A prognostic model of Alzheimer's disease relying on multiple longitudinal measures and time-to-event data.

dc.contributor.author

Li, Kan

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O'Brien, Richard

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Lutz, Michael

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Luo, Sheng

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Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

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2019-08-01T21:07:21Z

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2019-08-01T21:07:21Z

dc.date.issued

2018-05

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2019-08-01T21:07:20Z

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INTRODUCTION:Characterizing progression in Alzheimer's disease is critically important for early detection and targeted treatment. The objective was to develop a prognostic model, based on multivariate longitudinal markers, for predicting progression-free survival in patients with mild cognitive impairment. METHODS:The information contained in multiple longitudinal markers was extracted using multivariate functional principal components analysis and used as predictors in the Cox regression models. Cross-validation was used for selecting the best model based on Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative-1. External validation was conducted on Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative-2. RESULTS:Model comparison yielded a prognostic index computed as the weighted combination of historical information of five neurocognitive longitudinal markers that are routinely collected in observational studies. The comprehensive validity analysis provided solid evidence of the usefulness of the model for predicting Alzheimer's disease progression. DISCUSSION:The prognostic model was improved by incorporating multiple longitudinal markers. It is useful for monitoring disease and identifying patients for clinical trial recruitment.

dc.identifier

S1552-5260(17)33840-2

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1552-5260

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1552-5279

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https://hdl.handle.net/10161/19150

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eng

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Wiley

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Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association

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10.1016/j.jalz.2017.11.004

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Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

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A prognostic model of Alzheimer's disease relying on multiple longitudinal measures and time-to-event data.

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Journal article

duke.contributor.orcid

Lutz, Michael|0000-0001-8809-5574

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Luo, Sheng|0000-0003-4214-5809

pubs.begin-page

644

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651

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5

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School of Medicine

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Duke

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Neurology

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Clinical Science Departments

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Neurobiology

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Basic Science Departments

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Duke Clinical Research Institute

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Institutes and Centers

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Biostatistics & Bioinformatics

pubs.publication-status

Published

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14

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