Browsing by Subject "Markets"
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Item Open Access Auctions, Equilibria, and Budgets(2012) Bhattacharya, SayanWe design algorithms for markets consisting of multiple items, and agents with budget constraints on the maximum amount of money they can afford to spend. This problem can be considered under two broad frameworks. (a) From the standpoint of Auction Theory, the agents valuation functions over the items are private knowledge. Here, a "truthful auction" computes the subset of items received by every agent and her payment, and ensures that no agent can manipulate the scheme to her advantage by misreporting her valuation function. The question is to design a truthful auction whose outcome can be computed in polynomial time. (b) A different, but equally
important, question is to investigate if and when the market is in "equilibrium",
meaning that every item is assigned a price, every agent gets her utility-maximizing subset of items under the current prices, and every unallocated item is priced at zero.
First, we consider the setting of multiple heterogeneous items and present approximation algorithms for revenue-optimal truthful auctions. When the items are homogeneous, we give an efficient algorithm whose outcome defines a truthful and Pareto-optimal auction. Finally, we focus on the notion of "competitive equilibrium", which is a well known solution concept for market clearing. We present efficient algorithms for finding competitive equilibria in markets with budget constrained agents, and show that these equilibria outcomes have strong revenue guarantees.
Item Open Access HOW BLOCKCHAIN CAN BE USED FOR CREATING A MARKET FOR ENERGY SAVINGS CERTIFICATES(2019-04-19) Feng, Churong; Glassbrook, Keith; Lee, Songyun; Weiner, JennaThe goal of this project is to provide recommendations for the design of a blockchain ecosystem that can be used for creating or supporting a market for energy efficiency certificates, a trading commodity for packaging energy savings. There are examples of government-created and administered markets for energy efficiency credits in France, Italy, India, and Connecticut, but trading volume is thin. Four of the main challenges such a market must contend with in design are: (1) the measurement and verification of energy savings poses a large cost, (2) confirming that the energy efficiency project is additional is extremely challenging, (3) setting a target that is aggressive enough to make an impact is a difficult feat, and (4) defining the geographic boundary of the program is important to avoid leakage. The project team investigated blockchain methodologies, such as transactions, tokens, smart contracts, permission levels, and consensus mechanisms, to provide recommendations on integrating the desired functions of a blockchain ecosystem for energy efficiency certificates. The project team also reviewed in-depth research into blockchain technology and drew on applications of blockchain in the broader energy industry and the supply chain industry to inform the recommendations. Using this information, the team proposed a design for a blockchain ecosystem to support an energy efficiency certificate market.Item Open Access How Evolution, Stories, and Irrationality Influence Decision Making in Financial Markets: Analyzing Whether We Can Leverage Our Innate Traits and Heuristics to Improve Outcomes(2020-12-13) McCarthy, JosephOne of the most commonly asked questions in investing is whether or not it is possible to achieve excess returns in the financial markets. To give a somewhat simple answer, for most investors a basic low-fee passive ("static") index fund portfolio is the best investment strategy since it outperforms nearly all advanced active indexing methodologies, such as "dynamic indexing," over the long-term due to factors such as high fees, high turnover, and poor asset selection (McCarthy and Tower, 2020b). Yet, even so, it does appear that it is possible to beat the market on a single trade through skill or luck as there are real inefficiencies and mispricings that occur among different investment vehicles at certain points in time (Lo, 2017; Malkiel, 2012; Ellis, 2017). This is especially evident in a number of endowment models, such as Yale's under David Swensen, which have successfully embraced risk through alternative investments – e.g., private equity – by focusing on longer time horizons and subsequently achieved very impressive results (Chambers, Dimson, and Kaffe, 2020; "Lessons from the endowment model," 2020). However, the fact that the financial markets are a zero-sum game with so many highly intelligent and highly informed investors constantly competing against one another makes it exceptionally difficult, and rare, to achieve excess returns over the long-term (Lo, 2017; Malkiel, 2012; Ellis, 2017). Indeed, the only way to truly beat the market on a regular basis is to constantly adapt your strategy in order to prevent your competitors from mimicking your successful techniques and thereby diluting your overall alpha (Lo, 2017; Malkiel, 2012; Ellis, 2017). Yet, even if we are able to consistently modify our approach as required, there are natural human biases relating to our evolutionary development; our collective stories; and our rationality / irrationality that can influence our decision making. In the following paper, I intend to provide an in-depth analysis of these three areas, and subsequently share a series of current best practices and frameworks from Behavioral Decision Theory (BDT) and Judgement and Decision Making (JDM) fields – e.g., "The Good Judgment Project" and "The Wisdom of Select Crowds" (Mannes, Soll, and Larrick, 2014; Mellers et al., 2014) – which if properly applied in a thoughtful and deliberate manner could offer a meaningful improvement in analysis, forecasting, decision making, and outcomes for both leaders and their organizations in the investing arena.Item Open Access Nonprofit Market Structure and Its Consequences(2017) Vance-McMullen, DanielleThis dissertation is comprised of three papers related to nonprofit market structure and its consequences. I begin with an essay that examines how the recent boom of nonprofit organizations affects giving using the context of the Combined Federal Campaign (CFC). I find that the nonprofit boom has not increased donations to nonprofit organizations. Since a fixed amount of charitable resources is split among more organizations, the average nonprofit receives less funding as the number of organizations grows. The second paper proposes a new definition of nonprofit markets based on individual-level donor behavior and donor-nonprofit network ties. Notably, the new market definition predicts donor substitution among organizations 58% more accurately than the standard nonprofit market definition based on an organization’s subsector and geographic location. The CFC data and this donor-based market definition are also used to examine an important nonprofit policy issue—the relationship between market concentration and nonprofit spending on overhead. In the final essay, I study one of the processes by which competition in the CFC has increased over time—changes in the structure of government contracts. I examine whether fewer, but larger, contracts change performance. I find that contract consolidation does not significantly improve performance. Furthermore, I find no evidence that economies of scale exist in workplace giving.
