dc.description.abstract |
<p>According to IPCC estimates, sea levels will rise between .18 and .6 meters by
2100. More recent estimates indicate that actual amounts of sea level rise may be
much more, and that 1 meter of sea level rise by 2100 is likely a conservative estimate.
These rising sea levels will result not only in more flooding during storm events,
but also increased erosion and gradual inundation of coastal property. At the same
time, coastal populations in the United States continue to increase rapidly: over
half of all Americans live in coastal counties, and at least 25 million more people
are expected to move to the coast by 2015. The end result is that human populations,
coastal infrastructure, and coastal ecosystems will become increasingly vulnerable
to the impacts of climate change. This study examines the political and legal constraints
to and opportunities for adaptation to rising sea levels. Using legal and policy
analysis and case studies from California, North Carolina and Texas, this study explores
the ability of governments to use market tools, land use regulations, and property
acquisition to promote adaptation to rising sea levels. Because of market dynamics
and political factors including flaws in public risk perception, I conclude that governments
who wish to avoid extensive coastal engineering, , can address coastal community vulnerability
through a combination of regulations and incentives that spur state and local governments
to engage in forward land use planning and other measures to reduce their exposure
to sea level rise impacts.</p>
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