Browsing by Subject "Spatial"
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Item Open Access Advancing Drone Methods for Pinniped Ecology and Management(2022) Larsen, Gregory DavidPinniped species undergo a life history, unique among marine mammals, that includes discrete periods of occupancy on land or ice within a predominantly marine existence. This makes many pinniped species valuable sentinels of marine ecosystem health and models of marine mammal physiology and behavior. Pinniped research has often progressed hand-in-hand with advances at the technological frontiers of wildlife biology, and drones represent a leap forward in the long-established field of aerial photography, heralding opportunities for data collection and integration at new scales of biological importance. The following chapters employ and evaluate recent and emerging methods of wildlife surveillance that are uniquely enabled and facilitated by drone methods, in applied research and management campaigns with near-polar pinniped species. These methods represent advancements in abundance estimation and distribution modeling of pinniped populations that are dynamically shifting amid climate change, fishing pressure, and recovery from historical depletion.Conventional methods of counting animals from aerial imagery—typically visual interpretation by human analysts—can be time-consuming and limits the practical use of this data type. Deep learning methods of computer vision can ease this burden when applied to drone imagery, but are not yet characterized for practical and generalized use. To this end, I used a common implementation of deep learning for object detection in imagery to train and test models on a variety of datasets describing breeding populations of gray seals (Halichoerus grypus) in the northwest Atlantic Ocean (Chapter 2). I compare standardized performance metrics of models trained and tested on different combinations of datasets, demonstrating that model performance varies depending on both training and testing data choices. We find that models require careful validation to estimate error rates, and that they can be effectively deployed to aid, but not replace, conventional human visual interpretation of novel datasets for gray seal detection, location, age-classification and abundance estimation. Spatial analysis and species distribution modeling can use fine-scale drone-derived data to describe local species–habitat relationships at the scale of individual animals. I applied structure-from-motion methods to a survey of three pinniped species, pacific harbor seals (Phoca vitulina richardii), northern fur seals (Callorhinus ursinus), and Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), in adjacent non-breeding haul-outs to compare occupancy and habitat selection (Chapter 3). I describe and compare fitted occupancy models of pacific harbor seals and northern fur seals, finding that conspecific attraction is a key driver of habitat selection for each species, and that each species exhibits distinct topographic preferences. These findings illustrate both opportunities and limitations of spatial analysis at the scale of individual pinnipeds. Ease of deployment and rapid data collection make drones a powerful tool for monitoring populations of interest over time, while animal locations, revealed in high-resolution imagery, and contextual habitat products can reveal spatial relationships that persist beyond local contexts. I designed and carried out a campaign of drone surveillance over coastal habitats near Palmer Station, Antarctica, in the austral summer of 2020 to assess the seasonal abundance and habitat use of Antarctic fur seals (Arctocephalus gazella) in the Palmer Archipelago and adjacent regions (Chapter 4). I modeled abundance as a function of date, with and without additional terms to capture variance by site, and used these models to estimate peak abundance near Palmer Station in the 2020 summer season. These findings leverage the spatial and temporal advantages of drone methods to estimate species phenology, distribution and abundance. Together, these chapters describe emerging applications of drone technology that can advance pinniped research and management into new scales of analytical efficiency and ecological interpretation. These studies describe methods that have been proven in concept, but not yet standardized for practical deployment, and their findings reveal new ecological insights, opportunities for methodological advancement, and current limitations of drone methods for the study of pinnipeds in high-latitude environments.
Item Open Access AN ANALYSIS OF LANDSCAPE CHARACTERISTICS INFLUENCING LIVESTOCK DEPREDATION BY LIONS, HYENAS, AND LEOPARDS IN LOIBOR SIRET, TANZANIA(2012-04-30) Baraso, SamThe African lion has declined precipitously across its entire range from nearly 500,000 in the early 1900s to roughly 35,000 individuals today. While a multitude of factors contributes to the lions’ decline, conflict with traditional pastoralists is one of the gravest threats. Lions, hyenas and leopards opportunistically prey on livestock including cattle, donkeys, goats, and sheep in pastoral regimes. However, lions are disproportionately blamed for livestock depredation and are common targets in retaliatory killings in many communities. Several NGOs including the African People & Wildlife Fund are finding ways to minimize predation incidences and thereby reduce retaliatory killings. Strategies such as corral fortification have reduced predation events within the homestead, however, a significant percentage of attacks are at the pasture. Using 54 months of carnivore/livestock conflict data in the Maasai Steppe of Tanzania, I assess the influence of landscape features to characterize the risk of predation at the pasture. By identifying factors contributing to greater predation risk, strategies to mitigate attacks at pasture can be designed. This way, herders will have greater capacity to protect their primary source of wealth and can better co-exist with predators. I found that proximity to bomas (corrals) is the most relevant landscape feature explaining the likelihood of attack across all three carnivores. After accounting for boma proximity, no other variable contributes a significant explanatory role, and attacks cannot be accounted for by landscape features alone. Fifty-three percent of all pasture predation occurs at night. Of these, roughly 71% occur on lost livestock. This