New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births
Abstract
This is a progress report on an ongoing empirical study of the determinants of life cycle fertility. "The main objective of the early stage of [the] work is to codify the 'facts' in a coherent statistical framework that provides the duration data analogue of the conventional simultaneous equations model." After reviewing the relevant literature, the authors present an empirical analysis of data on fertility, marital status, and work histories for 570 Swedish women born between 1941 and 1945. The data are from a survey conducted by the Swedish Central Bureau of Statistics in 1981
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Scholars@Duke
V. Joseph Hotz
Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.
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