastal Plain using LiDAR(2009-04-24T18:49:24Z) Smart, Lindsey S.Remote sensing tools that directly characterize canopy structure would be beneficial for management activities and conservation planning. LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) is such a tool, as an active remote sensing technology that provides fine-grained information about the three-dimensional structure of ecosystems across a broad spatial extent. This project assesses the feasibility of using the state-wide North Carolina Floodplain Mapping LiDAR dataset to differentiate between the structural components of evergreen forest types in North Carolina’s coastal plain. Vertical structure and spatial patterns of vertical structure were quantified using geospatial measures such as semivariogram/ correlograms, lacunarity analysis, and correlation length. LiDAR-derived metrics were also created for comparison with standard field-based measurements of stand structure. I found that LiDAR is capable of measuring canopy variation and can differentiate between the structural characteristics of evergreen forest types. Also, the N.C. LiDAR has potential for use as a surrogate for field measurements when collection is not feasible due to time, labor, or financial constraints. In addition, the project examined LiDAR’s use as a screening tool in the identification of suitable habitat for the federally endangered red-cockaded woodpecker (Picoides borealis). I used Maximum Entropy (Maxent), an inductive modeling algorithm for presence data only, to create a spatial species distribution model using LiDAR-derived variables in addition to more typical geospatial variables. The Area (AUC) under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was analyzed for increases in predictive power with additions of variables. Results suggested that the addition of LiDAR-derived variables to habitat models improved their predictive power, resulting in a test AUC increase from 0.923 with standard spatial variables only, to a test AUC of 0.951 with LiDAR-derived variables added. The success of this project has important implications for natural resource management and conservation planning, especially given that the LiDAR dataset is publicly available and covers the entire state of North Carolina.Item Open Access GRAY FOX AND RED FOX DISTRIBUTIONS OF DURHAM AND ORANGE COUNTIES, NORTH CAROLINA(2020-04-24) Cole, MadisonUrbanization and human development have been expanding throughout North Carolina’s Research Triangle. Humans fragment natural ecosystems, species become increasingly at risk of extirpation and human-wildlife conflict. This project analyzed predicted gray fox and red fox distributions across Durham County and Orange County, North Carolina with a specific focus on Duke Forest. I applied two modeling approaches using species presence-absence data, environmental variables, and expert opinion to predict gray fox and red fox habitat distributions. The first method was a rules-based modeling approach, while the second was a Maximum Entropy (Maxent) modeling approach. Red foxes showed a preference for more urban and dry-oak ecosystems, while gray foxes showed a preference for mesic forests and fields. These predicted habitat distributions helped inform Duke Forest’s management team of conservation priorities, including land conservation and on-the-ground management strategies.Item Open Access Informing Kelp Forest Restoration Site Selection With The California Spiny Lobster (Panulirus interruptus)(2016-04-26) Seymour, AlexanderKelp forest communities in Southern California provide ecosystem services that support biodiversity, tourism, recreation, and fisheries, yet their extent has declined by up to 80% over the last century. Contributing to the decline is the extraction of predators controlling sea urchin populations, which are kelp herbivores. This can result in the formation of persistent “urchin barrens” that may become the subject of kelp forest restoration efforts. This project models and predicts preferable habitat for the California Spiny Lobster (an urchin predator) as a means of improving the efficiency of kelp forest restoration projects. To this end, a GIS tool was developed to analyze lobster abundances recorded as part of the Channel Islands National Park Service’s long term Kelp Forest Monitoring dataset. Habitat predictions suggest that urchin barrens around the northern-most Palos Verdes peninsula may have the most preferential lobster habitat, thereby enhancing restoration longevity through normal lobster foraging behavior. Results also suggest that lobster may be especially attracted to features that maximize their associational defense, such as continuous ledges that form topographically-concave ridgelines.Item Open Access Road Impact on Deforestation and Jaguar Habitat Loss in the Mayan Forest(2008-07-25) Conde Ovando, Dalia AmorThe construction of roads, either as an economic tool or as necessity for the implementation of other infrastructure projects is increasing in the tropical forest worldwide. However, roads are one of the main deforestation drivers in the tropics. In this study we analyzed the impact of road investments on both deforestation and jaguar habitat loss, in the Mayan Forest. As well we used these results to forecast the impact of two road investments planned in the region. Our results show that roads are the single deforestation driver in low developed areas, whether many other drivers play and important role in high developed areas. In the short term, the impact of a road in a low developed area is lower than in a road in a high developed area, which could be the result of the lag effect between road construction and forest colonization. This is consistent since roads resulted to be a significant deforestation driver for at least two decades. Roads significantly affect jaguar's habitat selection; however males showed a higher tolerance than females. From 1980 to 2000 female jaguars lost 36% of their habitat wile males lost 22%. Our forecasting of the impact of the proposed road, shows that it will promote the deforestation of approximately 16,851 has, and the jaguar habitat loss of 146,929, during the first decade; meanwhile the alternative route will have and impact of 2519 hectares and the habitat loss of 899 hectares.
