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Item Open Access A Comparison of the Attitudes of Human Resource (HR) Executives and HR Practitioners on the Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Enabled Tools in Recruiting(2022) Boyd, Kristi ShevkunAs part of the technological growth in HR, companies are developing and adopting AI-enabled solutions for recruitment of qualified talent for a job opening. AI-enabled recruiting tools provide a variety of potential benefits to an organization: from improving overall efficiency and lowering hiring costs, to automating repetitive tasks and removing human biases. AI-enabled tools in recruiting also introduce concerns about dehumanization of the hiring process, increased discrimination, and accidental exclusion of qualified candidates. These benefits and concerns are discussed at the HR executive level in industry and in academic contexts; however, the data on the perspectives of HR practitioners is much more limited. Studies show that only 32 percent of companies include individual practitioners within the talent acquisition technology discussions. HR practitioners leverage AI-enabled tools in hiring and, therefore, should be aware of and able to mitigate potential risks of leveraging AI-enabled tools. Lack of consideration of perspectives of HR practitioners on the benefits and risks of AI-enabled tools increases the possibility of ethical concerns and legal liability for the individual companies (Nankervis, 2021). HR executives need take into consideration the perspectives of HR practitioners who work with AI-enabled tools as this awareness is likely to help the businesses successfully realize their talent management goals. This paper is based on the hypothesis that the perspectives of HR practitioners on the use of AI-enabled tools in hiring differ from the perspectives of HR executives and need to be addressed to ensure that organizations can successfully and ethically implement AI-enabled tools within organizations. Robinson 2019, states that “examination of the practitioners’ perspective [is] a valuable part of AI technology adoption, if organizations hope to have employees support and embrace the accompanying changes." This paper contributes to the examination of practitioner’s perspectives by identifying an information gap that may influence attitudes of individual HR practitioners on the use of AI-enabled recruiting tools. The paper provides additional insights into the attitudes of individual HR practitioners in the United States (U.S.) through a new small-sample survey finding. The survey findings highlight the different attitudes that individual HR practitioners have towards the use of AI-enabled recruiting tools, especially when compared with those of HR executives. This survey is an initial step for more robust research and lays the foundation for follow up research topics. Finally, the paper provides recommendations that can help organizations ethically implement AI-enabled tools by ensuring the attitudes of individual HR practitioners are taken into consideration.
Item Open Access A Framework for Integrating Unoccupied Aircraft Systems Technology into Environmental Readiness at Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific(2021-04-30) Shield, JennieThe Department of Defense is the third largest federal land managing agency in the United States; using approximately 30 million acres, and marine environments, to train and test. The Navy’s ability to adequately train and test is the cornerstone of mission readiness. Therefore, the Navy must sustainably manage its lands, waters, and other natural resources to ensure mission readiness. The Environmental Readiness branch at Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific performs a myriad of compliance and monitoring tasks in support of the Navy’s dual commitment to mission readiness and to environmental stewardship. This project provides a framework for the Environmental Readiness team to integrate Unoccupied Aircraft Systems (UAS) technology into compliance and monitoring efforts by examining four tasks: 1) rocky intertidal baseline mapping 2) plant cover classification 3) eel grass habitat mapping, and 4) wildlife detection. This basic framework serves as a foundation for future exploration and evaluation of UAS applications for Environmental Readiness tasking.Item Open Access A Progress Evaluation of National Geographic’s Geotourism Program(2012-04-25) Nystrom, Joel; Brouwer, Susannah; Torres, Hannah; Stern, TamarNational Geographic’s Geotourism Program is a sustainable tourism initiative designed to ease the negative impacts of mass tourism through a branding opportunity and grassroots structure that empowers local stakeholders to showcase regional and cultural identity. While previous studies on National Geographic’s Geotourism Program have investigated the potential and achieved successes from certain perspectives, the Geotourism charter mandates that program evaluation should consider all stakeholder interests (Boley 2009, Leonard 2011). This study contributes to a comprehensive evaluation by analyzing progress from a previously unexplored perspective: that of the participating sites in two regions: Sierra Nevada and Crown of the Continent (COTC) region. Quantitative and qualitative data collection instruments gather information from participating sites that then is evaluated by indicators in three categories: social, environmental and economic. Social impact proves to be the strongest success of the project as participants are encouraged to learn about the assets of