Optimizing the Definition of Proximal Junctional Kyphosis: A Sensitivity Analysis.

dc.contributor.author

Lovecchio, Francis

dc.contributor.author

Lafage, Renaud

dc.contributor.author

Line, Breton

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Bess, Shay

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Shaffrey, Christopher

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Kim, Han Jo

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Ames, Christopher

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Burton, Douglas

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Gupta, Munish

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Smith, Justin S

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Eastlack, Robert

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Klineberg, Eric

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Mundis, Gregory

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Schwab, Frank

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Lafage, Virginie

dc.contributor.author

International Spine Study Group ISSG

dc.date.accessioned

2023-06-15T14:55:44Z

dc.date.available

2023-06-15T14:55:44Z

dc.date.issued

2023-03

dc.date.updated

2023-06-15T14:55:44Z

dc.description.abstract

Study design

Diagnostic binary threshold analysis.

Objective

(1) Perform a sensitivity analysis demonstrating the test performance metrics for any combination of proximal junctional angle (PJA) magnitude and change; (2) Propose a new proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) criteria.

Summary of background data

Previous definitions of PJK have been arbitrarily selected and then tested through retrospective case series, often showing little correlation with clinical outcomes.

Materials and methods

Surgically treated adult spinal deformity patients (≥4 levels fused) enrolled into a prospective, multicenter database were evaluated at a minimum 2-year follow-up for proximal junctional failure (PJF). Using PJF as the outcome of interest, test performance metrics including sensitivity, positive predictive value, and F1 metrics (harmonic mean of precision and recall) were calculated for all combinations of PJA magnitude and change using different combinations of perijunctional vertebrae. The combination with the highest F1 score was selected as the new PJK criteria. Performance metrics of previous PJK definitions and the new PJK definition were compared.

Results

Of the total, 669 patients were reviewed. PJF rate was 10%. Overall, the highest F1 scores were achieved when the upper instrumented vertebrae -1 (UIV-1)/UIV+2 angle was measured. For lower thoracic cases, out of all the PJA and magnitude/change combinations tested, a UIV-1/UIV+2 magnitude of -28° and a change of -20° was associated with the highest F1 score. For upper thoracic cases, a UIV-1/UIV+2 magnitude of -30° and a change of -24° were associated with the highest F1 score. Using PJF as the outcome, patients meeting this new criterion (11.5%) at 6 weeks had the lowest survival rate (74.7%) at 2 years postoperative, compared with Glattes (84.4%) and Bridwell (77.4%).

Conclusions

Out of all possible PJA magnitude and change combinations, without stratifying by upper thoracic versus lower thoracic fusions, a magnitude of ≤-28° and a change of ≤-22° provide the best test performance metrics for predicting PJF.
dc.identifier

00007632-990000000-00207

dc.identifier.issn

0362-2436

dc.identifier.issn

1528-1159

dc.identifier.uri

https://hdl.handle.net/10161/27961

dc.language

eng

dc.publisher

Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

dc.relation.ispartof

Spine

dc.relation.isversionof

10.1097/brs.0000000000004564

dc.subject

International Spine Study Group ISSG

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Thoracic Vertebrae

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Humans

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Kyphosis

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Musculoskeletal Abnormalities

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Postoperative Complications

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Spinal Fusion

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Retrospective Studies

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Follow-Up Studies

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Prospective Studies

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Adult

dc.title

Optimizing the Definition of Proximal Junctional Kyphosis: A Sensitivity Analysis.

dc.type

Journal article

duke.contributor.orcid

Shaffrey, Christopher|0000-0001-9760-8386

pubs.begin-page

414

pubs.end-page

420

pubs.issue

6

pubs.organisational-group

Duke

pubs.organisational-group

School of Medicine

pubs.organisational-group

Clinical Science Departments

pubs.organisational-group

Orthopaedic Surgery

pubs.organisational-group

Neurosurgery

pubs.publication-status

Published

pubs.volume

48

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