Browsing by Subject "mortality"
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Item Open Access A comparison of COVID-19 and imaging radiation risk in clinical patient populations.(J Radiol Prot, 2020-10-07) Ria, Francesco; Fu, Wanyi; Chalian, Hamid; Abadi, Ehsan; Segars, Paul W; Fricks, Rafael; Khoshpouri, Pegah; Samei, EhsanOBJECTIVE: The outbreak of coronavirus SARS-COV2 affected more than 180 countries necessitating fast and accurate diagnostic tools. Reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) has been identified as a gold standard test with Chest CT and Chest Radiography showing promising results as well. However, radiological solutions have not been used extensively for the diagnosis of COVID-19 disease, partly due to radiation risk. This study aimed to provide quantitative comparison of imaging radiation risk versus COVID risk. METHODS: The analysis was performed in terms of mortality rate per age group. COVID-19 mortality was extracted from epidemiological data across 299,004 patients published by ISS-Integrated surveillance of COVID-19 in Italy. For radiological risk, the study considered 659 Chest CT performed in adult patients. Organ doses were estimated using a Monte Carlo method and then used to calculate Risk Index that was converted into an upper bound for related mortality rate following NCI-SEER data. RESULTS: COVID-19 mortality showed a rapid rise for ages >30 years old (min:0.30%; max:30.20%), whereas only 1 death was reported in the analyzed patient cohort for ages <20 years old. The rates decreased for radiation risk across age groups. The median mortality rate across all ages for Chest-CT and Chest-Radiography were 0.007% (min:0.005%; max:0.011%) and 0.0003% (min:0.0002%; max:0.0004%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19, Chest Radiography, and Chest CT mortality rates showed different magnitudes and trends across age groups. In higher ages, the risk of COVID-19 far outweighs that of radiological exams. Based on risk comparison alone, Chest Radiography and CT for COVID-19 care is justified for patients older than 20 and 30 years old, respectively. Notwithstanding other aspects of diagnosis, the present results capture a component of risk consideration associated with the use of imaging for COVID. Once integrated with other diagnostic factors, they may help inform better management of the pandemic.Item Open Access Association Between Comorbidities and Outcomes in Heart Failure Patients With and Without an Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator for Primary Prevention.(J Am Heart Assoc, 2015-08-06) Khazanie, Prateeti; Hellkamp, Anne S; Fonarow, Gregg C; Bhatt, Deepak L; Masoudi, Frederick A; Anstrom, Kevin J; Heidenreich, Paul A; Yancy, Clyde W; Curtis, Lesley H; Hernandez, Adrian F; Peterson, Eric D; Al-Khatib, Sana MBACKGROUND: Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy is associated with improved outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF), but whether this association holds among older patients with multiple comorbid illnesses and worse HF burden remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the National Cardiovascular Data Registry's ICD Registry and the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) registry linked with Medicare claims, we examined outcomes associated with primary-prevention ICD versus no ICD among HF patients aged ≥65 years in clinical practice. We included patients with an ejection fraction ≤35% who received (ICD Registry) and who did not receive (GWTG-HF) an ICD. Compared with patients with an ICD, patients in the non-ICD group were older and more likely to be female and white. In matched cohorts, the 3-year adjusted mortality rate was lower in the ICD group versus the non-ICD group (46.7% versus 55.8%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.76; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.83). There was no associated difference in all-cause readmission (HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.92 to 1.08) but a lower risk of HF readmission (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.80 to 0.97). When compared with no ICD, ICDs were also associated with better survival in patients with ≤3 comorbidities (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.87) and >3 comorbidities (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.64 to 0.93) and in patients with no hospitalization for HF (HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.86) and at least 1 prior HF hospitalization (HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.82). In subgroup analyses, there were no interactions between ICD and mortality risk for comorbidity burden (P=0.95) and for prior HF hospitalization (P=0.46). CONCLUSION: Among older HF patients, ICDs for primary prevention were associated with lower risk of mortality even among those with high comorbid illness burden and prior HF hospitalization.Item Open Access Causes of death among people with myelomeningocele: A multi-institutional 47-year retrospective study.(Journal of pediatric rehabilitation medicine, 2023-12) Szymanski, Konrad M; Adams, Cyrus M; Alkawaldeh, Mohammad Y; Austin, Paul F; Bowman, Robin M; Castillo, Heidi; Castillo, Jonathan; Chu, David I; Estrada, Carlos R; Fascelli, Michele; Frimberger, Dominic C; Gargollo, Patricio C; Hamdan, Dawud G; Hecht, Sarah L; Hopson, Betsy; Husmann, Douglas A; Jacobs, Micah A; MacNeily, Andrew E; McLeod, Daryl J; Metcalfe, Peter D; Meyer, Theresa; Misseri, Rosalia; O'Neil, Joseph; Rensing, Adam J; Routh, Jonathan C; Rove, Kyle O; Sawin, Kathleen J; Schlomer, Bruce J; Shamblin, Isaac; Sherlock, Rebecca L; Slobodov, Gennady; Stout, Jennifer; Tanaka, Stacy T; Weiss, Dana A; Wiener, John S; Wood, Hadley M; Yerkes, Elizabeth B; Blount, JeffreyPurpose