their region, and share regional information with visitors. The study also reveals that participants who buy into the Geotourism Project by educating visitors and incorporating it into their business planning documents recognize the greatest degree of project impact. Analysis of the results yields recommendations for how stakeholder education and involvement, impact measurement, and project positioning can be more effectively integrated into each destination’s strategic plan.Item Open Access A Progress Evaluation of National Geographic's Geotourism Program(2012-04-27) Stern, Tamar; Brouwer, Susannah; Nystrom, Joel; Torres, HannahNational Geographic’s Geotourism Program is a sustainable tourism initiative designed to ease the negative impacts of mass tourism through a branding opportunity and grassroots structure that empowers local stakeholders to showcase regional and cultural identity. While previous studies on National Geographic’s Geotourism Program have investigated the potential and achieved successes from certain perspectives, the Geotourism charter mandates that program evaluation should consider all stakeholder interests. This study contributes to a comprehensive evaluation by analyzing progress from a previously unexplored perspective: that of the participating sites in two regions: Sierra Nevada and Crown of the Continent (COTC) region. Quantitative and qualitative data collection instruments gather information from participating sites that then is evaluated by indicators in three categories: social, environmental and economic. Social impact proves to be the strongest success of the project as participants are encouraged to learn about the assets of their region, and share regional information with visitors. The study also reveals that participants who buy into the Geotourism Project by educating visitors and incorporating it into their business planning documents recognize the greatest degree of project impact. Analysis of the results yields recommendations for how stakeholder education and involvement, impact measurement, and project positioning can be more effectively integrated into each destination’s strategic plan.Item Open Access All A'Twitter: How Social Media Aids in Science Outreach(2012-04-23) Zimmerman, CaitlynThe world of science communication is changing with the increased use of social media and online resources. No longer is science for science’s sake; some scientists are beginning to understand the value and necessity of sharing scientific research with a wider audience. Scientific journals are great for sharing trusted findings between scientists within a specific field. However, outside of the field, these articles tend to be too complex and full of jargon for the average person. Also, research journal articles can be costly, limiting the availability of scientific articles to the public. Therefore, scientists are realizing they require a more effective way to share information to a general audience with no monetary costs. Social media, such as Facebook, Twitter and blogging, have shown potential to fill this void. This project investigates the use of social media as an aid to science outreach. I designed a survey instrument and distributed it to independent scientists and scientific institutions to gain insight into how social media is used to promote science research as well as why scientists do not use social media. In addition, I worked with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Coastal Services Center (CSC) on the Multipurpose Marine Cadastre (MMC) project, with the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), as social media specialist. I managed Twitter, Facebook and a blog for this project and gained intimate knowledge of how it works on the ground to use social media inside of a government agency, using this experience as a case study. Using the knowledge gained from this case study experience, as well as the survey results, I developed a set of best practices for social media use in science outreach. These guidelines are meant to aid in social media use to ensure greater success in terms of science outreach by scientists to the general public.Item Open Access An Evaluation Guide for Rookery Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve(2020-04-24) Rodriguez, NatalieEstuarine health is integral to the health of ocean environments (NOAA, 2017). The National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration realized this and created a network of protected reserves—the National Estuarine Research Reserve System (NERRS) (NOAA, n.d.). Environmental education (EE) is integral to NERRS success. These reserves offer unparalleled “living classrooms” for educators, students, and the public (NOAA, 2018). Rookery Bay, a NERR located in Naples, Florida, is home to one of the few undisturbed mangrove forests in the United States. The Environmental Learning Center (ELC) at Rookery Bay is an important resource to the local community provides summer education opportunities and K-12 field trip programming (Rookery Bay, n.d.). Education evaluation for EE programs has become increasingly important as environmental concerns have moved to the forefront of some of the worlds social, political, and economic issues (Thomson, G. & Hoffman, J., n.d.). Evaluation methods can be used to improve environmental education programs and enable continued or improved success in achieving program goals (Thomson, G. & Hoffman, J., n.d.). However, a program evaluation has not yet been done for Rookery Bay’s EE field trip curriculum. The objective of this project was therefore to