ALERT: This system is being upgraded on Tuesday December 12. It will not be available for use for several hours that day while the upgrade is in progress. Deposits to DukeSpace will be disabled on Monday December 11, so no new items are to be added to the repository while the upgrade is in progress. Everything should be back to normal by the end of day, December 12.

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    • Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States. 

      Cramer, Estee Y; Ray, Evan L; Lopez, Velma K; Bracher, Johannes; Brennen, Andrea; Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J; Gerding, Aaron; ... (295 authors) (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022-04)
      Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general ...