The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.

Abstract

Academic researchers, government agencies, industry groups, and individuals have produced forecasts at an unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. To leverage these forecasts, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) partnered with an academic research lab at the University of Massachusetts Amherst to create the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub. Launched in April 2020, the Forecast Hub is a dataset with point and probabilistic forecasts of incident cases, incident hospitalizations, incident deaths, and cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 at county, state, and national, levels in the United States. Included forecasts represent a variety of modeling approaches, data sources, and assumptions regarding the spread of COVID-19. The goal of this dataset is to establish a standardized and comparable set of short-term forecasts from modeling teams. These data can be used to develop ensemble models, communicate forecasts to the public, create visualizations, compare models, and inform policies regarding COVID-19 mitigation. These open-source data are available via download from GitHub, through an online API, and through R packages.

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Citation

Published Version (Please cite this version)

10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w

Publication Info

Cramer, Estee Y, Yuxin Huang, Yijin Wang, Evan L Ray, Matthew Cornell, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J Castro Rivadeneira, et al. (2022). The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset. Scientific data, 9(1). p. 462. 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/28588.

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