This study aimed to analyze organ system-based causes and non-organ system-based mechanisms of death (COD, MOD) in people with myelomeningocele (MMC), comparing urological to other COD.Methods
A retrospective review was performed of 16 institutions in Canada/United States of non-random convenience sample of people with MMC (born > = 1972) using non-parametric statistics.Results
Of 293 deaths (89% shunted hydrocephalus), 12% occurred in infancy, 35% in childhood, and 53% in adulthood (documented COD: 74%). For 261 shunted individuals, leading COD were neurological (21%) and pulmonary (17%), and leading MOD were infections (34%, including shunt infections: 4%) and non-infectious shunt malfunctions (14%). For 32 unshunted individuals, leading COD were pulmonary (34%) and cardiovascular (13%), and leading MOD were infections (38%) and non-infectious pulmonary (16%). COD and MOD varied by shunt status and age (p < = 0.04), not ambulation or birthyear (p > = 0.16). Urology-related deaths (urosepsis, renal failure, hematuria, bladder perforation/cancer: 10%) were more likely in females (p = 0.01), independent of age, shunt, or ambulatory status (p > = 0.40). COD/MOD were independent of bladder augmentation (p= >0.11). Unexplained deaths while asleep (4%) were independent of age, shunt status, and epilepsy (p >= 0.47).Conclusion
COD varied by shunt status. Leading MOD were infectious. Urology-related deaths (10%) were independent of shunt status; 26% of COD were unknown. Life-long multidisciplinary care and accurate mortality documentation are needed.Item Open Access COVID-19-Associated Mortality in US Veterans with and without SARS-CoV-2 Infection.(International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021-08-11) Suzuki, Ayako; Efird, Jimmy T; Redding, Thomas S; Thompson, Andrew D; Press, Ashlyn M; Williams, Christina D; Hostler, Christopher J; Hunt, Christine MBackground
We performed an observational Veterans Health Administration cohort analysis to assess how risk factors affect 30-day mortality in SARS-CoV-2-infected subjects relative to those uninfected. While the risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been extensively studied, these have been seldom compared with uninfected referents.Methods
We analyzed 341,166 White/Black male veterans tested for SARS-CoV-2 from March 1 to September 10, 2020. The relative risk of 30-day mortality was computed for age, race, ethnicity, BMI, smoking status, and alcohol use disorder in infected and uninfected subjects separately. The difference in relative risk was then evaluated between infected and uninfected subjects. All the analyses were performed considering clinical confounders.Results
In this cohort, 7% were SARS-CoV-2-positive. Age >60 and overweight/obesity were associated with a dose-related increased mortality risk among infected patients relative to those uninfected. In contrast, relative to never smoking, current smoking was associated with a decreased mortality among infected and an increased mortality in uninfected, yielding a reduced mortality risk among infected relative to uninfected. Alcohol use disorder was also associated with decreased mortality risk in infected relative to the uninfected.Conclusions
Age, BMI, smoking, and alcohol use disorder affect 30-day mortality in SARS-CoV-2-infected subjects differently from uninfected referents. Advanced age and overweight/obesity were associated with increased mortality risk among infected men, while current smoking and alcohol use disorder were associated with lower mortality risk among infected men, when compared with those uninfected.Item Open Access Decreased Mortality in 1-Year Survivors of Umbilical Cord Blood Transplant vs. Matched Related or Matched Unrelated Donor Transplant in Patients with Hematologic Malignancies.(Transplant Cell Ther, 2021-05-12) Bohannon, Lauren; Tang, Helen; Page, Kristin; Ren, Yi; Jung, Sin-Ho; Artica, Alexandra; Britt, Anne; Islam, Prioty; Siamakpour-Reihani, Sharareh; Giri, Vinay; Lew, Meagan; Kelly, Matthew; Choi, Taewoong; Gasparetto, Cristina; Long, Gwynn; Lopez, Richard; Rizzieri, David; Sarantopoulos, Stefanie; Chao, Nelson; Horwitz, Mitchell; Sung, AnthonyBACKGROUND: Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) has the potential to cure hematologic malignancies, but is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. While deaths during the first year after transplant are often attributable to treatment toxicities and complications, death after the first year may be due to sequelae of accelerated aging caused by cellular senescence. Cytotoxic therapies and radiation used in cancer treatments and conditioning regimens for HCT can induce aging at the molecular level; HCT patients experience time-dependent effects, such as frailty and aging-associated diseases, more rapidly than people who have not been exposed to these treatments. Consistent with this, recipients of younger cells tend to have decreased markers of aging and improved survival, decreased GVHD, and lower relapse rates. OBJECTIVES: Given that umbilical cord blood (UCB) is the youngest donor source available, we studied the outcomes after the first year of UCB transplant vs. matched related donor (MRD) and matched unrelated donor (MUD) transplant