develop an outcome-based evaluation guide to assess the desired outcomes from visiting students who participate in: (1) 4th grade Estuary Explorers, (2) 7th grade SURVIVORS, and (3) the high school and college students Field-Based Estuarine Studies programs. This was done by completing an education evaluation document analysis, logic models, and informational interviews, to create a retrospective survey which then went through user testing, and expert reviews. This project’s deliverables are a well-informed guide containing the three different grade level surveys as well as guidelines and recommendations for data collection, analysis, and reporting.Item Open Access An Evaluation of Natural Heritage Programs(2021-04-30) Rose, VictoriaNatureServe, a nonprofit that seeks to provide access to high quality biodiversity data, works with a network of natural heritage programs across the United States, Canada, Latin America, and South America to collect data about rare and at-risk species. In 2020, NatureServe conducted a survey of the natural heritage programs it works with in the United States and Canada. NatureServe’s goal was to assess the status of the natural heritage programs it works with by better understanding how these programs operate and identifying ways to improve struggling natural heritage programs. This report analyzes the responses to the 2020 survey. The introduction section of this report provides an overview of NatureServe, natural heritage programs, and past studies of natural heritage programs. NatureServe is a non-profit that seeks “to provide the scientific basis for effective conservation action” through a public-private partnership with a network of natural heritage programs. The natural heritage programs that NatureServe works with are government organizations located across the United States, Canada, Latin America, and South America that were created to “gather, organize, and distribute” high quality data about the biodiversity in the jurisdictions in which they are located. Natural heritage programs can vary greatly in size, budget, staff, and program priorities. In 2016, NatureServe conducted a survey similar to the one conducted for this report and produced a series of descriptive statistics to analyze the results. The methods section of this report provides information on the 2020 survey, describes the analyses of the survey responses, and critiques the structure of the 2020 survey. NatureServe distributed the survey to natural heritage programs in the United States and Canada and received 64 responses. The survey asked questions about budgets, staff, data collection, and challenges faced by natural heritage programs. I created a linear regression model with the size of a natural heritage program’s element occurrence data backlog as the dependent variable and a natural heritage program’s estimated funding, average yearly data requests, number of programmatic positions filled, and number of programmatic positions that need to be filled. Descriptive statistics were conducted on the survey responses. The survey could be improved by refining the purpose of the survey, using more precise language in the questions, and refining the answer choices to closed ended questions. The results section of this report describes the results of the analyses conducted on the responses to the 2020 survey. The linear regression model was unable to explain the variation in the size of a natural heritage program’s data backlog in a statistically significant way. This section of the report also provides tables of descriptive statistics of the survey results grouped into categories of challenges, funding, stakeholders, staffing, data and tools, land management, guiding statute, collaborating with other programs, and COVID-19. The discussion section of this report discusses the results of the linear regression model and provides recommendations on actions that NatureServe can take to improve the natural heritage program network based on the descriptive statistics. There was no statistically significant relationship between the size of a program’s element occurrence data backlog and the independent variables. This could be due to the high variability between natural heritage programs that defies accurate predictions by quantitative models. Alternatively, the size of the backlog could be explained by variables not included in the model and not captured in the survey. Natural heritage programs consistently identify funding and staffing as challenges that they face. The average budget for a natural heritage program did not change significantly between the 2016 and 2020 survey. To address the funding challenges faced by natural heritage programs, NatureServe could consider encouraging programs to ask for more government funding, apply for more grants, and consider ways to increase funding from the private sector. Additionally, the staffing needs of natural heritage programs did not change significantly between the 2016 and 2020 survey. NatureServe could address the staffing needs faced by natural heritage programs by encouraging natural heritage programs to implement intern and extern programs and connect with university career services centers to increase recruitment of new staff. The report offers the following conclusion. A successful natural heritage program is one that can remain flexible and responsive to the challenges that it will face in the coming years. NatureServe can support the natural heritage programs in its networks by helping them to address their funding and staffing challenges. Regular and continued monitoring of the status of natural heritage programs would be helpful moving forward in order to identify new challenges and to determine if the responses to past challenges have been effective.Item Open Access An Evaluation of Ranch and Farm Operator Attitudes towards Emerging Ecosystem Service Markets in California and Eastern North Carolina(2011-04-29) Parkhurst, BenThis master’s project adds to the body of research on potential participation in emerging markets for ecosystem services. In particular, it addresses two questions: 1) Are ranch and farm- operators interested in new payments for ecosystem service (PES) programs in California? 