Medical cost trajectories and onsets of cancer and noncancer diseases in US elderly population.

dc.contributor.author

Akushevich, Igor

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Kravchenko, Julia

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Akushevich, Lucy

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Ukraintseva, Svetlana

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Arbeev, Konstantin

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Yashin, Anatoliy I

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Busso, Thierry

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United States

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2017-06-06T17:17:44Z

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2017-06-06T17:17:44Z

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2011

dc.description.abstract

Time trajectories of medical costs-associated with onset of twelve aging-related cancer and chronic noncancer diseases were analyzed using the National Long-Term Care Survey data linked to Medicare Service Use files. A special procedure for selecting individuals with onset of each disease was developed and used for identification of the date at disease onset. Medical cost trajectories were found to be represented by a parametric model with four easily interpretable parameters reflecting: (i) prediagnosis cost (associated with initial comorbidity), (ii) cost of the disease onset, (iii) population recovery representing reduction of the medical expenses associated with a disease since diagnosis was made, and (iv) acquired comorbidity representing the difference between post- and pre diagnosis medical cost levels. These parameters were evaluated for the entire US population as well as for the subpopulation conditional on age, disability and comorbidity states, and survival (2.5 years after the date of onset). The developed approach results in a family of new forecasting models with covariates.

dc.identifier

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21687557

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1748-6718

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https://hdl.handle.net/10161/14855

dc.language

eng

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Hindawi Limited

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Comput Math Methods Med

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10.1155/2011/857892

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Aged

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Aged, 80 and over

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Chronic Disease

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Cohort Studies

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Comorbidity

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Computer Simulation

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Data Collection

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Female

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Forecasting

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Health Care Costs

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Humans

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Male

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Medicare

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Models, Economic

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Models, Statistical

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Neoplasms

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United States

dc.title

Medical cost trajectories and onsets of cancer and noncancer diseases in US elderly population.

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Journal article

duke.contributor.orcid

Arbeev, Konstantin|0000-0002-4195-7832

pubs.author-url

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21687557

pubs.begin-page

857892

pubs.organisational-group

Center for Population Health & Aging

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Clinical Science Departments

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Duke

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Duke Cancer Institute

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Duke Population Research Center

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Duke Population Research Institute

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Institutes and Centers

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Institutes and Provost's Academic Units

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Physics

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Sanford School of Public Policy

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School of Medicine

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Social Science Research Institute

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Staff

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Surgery

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Surgery, Surgical Sciences

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Trinity College of Arts & Sciences

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University Institutes and Centers

pubs.publication-status

Published

pubs.volume

2011

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