in patients with hematologic malignancies over a 20-year period. STUDY DESIGN: In this single center, retrospective study, we examined the outcomes of all adult patients who underwent their first allogeneic HCT through the Duke Adult Bone Marrow Transplant (ABMT) program from January 1, 1996 to December 31, 2015, to allow for at least 3 years of follow-up. Patients were excluded if they died or were lost to follow-up before day 365 post-HCT; received an allogeneic HCT for a disease other than a hematologic malignancy; or received cells from a haploidentical or mismatched adult donor. RESULTS: UCB recipients experienced a better unadjusted overall survival than MRD/MUD recipients (log rank p=0.03, Figure 1, median OS: UCB not reached, MRD/MUD 7.4 years). After adjusting for selected covariates, UCB recipients who survived at least 1 year after HCT had a hazard of death that was 31% lower than that of MRD/MUD recipients (HR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.47-0.99, p=0.049). This trend held true in a subset analysis of subjects with acute leukemia. UCB recipients also experienced lower rates of moderate or severe chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) and non-relapse mortality, and slower time to relapse. UCB and MRD/MUD recipients experienced similar rates of grade 2-4 acute GVHD, chronic GHVD, secondary malignancy, and subsequent allogeneic HCT. CONCLUSIONS: UCB is already widely used as a donor source in pediatric HCT; however, adult outcomes and adoption have historically lagged behind in comparison. Recent advancements in UCB transplantation such as the implementation of lower-intensity conditioning regimens, double unit transplants, and ex-vivo expansion have improved early mortality, making UCB an increasingly attractive donor source for adults; furthermore, our findings suggest that UCB may actually be a preferred donor source for mitigating late effects of HCT.Item Open Access DNA methylation age is associated with mortality in a longitudinal Danish twin study.(Aging Cell, 2016-02) Christiansen, Lene; Lenart, Adam; Tan, Qihua; Vaupel, James W; Aviv, Abraham; McGue, Matt; Christensen, KaareAn epigenetic profile defining the DNA methylation age (DNAm age) of an individual has been suggested to be a biomarker of aging, and thus possibly providing a tool for assessment of health and mortality. In this study, we estimated the DNAm age of 378 Danish twins, age 30-82 years, and furthermore included a 10-year longitudinal study of the 86 oldest-old twins (mean age of 86.1 at follow-up), which subsequently were followed for mortality for 8 years. We found that the DNAm age is highly correlated with chronological age across all age groups (r = 0.97), but that the rate of change of DNAm age decreases with age. The results may in part be explained by selective mortality of those with a high DNAm age. This hypothesis was supported by a classical survival analysis showing a 35% (4-77%) increased mortality risk for each 5-year increase in the DNAm age vs. chronological age. Furthermore, the intrapair twin analysis revealed a more-than-double mortality risk for the DNAm oldest twin compared to the co-twin and a 'dose-response pattern' with the odds of dying first increasing 3.2 (1.05-10.1) times per 5-year DNAm age difference within twin pairs, thus showing a stronger association of DNAm age with mortality in the oldest-old when controlling for familial factors. In conclusion, our results support that DNAm age qualifies as a biomarker of aging.Item Open Access Effectiveness and Safety of Aldosterone Antagonist Therapy Use Among Older Patients With Reduced Ejection Fraction After Acute Myocardial Infarction.(J Am Heart Assoc, 2016-01-21) Wang, Tracy Y; Vora, Amit N; Peng, S Andrew; Fonarow, Gregg C; Das, Sandeep; de Lemos, James A; Peterson, Eric DBACKGROUND: While aldosterone antagonists have proven benefit among post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients with low ejection fraction (EF), how this treatment is used among older MI patients in routine practice is not well described. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using ACTION Registry-GWTG linked to Medicare data, we examined 12 080 MI patients ≥65 years with EF ≤40% who were indicated for aldosterone antagonist therapy per current guidelines and without documented contraindications. Of these, 11% (n=1310) were prescribed aldosterone antagonists at discharge. Notably, 10% of patients prescribed an aldosterone antagonist were eligible for, but not concurrently treated with, an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker. Spironolactone was the predominantly prescribed aldosterone antagonist. At 2-year follow-up, aldosterone antagonist use was not associated with lower mortality (unadjusted 39% versus 38%; HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.88-1.33 using inverse probability-weighted propensity adjustment) except in symptomatic HF patients (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.99, Pinteraction=0.009). Risks of hyperkalemia were low at 30 days, but significantly higher among patients prescribed aldosterone antagonists (unadjusted 2.3% versus 1.5%; adjusted HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.16-3.60), as was 2-year risk of acute renal failure (unadjusted 6.7% versus 4.8%; adjusted HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.01-1.92) compared with patients not prescribed aldosterone antagonists. CONCLUSIONS: Aldosterone antagonist use among eligible older MI patients in routine clinical practice was not associated with lower mortality except in patients with HF symptoms, but was associated with increased risks of hyperkalemia and acute renal failure. These results underscore the importance of close post-discharge monitoring of this patient population.Item Open Access Egg Consumption and Risk of Total and Cause-Specific Mortality: An Individual-Based Cohort Study and Pooling Prospective Studies on Behalf of the Lipid and Blood Pressure Meta-analysis Collaboration (LBPMC) Group.