2) Are there differences in rancher and farm-operator attitudes between California and North Carolina? To answer these questions, a survey with156 responses was analyzed to examine the similarities and differences in attitudes towards past, current, and future payments for ecosystem service programs in California. The survey examined the potential use of market-based incentives to encourage greater conservation efforts by private landowners. The results of this survey were then compared to the results from a similar survey in North Carolina. The results show that ranch and farm operators are interested in potential payments for ecosystem service programs and that they will be more likely to participate in programs with shorter contract lengths and higher payment levels. Specifically, for every year added to the contracts, $.81/acre should be provided in additional compensation. The conservation organization was the preferred program administrator in California, followed by a private company, a federal agency, and a state agency. In North Carolina, the preferences for contract length and payments were similar, but the preference for program administrator was the exact opposite, with the state agency being the preferred administrator. The best predictors of potential participation in new PES programs in both states were age and total number of programs currently enrolled in. Young ranchers and farmers who are already enrolled in conservation programs are most likely to participate in future programs. These results highlight the importance of understanding the preferences of potential participants before implementing new PES programs. In addition, preferences for PES programs may differ by state, and preferences for administrators may differ depending on local relationships. Lastly, outreach needs to be a significant component of payments for ecosystem service programs so that potential participants know what programs are available and how to enroll in them.Item Open Access An Evaluation of the Solar Award in Taiwan(2008-04-24T20:30:04Z) Cheng, MuhanThe Solar Award in Taiwan is an annual contest that encourages professionals and students to submit innovative design projects that utilize solar photovoltaic material. Entries range from architectural and construction projects to the design of products such as toys and racing cars. In this study, we collected the direct feedback from the contestants as part of a program evaluation project. A questionnaire was designed to capture the perceived benefits of the contestants' experience in the Solar Award. Further, Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) was used to estimate the economic value of those benefits. The web-based survey was completed by 135 previous contestants. Out analysis indicated that they expressed a mean willingness to pay of NTD 2511 (USD 85) as a registration fee. An aggregated value of NTD 3.3 million (US110, 000) was estimated to represent the use value of this event. We concluded that the Solar Award brought significant knowledge improvement and commercial opportunities to the contestants as well as positive effects on their perception of renewable energy. In addition, we found that there was an increase in the number of contestants that became practical users of solar PV following the contest. We also noticed that different occupational groups perceived and valued the contest experiences differently.Item Open Access Drone Use in Forestry 2021(2021-12-08) McElwee, ElisabethIn the last 20 years, advancements in technology, such as remote sensing, have facilitated improvements in forest management. The utilization of one remote sensing tool, in particular, an unmanned aerial vehicle (drone), has been gaining popularity in recent years. Drones provide an inexpensive alternative to aerial photos from a manned aircraft, providing quick access to high-resolution imagery, increased efficiency, reduced human risk, as well as a variety of other benefits. While there are many advantages to the use of drones in forestry and forest management, there are also limitations. These limitations are apparent when trying to apply methodologies across varying terrains, species compositions, and economic scales. Nevertheless, more people in forestry are beginning to explore the use of drones in forest management. In order to gain insight into the status and limitations of drone use in forest management in 2021, a nationwide survey targeted to those in forest management was developed and distributed. Ultimately the goal of this study is to provide a baseline for understanding how this technology is currently being used in forest management and to identify areas for improvement that may lead to greater utilization.Item Open Access Duke Carbon Offsets Initiative: Energy Efficiency Carbon Offsets(2013-04-26) Chen, Yunzhong; Chauhan, Sugandha; Lu, AaronDuke University aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2024 by a