Predictors of serious, preventable, and costly medical complications in a population of adult spinal deformity patients.

dc.contributor.author

Alas, Haddy

dc.contributor.author

Passias, Peter G

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Brown, Avery E

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Pierce, Katherine E

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Bortz, Cole

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Bess, Shay

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Lafage, Renaud

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Lafage, Virginie

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Ames, Christopher P

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Burton, Douglas C

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Hamilton, D Kojo

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Kelly, Michael P

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Hostin, Richard

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Neuman, Brian J

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Line, Breton G

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Shaffrey, Christopher I

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Smith, Justin S

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Schwab, Frank J

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Klineberg, Eric O

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International Spine Study Group

dc.date.accessioned

2023-06-16T16:25:07Z

dc.date.available

2023-06-16T16:25:07Z

dc.date.issued

2021-09

dc.date.updated

2023-06-16T16:25:07Z

dc.description.abstract

Background context

In 2008, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) established a list of hospital-acquired conditions (HACs) with significant deleterious effects on both patients and providers. Adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery is complex and highly invasive, and as such may result in significant morbidity including these HACs.

Purpose

Identify predictors for developing the most common HACs among adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients undergoing corrective surgery.

Study design/setting

Retrospective analysis.

Patient sample

One thousand one hundred and seventy-one ASD patients.

Outcome measures

HACs, Health-Related Quality of Life scores(HRQLs), Reoperation, Integrated Health State (IHS) METHODS: ASD pts undergoing surgery (>18 years, scoliosis ≥20°, SVA ≥5 cm, PT ≥25° and/or TK >60°) with complete data at BL and up to 2 years post-op were included. Patients were stratified by presence of >1 HAC, defined as at least one superficial/deep SSI, UTI, DVT, or PE within a 30-day post-op window. Random forest analysis generated 5,000 Conditional Inference Trees to compute a variable importance table for top predictors of HACs. An area-under-the-curve (AUC) methodology compared normalized HRQL scores between groups to determine an IHS with 2-year follow-up.

Results

Total of 1,171 pts (59.8 years, 76.2%F, 28.1kg/m2) underwent corrective ASD surgery, with 1,053 pts in the non-HAC group and 118 in the HAC group. Of these pts, 25.4% had UTI, 15.4% DVT, 19.2% superficial SSI, 20.8% deep SSI, and 19.2% PE. HAC pts were on average older (63.5 vs 59.3, p=.004) and more often frail (51.3 vs 39.7%, p=.021) than non-HAC pts. Postop LOS and reoperation were most associated with HAC groups: [1] LOS >7 days [2] reoperation. Patient-related predictors of HACs were [3] age >50 yerr, [4] frailty, and [13] BMI >31. Procedure-related predictors of HACs were [5] operative-time >405 minutes, [6] levels fused >9, EBL >1450 mL, and [11] decompression. BL radiographic predictors were [7] PT >20°, [9] PI-LL>6°, [10] TL Cobb angle >15°, [12] SVA C7-S1 >29 mm. No differences were observed between groups with regards to IHS ODI (0.73 vs 0.74, p=.863), SRS (1.3 vs1.3, p=.374), NRS Back (0.6 vs 0.6, p=.158). HAC had higher rates of reoperation than non-HAC (0.08 vs 0.01, p=.066), and any HAC within 30-days of index was a significant predictor of reoperation (OR: 2.448 [1.94-3.09], p<.001).

Conclusions

In a population of ASD patients, HACs were associated with length of stay, reoperation, age, and frailty. Radiographic parameters such as pelvic tilt >20°, PI-LL >6°, & SVA >29 mm also increased odds of HACs, and should raise postoperative awareness for HAC development.
dc.identifier

S1529-9430(21)00227-8

dc.identifier.issn

1529-9430

dc.identifier.issn

1878-1632

dc.identifier.uri

https://hdl.handle.net/10161/28073

dc.language

eng

dc.publisher

Elsevier BV

dc.relation.ispartof

The spine journal : official journal of the North American Spine Society

dc.relation.isversionof

10.1016/j.spinee.2021.04.020

dc.subject

International Spine Study Group

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Humans

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Scoliosis

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Postoperative Complications

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Retrospective Studies

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Quality of Life

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Adult

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Aged

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Medicare

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United States

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Frailty

dc.title

Predictors of serious, preventable, and costly medical complications in a population of adult spinal deformity patients.

dc.type

Journal article

duke.contributor.orcid

Passias, Peter G|0000-0002-1479-4070|0000-0003-2635-2226

duke.contributor.orcid

Shaffrey, Christopher I|0000-0001-9760-8386

pubs.begin-page

1559

pubs.end-page

1566

pubs.issue

9

pubs.organisational-group

Duke

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School of Medicine

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Clinical Science Departments

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Orthopaedic Surgery

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Neurosurgery

pubs.publication-status

Published

pubs.volume

21

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