(Journal of the American College of Nutrition, 2019-06-07) Mazidi, Mohsen; Katsiki, Niki; Mikhailidis, Dimitri P; Pencina, Michael J; Banach, MaciejThe associations of egg consumption with total, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke mortality are poorly understood. We prospectively evaluated the link between total, CHD, and stroke mortality with egg consumption using a randomly selected sample of U.S. adults. Next we validated these results within a meta-analysis and systematic review of all available prospective results. We assessed the mean of cardiometabolic risk factors across the intake of eggs. We made the analysis based on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES; 1999-2010). In NHANES, vital status through December 31, 2011, was ascertained. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to relate baseline egg consumption with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases were also searched (up to December 2017). The DerSimonian-Laird method and generic inverse variance methods were used for quantitative data synthesis. Overall, 23,524 participants from NHANES were included (mean age of 47.7 years; 48.7% were men). Across increasing the intake of eggs, adjusted mean levels of cardiometabolic risk factors worsened. Adjusted logistic regression showed that participants in the highest category of egg intake had a greater risk of diabetes (T2DM; 30%) and hypertension (HTN; 48%). With regard to total and CHD mortality, multivariable Cox regression in a fully adjusted model showed no link in males and females. In males, egg intake had a reverse (66%) association with stroke mortality, while this link was not significant among females. The results of pooling data from published prospective studies also showed no link between CHD and total mortality with egg consumption, whereas we observed a reverse (28%) association between egg intake and stroke mortality. These findings were robust after sensitivity analysis. According to our findings, egg intake had no association with CHD and total mortality, whereas was associated with lower risk of mortality from stroke. Egg consumption was associated with T2DM, HTN, C-reactive protein, and markers of glucose/insulin homeostasis. If confirmed in clinical trials (causation), this information may have applications for population-wide health measures. Key teaching points No link between total and CHD mortality with eggs intake in males and females. In males, egg intake had a reverse association with stroke mortality, while this link was not significant among females. The results of pooling data from published prospective studies also showed no link between CHD and total mortality with egg consumption, whereas we observed a reverse association between egg intake and stroke mortality.Item Open Access Geographic Disparities in Mortality Risk Within a Racially Diverse Sample of U.S. Veterans with Traumatic Brain Injury.(Health Equity, 2018-01) Dismuke-Greer, Clara E; Gebregziabher, Mulugeta; Ritchwood, Tiarney; Pugh, Mary Jo; Walker, Rebekah J; Uchendu, Uche S; Egede, Leonard EPurpose: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a signature injury among the U.S. veterans. Hispanic U.S. veterans diagnosed with TBI have been found to have higher risk-adjusted mortality. This study examined the adjusted association of geographic location with all-cause mortality in 114,593 veterans diagnosed with TBI between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2010, and followed through December 31, 2014. Methods: National Veterans Health Administration (VHA) databases containing administrative data including International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) codes, sociodemographic characteristics, and survival were linked. TBI was identified based on ICD-9 codes. Cox proportional hazards regression methods were used to examine the association of time from first TBI ICD-9 code to death with geographic location, after adjustment for TBI severity, race/ethnicity, other sociodemographic characteristics, military factors, and Elixhauser comorbidities. Results: Relative to urban mainland veterans with a median survival of 76.4 months, veterans living in the U.S. territories had a median survival of 69.1 months, whereas rural mainland veterans had a median survival of 77.1 months, and highly rural mainland veterans had a mean survival of 77.6 months. The final model adjusted for race/ethnicity, TBI severity, sociodemographic, military, and comorbidity covariates showed that residing in the U.S. territories was associated with a higher risk of death (hazard ratios=1.24; 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.34) relative to residing on the U.S. mainland. The race/ethnicity disparity previously found for the U.S. veterans diagnosed with TBI seems to be accounted for by living in the U.S. territories. Conclusion: The study shows that among veterans with TBI, mortality rates were higher in those who reside in the U.S. territories, even after adjustment. Previous documented higher mortality among Hispanic veterans seems to be explained by residing in the U.S. territories. The VA has a mission of ensuring equitable treatment of all veterans, and should investigate targeted policies and interventions to improve the survival of the U.S. territory veterans diagnosed with TBI.Item Open Access Incidence of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Northern Tanzania: A Modeling Approach Within a Prospective Observational Study.