IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON RIVER HERRING SPAWNING AND NURSERY HABITAT IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Abstract
River herring populations have declined in abundance by 99% since the 1970s, in part
because of spawning and nursery habitat loss. In Eastern North Carolina, river herring
spawn in coastal streams and adjacent riparian wetlands. Juveniles remain in natal
streams and adjacent estuaries until the fall, when they migrate to oceanic environments.
Many of these habitats are low-lying and may be subject to increasing water levels
as the sea level rises in response to climate change. This project evaluates the
extent of these effects to currently identified habitat and presents a model to describe
future impacts to river herring habitat in these regions as water level rises and
wetlands migrate inland. Sea level rise was modeled at increments of 0.25, 0.5, 0.75,
1, 1.5 and 2 meters for the Salmon Creek watershed in the Chowan River Basin. Resulting
sea levels were overlaid with a GIS-based model of current river herring habitat.
Future habitat quality was predicted through the application of a simple habitat model
and the development of an index that evaluates the potential for riparian wetland
migration. Results indicate that sea level rise has the potential to affect a significant
portion of available habitat in the study area. Increases in water level are likely
to result in the initial creation of habitat in the lower portion of Salmon Creek
watershed; however, the suitability of these habitats for river herring spawning and
juvenile development will decrease as sea level rise proceeds. Information generated
using this model identifies the extent of future spawning and nursery habitat for
river herring and can be used to prioritize areas important for conservation of river
herring habitat in the future.
Type
Master's projectPermalink
https://hdl.handle.net/10161/1035Citation
Weaver, Jennifer (2009). IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON RIVER HERRING SPAWNING AND NURSERY HABITAT IN EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA. Master's project, Duke University. Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/1035.Collections
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