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Managing Crises with Vague Information...Just a Suggestion

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Date
2009
Author
Trombold, Nicholas Davidson
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Abstract
When disaster occurs, an authority explains the severity and gives citizens the choice to leave or stay. People complain they are not told enough regarding specifics that affect their safety. I propose a model explaining why an authority is vague due to its understanding of the citizens pessimism. While an authority may decide the disasters severity merits evacuation, a citizens definition of high risk may be different. To maximize its expected payoff, the government speaks vaguely to play off the citizens emotions and realign incentives. As the governments payoffs change in magnitude, its inclination to induce certain citizen action changes.
Type
Honors thesis
Department
Mathematics
Permalink
https://hdl.handle.net/10161/1421
Citation
Trombold, Nicholas Davidson (2009). Managing Crises with Vague Information...Just a Suggestion. Honors thesis, Duke University. Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/1421.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License.

Rights for Collection: Undergraduate Honors Theses and Student papers


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