(Journal of the American Heart Association, 2021-08) Hertz, Julian T; Madut, Deng B; Rubach, Matthew P; William, Gwamaka; Crump, John A; Galson, Sophie W; Maro, Venance P; Bloomfield, Gerald S; Limkakeng, Alexander T; Temu, Gloria; Thielman, Nathan M; Sakita, Francis MBackground Rigorous incidence data for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in sub-Saharan Africa are lacking. Consequently, modeling studies based on limited data have suggested that the burden of AMI and AMI-associated mortality in sub-Saharan Africa is lower than in other world regions. Methods and Results We estimated the incidence of AMI in northern Tanzania in 2019 by integrating data from a prospective surveillance study (681 participants) and a community survey of healthcare-seeking behavior (718 participants). In the surveillance study, adults presenting to an emergency department with chest pain or shortness of breath were screened for AMI with ECG and troponin testing. AMI was defined by the Fourth Universal Definition of AMI criteria. Mortality was assessed 30 days following enrollment via in-person or telephone interviews. In the cluster-based community survey, adults in northern Tanzania were asked where they would present for chest pain or shortness of breath. Multipliers were applied to account for AMI cases that would have been missed by our surveillance methods. The estimated annual incidence of AMI was 172 (207 among men and 139 among women) cases per 100 000 people. The age-standardized annual incidence was 211 (263 among men and 170 among women) per 100 000 people. The estimated annual incidence of AMI-associated mortality was 87 deaths per 100 000 people, and the age-standardized annual incidence was 102 deaths per 100 000 people. Conclusions The incidence of AMI and AMI-associated mortality in northern Tanzania is much higher than previously estimated and similar to that observed in high-income countries.Item Open Access Joint Analyses of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data in Research on Aging: Implications for Predicting Health and Survival.(Front Public Health, 2014) Arbeev, Konstantin G; Akushevich, Igor; Kulminski, Alexander M; Ukraintseva, Svetlana V; Yashin, Anatoliy ILongitudinal data on aging, health, and longevity provide a wealth of information to investigate different aspects of the processes of aging and development of diseases leading to death. Statistical methods aimed at analyses of time-to-event data jointly with longitudinal measurements became known as the "joint models" (JM). An important point to consider in analyses of such data in the context of studies on aging, health, and longevity is how to incorporate knowledge and theories about mechanisms and regularities of aging-related changes that accumulate in the research field into respective analytic approaches. In the absence of specific observations of longitudinal dynamics of relevant biomarkers manifesting such mechanisms and regularities, traditional approaches have a rather limited utility to estimate respective parameters that can be meaningfully interpreted from the biological point of view. A conceptual analytic framework for these purposes, the stochastic process model of aging (SPM), has been recently developed in the biodemographic literature. It incorporates available knowledge about mechanisms of aging-related changes, which may be hidden in the individual longitudinal trajectories of physiological variables and this allows for analyzing their indirect impact on risks of diseases and death. Despite, essentially, serving similar purposes, JM and SPM developed in parallel in different disciplines with very limited cross-referencing. Although there were several publications separately reviewing these two approaches, there were no publications presenting both these approaches in some detail. Here, we overview both approaches jointly and provide some new modifications of SPM. We discuss the use of stochastic processes to capture biological variation and heterogeneity in longitudinal patterns and important and promising (but still largely underused) applications of JM and SPM to predictions of individual and population mortality and health-related outcomes.Item Open Access Limited educational attainment and radiographic and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis: a cross-sectional analysis using data from the Johnston County (North Carolina) Osteoarthritis Project(2010) Callahan, Leigh F; Shreffler, Jack; Siaton, Bernadette C; Helmick, Charles G; Schoster, Britta; Schwartz, Todd A; Chen, Jiu-Chiuan; Renner, Jordan B; Jordan, Joanne MIntroduction: Applying a cross-sectional analysis to a sample of 2,627 African-American and Caucasian adults aged >= 45 years from the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project, we studied the association between educational attainment and prevalence of radiographic knee osteoarthritis and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. Methods: Age-and race-adjusted