Item Open Access Site prioritization of current and potential red-cockaded woodpecker habitat in the Onslow Bight Landscape(2023-04-27) Brockington, LauraThe red-cockaded woodpecker (RCW) has been listed as endangered for over 50 years. This is most notably due to a lack of habitat, as they prefer to roost in old-growth longleaf pine forests, a landscape that once covered the region, but is now extremely fragmented and sparse. The Onslow Bight Landscape is home to some of the largest remaining populations of RCW in North Carolina. This project aimed to (1) determine the likelihood of 55 parcels of interest to the North Carolina Coastal Land Trust (NCCLT) having suitable habitat for RCW, and (2) prioritize those parcels based on a set of four criteria to aid in the recovery of RCW through appropriate land acquisition. Thirty-five parcels were found to contain suitable habitat for RCW based on forest structure and soil type, but only 10 parcels had at least 10% of their total area as suitable. Two parcels were deemed as having a high RCW conservation value, while 40 received a moderate score, and 13 a low score. The results from this project provide NCCLT with an accurate estimate of current RCW habitat on their parcels of interest across the Onslow Bight landscape. These results will also help secure funding for the acquisition and continued management of these parcels, and provide a useful toolbox in understanding each parcel’s ecological structure to inform management decisions and help predict the presence of other important species in the future.Item Open Access Spatial Ecology of the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena Glacialis)(2008-04-24) Good, CarolineDespite decades of protection, the endangered North Atlantic right whale (Eubalaena glacialis) has failed to recover, primarily due to interactions with fishing gear and ship strikes. Right whales range along the U.S. east coast, foraging year round in the Gulf of Maine while a subset of the population travels to the South Atlantic Bight each year to calve. The habitat requirements of the right whale are poorly understood. I investigated the relationship between the distribution of right whales and physical oceanographic conditions in an effort to create predictive models of essential right whale habitats. Additionally, the distribution of right and humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) relative to fixed fishing gear was examined to assess spatio-temporal overlap. Habitat preferences were assessed using aerial survey data of whale locations and a range of topological and satellite derived physical parameters including bathymetry, sediment type, sea surface temperature, thermal gradients and surface roughness. A suite of non-parametric quantitative techniques including Mantel tests, log likelihood functions, Generalized Additive Models, Spearman Rank Correlations and the Williamson's spatial overlap index were used to assess relationships between whales and habitat variables. Our findings indicate that suitable calving habitat along the east coast may extend much farther to the north than is currently recognized. Our model correctly identified several well documented current and historic calving grounds in the eastern Atlantic but failed to fully identify a heavily used calving area off Argentina, which is characterized by lower surface water temperatures than the other calving regions. In the Gulf of Maine, right whale distribution was correlated primarily with sea surface temperature, sediment type and bathymetry. Predictive models offered insights into right whale habitat preferences for foraging but failed to wholly capture the physical factors underlying right whale distribution. I found the relative density of right and humpback whales and fixed fishing gear in the Gulf of Maine to be negatively correlated in most seasons and areas. These findings demonstrate that the regular co-occurrence of high densities of whales and gear is not a prerequisite for entanglement. Prohibiting entangling lines in areas where whales are known to forage could substantively reduce entanglement.Item Open Access Spatial Relationships among Hydroacoustic, Hydrographic and Top Predator Patterns: Cetacean Distributions in the Mid-Atlantic Bight(2016) LaBrecque, ErinEffective conservation and management of top predators requires a comprehensive understanding of their distributions and of the underlying biological and physical processes that affect these distributions. The Mid-Atlantic Bight shelf break system is a dynamic and productive region where at least 32 species of cetaceans have been recorded through various systematic and opportunistic marine mammal surveys from the 1970s through 2012. My dissertation characterizes the spatial distribution and habitat of cetaceans in the Mid-Atlantic Bight shelf break system by utilizing marine mammal line-transect survey data, synoptic multi-frequency active acoustic data, and fine-scale hydrographic data collected during the 2011 summer Atlantic Marine Assessment Program for Protected Species (AMAPPS) survey. Although studies describing cetacean habitat and distributions have been previously conducted in the Mid-Atlantic Bight, my research specifically focuses on the shelf break region to elucidate both the physical and biological processes that influence cetacean distribution patterns within this cetacean hotspot.
In Chapter One I review biologically important areas for cetaceans in the Atlantic waters of the United States. I describe the study area, the shelf break region of the Mid-Atlantic Bight, in terms of the general oceanography, productivity and biodiversity. According to recent habitat-based cetacean density models, the shelf break region is an area of high cetacean abundance and density, yet little research is directed at understanding the mechanisms that establish this region as a cetacean hotspot.
