Recovery and survival from aging-associated diseases.

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2013-08

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Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Considering disease incidence to be a main contributor to healthy lifespan of the US elderly population may lead to erroneous conclusions when recovery/long-term remission factors are underestimated. Using two Medicare-based population datasets, we investigated the properties of recovery from eleven age-related diseases. METHODS: Cohorts of patients who stopped visiting doctors during a five-year follow-up since disease onset were analyzed non-parametrically and using the Cox proportional hazard model resulted in estimated recovery and survival rates and evaluated the health state of recovered individuals by comparing their survival with non-recovered patients and the general population. RESULTS: Recovered individuals had lower death rates than non-recovered patients, therefore, patients who stopped visiting doctors are a healthier subcohort. However, they had higher death rates than in general population for all considered diseases, therefore the complete recovery does not occur. CONCLUSION: Properties of recovery/long-term remission among the US population of older adults with chronic diseases were uncovered and evaluated. The results allow for a better quantifiable contribution of age-related diseases to healthy life expectancy and improving forecasts of health and mortality.

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Chronic disease onset, Long-term remission, Medicare, Population-based analysis, Recovery, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Medicare, Mortality, Neoplasms, Proportional Hazards Models, Recovery of Function, Stroke, Survival Rate, United States

Citation

Published Version (Please cite this version)

10.1016/j.exger.2013.05.056

Publication Info

Akushevich, Igor, Julia Kravchenko, Svetlana Ukraintseva, Konstantin Arbeev and Anatoliy I Yashin (2013). Recovery and survival from aging-associated diseases. Exp Gerontol, 48(8). pp. 824–830. 10.1016/j.exger.2013.05.056 Retrieved from https://hdl.handle.net/10161/14833.

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Scholars@Duke

Akushevich

Igor Akushevich

Research Professor in the Social Science Research Institute
Ukraintseva

Svetlana Ukraintseva

Research Professor in the Social Science Research Institute

Dr. Ukraintseva studies the causes of human aging and the associated decline in whole-body resilience, with the goal of identifying genetic and other factors that drive this decline and contribute to the age-related increase in all-cause mortality risk, ultimately limiting longevity even in individuals without major diseases. She also investigates the “multi-hit” mechanism of Alzheimer’s disease and the complex, including trade‑off–like, relationships between Alzheimer’s disease and cancer. She actively explores the role of infectious diseases and compromised immunity in Alzheimer’s development, as well as the interplay between vaccines and genetic factors, to advance personalized vaccine repurposing for AD prevention. To address these questions, Dr. Ukraintseva and her team analyze large human datasets containing comprehensive information on millions of individuals. She is a PI and key investigator on several NIH-funded grants and has authored more than 150 peer‑reviewed publications, including in major journals such as JAMA, Nature group journals, Stroke, Alzheimer’s & Dementia, and others.

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Arbeev

Konstantin Arbeev

Associate Research Professor in the Social Science Research Institute

Konstantin G. Arbeev received the M.S. degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow State University (branch in Ulyanovsk, Russia) in 1995 and the Ph.D. degree in Mathematics and Physics (specialization in Theoretical Foundations of Mathematical Modeling, Numerical Methods and Programming) from Ulyanovsk State University (Russia) in 1999. He was a post-doctoral fellow in Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock (Germany) before moving to Duke University in 2004 to work as a Research Scientist and a Senior Research Scientist in the Department of Sociology and the Social Science Research Institute (SSRI).  He is currently an Associate Research Professor in SSRI. Dr. Arbeev's major research interests are related to three interconnected fields of biodemography, biostatistics and genetic epidemiology as pertains to research on aging. The focus of his research is on discovering genetic and non-genetic factors that can affect the process of aging and determine longevity and healthy lifespan. He is interested in both methodological advances in this research area as well as their practical applications to analyses of large-scale longitudinal studies with phenotypic, genetic and, recently, genomic information. Dr. Arbeev authored and co-authored more than 150 peer-reviewed publications in these areas.

Yashin

Anatoli I. Yashin

Research Professor in the Social Science Research Institute

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