An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply.
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1988-01
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This paper examines household fertility and female labor supply over the life cycle. The authors investigate ho w maternal time and market inputs, and benefits children yield their parents, vary with their ages and influence female labor supply and c ontraceptive behavior. Their econometric framework combines a female labor-supply model and a contraceptive choice index function and allo ws conceptions not to be perfectly controllable. Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, they estimate these equations and tes t alternative specifications. The findings suggest that parents canno t perfectly control conceptions and variations in child care costs af fect the spacing of births. Copyright 1988 by The Econometric Society.
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Scholars@Duke

V. Joseph Hotz
Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.
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