An Objective Approach to Prior Mass Functions for Discrete Parameter Spaces

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2015-07-03

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Abstract

We present a novel approach to constructing objective prior distributions for discrete parameter spaces. These types of parameter spaces are particularly problematic, as it appears that common objective procedures to design prior distributions are problem specific. We propose an objective criterion, based on loss functions, instead of trying to define objective probabilities directly. We systematically apply this criterion to a series of discrete scenarios, previously considered in the literature, and compare the priors. The proposed approach applies to any discrete parameter space, making it appealing as it does not involve different concepts according to the model. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

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Binomial, Hypergeometric, Kullback-Leibler divergence, Loss function, Objective prior

Citation

Published Version (Please cite this version)

10.1080/01621459.2014.946319

Publication Info

Villa, C, and SG Walker (2015). An Objective Approach to Prior Mass Functions for Discrete Parameter Spaces. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 110(511). pp. 1072–1082. 10.1080/01621459.2014.946319 Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/33567.

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Villa

Cristiano Villa

Associate Professor of Statistics at Duke Kunshan University

Prof. Cristiano Villa main research area is in Bayesian statistics, with particular interest in objective methods. His output has been published in several peer-reviewed journals and presented at international conferences, such as the ISBA International Conference, the O-Bayes conference, and the ERCIM conference. In addition to his research, Prof. Villa is deeply committed to teaching and enjoys interacting with students. His teaching interests include probability, statistics, linear modelling, and risk management. Before joining Duke Kunshan University (DKU), Prof. Villa was a member of the Newcastle University (UK) and the University of Kent (UK). Prior to joining academia in 2014, he worked as an auditor and as an advisor for KPMG in several countries, including, Italy, UK, New Zealand, and Singapore. He holds an M.Sc. and a Ph.D. from the University of Kent, UK.


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