Economic Consequences of Population Change in the Third World
Abstract
The impact of rapid population growth on economic development in third world countries
is explored. "Section I provides an empirical point of reference by summarizing some
of the salient demographic trends in the Third World. Section II takes up analytical
perspectives useful to assessing the impacts of population on development. A preliminary
empirical appraisal of the relationship between population and economic growth is
provided in Section III, followed in Sections IV-VI by an examination of the effects
of demographic change on the scale of production, the rate of saving and the composition
of investment, and the rate and form of technical change in agriculture. Section VII
concludes with a summary assessment and some qualifications relating to government
policies, ecology, and values.
Type
Journal articlePermalink
https://hdl.handle.net/10161/1928Collections
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Show full item recordScholars@Duke
Allen C. Kelley
James B. Duke Professor Emeritus of Economics
Professor Kelley specializes in the study of economic demography, history, and development.
He is most interested in research involving demographic change in the Third World
and the consequences of such shifts. He has specifically explored the “impacts of
rapid population growth on economic growth, structural change, and urbanization.”
These studies resulted in his publication of several books, some utilizing computable
general research models to analyze his observations; the project also led
This author no longer has a Scholars@Duke profile, so the information shown here reflects
their Duke status at the time this item was deposited.

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