combination of efforts to reduce on campus energy consumption and off campus carbon offset generation. One of the offset options that DCOI is evaluating is energy efficiency retrofits in residential buildings leading to indirect emission reductions. The problem we have attempted to address in our project is how Duke University can identify potential carbon offset opportunities in terms of improving energy efficiency in homes and businesses and how these offsets can be verified and quantified. In order to determine the feasibility of energy efficiency carbon offsets the team started with evaluating data from a similar residential retrofitting project implemented by the City of Durham’s Sustainability Office. The pre and post retrofit energy consumption data from these houses was analyzed to determine the energy savings and resultant carbon emissions reduction. The average emission reduction obtained from this project was then used to determine the carbon price. This carbon price was used to conduct a comparative analysis with carbon prices found in the market, literature and regulations. The second step of the project involved studying energy efficiency retrofit projects that have been undertaken in other regions at various levels and sizes. The last question that this project aimed to answer was regarding the suitability of various financing mechanisms for the retrofitting project. In order to address this question a demand assessment survey was designed to determine the willingness of Duke employees to participate in such a program and pay for the retrofits. DCOI plans to conduct the survey in the foreseeable future. The results of our analysis showed that average electricity savings of 113.13 KWh per month can be generated through retrofits including air and duct sealing and insulation enhancement. The average cost of retrofit was determined to be $1/sq feet of heated area. Using this investment cost and annual savings, the carbon price was determined to be 133.37 $/metric ton of CO2 equivalent reduction. Sensitivity analysis conducted for this carbon price showed that the factors that had the largest impact on carbon price are the initial investment and annual energy savings. To further evaluate the results, we compared the City of Durham’s returns on investment in terms of energy reduction, 0.97 kWh/$, and in terms of greenhouse gas reduction, 0.00046 metric ton of CO2 equivalent/$, to returns on investment of 22 other residential energy efficiency programs around the U.S. The City of Durham program lies in the middle of the range of return on investment indicators. The calculated carbon price of 133.37 $/metric ton of CO2 equivalent reduction, compared to 13.00 $/metric ton of CO2 equivalent reduction median of 44 other carbon prices found in regulation, literature, and market is extremely high. The final set of recommendations provided to DCOI are based upon the results obtained from the City of Durham data analysis and the comparative programs and carbon price study along with the essential project requirements for meeting the Verified Carbon Standard carbon offset program criteria.Item Open Access Ecological and Financial Suitability of Sites for Long-Term Oak Management in Western North Carolina(2021-04-30) Scott, MichaelFor thousands of years, oak species have been the dominant canopy species in eastern and central United States hardwood forests. Oaks (Quercus spp.) provide myriad ecological services and arguably comprise the most valuable hardwood timber genus in the eastern US. In recent decades, however, research shows that oaks are declining in density and being outcompeted by fast growing species like yellow poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera) and red maple (Acer rubrum). Due to oak fire tolerance, and ability to withstand droughts and poor soil conditions, Quercus promises to be a vital genus for climate resiliency. Western North Carolina has historically supported expansive oak dominated forests, and organizations are now concerned about protecting this valuable ecosystem. This project sought to identify land in western North Carolina that is ecologically and financially suitable for oak management and to understand the following questions: 1) Where is oak management ecologically viable? 2) What is the financial potential for oak management? 3) Where can loggers access timber? This was accomplished by conducting a survey and literature review about logger accessibility in the mountains, creating an oak management prioritization map and GIS tool using logger data and oak ecological requirements, and a financial analysis of the profitability of oak silviculture prescriptions. The results will help The Nature Conservancy (TNC) identify high priority areas to initiate oak management systems. With careful planning, oak management can be financially viable in western North Carolina.Item Open Access Equity in access to healthcare in Brunei Darussalam: Results from the Brunei Darussalam Health System Survey (HSS)(2014) Tant, Elizabeth MichelleBackground: Universal healthcare has been promoted by organizations including the World Health Organization and United Nations as a means of ensuring healthcare access for vulnerable populations. Despite momentum towards universal healthcare, especially among Southeast Asian nations, little research has been conducted to understand healthcare equity in nations that have already implemented universal healthcare. This paper assesses equity in healthcare access in Brunei Darussalam using results from the Brunei Darussalam Health System Survey (HSS).