associations between education and osteoarthritis outcomes were assessed by gender-stratified logistic regression models, with additional models adjusting for body mass index, knee injury, smoking, alcohol use, and occupational factors. Results: In an analysis of all participants, low educational attainment (= 12 years), by using fully adjusted models. In the subset of postmenopausal women, these associations tended to be weaker but little affected by adjustment for hormone replacement therapy. Men with low educational attainment had 85% higher odds of having symptomatic knee osteoarthritis by using fully adjusted models, but the association with radiographic knee osteoarthritis was explained by age. Conclusions: After adjustment for known risk factors, educational attainment, as an indicator of socioeconomic status, is associated with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis in both men and women and with radiographic knee osteoarthritis in women.Item Open Access Machine Learning Prediction Models for Mortality in Intensive Care Unit Patients with Lactic Acidosis.(Journal of clinical medicine, 2021-10) Pattharanitima, Pattharawin; Thongprayoon, Charat; Kaewput, Wisit; Qureshi, Fawad; Qureshi, Fahad; Petnak, Tananchai; Srivali, Narat; Gembillo, Guido; O'Corragain, Oisin A; Chesdachai, Supavit; Vallabhajosyula, Saraschandra; Guru, Pramod K; Mao, Michael A; Garovic, Vesna D; Dillon, John J; Cheungpasitporn, WisitLactic acidosis is the most common cause of anion gap metabolic acidosis in the intensive care unit (ICU), associated with poor outcomes including mortality. We sought to compare machine learning (ML) approaches versus logistic regression analysis for prediction of mortality in lactic acidosis patients admitted to the ICU. We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database to identify ICU adult patients with lactic acidosis (serum lactate ≥4 mmol/L). The outcome of interest was hospital mortality. We developed prediction models using four ML approaches consisting of random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), artificial neural network (ANN), and statistical modeling with forward stepwise logistic regression using the testing dataset. We then assessed model performance using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), accuracy, precision, error rate, Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), F1 score, and assessed model calibration using the Brier score, in the independent testing dataset. Of 1919 lactic acidosis ICU patients, 1535 and 384 were included in the training and testing dataset, respectively. Hospital mortality was 30%. RF had the highest AUROC at 0.83, followed by logistic regression 0.81, XGBoost 0.81, ANN 0.79, and DT 0.71. In addition, RF also had the highest accuracy (0.79), MCC (0.45), F1 score (0.56), and lowest error rate (21.4%). The RF model was the most well-calibrated. The Brier score for RF, DT, XGBoost, ANN, and multivariable logistic regression was 0.15, 0.19, 0.18, 0.19, and 0.16, respectively. The RF model outperformed multivariable logistic regression model, SOFA score (AUROC 0.74), SAP II score (AUROC 0.77), and Charlson score (AUROC 0.69). The ML prediction model using RF algorithm provided the highest predictive performance for hospital mortality among ICU patient with lactic acidosis.Item Open Access Microbiology and Risk Factors for Hospital-Associated Bloodstream Infections Among Pediatric Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients.(Open forum infectious diseases, 2020-04) Akinboyo, Ibukunoluwa C; Young, Rebecca R; Spees, Lisa P; Heston, Sarah M; Smith, Michael J; Chang, Yeh-Chung; McGill, Lauren E; Martin, Paul L; Jenkins, Kirsten; Lugo, Debra J; Hazen, Kevin C; Seed, Patrick C; Kelly, Matthew SBackground:Children undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) are at high risk for hospital-associated bloodstream infections (HA-BSIs). This study aimed to describe the incidence, microbiology, and risk factors for HA-BSI in pediatric HSCT recipients. Methods:We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of children and adolescents (<18 years of age) who underwent HSCT over a 20-year period (1997-2016). We determined the incidence and case fatality rate of HA-BSI by causative organism. We used multivariable Poisson regression to identify risk factors for HA-BSI. Results:Of 1294 patients, the majority (86%) received an allogeneic HSCT, most commonly with umbilical cord blood (63%). During the initial HSCT hospitalization, 334 HA-BSIs occurred among 261 (20%) patients. These were classified as gram-positive bacterial (46%), gram-negative bacterial (24%), fungal (12%), mycobacterial (<1%), or polymicrobial (19%). During the study period, there was a decline in the cumulative incidence of HA-BSI (P = .021) and, specifically, fungal HA-BSIs (P = .002). In multivariable analyses, older age (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.06), umbilical cord blood donor source (vs bone marrow; IRR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.19-2.40), and nonmyeloablative conditioning (vs myeloablative; IRR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.21-2.82) were associated with a higher risk of HA-BSIs. The case fatality rate was higher for fungal HA-BSI than other HA-BSI categories (21% vs 6%; P = .002). Conclusions:Over the past 2 decades, the incidence of HA-BSIs has declined among pediatric HSCT recipients at our institution. Older age, umbilical cord blood donor source, and nonmyeloablative conditioning regimens are independent risk factors for HA-BSI among children undergoing HSCT.Item Open Access Nutrition in Pediatric Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: A Narrative Review.