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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests.

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Date
2020-05-21
Authors
Sullivan, Martin JP
Lewis, Simon L
Affum-Baffoe, Kofi
Castilho, Carolina
Costa, Flávia
Sanchez, Aida Cuni
Ewango, Corneille EN
Hubau, Wannes
Marimon, Beatriz
Monteagudo-Mendoza, Abel
Qie, Lan
Sonké, Bonaventure
Martinez, Rodolfo Vasquez
Baker, Timothy R
Brienen, Roel JW
Feldpausch, Ted R
Galbraith, David
Gloor, Manuel
Malhi, Yadvinder
Aiba, Shin-Ichiro
Alexiades, Miguel N
Almeida, Everton C
de Oliveira, Edmar Almeida
Dávila, Esteban Álvarez
Loayza, Patricia Alvarez
Andrade, Ana
Vieira, Simone Aparecida
Aragão, Luiz EOC
Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro
Arets, Eric JMM
Arroyo, Luzmila
Ashton, Peter
Aymard C, Gerardo
Baccaro, Fabrício B
Banin, Lindsay F
Baraloto, Christopher
Camargo, Plínio Barbosa
Barlow, Jos
Barroso, Jorcely
Bastin, Jean-François
Batterman, Sarah A
Beeckman, Hans
Begne, Serge K
Bennett, Amy C
Berenguer, Erika
Berry, Nicholas
Blanc, Lilian
Boeckx, Pascal
Bogaert, Jan
Bonal, Damien
Bongers, Frans
Bradford, Matt
Brearley, Francis Q
Brncic, Terry
Brown, Foster
Burban, Benoit
Camargo, José Luís
Castro, Wendeson
Céron, Carlos
Ribeiro, Sabina Cerruto
Moscoso, Victor Chama
Chave, Jerôme
Chezeaux, Eric
Clark, Connie J
de Souza, Fernanda Coelho
Collins, Murray
Comiskey, James A
Valverde, Fernando Cornejo
Medina, Massiel Corrales
da Costa, Lola
Dančák, Martin
Dargie, Greta C
Davies, Stuart
Cardozo, Nallaret Davila
de Haulleville, Thales
de Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante
Del Aguila Pasquel, Jhon
Derroire, Géraldine
Di Fiore, Anthony
Doucet, Jean-Louis
Dourdain, Aurélie
Droissart, Vincent
Duque, Luisa Fernanda
Ekoungoulou, Romeo
Elias, Fernando
Erwin, Terry
Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane
Fauset, Sophie
Ferreira, Joice
Llampazo, Gerardo Flores
Foli, Ernest
Ford, Andrew
Gilpin, Martin
Hall, Jefferson S
Hamer, Keith C
Hamilton, Alan C
Harris, David J
Hart, Terese B
Hédl, Radim
Herault, Bruno
Herrera, Rafael
Higuchi, Niro
Hladik, Annette
Coronado, Eurídice Honorio
Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau
Huasco, Walter Huaraca
Jeffery, Kathryn J
Jimenez-Rojas, Eliana
Kalamandeen, Michelle
Djuikouo, Marie Noël Kamdem
Kearsley, Elizabeth
Umetsu, Ricardo Keichi
Kho, Lip Khoon
Killeen, Timothy
Kitayama, Kanehiro
Klitgaard, Bente
Koch, Alexander
Labrière, Nicolas
Laurance, William
Laurance, Susan
Leal, Miguel E
Levesley, Aurora
Lima, Adriano JN
Lisingo, Janvier
Lopes, Aline P
Lopez-Gonzalez, Gabriela
Lovejoy, Tom
Lovett, Jon C
Lowe, Richard
Magnusson, William E
Malumbres-Olarte, Jagoba
Manzatto, Ângelo Gilberto
Marimon, Ben Hur
Marshall, Andrew R
Marthews, Toby
de Almeida Reis, Simone Matias
Maycock, Colin
Melgaço, Karina
Mendoza, Casimiro
Metali, Faizah
Mihindou, Vianet
Milliken, William
Mitchard, Edward TA
Morandi, Paulo S
Mossman, Hannah L
Nagy, Laszlo
Nascimento, Henrique
Neill, David
Nilus, Reuben
Vargas, Percy Núñez
Palacios, Walter
Camacho, Nadir Pallqui
Peacock, Julie
Pendry, Colin
Peñuela Mora, Maria Cristina
Pickavance, Georgia C
Pipoly, John
Pitman, Nigel
Playfair, Maureen
Poorter, Lourens
Poulsen, John R
Poulsen, Axel Dalberg
Preziosi, Richard
Prieto, Adriana
Primack, Richard B
