Economic Consequences of Population Change in the Third World
The impact of rapid population growth on economic development in third world countries is explored. "Section I provides an empirical point of reference by summarizing some of the salient demographic trends in the Third World. Section II takes up analytical perspectives useful to assessing the impacts of population on development. A preliminary empirical appraisal of the relationship between population and economic growth is provided in Section III, followed in Sections IV-VI by an examination of the effects of demographic change on the scale of production, the rate of saving and the composition of investment, and the rate and form of technical change in agriculture. Section VII concludes with a summary assessment and some qualifications relating to government policies, ecology, and values.
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James B. Duke Professor Emeritus of Economics
Professor Kelley specializes in the study of economic demography, history, and development. He is most interested in research involving demographic change in the Third World and the consequences of such shifts. He has specifically explored the “impacts of rapid population growth on economic growth, structural change, and urbanization.” These studies resulted in his publication of several books, some utilizing computable general research models to analyze his observations; the project also led
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