(Frontiers in nutrition, 2021-01) Toh, Theresa SW; Ong, Chengsi; Mok, Yee Hui; Mallory, Palen; Cheifetz, Ira M; Lee, Jan HauExtracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support is increasingly utilized in quaternary pediatric intensive care units. Metabolic derangements and altered nutritional requirements are common in critically ill children supported on ECMO. However, there remains no consensus on the optimal approach to the prescription of nutrition in these patients. This narrative review aims to summarize the current medical literature on various aspects of nutrition support in pediatric patients on ECMO. These include: (1) nutritional adequacy, (2) pros and cons of feeding on ECMO, (3) enteral vs. parenteral nutrition, and (4) proposed recommendations and future directions for research in this area.Item Open Access Older Parents Benefit More in Health Outcome From Daughters' Than Sons' Emotional Care in China.(J Aging Health, 2016-12) Zeng, Yi; Brasher, Melanie Sereny; Gu, Danan; Vaupel, James WOBJECTIVE: To examine whether older parents in China would benefit more from daughters' care than from sons' emotional care. METHOD: Analysis of the unique data sets of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey conducted in 2002, 2005, and 2008-2009 in 22 provinces. RESULTS: As compared with having son(s), having daughter(s) is significantly more beneficial at older ages in China, with regard to maintaining higher cognitive capacity and reducing mortality risk. Such daughter advantages in providing emotional care to older parents are more profound among the oldest-old aged 80+ as compared with the young-old aged 65 to 79 and surprisingly more profound in rural areas as compared with urban areas, even though son preference is much more common among rural residents. DISCUSSION: We describe how educational campaigns aimed at informing the public about the benefits of daughter(s) for older parents' health outcome could help promote gender equality and reduce traditional son preference, especially in rural China.Item Open Access Optimal Versus Realized Trajectories of Physiological Dysregulation in Aging and Their Relation to Sex-Specific Mortality Risk.(Front Public Health, 2016) Arbeev, Konstantin G; Cohen, Alan A; Arbeeva, Liubov S; Milot, Emmanuel; Stallard, Eric; Kulminski, Alexander M; Akushevich, Igor; Ukraintseva, Svetlana V; Christensen, Kaare; Yashin, Anatoliy IWhile longitudinal changes in biomarker levels and their impact on health have been characterized for individual markers, little is known about how overall marker profiles may change during aging and affect mortality risk. We implemented the recently developed measure of physiological dysregulation based on the statistical distance of biomarker profiles in the framework of the stochastic process model of aging, using data on blood pressure, heart rate, cholesterol, glucose, hematocrit, body mass index, and mortality in the Framingham original cohort. This allowed us to evaluate how physiological dysregulation is related to different aging-related characteristics such as decline in stress resistance and adaptive capacity (which typically are not observed in the data and thus can be analyzed only indirectly), and, ultimately, to estimate how such dynamic relationships increase mortality risk with age. We found that physiological dysregulation increases with age; that increased dysregulation is associated with increased mortality, and increasingly so with age; and that, in most but not all cases, there is a decreasing ability to return quickly to baseline physiological state with age. We also revealed substantial sex differences in these processes, with women becoming dysregulated more quickly but with men showing a much greater sensitivity to dysregulation in terms of mortality risk.Item Open Access Practice-Level Variation in Outpatient Cardiac Care and Association With Outcomes.(J Am Heart Assoc, 2016-02-23) Clough, Jeffrey D; Rajkumar, Rahul; Crim, Matthew T; Ott, Lesli S; Desai, Nihar R; Conway, Patrick H; Maresh, Sha; Kahvecioglu, Daver C; Krumholz, Harlan MBACKGROUND: Utilization of cardiac services varies across regions and hospitals, yet little is known regarding variation in the intensity of outpatient cardiac care across cardiology physician practices or the association with clinical endpoints, an area of potential importance to promote efficient care. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 7 160 732 Medicare beneficiaries who received services from 5635 cardiology practices in 2012. Beneficiaries were assigned to practices providing the plurality of office visits, and practices were ranked and assigned to quartiles using the ratio of observed to predicted annual payments per beneficiary for common cardiac services (outpatient intensity index). The median (interquartile range) outpatient intensity index was 1.00 (0.81-1.24). Mean payments for beneficiaries attributed to practices in the highest (Q4) and lowest (Q1) quartile of outpatient intensity were: all cardiac payments (Q4 $1272 vs Q1 $581; ratio, 2.2); cardiac catheterization (Q4 $215 vs Q1 $64; ratio, 3.4); myocardial perfusion imaging (Q4 $253 vs Q1 $83; ratio, 3.0); and electrophysiology device procedures (Q4 $353 vs Q1 $142; ratio, 2.5). The adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) for 1 incremental quartile of outpatient intensity for each outcome was: cardiac surgical/procedural hospitalization (1.09 [1.09, 1.10]); cardiac medical hospitalization (1.00 [0.99, 1.00]); noncardiac hospitalization (0.99 [0.99, 0.99]); and death at 1 year (1.00 [0.99, 1.00]). CONCLUSION: Substantial variation in the intensity of outpatient care exists at the cardiology practice level, and higher intensity is not associated with reduced mortality or hospitalizations. Outpatient cardiac care is a potentially important target for efforts to improve efficiency in the Medicare population.Item Open Access Prevalence and Outcomes of Left-Sided Valvular Heart Disease Associated With Chronic Kidney Disease.