study suggests that “lost livestock” represents an area of further research. After, the initiation of the Living Walls corral fortification program, boma predation declined by over ninety percent. Pasture predation also declines, though the causal mechanism is unclear. This study shows that environmental characteristics may be less important than social or behavioral characteristics of the herders in determining livestock predation at pasture.Item Open Access Evolutionary Dynamics in an Individual Spatial and a Mean Field Differential Equation Host-Pathogen Model(2013-04-30) Zhang, WilliamWe examine a host-pathogen model in which three types of species exist: empty sites, healthy hosts, and infected hosts. In this model six different transitions can occur: empty sites can be colonized by healthy hosts, healthy hosts can be infected, and infected hosts can either recover or die. We implement this general model in both a spatial context with discrete time and in a homogeneously mixing model in continuous time. We then explore evolution for pairs of parameters, calculating viable regions in the ODE model and and evolutionary vector fields in both models. Our results show that results from the spatial model do not always converge to our ODE model results, that stochasticity in the spatial evolutionary vector field can be used as a measure of the magnitude of evolutionary pressure and as an indicator of non-viable parameters, and that the evolutionary pressures on different parameters are not necessarily independent. For example, a lower transmissibility greatly lowers the magnitude of evolutionary pressure for all parameters associated with transitions from infected hosts.Item Open Access Geo-Spatial Modeling of Online Ad Distributions(2013-04-25) Gorecki, MitchelThe purpose of this document is to demonstrate how spatial models can be integrated into purchasing decisions for real-time bidding on advertising exchanges to improve ad selection and performance. Historical data makes it very apparent that some neighborhoods are much more interested in some ads than others. Similarly, some neighborhoods are also much more interested in some online domains than others, meaning viewing habits across domains are not equal. Basic data analysis shows that neighborhoods behave in predictable ways that can be exploited using observed performance information. This paper demonstrates how it is possible to use spatially correlated information to better optimize advertising resources.Item Open Access Geo-Spatial Modeling of Online Ad Distributions(2013-04-15) Gorecki, MitchelThe purpose of this document is to demonstrate how spatial models can be integrated into purchasing decisions for real-time bidding on advertising exchanges to improve ad selection and performance. Historical data makes it very apparent that some neighborhoods are much more interested in some ads than others. Similarly, some neighborhoods are also much more interested in some online domains than others, meaning viewing habits across domains are not equal. Basic data analysis shows that neighborhoods behave in predictable ways that can be exploited using observed performance information. This paper demonstrates how it is possible to use spatially correlated information to better optimize advertising resources.Item Open Access Modeling Temporal and Spatial Data Dependence with Bayesian Nonparametrics(2010) Ren, LuIn this thesis, temporal and spatial dependence are considered within nonparametric priors to help infer patterns, clusters or segments in data. In traditional nonparametric mixture models, observations are usually assumed exchangeable, even though dependence often exists associated with the space or time at which data are generated.
Focused on model-based clustering and segmentation, this thesis addresses the issue in different ways, for temporal and spatial dependence.
For sequential data analysis, the dynamic hierarchical Dirichlet process is proposed to capture the temporal dependence across different groups. The data collected at any time point are represented via a mixture associated with an appropriate underlying model; the statistical properties of data collected at consecutive time points are linked via a random parameter that controls their probabilistic similarity. The new model favors a smooth evolutionary clustering while allowing innovative patterns to be inferred. Experimental analysis is performed on music, and may also be employed on text data for learning topics.
Spatially dependent data is more challenging to model due to its spatially-grid structure and often large computational cost of analysis. As a non-parametric clustering prior, the logistic stick-breaking process introduced here imposes the belief that proximate data are more likely to be clustered together. Multiple logistic regression functions generate a set of sticks with each dominating a spatially localized segment. The proposed model is employed on image segmentation and speaker diarization, yielding generally homogeneous segments with sharp boundaries.
In addition, we also consider a multi-task learning with each task associated with spatial dependence. For the specific application of co-segmentation with multiple images, a hierarchical Bayesian model called H-LSBP is proposed. By sharing the same mixture atoms for different images, the model infers the inter-similarity between each pair of images, and hence can be employed for image sorting.
Item Open Access Spatial Bayesian Variable Selection with Application to Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI)(2011) Yang, YingFunctional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is a major neuroimaging methodology and have greatly facilitate basic cognitive neuroscience research. However, there are multiple statistical challenges in the analysis of fMRI data, including, dimension reduction, multiple testing and inter-dependence of the MRI responses. In this thesis, a spatial Bayesian variable selection (BVS) model is proposed for the analysis of multi-subject fMRI data. The BVS framework simultaneously account for uncertainty in model specific parameters as well as the model selection process, solving the multiple testing problem. A spatial prior incorporate the spatial relationship of the MRI response, accounting for their inter-dependence. Compared to the non-spatial BVS model, the spatial BVS model enhances the sensitivity and accuracy of identifying activated voxels.