A soft robust model for optimization under ambiguity
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In this paper, we propose a framework for robust optimization that relaxes the standard notion of robustness by allowing the decision maker to vary the protection level in a smooth way across the uncertainty set. We apply our approach to the problem of maximizing the expected value of a payoff function when the underlying distribution is ambiguous and therefore robustness is relevant. Our primary objective is to develop this framework and relate it to the standard notion of robustness, which deals with only a single guarantee across one uncertainty set. First, we show that our approach connects closely to the theory of convex risk measures. We show that the complexity of this approach is equivalent to that of solving a small number of standard robust problems. We then investigate the conservatism benefits and downside probability guarantees implied by this approach and compare to the standard robust approach. Finally, we illustrate theme thodology on an asset allocation example consisting of historical market data over a 25-year investment horizon and find in every case we explore that relaxing standard robustness with soft robustness yields a seemingly favorable risk-return trade-off: each case results in a higher out-of-sample expected return for a relatively minor degradation of out-of-sample downside performance. © 2010 INFORMS.
Published Version (Please cite this version)10.1287/opre.1100.0821
Publication InfoBen-Tal, A; Bertsimas, D; & Brown, DB (2010). A soft robust model for optimization under ambiguity. Operations Research, 58(4 PART 2). pp. 1220-1234. 10.1287/opre.1100.0821. Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/4438.
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Professor of Business Administration
David B. Brown is a professor at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. He has been at Fuqua as a member of the Decision Sciences area since receiving his Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from MIT in 2006. Professor Brown’s research focuses on the development of effective methods for dealing with uncertainty in large-scale decision-making problems. This includes systems in which information is revealed sequentially over time and ones in which error