Methods: Data were gathered using a nationally-representative survey of 1,197 households across four districts in Brunei Darussalam. The Health System Survey aimed to measure individual's expectations and utilization of the Brunei national healthcare system. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and multinomial logistic regression to identify respondent- and household-level characteristics that affect healthcare utilization and expenditures.
Results: HSS data suggest that healthcare utilization in Brunei varies by ethnicity, district of residence, health status, and income. When compared to other ethnic groups, Chinese households were significantly less likely to utilize public healthcare and significantly more likely to utilize private healthcare services. Indigenous groups also demonstrated significantly lower rates of private healthcare utilization compared to other ethnicities. Temburong district had the lowest rates of both private and public healthcare utilization and was associated with a 2.67 decreased likelihood of using public healthcare in the past six months. When stratifying for health status, data indicate that healthcare utilization in Brunei is proportional to healthcare need, with 93 percent of respondents in poor health reporting using government hospitals 12 or more times in the past six months compared to 76 percent of respondents in excellent health reporting using healthcare only once in the past six months. Income was also found to be positively associated with increased healthcare expenditures and private healthcare use.
Conclusion: This study highlights an example of a universal healthcare system in Southeast Asia and indicates that a well-funded universal healthcare system can reduce significant utilization disparities. Substantial financial resources do not, however, guarantee equity among rural and minority populations and universal healthcare efforts should incorporate measures to understand and address barriers to healthcare among these groups.
Item Open Access Evaluating Stakeholder Engagement in North Carolina Sea Grant’s Strategic Planning Process(2016-04-28) McCord, Ashleigh; Stokes-Cawley, Elizabeth; Tomaras, ErinIn order to develop a strategic plan that will guide their priorities and resource allocation for 2018-2021, North Carolina Sea Grant has implemented a multi-stage process designed to increase stakeholder engagement and to better assess and serve the coastal priorities of North Carolinians. This project explores strengths and potential areas for improvement within NC Sea Grant’s planning process with a specific focus on maximizing stakeholder engagement. By interviewing staff, observing focus groups, and creating a survey instrument for public distribution, we developed a set of recommendations highlighting the ways that NC Sea Grant can better facilitate inclusion of stakeholder, public, and staff input in its strategic planning process, such as holding some stakeholder events outside of typical business hours and discussing ways to incorporate diversity into the strategic plan.Item Open Access Fluid resuscitation practice patterns in intensive care units of the USA: a cross-sectional survey of critical care physicians.(Perioper Med (Lond), 2016) Miller, Timothy E; Bunke, Martin; Nisbet, Paul; Brudney, Charles SBACKGROUND: Fluid resuscitation is a cornerstone of intensive care treatment, yet there is a lack of agreement on how various types of fluids should be used in critically ill patients with different disease states. Therefore, our goal was to investigate the practice patterns of fluid utilization for resuscitation of adult patients in intensive care units (ICUs) within the USA. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional online survey of 502 physicians practicing in medical and surgical ICUs. Survey questions were designed to assess clinical decision-making processes for 3 types of patients who need volume expansion: (1) not bleeding and not septic, (2) bleeding but not septic, (3) requiring resuscitation for sepsis. First-choice fluid used in fluid boluses for these 3 patient types was requested from the respondents. Descriptive statistics were performed using a Kruskal-Wallis test to evaluate differences among the physician groups. Follow-up tests, including t tests, were conducted to evaluate differences between ICU types, hospital settings, and bolus volume. RESULTS: Fluid resuscitation varied with respect to preferences for the factors to determine volume status and preferences for fluid types. The 3 most frequently preferred volume indicators were blood pressure, urine output, and central venous pressure. Regardless of the patient type, the most preferred fluid type was crystalloid, followed by 5 % albumin and then 6 % hydroxyethyl starches (HES) 450/0.70 and 6 % HES 600/0.75. Surprisingly, up