Browsing by Subject "Wind power"

A cost-effective pathway towards net-zero electric power systems requires an extraordinary deployment of new solar and wind generation assets. This aggressive expansion driving unprecedented investment entails a fundamental understanding of the challenge ahead of us. This dissertation seeks to provide a multidisciplinary perspective of research questions that shine the light on rapid and cost-efficient strategies for the energy transition. Integrating operations research and geospatial analysis methods, the dissertation utilizes a multidisciplinary approach when addressing three questions.

First, the dissertation examines the role of battery energy storage technologies (i.e., utility-scale lithium-ion batteries) on reducing the greenhouse gas emissions of an electric power system while simultaneously achieving a reduction in carbon abatement costs. The study uses a cost-based production model (day-ahead unit commitment and a real-time economic dispatch) to simulate the optimal operation of all the generation resources in the largest vertically-integrated electric service region in the U.S. The study explores a multitude of configurations to identify optimal sizing of battery energy storage systems when paired with utility-scale photovoltaics.

Next, the dissertation studies the effect of incorporating high-resolution data when identifying suitable land for renewable energy projects over a geographically defined region. Using a python-based user-friendly siting tool implemented in ArcGIS Pro to perform suitability and cost analysis of utility-scale photovoltaic projects in North Carolina under three scenarios (representing conditions ranging from favorable to restrictive). The study finds that the land suitable for utility-scale photovoltaics reduces substantially when parcel-level data reflecting local land-use restrictions are incorporated. The study's findings highlight the necessity of integrating detailed land-use data that reflects local regulation (zoning ordinances) into siting models while simultaneously increasing their spatial granularity.

Lastly, the dissertation analyzes the benefits of weatherizing wind power farms enabling their operation under extreme climates (winter storms). The study uses global reanalysis data with operational information from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) during the 2021 winter storm Uri to simulate a continued operation of wind power farms under low-temperature environments. The study finds that the financial benefits that winterized wind turbines would have received during winter storm Uri would have outweighed the capital costs required to implement ice-accretion mitigation actions (before winter storm URI).

Intermittent energy resources, including wind and solar power, continue to be rapidly added to the generation fleet domestically and abroad. The variable power of these resources introduces new levels of stochasticity into electric interconnections that must be continuously balanced in order to maintain system reliability. Energy storage systems (ESSs) offer one potential option to compensate for the intermittency of renewables. ESSs for long-term storage (1-hour or greater), aside from a few pumped hydroelectric installations, are not presently in widespread use in the U.S. The deployment of ESSs would be most likely driven by either the potential for a strong internal rate of return (IRR) on investment and through significant benefits to system reliability that independent system operators (ISOs) could incentivize.

To assess the potential of ESSs three objectives are addressed. (1) Evaluate the economic viability of energy storage for price arbitrage in real-time energy markets and determine system cost improvements for ESSs to become attractive investments. (2) Estimate the reliability impact of energy storage systems on the large-scale integration of intermittent generation. (3) Analyze the economic, environmental, and reliability tradeoffs associated with using energy storage in conjunction with stochastic generation.

First, using real-time energy market price data from seven markets across the U.S. and the physical parameters of fourteen ESS technologies, the maximum potential IRR of each technology from price arbitrage was evaluated in each market, along with the optimal ESS system size. Additionally, the reductions in capital cost needed to achieve a 10% IRR were estimated for each ESS. The results indicate that the profit-maximizing size of an ESS is primarily determined by its technological characteristics (round-trip charge/discharge efficiency and self-discharge) and not market price volatility, which instead increases IRR. This analysis demonstrates that few ESS technologies are likely to be implemented by investors alone.

Next, the effects of ESSs on system reliability are quantified. Using historic data for wind, solar, and conventional generation, a correlation-preserving, copula-transform model was implemented in conjunction with Markov chain Monte Carlo framework for estimating system reliability indices. Systems with significant wind and solar penetration (25% or greater), even with added energy storage capacity, resulted in considerable decreases in generation adequacy.

Lastly, rather than analyzing the reliability and costs in isolation of one another, system reliability, cost, and emissions were analyzed in 3-space to quantify and visualize the system tradeoffs. The modeling results implied that ESSs perform similarly to natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) systems with respect to generation adequacy and system cost, with the primary difference being that the generation adequacy improvements are less for ESSs than that of NGCC systems and the increase in LCOE is greater for ESSs than NGCC systems.

Although ESSs do not appear to offer greater benefits than NGCC systems for managing energy on time intervals of 1-hour or more, we conclude that future research into short-term power balancing applications of ESSs, in particular for frequency regulation, is necessary to understand the full potential of ESSs in modern electric interconnections.