A comparison of COVID-19 and imaging radiation risk in clinical patient populations.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The outbreak of coronavirus SARS-COV2 affected more than 180 countries necessitating fast and accurate diagnostic tools. Reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) has been identified as a gold standard test with Chest CT and Chest Radiography showing promising results as well. However, radiological solutions have not been used extensively for the diagnosis of COVID-19 disease, partly due to radiation risk. This study aimed to provide quantitative comparison of imaging radiation risk versus COVID risk. METHODS: The analysis was performed in terms of mortality rate per age group. COVID-19 mortality was extracted from epidemiological data across 299,004 patients published by ISS-Integrated surveillance of COVID-19 in Italy. For radiological risk, the study considered 659 Chest CT performed in adult patients. Organ doses were estimated using a Monte Carlo method and then used to calculate Risk Index that was converted into an upper bound for related mortality rate following NCI-SEER data. RESULTS: COVID-19 mortality showed a rapid rise for ages >30 years old (min:0.30%; max:30.20%), whereas only 1 death was reported in the analyzed patient cohort for ages <20 years old. The rates decreased for radiation risk across age groups. The median mortality rate across all ages for Chest-CT and Chest-Radiography were 0.007% (min:0.005%; max:0.011%) and 0.0003% (min:0.0002%; max:0.0004%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19, Chest Radiography, and Chest CT mortality rates showed different magnitudes and trends across age groups. In higher ages, the risk of COVID-19 far outweighs that of radiological exams. Based on risk comparison alone, Chest Radiography and CT for COVID-19 care is justified for patients older than 20 and 30 years old, respectively. Notwithstanding other aspects of diagnosis, the present results capture a component of risk consideration associated with the use of imaging for COVID. Once integrated with other diagnostic factors, they may help inform better management of the pandemic.

Department

Description

Provenance

Subjects

COVID-19, X-ray Computed Tomography, X-ray Radiography, mortality, radiation risk

Citation

Published Version (Please cite this version)

10.1088/1361-6498/abbf3b

Publication Info

Ria, Francesco, Wanyi Fu, Hamid Chalian, Ehsan Abadi, Paul W Segars, Rafael Fricks, Pegah Khoshpouri, Ehsan Samei, et al. (2020). A comparison of COVID-19 and imaging radiation risk in clinical patient populations. J Radiol Prot. 10.1088/1361-6498/abbf3b Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/21590.

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Scholars@Duke

Ria

Francesco Ria

Adjunct Assistant Professor in Radiology

Dr. Francesco Ria is a medical physicist and he serves as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Radiology. Francesco has an extensive expertise in the assessment of procedure performances in radiology. In particular, his research activities focus on the simultaneous evaluation of radiation dose and image quality in vivo in computed tomography providing a comprehensive evaluation of radiological exams. Moreover, Francesco is developing and investigating novel mathematical models that, uniquely in the radiology field, can incorporate a comprehensive and quantitative risk-to-benefit assessment of the procedures; he is continuing to apply his expertise towards the definition of new patient specific risk metrics, and in the assessment of image quality in vivo also using state-of-the-art imaging technology, such as photon counting computed tomography scanners, and machine learning reconstruction algorithms.

 

Dr. Ria is a member of the American Association of Physicists in Medicine (AAPM) task group 392 (Investigation and Quality Control of Automatic Exposure Control System in CT), of the AAPM task group 430 (Comprehensive quantification and dissemination of patient-model-based organ and effective dose estimations and their associated uncertainties for CT examinations), of the AAPM Medicine Public Education working group (WGATE), and of the Italian Association of Medical Physics task group Dose Monitoring in Diagnostic Imaging.

Abadi

Ehsan Abadi

Associate Professor in Radiology

Ehsan Abadi, PhD is an imaging scientist at Duke University. He serves as an Associate Professor in the departments of Radiology and Electrical & Computer Engineering, a faculty member in the Medical Physics Graduate Program and Carl E. Ravin Advanced Imaging Laboratories, and a co-Lead in the Center for Virtual Imaging Trials. Ehsan’s research focuses on quantitative imaging and optimization, computational human modeling, medical imaging simulation, and CT imaging in cardiothoracic and musculoskeletal applications. He is actively involved in developing computational anthropomorphic models with various diseases such as COPD, and scanner-specific simulation platforms (e.g., DukeSim) for imaging systems. Currently, his work is centered on identifying and optimizing imaging systems to ensure accurate and precise quantifications of lung and bone diseases.

Samei

Ehsan Samei

Reed and Martha Rice Distinguished Professor of Radiology

Dr. Ehsan Samei, PhD, DABR, FAAPM, FSPIE, FAIMBE, FIOMP, FACR is a Persian-American medical physicist. He is the Reed and Martha Rice Distinguished Professor of Radiology, and Professor of Medical Physics, Biomedical Engineering, Physics, and Electrical and Computer Engineering at Duke University. He serves as the Chief Imaging Physicist for Duke University Health System, the Director of the Carl E Ravin Advanced Imaging Laboratories and the Center for Virtual Imaging Trials (CVIT), and Co-Director of the Triangle Centers of Excellence in Regulatory Science and Innovation (Triangle CERSI). Certified by the American Board of Radiology, he is recognized as a Distinguished Investigator by the Academy of Radiology Research, awarded Fellow by five professional organizations, and has been the recipient of the Jimmy O. Fenn Lifetime Achievement Award of SEAAPM and the Marie Sklodowska-Curie Award by IOMP. He founded/co-founded the Duke Medical Physics Program, the Duke Imaging Physics Residency Program, the Duke Clinical Imaging Physics Group, the Center for Virtual Imaging Trials, and the Society of Directors of Academic Medical Physics Programs (SDAMPP). He has held senior leadership positions in the AAPM, SPIE, SDAMPP, and RSNA, including serving as president of the SEAAPM (2010-2011), SDAMPP (2011), and AAPM (2023). He is ranked 8th among over 56,000 medical physicists worldwide for his lifetime contribution to medical physics.

 

Dr. Samei has mentored over 160 trainees (graduate and postgraduate). He has over 1500 scientific publications, including 4 books, over 430 refereed journal papers, over 260 full-length conference articles, over 350 conference presentations, and over 340 invited talks. Citations to his work are reflected in an h-index of 82 and a Weighted Relative Citation Ratio of 759. His laboratory has been supported continuously for over two decades by 50 extramural grants totaling $47 million. Those include a Program Project grant from the NIH in 2021 to establish the National Center for Virtual Imaging Trials (CVIT), and a multi-institutional grant in 2023 from the FDA to establish the Triangle Center of Excellence in Regulatory Science and Innovation (Triangle CERSI), both joining highly selective biomedical research and regulatory science centers nationwide.

 

On the personal side, Ehsan Samei is a semi-professional musician, leads a chamber ensemble, and has an active interest in common traits and interactions between science, art, and faith. He has led workshops on leadership and leadership development. He has run five marathons (3:17 PR), including the 2013 Boston Marathon, is married to Dr. Maija Samei, a scholar of medieval Chinese literature, and is blessed with four gifted children.

 

 


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