to 10 % of physicians still chose HES as the first choice of fluid for resuscitation in sepsis. The clinical specialty and the practice setting of the treating physicians also influenced fluid choices. CONCLUSIONS: Practice patterns of fluid resuscitation varied in the USA, depending on patient characteristics, clinical specialties, and practice settings of the treating physicians.Item Open Access Heterogeneity in Mortgage Refinancing(2022-06-22) Wu, JuliaMany households who would benefit from and are eligible to refinance their mortgages fail to do so. A recent literature has demonstrated a significant degree of heterogeneity in the propensity to refinance across various dimensions, yet much heterogeneity is left unexplained. In this paper, I use a clustering regression to characterize heterogeneity in mortgage refinancing by estimating the distribution of propensities to refinance. A key novelty to my approach is that I do so without relying on borrower characteristics, allowing me to recover the full degree of heterogeneity, rather than simply the extent to which the propensity to refinance varies with a given observable. I then explore the role of both observed and unobserved heterogeneity in group placement by regressing group estimates on a set of demographic characteristics. As a complement to my analysis, I provide evidence from a novel dataset of detailed information on borrower perspectives on mortgage refinancing to paint a more nuanced picture of how household characteristics and behavioral mechanisms play into the decision to refinance. I find a significant degree of heterogeneity in both the average and marginal propensity to refinance across households. While observables such as education, race and income do significantly correlate with group heterogeneity, it is clear that much heterogeneity may still be attributed to the presence of unobservable characteristics.Item Open Access Initiating Orvis' Sustainability Strategy: Identifying Strategic Priorities & Sustainability Champions Within the Business(2017-04-28) Gore, Barbara; Pita, Lili; Hutter, DanOrvis is America’s oldest mail-order outfitter and longest continually-operating fly-fishing business with more than $340 million in sales, offering a wide assortment of fly-fishing, hunting, and sporting goods. The company dedicates itself to personal responsibility and strives to the restore, enhance and protect wild places; however, Orvis does not currently have an overarching sustainability strategy. In order to fill this gap, our research strives to capture an understanding of the perceptions, attitudes, and priorities of Orvis associates, managers, and executives with regard to sustainability initiatives. Insights gathered through the creation and distribution of employee engagement surveys, along with industry best practice research and an analysis of Orvis’ Higg Index results, will be used to develop key components of a long-term Corporate Social Responsibility strategy.Item Open Access Levels of Surgical Disease and Predictors of Barriers to Care in Rural India(2012) Hudson, Jessica LynnAn estimated 234.2 million major surgical procedures are performed annually worldwide, yet the wealthiest third of the world's population receives 73.6% while the world's poorest third receives only 3.5%. Approximately one-third of the global population has no access to basic surgical care. Knowing that large unmet surgical need in a community can lead to high morbidity and mortality in the population, the purpose of this novel study was to assess the level of surgical conditions in rural Gadchiroli, India as well as to conduct a quantitative assessment of the barriers to surgical care. In this retrospective, cross-sectional needs assessment, a study-specific survey was administered in a clinic-based setting. Of the 500 participants, 141 (28.2%) reported surgical conditions, for a total of 175 surgical cases, in the preceding two years. The conditions with the highest prevalence were hydrocele, anorectal processes, dysfunctional uterine bleeding, cataracts, appendicitis, and spondylosis with neurologic claudication. Assessment of the conditions by a healthcare provider occurred in 133 (76.6%) of the cases of which only 32 (24.1%) reported having undergone surgery during the two year period. Overall, in this population, the burden of surgical disease is higher than previously expected and while willingness to undergo surgery is high, the completion rate is quite low. Certain factors appear to predict difficulty in seeking or receiving surgical care, including lost wages (p=0.027), the amount of time that family members need to stay in the hospital to help (p=0.038), and time away from work (p=0.045). Targeting these factors is a first step towards addressing the unmet surgical needs in this rural community.