Item Open Access Small-scale Fisheries and the Global Economy: Understanding Common-pool Resource Governance in the Context of Market Pressures, Neoliberal Policies, and Transnational Institutions(2016) Bennett, AbigailThe purpose of this dissertation is to contribute to a better understanding of how global seafood trade interacts with the governance of small-scale fisheries (SSFs). As global seafood trade expands, SSFs have the potential to experience significant economic, social, and political benefits from participation in export markets. At the same time, market connections that place increasing pressures on resources pose risks to both the ecological and social integrity of SSFs. This dissertation seeks to explore the factors that mediate between the potential benefits and risks of global seafood markets for SSFs, with the goal of developing hypotheses regarding these relationships.
The empirical investigation consists of a series of case studies from the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. This is a particularly rich context in which to study global market connections with SSFs because the SSFs in this region engage in a variety of market-oriented harvests, most notably for octopus, groupers and snappers, lobster, and sea cucumber. Variation in market forms and the institutional diversity of local-level governance arrangements allows the dissertation to explore a number of examples.
The analysis is guided primarily by common-pool resource (CPR) theory because of the insights it provides regarding the conditions that facilitate collective action and the factors that promote long-lasting resource governance arrangements. Theory from institutional economics and political ecology contribute to the elaboration of a multi-faceted conceptualization of markets for CPR theory, with the aim of facilitating the identification of mechanisms through which markets and CPR governance actually interact. This dissertation conceptualizes markets as sets of institutions that structure the exchange of property rights over fisheries resources, affect the material incentives to harvest resources, and transmit ideas and values about fisheries resources and governance.
The case studies explore four different mechanisms through which markets potentially influence resource governance: 1) Markets can contribute to costly resource governance activities by offsetting costs through profits, 2) markets can undermine resource governance by generating incentives for noncompliance and lead to overharvesting resources, 3) markets can increase the costs of resource governance, for example by augmenting monitoring and enforcement burdens, and 4) markets can alter values and norms underpinning resource governance by transmitting ideas between local resource users and a variety of market actors.
Data collected using participant observation, survey, informal and structured interviews contributed to the elaboration of the following hypotheses relevant to interactions between global seafood trade and SSFs governance. 1) Roll-back neoliberalization of fisheries policies has undermined cooperatives’ ability to achieve financial success through engagement with markets and thus their potential role as key actors in resource governance (chapter two). 2) Different relations of production influence whether local governance institutions will erode or strengthen when faced with market pressures. In particular, relations of production in which fishers own their own means of production and share the collective costs of governance are more likely to strengthen resource governance while relations of production in which a single entrepreneur controls capital and access to the fishery are more likely to contribute to the erosion of resource governance institutions in the face of market pressures (chapter three). 3) By serving as a new discursive framework within which to conceive of and talk about fisheries resources, markets can influence norms and values that shape and constitute governance arrangements.
In sum, the dissertation demonstrates that global seafood trade manifests in a diversity of local forms and effects. Whether SSFs moderate risks and take advantage of benefits depends on a variety of factors, and resource users themselves have the potential to influence the outcomes of seafood market connections through local forms of collective action.