(J Am Heart Assoc, 2017-10-11) Samad, Zainab; Sivak, Joseph A; Phelan, Matthew; Schulte, Phillip J; Patel, Uptal; Velazquez, Eric JBACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an adverse prognostic marker for valve intervention patients; however, the prevalence and related outcomes of valvular heart disease in CKD patients is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Included patients underwent echocardiography (1999-2013), had serum creatinine values within 6 months before index echocardiogram, and had no history of valve surgery. CKD was defined as diagnosis based on the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision or an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2. Qualitative assessment determined left heart stenotic and regurgitant valve lesions. Cox models assessed CKD and aortic stenosis (AS) interaction for subsequent mortality; analyses were repeated for mitral regurgitation (MR). Among 78 059 patients, 23 727 (30%) had CKD; of these, 1326 were on hemodialysis. CKD patients were older; female; had a higher prevalence of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, history of coronary artery bypass grafting/percutaneous coronary intervention, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure ≥mild AS; and ≥mild MR (all P<0.001). Five-year survival estimates of mild, moderate, and severe AS for CKD patients were 40%, 34%, and 42%, respectively, and 69%, 54%, and 67% for non-CKD patients. Five-year survival estimates of mild, moderate, and severe MR for CKD patients were 51%, 38%, and 37%, respectively, and 75%, 66%, and 65% for non-CKD patients. Significant interaction occurred among CKD, AS/MR severity, and mortality in adjusted analyses; the CKD hazard ratio increased from 1.8 (non-AS patients) to 2.0 (severe AS) and from 1.7 (non-MR patients) to 2.6 (severe MR). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of at least mild AS and MR is substantially higher and is associated with significantly lower survival among patients with versus without CKD. There is significant interaction among CKD, AS/MR severity, and mortality, with increasingly worse outcomes for CKD patients with increasing AS/MR severity.Item Open Access Pulmonary Hypertension Subtypes and Mortality in CKD.(American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation, 2019-11-12) Edmonston, Daniel L; Parikh, Kishan S; Rajagopal, Sudarshan; Shaw, Linda K; Abraham, Dennis; Grabner, Alexander; Sparks, Matthew A; Wolf, MylesRATIONALE & OBJECTIVE:Pulmonary hypertension (PH) contributes to cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but the pathophysiology is mostly unknown. This study sought to estimate the prevalence and consequences of PH subtypes in the setting of CKD. STUDY DESIGN:Observational retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:We examined 12,618 patients with a right heart catheterization in the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Disease from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2014. EXPOSURES:Baseline kidney function stratified by CKD glomerular filtration rate category and PH subtype. OUTCOMES:All-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH:Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis. RESULTS:In this cohort, 73.4% of patients with CKD had PH, compared with 56.9% of patients without CKD. Isolated postcapillary PH (39.0%) and combined pre- and postcapillary PH (38.3%) were the most common PH subtypes in CKD. Conversely, precapillary PH was the most common subtype in the non-CKD cohort (35.9%). The relationships between mean pulmonary artery pressure, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, and right atrial pressure with mortality were similar in both the CKD and non-CKD cohorts. Compared with those without PH, precapillary PH conferred the highest mortality risk among patients without CKD (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 2.00-2.57). By contrast, in those with CKD, combined pre- and postcapillary PH was associated with the highest risk for mortality in CKD in adjusted analyses (compared with no PH, HRs of 1.89 [95% CI, 1.57-2.28], 1.87 [95% CI, 1.52-2.31], 2.13 [95% CI, 1.52-2.97], and 1.63 [95% CI, 1.12-2.36] for glomerular filtration rate categories G3a, G3b, G4, and G5/G5D). LIMITATIONS:The cohort referred for right heart catheterization may not be generalizable to the general population. Serum creatinine data in the 6 months preceding catheterization may not reflect true baseline CKD. Observational design precludes assumptions of causality. CONCLUSIONS:In patients with CKD referred for right heart catheterization, PH is common and associated with poor survival. Combined pre- and postcapillary PH was common and portended the worst survival for patients with CKD.