Item Open Access Simulation Study on Exchangeability and Significant Test on Survey Data(2015) Cao, YongThe two years of Master of Science in Statistical and Economic Modeling program is the most rewarding time ever in my life. This thesis acts as a portfolio of project and applied experience while I am enrolled in the Master of Science in Statistical and Economic Modeling program. This thesis will summarize my graduate study in two parts: Simulation Study of Exchangeability for Binary Data, and Summary of Summer Internship at Center for Responsible Lending. The project of Simulation Study of Exchangeability for Binary Data contains materials from a team project, which jointly performed by Sheng Jiang, Xuan Sun and me. Abstracts for both projects are below in order.
(1) Simulation Study of Exchangeability for Binary Data
To investigate tractable Bayesian tests on exchangeability, this project considers special cases of nonexchangeable random sequences: Markov chains. Asymptotic results of Bayes factor (BF) are derived. When null hypothesis is true, Bayes Factor in favor of the null goes to infinity at geometric rate (true odds is not one half). When null hypothesis is not true, Bayes Factor in favor of the null goes to 0 faster than geometric rate. The results are robust under misspecifications. Simulation studies are employed to see the performance of the test when the sample size is small, prior beliefs change and true parameters change.
(2) Summary of Summer Internship at Center for Responsible Lending
My summer internship deals with a survey data from Social Science Research Solution about auto financing. The dataset includes about one thousand valid responses and 114 variables for each response. My efforts on exploratory statistic analysis unfolded many interesting findings. For example, African Americans and Latinos are receiving 2.02% higher APR on average than white buyers, excluding the effects of relevant variables. And what's more, a Fisher's Exact Test of Significance is widely used to discover the significance of a series of variables. Results are presented in organized neat tables. Findings are included in weekly reports. One example finding is that warranty add-‐‑ons of a financed car has significant impacts on all three aspects of a loan, which is Annual Percent Rate, Loan Amount, and Monthly Payment.
Item Open Access The Consequences of Conditional Cash Transfers for Political Behavior and Human Development(2015) Schober, Gregory S.The Global South, and particularly Latin America, experienced a remarkable expansion in conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs in the last fifteen years. Although a large literature examines the effects of CCTs on human development, the political behavioral consequences remain underexplored. In the dissertation, I address this gap by analyzing the effects of CCTs on political participation and policy. I also explore the implications of these effects for human development.
My central argument is that CCTs increase political participation among beneficiaries, and both program transfers and conditionalities contribute to these positive effects. More specifically, CCTs provide beneficiaries with politically relevant resources, including civic skills and access to state officials and community leaders. These resources reduce the costs of political participation and facilitate more involvement in political activities, particularly in more demanding forms of participation. In addition, I argue that CCTs increase the private provision of local services and influence the outcomes of some non-national elections.
To test this argument, I use four main sources of data: (1) existing survey data from Latin America in 2012; (2) original survey data from Mexico in 2014; (3) experimental data from Mexico in 1998-2000; and (4) in-depth interviews and focus groups from Mexico in 2012. Multilevel models and linear regression models are used to estimate the effects of CCTs on political behavior and service provision. The in-depth interviews and focus groups help to unravel more of the causal mechanism that connects CCTs to political participation.
The evidence largely supports my argument. I find that CCTs increase participation in a wide variety of political activities, including electoral and non-electoral activities. In addition, the pathways to increased participation include improved civic skills and increased access to state officials and local leaders. Moreover, CCTs increase the private provision of sewerage services.
I conclude that CCTs have both desirable and undesirable consequences. On the one hand, CCTs increase democratic political participation, improve civic skills, reduce the distance between beneficiaries and government officials, and increase access to local services. The increased access to sewerage services creates an indirect pathway to improved human development outcomes. On the other hand, CCTs reduce the pressure on local officials to provide local services, and in some contexts contribute to electoral rewards for undeserving incumbent parties.