In Chapter Two I present the basic physical principles of sound in water and describe the methodology used to categorize opportunistically collected multi-frequency active acoustic data using frequency responses techniques. Frequency response classification methods are usually employed in conjunction with net-tow data, but the logistics of the 2011 AMAPPS survey did not allow for appropriate net-tow data to be collected. Biologically meaningful information can be extracted from acoustic scattering regions by comparing the frequency response curves of acoustic regions to theoretical curves of known scattering models. Using the five frequencies on the EK60 system (18, 38, 70, 120, and 200 kHz), three categories of scatterers were defined: fish-like (with swim bladder), nekton-like (e.g., euphausiids), and plankton-like (e.g., copepods). I also employed a multi-frequency acoustic categorization method using three frequencies (18, 38, and 120 kHz) that has been used in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank which is based the presence or absence of volume backscatter above a threshold. This method is more objective than the comparison of frequency response curves because it uses an established backscatter value for the threshold. By removing all data below the threshold, only strong scattering information is retained.
In Chapter Three I analyze the distribution of the categorized acoustic regions of interest during the daytime cross shelf transects. Over all transects, plankton-like acoustic regions of interest were detected most frequently, followed by fish-like acoustic regions and then nekton-like acoustic regions. Plankton-like detections were the only significantly different acoustic detections per kilometer, although nekton-like detections were only slightly not significant. Using the threshold categorization method by Jech and Michaels (2006) provides a more conservative and discrete detection of acoustic scatterers and allows me to retrieve backscatter values along transects in areas that have been categorized. This provides continuous data values that can be integrated at discrete spatial increments for wavelet analysis. Wavelet analysis indicates significant spatial scales of interest for fish-like and nekton-like acoustic backscatter range from one to four kilometers and vary among transects.
In Chapter Four I analyze the fine scale distribution of cetaceans in the shelf break system of the Mid-Atlantic Bight using corrected sightings per trackline region, classification trees, multidimensional scaling, and random forest analysis. I describe habitat for common dolphins, Risso’s dolphins and sperm whales. From the distribution of cetacean sightings, patterns of habitat start to emerge: within the shelf break region of the Mid-Atlantic Bight, common dolphins were sighted more prevalently over the shelf while sperm whales were more frequently found in the deep waters offshore and Risso’s dolphins were most prevalent at the shelf break. Multidimensional scaling presents clear environmental separation among common dolphins and Risso’s dolphins and sperm whales. The sperm whale random forest habitat model had the lowest misclassification error (0.30) and the Risso’s dolphin random forest habitat model had the greatest misclassification error (0.37). Shallow water depth (less than 148 meters) was the primary variable selected in the classification model for common dolphin habitat. Distance to surface density fronts and surface temperature fronts were the primary variables selected in the classification models to describe Risso’s dolphin habitat and sperm whale habitat respectively. When mapped back into geographic space, these three cetacean species occupy different fine-scale habitats within the dynamic Mid-Atlantic Bight shelf break system.
In Chapter Five I present a summary of the previous chapters and present potential analytical steps to address ecological questions pertaining the dynamic shelf break region. Taken together, the results of my dissertation demonstrate the use of opportunistically collected data in ecosystem studies; emphasize the need to incorporate middle trophic level data and oceanographic features into cetacean habitat models; and emphasize the importance of developing more mechanistic understanding of dynamic ecosystems.
Item Open Access Wolves in lower Michigan: habitat modeling and capacity estimation(2010-12-07) Claeys, GinaGray wolf populations have been rebounding in the Great Lakes region, after being nearly extirpated from the conterminous United States. Breeding populations of wolves have established in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan but have not yet become widely established in the Lower Peninsula (LP) of Michigan, despite several sightings of wolves in the LP since 2004. The objective of this analysis was to determine the quantity of potential habitat for wolves in the LP using wolf occurrence data obtained by radio telemetry, Maxent software, and ArcGIS. The habitat model was evaluated to determine if the potential habitat could support a viable population. A species distribution model (SDM) was created in Maxent and analyzed in ArcGIS to estimate the amount of potential habitat for wolves in the LP. Connectivity of potential habitat was evaluated by looking at least cost paths, corridors, and potential dispersal land. I found that there is 2,674-3,246 km2 of potential habitat in the LP, which could support 52-63 wolves. This is below the minimum of 100 necessary to sustain a viable population. All habitat patches at least 50 km2 in size are in the northern LP, but are not connected by land suitable for dispersal. Thus, although there are habitat patches of sufficient size in lower Michigan, it is likely that packs of wolves that may inhabit these patches will remain relatively isolated and have difficulties dispersing throughout lower Michigan. It is unlikely that they will be able to inhabit or disperse through the southern LP without land management geared towards creating larger unfragmented habitat patches and suitable dispersal corridors. This analysis highlights the need for land management geared towards wolves in order to allow them to continue to recover their former range in the United States.