Item Open Access U.S. Carbon Offset Policy: Risks, Uncertainties and What We Can Learn from Current Financial Markets(2009-04-24T17:56:22Z) Abramson, AlanClimate change has become an increasingly important topic of political discussion and public concern. Although the United States has not signed the Kyoto Protocol, some individuals, companies, municipalities, states and regions have made either voluntary or regulatory efforts to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Many observers believe the U.S. will institute a national carbon policy sometime during the current administration. Most public policy experts believe a cap-and-trade program will be part of any U.S. climate change policy. A trading program will presumably include both carbon allowances and carbon offsets. This Masters Project investigates what lessons policymakers can learn about regulation, oversight and transparency from the recent credit and financial market crisis. The research and analysis will suggest how policymakers can apply these lessons to help build the nascent carbon offset market into a robust, trusted, viable and liquid financial market over the long term. The research method included conducting twenty-nine interviews with specific questions for each group of participants. Ten financial market respondents, eleven carbon market respondents, five NGO respondents and three public policy experts were interviewed. A thorough literature review of current environmental commodity markets was conducted, too. The results address three distinct areas. First, what went wrong in the financial markets is scrutinized. Specific findings suggest too much complexity, too much leverage, and an overall lack of transparency caused most problems. Second, how the carbon market, in general, can avoid these problems is revealed. A consensus advocates utilizing a central clearinghouse with margin requirements for market participants while limiting the number of derivative products to the simplest of futures and options. Finally, explicit guidance for the offset market is given. This market must reduce the number of standards and registries. Furthermore, the conflict of interest inherent in the current verification and validation model for offset approval needs to be eliminated.Item Open Access WASTED ENERGY: RE-DIRECTING INVESTMENT INTO RENEWABLES THROUGH ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY(2020-11) Katz, SophiaThe Clean Power Plan (CPP) was the first ever regulation to limit carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from both new and existing power plants under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and is recognized as one of the most monumental steps towards taking action on climate change and investing in renewable energy. The policy is, however, commonly denounced by some for its detrimental impact to the U.S. coal manufacturing and production sectors and grouped with other policies for waging a ‘War on Coal.’ This paper analyzes whether the CPP was an effective policy at swaying investor mindsets in energy capital markets and decarbonizing investor portfolios. This analysis differs from previous literature through its focus on an event study of specific brown and green energy indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs) at the time of the CPP’s proposal on June 2, 2014 and final announcement on August 3, 2015. The presence or lack of discontinuities in the market in the 100-day trading window surrounding both events serves as a measure for understanding investors’ reactions to the policy and its implications for future profits. This paper also describes the legal and political pushback to the policy as well as instances of disinformation spread by the coal industry to compensate for a bleak cashflow outlook. Discussion on the implications of using policy as a government intervention to create greener and cleaner markets concludes this paper, arguing that environmental policy can serve as an effective tool to decrease investment in carbon-intensive energy sources, as climate change poses an increasing risk to the planet and public health.Item Open Access Watershed Payments for Ecosystem Services and Climate Change Adaptation(2008-04-21T19:29:37Z) Willetts, ElizabethA majority of East African nations rely heavily on hydropower for their energy supply. Climate change experts predict significant changes to total precipitation and seasonal weather patterns in this area in the near future. Consequently, these nations should expect hydrologic stress across all watershed scales. Resilience of East Africa’s energy sector to these climate change impacts will rely on coordinated environmental and economic policy. It will depend on the ability of governments to quickly improve management of important ecosystems and water basins. However, effective decision-making must balance the watershed needs of local livelihoods, such as subsistence agriculture, with national energy needs, such as expansion of electricity infrastructure. Environmental policy increasingly leans to economic mechanisms to find resolutions to ecosystem dependency conflicts. Payments for Ecosystems Services (PES) is one environmental economic mechanism that could effectively and rapidly improve environmental management in this region. This paper investigates the feasibility for using local PES schemes in a major Rwanda watershed as both a tool for community vulnerability reduction and for energy sector resilience to climate change impacts. Payments for Ecosystem Services in developing countries involves local-level environmental negotiations between the public and private sectors. The mechanism has two goals. Primarily, it gives physical value to specific resource improvements. Secondly, PES reorganizes funding streams towards particular environmental objectives using positive incentives. In effect, it can develop a sustainable, locally-driven, conservation funding mechanism. PES most strongly emerged as a conservation tool in the early 1990’s in Latin America. Uncertainty in its ability to achieve restoration targets and questions about its ability to achieve financial independence does not deter PES’ popularity. PES schemes and informational networks now exist in Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The first portion of this paper looks at the capacity-building potential of PES mechanisms. It relates these to adaptive capacity needs for climate change given by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The second portion of this paper organizes key literature describing different feasibility criteria for PES implementation in the Rwandan context. To verify whether watershed PES is plausible, the paper then investigates the political, social, and environmental context of Rwanda’s major watershed and compares these to fourteen international PES case study sites. The final portion of the paper links potential PES scheme designs in the Rugezi area to specific capacity building potential and then to climate change adaptation objectives. Successful implementation of watershed PES in Rwanda will depend on careful scheme design and persistent trust-building in order to harmonize wetland inhabitant and electric utility needs. Existence of contextually parallel projects in Indonesia, South Africa, and Columbia, gives evidence that these challenges can be creatively overcome. Findings show that Rwandan decision-makers will need more hydrologic data to make ecologically informed and efficient decisions and also to set targets. With several necessary conditions in place, watershed PES in Rugezi may be a feasible tool for climate change adaptation and energy sector resilience. However, there is need for cost-benefit analysis to clarify short term, long term, and distributive costs and benefits of such a project.