Ramírez-Angulo, Hirma
Reitsma, Jan
Réjou-Méchain, Maxime
Correa, Zorayda Restrepo
de Sousa, Thaiane Rodrigues
Bayona, Lily Rodriguez
Roopsind, Anand
Rudas, Agustín
Rutishauser, Ervan
Abu Salim, Kamariah
Salomão, Rafael P
Schietti, Juliana
Sheil, Douglas
Silva, Richarlly C
Espejo, Javier Silva
Valeria, Camila Silva
Silveira, Marcos
Simo-Droissart, Murielle
Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni
Singh, James
Soto Shareva, Yahn Carlos
Stahl, Clement
Stropp, Juliana
Sukri, Rahayu
Sunderland, Terry
Svátek, Martin
Swaine, Michael D
Swamy, Varun
Taedoumg, Hermann
Talbot, Joey
Taplin, James
Taylor, David
Ter Steege, Hans
Terborgh, John
Thomas, Raquel
Thomas, Sean C
Torres-Lezama, Armando
Umunay, Peter
Gamarra, Luis Valenzuela
van der Heijden, Geertje
van der Hout, Peter
van der Meer, Peter
van Nieuwstadt, Mark
Verbeeck, Hans
Vernimmen, Ronald
Vicentini, Alberto
Vieira, Ima Célia Guimarães
Torre, Emilio Vilanova
Vleminckx, Jason
Vos, Vincent
Wang, Ophelia
White, Lee JT
Willcock, Simon
Woods, John T
Wortel, Verginia
Young, Kenneth
Zagt, Roderick
Zemagho, Lise
Zuidema, Pieter A
Zwerts, Joeri A
Phillips, Oliver L
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Abstract
The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.
Type
Journal article
Subject
Trees
Carbon
Biomass
Tropical Climate
Acclimatization
Wood
Hot Temperature
Climate Change
Carbon Cycle
Forests
Earth, Planet
Permalink
https://hdl.handle.net/10161/23428
Published Version (Please cite this version)
10.1126/science.aaw7578
Publication Info
Sullivan, Martin JP; Lewis, Simon L; Affum-Baffoe, Kofi; Castilho, Carolina; Costa, Flávia; Sanchez, Aida Cuni; ... Phillips, Oliver L (2020). Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests. Science (New York, N.Y.), 368(6493). pp. 869-874. 10.1126/science.aaw7578. Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/23428.
This is constructed from limited available data and may be imprecise. To cite this article, please review & use the official citation provided by the journal.
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Scholars@Duke

Poulsen

John Poulsen

Associate Professor of Tropical Ecology
John Poulsen is an ecologist with broad interests in the maintenance and regeneration of tropical forests and conservation of biodiversity. His research has focused on the effects of anthropogenic disturbance, such as logging and hunting, on forest structure and diversity, abundance of tropical animals, and ecological processes. He has conducted most of his research in Central Africa, where he has also worked as a conservation manager, directing projects to sustainably manage natural resources i
Terborgh

John W. Terborgh

James B. Duke Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences
John W. Terborgh is a James B. Duke Professor of Environmental Science and is Co-Director of the Center for Tropical Conservation at Duke University. He is a member of the National Academy of Science, and for the past thirty-five years, he has been actively involved in tropical ecology and conservation issues. An authority on avian and mammalian ecology in neotropical forests, Dr. Terborgh has published numerous articles and books on conservation themes. Since 1973 he has operated a field statio
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